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Sonos Inc (SONO)
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Sonos (SONO) AI Stock Analysis

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SONO

Sonos

(NASDAQ:SONO)

Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$14.00
▼(-0.50% Downside)
Sonos' overall stock score is driven by its financial challenges, including declining revenue and profitability, which weigh heavily on the score. However, positive technical momentum and strategic leadership changes provide some optimism. The valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings, and while the earnings call showed operational improvements, revenue decline and external challenges persist.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Sonos is outperforming gross margins through thoughtful inventory management and mix, achieving impressive gross margin outperformance this quarter.
Market Share
Sonos is gaining market share, most notably within the home theater market, driven by the strength in Arc Ultra.
Strategy Pivot
Actions to maximize gross profit, including promotions and pricing strategy, mark a pivot in Sonos' strategy, potentially lowering the friction of onboarding new users.
Negative Factors
Competitive Pressure
There remain a number of moving pieces in the SONO story, including a declining TAM and pricing pressure from competitors.
Market Challenges
Topline concerns persist with a declining total addressable market and pricing pressure from competitors.

Sonos (SONO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sonos Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSonos, Inc. is a global leader in smart audio products and home sound systems, headquartered in Santa Barbara, California. Founded in 2002, Sonos designs and manufactures a range of wireless speakers, soundbars, and home theater systems that deliver high-quality sound and seamless integration with various streaming services. The company operates primarily in the consumer electronics sector and is known for its commitment to innovation in multi-room audio and smart home technology, enhancing the listening experience through advanced connectivity and user-friendly interfaces.
How the Company Makes MoneySonos generates revenue primarily through the sale of its hardware products, including wireless speakers, soundbars, and accessories. A significant portion of its earnings comes from direct sales to consumers via its online platform and retail partnerships with major electronics retailers. Additionally, Sonos has established partnerships with various music streaming services, which enhance the functionality of its devices and drive customer engagement. The company also benefits from software and service offerings, such as premium features and subscription services that may be bundled with its products. Seasonal promotions and new product launches further contribute to revenue fluctuations, making product innovation and customer loyalty critical to its financial success.

Sonos Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed sentiment. While Sonos exceeded financial expectations for the quarter and demonstrated strong operational efficiency and brand strength, it faced significant year-over-year revenue decline, tariff challenges, and cyclical market difficulties.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA Exceed Expectations
Q3 revenue of $345 million exceeded the high end of guidance, with adjusted EBITDA at $36 million reaching the top of the guidance range. This performance was driven by better-than-expected portables and component products.
Operational Efficiency and Cost Reduction
Operating expenses decreased by 15% year-over-year, resulting in significant savings. Non-GAAP operating expenses came in about $9 million below the low end of guidance.
Strategic Positioning and Brand Strength
Sonos maintains its position as the #1 home theater brand in the U.S., demonstrating strong brand equity and channel partnerships.
Positive Free Cash Flow and Strong Balance Sheet
Q3 free cash flow was $33 million, improving from negative $65 million last quarter. The net cash balance increased by $30 million to $254 million.
Negative Updates
Year-Over-Year Revenue Decline
Q3 revenue declined 13% year-over-year, reflecting the broader challenges in the category despite outperforming the guidance range.
Tariff Challenges and Pricing Adjustments
Tariff expenses were $2.1 million in Q3, impacting the gross margin by 60 basis points. Tariffs on Vietnam and Malaysia imports are expected to be 20% and 19% respectively, necessitating price increases on certain products.
Cyclical Market Challenges
The category remains cyclically challenged due to factors such as COVID-19 pull-in effects and weak housing data, impacting growth prospects.
Company Guidance
During the Sonos Third Quarter Fiscal 2025 conference call, CEO Tom Conrad and CFO Saori Casey provided an optimistic outlook for the company's future, highlighting a series of financial and operational metrics. The company reported Q3 revenue of $345 million, exceeding the high end of their guidance range, although it represented a 13% year-over-year decline. Adjusted EBITDA was positive at $36 million, also at the high end of their guidance. Sonos achieved a gross margin of 43.4% (non-GAAP: 44.7%), despite incurring $2.1 million in tariff expenses. They successfully reduced GAAP operating expenses by 15% to $153 million and non-GAAP operating expenses by 23% on a normalized basis. The company's net cash balance increased by $30 million to $254 million, and free cash flow rose to $33 million. For Q4, Sonos expects revenue between $260 million and $290 million and adjusted EBITDA ranging from minus $10 million to $14 million. They anticipate continuing their transformation efforts to drive profitability while facing a dynamic macro environment, including a tariff impact of approximately $5 million.

Sonos Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sonos faces challenges across its financial statements, with declining revenue and profitability, stable but unprofitable balance sheet, and weak cash flow performance. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies and improve profitability to enhance its financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Sonos has experienced declining revenue over the TTM period with a negative revenue growth rate of -3.58%. The gross profit margin has decreased slightly from previous years, indicating pressure on profitability. The net profit margin is negative, reflecting ongoing losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, highlighting operational challenges. Overall, the income statement shows declining performance and profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14, indicating a manageable level of leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's inability to generate profits from its equity base. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a reasonable proportion of equity financing. Overall, the balance sheet is stable but lacks profitability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow has decreased significantly, and free cash flow growth is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, showing some ability to generate cash from operations despite losses. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, indicating insufficient free cash flow relative to net income. Overall, cash flow performance is weak with declining trends.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.41B1.52B1.66B1.75B1.72B1.33B
Gross Profit607.76M689.37M716.49M796.37M809.99M571.96M
EBITDA-30.24M25.67M54.10M107.79M191.40M17.83M
Net Income-76.38M-38.15M-10.27M67.38M158.59M-20.11M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets834.40M916.31M1.00B1.19B1.14B816.05M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments253.95M221.16M220.23M274.86M640.10M407.10M
Total Debt55.15M64.14M56.11M36.13M44.68M86.19M
Total Liabilities435.10M487.69M483.58M627.88M569.76M518.21M
Stockholders Equity399.31M428.62M518.66M560.51M569.04M297.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow57.03M134.66M50.12M-74.48M207.69M128.95M
Operating Cash Flow96.21M189.91M100.41M-28.26M253.23M161.99M
Investing Cash Flow-41.26M-105.24M-50.29M-172.63M-45.53M-69.32M
Financing Cash Flow-82.83M-137.31M-108.59M-150.26M24.97M-27.09M

Sonos Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.07
Price Trends
50DMA
11.79
Positive
100DMA
10.77
Positive
200DMA
11.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.73
Negative
RSI
71.46
Negative
STOCH
86.37
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SONO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.15, above the 50-day MA of 11.79, and above the 200-day MA of 11.95, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.73 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.46 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.37 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SONO.

Sonos Risk Analysis

Sonos disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sonos reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sonos Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$298.29M15.8517.97%24.09%
61
Neutral
$35.51B8.11-11.05%1.89%8.55%-8.72%
61
Neutral
$239.62M-76.81%-19.83%73.22%
58
Neutral
$1.66B-17.69%-10.02%-385.04%
56
Neutral
$58.87M-2.83%2.93%8.95%
54
Neutral
$696.28M-28.36%-18.94%-197.82%
52
Neutral
$64.02M-10.48%4.00%62.67%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SONO
Sonos
14.37
2.78
23.99%
GPRO
GoPro
1.46
0.24
19.67%
KOSS
Koss
6.07
-1.20
-16.51%
TBCH
Turtle Beach
15.36
1.41
10.11%
UEIC
Universal Electronics
4.85
-4.17
-46.23%
ZEPP
Zepp Health
50.55
47.29
1450.61%

Sonos Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sonos Appoints Tom Conrad as CEO and President
Positive
Jul 23, 2025

On July 22, 2025, Sonos appointed Tom Conrad as Chief Executive Officer and President, following his interim CEO role since January 2025. Under his leadership, Sonos has made significant progress, including enhancing software and product experiences, and launching new innovations. His appointment is expected to lead Sonos into a new phase of growth, focusing on customer satisfaction, innovation, and leveraging technology to create more immersive and intelligent experiences.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 01, 2025