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Sonos Inc (SONO)
NASDAQ:SONO

Sonos (SONO) AI Stock Analysis

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Sonos

(NASDAQ:SONO)

Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
▲(5.74%Upside)
Sonos is facing significant financial challenges with declining revenue and profitability, impacting its valuation negatively. However, strong cash management and strategic adjustments highlighted in the earnings call, along with positive corporate changes, provide some optimism. The overall score reflects these mixed signals, with financial performance being the most critical factor.
Positive Factors
Gross Margins
Sonos is outperforming gross margins through thoughtful inventory management and mix, achieving impressive gross margin outperformance this quarter.
Market Share
Sonos is gaining market share, most notably within the home theater market, driven by the strength in Arc Ultra.
Negative Factors
Consumer Feedback
Sonos has faced consistent negative consumer feedback from existing Sonos product users that have complained about a multitude of functionality issues with the new app.
Leadership Uncertainty
Entering a period of elevated uncertainty as Sonos searches for its next CEO.

Sonos (SONO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sonos Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSonos, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells multi-room audio products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company provides wireless speakers, home theater speakers, components, and accessories. It offers its products through approximately 10,000 third-party retail stores, including custom installers of home audio systems; and e-commerce retailers, as well as through its Website sonos.com. The company was formerly known as Rincon Audio, Inc. and changed its name to Sonos, Inc. in May 2004. Sonos, Inc. was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Santa Barbara, California.
How the Company Makes MoneySonos generates revenue primarily through the sale of its audio products, which include wireless speakers, soundbars, and home theater systems. The company markets its products directly to consumers via its online platform and through various retail partners, including electronic stores, department stores, and specialty retailers. Sonos also partners with streaming service providers to integrate their platforms into its devices, enhancing the overall user experience and encouraging product adoption. Additionally, the company leverages its brand reputation for high-quality sound and design to maintain premium pricing on its products, contributing significantly to its earnings. Sonos continually invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product offerings, which helps drive sales and supports its revenue growth.

Sonos Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 10.70%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted positive aspects such as revenue growth, improved EBITDA, and effective cost management, as well as strategic moves to mitigate tariff impacts. However, significant challenges remain, including expected revenue decline in Q3, rising tariff expenses, and negative free cash flow. Overall, there is a balanced view of achievements and challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Sonos achieved a 3% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $260 million, driven by home theater strength and successful targeted promotions.
Adjusted EBITDA Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA improved by $33 million compared to the previous year, driven by strong gross margin and disciplined execution on restructuring.
Non-GAAP Operating Expenses Reduction
Non-GAAP operating expenses decreased by 14% year-over-year, reflecting cost optimization efforts and restructuring.
Patent Power Recognition
Sonos was ranked fourth in patent power for consumer electronics by IEEE Spectrum, highlighting its innovation capabilities.
Tariff Mitigation Strategies
Sonos moved the majority of its US-bound production out of China, reducing exposure to tariffs. They are also accelerating production in Vietnam and Malaysia.
Negative Updates
Year-Over-Year Revenue Decline in Q3
Sonos expects Q3 revenue to decline by 22% to 14% year-over-year, primarily due to difficult comparisons with the previous year's headphone launch.
Tariff Impact on Future Quarters
Tariff expenses are expected to rise to $5 million to $10 million in Q4, with cash outlays potentially reaching $20 million to $30 million.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Q2 free cash flow was negative $65 million, though this was an improvement from the previous year, influenced by non-recurring items.
Challenges in Portable Segment
The portable product category is experiencing high price competition, affecting overall performance in this segment.
Company Guidance
During the Sonos Second Quarter Fiscal 2025 Conference Call, the company provided guidance reflecting a strong performance and strategic adjustments. Revenue for Q2 was $260 million, showing a 3% year-over-year increase, primarily driven by the success of the Arc Ultra and a pricing strategy for the Era 100. Adjusted EBITDA improved by $33 million compared to the previous year. The company reported a GAAP gross margin of 43.7% and a non-GAAP gross margin of 47.1%. Operating expenses decreased significantly, with non-GAAP operating expenses down 14% year-over-year. Sonos also highlighted its effective cost optimization and restructuring efforts, resulting in reduced operating expenses and improved margins. Looking ahead, Sonos anticipates Q3 revenue in the range of $310 million to $340 million, with a GAAP gross margin of 43% to 45% and non-GAAP gross margin of 45.2% to 47%. The company is actively managing its exposure to tariffs by relocating the majority of its US-bound production to Vietnam and Malaysia and is evaluating pricing and promotional strategies to optimize gross profit dollars. Additionally, Sonos increased its annualized run rate savings target for both GAAP and non-GAAP operating expenses, projecting significant reductions from fiscal 2024 levels.

Sonos Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sonos faces challenges with declining revenue and profitability, reflected in negative net income and EBIT margins. The balance sheet remains stable with moderate leverage, but negative ROE highlights inefficiencies. Strong operating cash flow and positive free cash flow demonstrate resilience in cash management, crucial for navigating current financial pressures.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Sonos has experienced declining revenue over the past few years with TTM revenue of $1.46 billion, down from $1.75 billion in 2022. The gross profit margin has decreased slightly, indicating some pressure on cost efficiency. The company has been operating at a net loss recently, with TTM net income at -$69.29 million, compared to a profit in 2021. EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Sonos maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio with TTM total debt at $63.03 million and stockholders' equity of $382.86 million. The equity ratio is relatively stable at 48.34%, suggesting a solid equity base. However, the return on equity is negative due to net losses, indicating ineffective use of equity capital.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Despite net losses, Sonos generated positive operating cash flow of $122.26 million TTM. Free cash flow has decreased but remains positive at $64.61 million. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating effective cash management despite profitability issues.
Breakdown
TTMSep 2024Sep 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.66B1.52B1.66B1.75B1.72B1.33B
Gross Profit
716.49M689.37M716.49M796.37M809.99M571.96M
EBIT
-20.54M-48.05M-20.55M69.28M154.96M-18.60M
EBITDA
54.10M25.67M54.10M107.79M191.40M17.83M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-10.27M-38.15M-10.27M67.38M158.59M-20.11M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
291.56M221.16M220.23M274.86M640.10M407.10M
Total Assets
925.62M916.31M1.00B1.19B1.14B816.05M
Total Debt
59.27M64.14M56.11M36.13M44.68M86.19M
Net Debt
-186.69M-105.59M-164.12M-238.73M-595.42M-320.91M
Total Liabilities
431.61M487.69M483.58M627.88M569.76M518.21M
Stockholders Equity
494.00M428.62M518.66M560.51M569.04M297.84M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
50.12M134.66M50.12M-74.48M207.69M128.95M
Operating Cash Flow
100.41M189.91M100.41M-28.26M253.23M161.99M
Investing Cash Flow
-50.29M-105.24M-50.29M-172.63M-45.53M-69.32M
Financing Cash Flow
-108.59M-137.31M-108.59M-150.26M24.97M-27.09M

Sonos Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.93
Price Trends
50DMA
9.65
Positive
100DMA
11.02
Negative
200DMA
12.16
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Positive
RSI
46.80
Neutral
STOCH
37.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SONO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.93 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.16, above the 50-day MA of 9.65, and below the 200-day MA of 12.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SONO.

Sonos Risk Analysis

Sonos disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sonos reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sonos Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$1.60B18.289.79%3.19%0.61%80.97%
73
Outperform
$1.35B-10.84%7.26%39.62%
67
Neutral
$962.97M-15.20%-6.53%-1059.95%
ROROG
65
Neutral
$1.25B75.121.34%-8.06%-75.10%
62
Neutral
$11.92B10.03-7.37%3.70%7.32%-8.25%
59
Neutral
$1.25B-15.80%-5.24%-67.92%
56
Neutral
$783.49M32.854.78%-6.97%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SONO
Sonos
9.93
-4.67
-31.99%
HIMX
Himax Technologies
9.38
1.02
12.20%
NTGR
Netgear
26.70
12.24
84.65%
ROG
Rogers
68.22
-53.78
-44.08%
CRSR
Corsair Gaming
9.21
-1.88
-16.95%
COUR
Coursera
8.26
1.52
22.55%

Sonos Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sonos Appoints Hugo Barra to Board of Directors
Positive
Apr 10, 2025

On April 7, 2025, Sonos appointed Hugo Barra to its Board of Directors, effective immediately, as a Class III director with a term expiring in 2027. Hugo Barra, a seasoned technologist with extensive experience in consumer tech and AI, is expected to bring valuable insights to Sonos. Concurrently, Mike Volpi, the longest-serving director, resigned from the board after 15 years of service, with no disagreements cited. Volpi’s departure marks the end of a significant era for Sonos, while Barra’s appointment is anticipated to strengthen the company’s strategic direction and innovation capabilities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.