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Sonos Inc (SONO)
NASDAQ:SONO
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Sonos (SONO) AI Stock Analysis

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SONO

Sonos

(NASDAQ:SONO)

Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▲(4.83% Upside)
Sonos' overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance challenges, including declining revenue and profitability. However, strong cash flow management and recent operational efficiencies provide some resilience. The technical analysis suggests moderate short-term bullish momentum, while the earnings call and corporate events highlight strategic initiatives and leadership changes that could support future growth.
Positive Factors
Gross Margins
Sonos is outperforming gross margins through thoughtful inventory management and mix, achieving impressive gross margin outperformance this quarter.
Market Share
Sonos is gaining market share, most notably within the home theater market, driven by the strength in Arc Ultra.
Negative Factors
Total Addressable Market
Topline concerns persist with a declining total addressable market and pricing pressure from competitors.

Sonos (SONO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sonos Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSonos, Inc. is a leading consumer electronics company that specializes in designing and manufacturing smart speakers and audio components for home entertainment systems. The company is known for its innovative wireless audio technology that allows users to stream music and other audio content seamlessly in high-quality sound throughout their homes. Sonos operates in the consumer electronics sector, focusing on delivering premium sound experiences through its range of products, including speakers, soundbars, and home theater systems.
How the Company Makes MoneySonos generates revenue primarily through the sale of its audio products, which include wireless speakers, soundbars, and home theater systems. The company markets its products directly to consumers via its online platform and through various retail partners, including electronic stores, department stores, and specialty retailers. Sonos also partners with streaming service providers to integrate their platforms into its devices, enhancing the overall user experience and encouraging product adoption. Additionally, the company leverages its brand reputation for high-quality sound and design to maintain premium pricing on its products, contributing significantly to its earnings. Sonos continually invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product offerings, which helps drive sales and supports its revenue growth.

Sonos Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.63%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a company that is successfully navigating operational efficiencies and cost reductions while facing headwinds from tariff challenges and a cyclical downturn in market demand. Sonos' brand strength and leadership in wireless home audio, along with strategic software enhancements, are positive indicators, but are tempered by revenue declines and external market challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA Exceed Expectations
Q3 revenue of $345 million was above the high end of guidance, with adjusted EBITDA positive at $36 million, at the high end of the guidance range due to higher revenue and lower operating expenses.
Operational Cost Reductions
GAAP operating expenses were $153 million, down 15% year-over-year. Non-GAAP operating expenses of $131 million were also down 15% year-over-year, driven by various cost optimization efforts.
Brand and Market Leadership
Sonos solidified its position as the #1 home theater brand in the U.S., with strong installer and channel partnerships.
AI and Software Feature Enhancements
New AI-powered voice enhancement features and software upgrades were delivered, enhancing product value over time.
Negative Updates
Year-over-Year Revenue Decline
Q3 revenue declined 13% year-over-year. Excluding the impact of the Ace launch last year, revenue was down mid-single digits.
Tariff Challenges
Tariff rates are set at 20% for Vietnam and 19% for Malaysia, resulting in $2.1 million of tariff expenses in Q3, affecting gross margins.
Cyclical Market Challenges
The category remains cyclically challenged due to COVID pull-in and weak housing data, affecting overall market demand.
Company Guidance
During the Sonos Third Quarter Fiscal 2025 Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for the future. Sonos reported a Q3 revenue of $345 million, exceeding the high end of their guidance range, with a year-over-year decline of 13% versus the anticipated 22% to 14% decline. Gross margin was 43.4%, while non-GAAP gross margin stood at 44.7%. Operating expenses decreased by 15% year-over-year, with non-GAAP operating expenses at $131 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $36 million, aligning with the upper end of the guidance range. For Q4, Sonos projects revenue between $260 million and $290 million, an increase of 2% to 14% year-over-year, and expects GAAP gross margin to range from 42% to 44%. The company anticipates tariff expenses of $5 million impacting gross margin by 180 basis points. Q4 adjusted EBITDA is expected to range from minus $10 million to positive $14 million. Sonos emphasized its focus on software to enhance product value and plans for price increases due to rising tariff costs, while maintaining a strong emphasis on operational efficiency to drive profitability.

Sonos Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sonos faces challenges with declining revenue and profitability, reflected in negative net income and EBIT margins. The balance sheet remains stable with moderate leverage, but negative ROE highlights inefficiencies. Strong operating cash flow and positive free cash flow demonstrate resilience in cash management, which is crucial for navigating current financial pressures.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Sonos has experienced declining revenue over the past few years with TTM revenue of $1.46 billion, down from $1.75 billion in 2022. The gross profit margin has decreased slightly, indicating some pressure on cost efficiency. The company has been operating at a net loss recently, with TTM net income at -$69.29 million, compared to a profit in 2021. EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Sonos maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio with TTM total debt at $63.03 million and stockholders' equity of $382.86 million. The equity ratio is relatively stable at 48.34%, suggesting a solid equity base. However, the return on equity is negative due to net losses, indicating ineffective use of equity capital.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Despite net losses, Sonos generated positive operating cash flow of $122.26 million TTM. Free cash flow has decreased but remains positive at $64.61 million. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating effective cash management despite profitability issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.46B1.52B1.66B1.75B1.72B1.33B
Gross Profit649.67M689.37M716.49M796.37M809.99M571.96M
EBITDA-2.52M25.67M54.10M107.79M191.40M17.83M
Net Income-69.29M-38.15M-10.27M67.38M158.59M-20.11M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets792.18M916.31M1.00B1.19B1.14B816.05M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments223.51M221.16M220.23M274.86M640.10M407.10M
Total Debt63.03M64.14M56.11M36.13M44.68M86.19M
Total Liabilities409.32M487.69M483.58M627.88M569.76M518.21M
Stockholders Equity382.86M428.62M518.66M560.51M569.04M297.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow64.61M134.66M50.12M-74.48M207.69M128.95M
Operating Cash Flow122.26M189.91M100.41M-28.26M253.23M161.99M
Investing Cash Flow-60.86M-105.24M-50.29M-172.63M-45.53M-69.32M
Financing Cash Flow-133.92M-137.31M-108.59M-150.26M24.97M-27.09M

Sonos Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.97
Price Trends
50DMA
10.62
Positive
100DMA
10.23
Positive
200DMA
11.96
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Positive
RSI
52.30
Neutral
STOCH
40.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SONO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.97 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.88, above the 50-day MA of 10.62, and below the 200-day MA of 11.96, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SONO.

Sonos Risk Analysis

Sonos disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sonos reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sonos Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$291.12M19.8712.49%44.41%
62
Neutral
$1.33B-17.69%-5.24%-67.92%
59
Neutral
$345.70M-28.36%-18.94%-197.82%
54
Neutral
$209.85M-83.57%-20.88%62.21%
50
Neutral
C$3.26B5.36-49.37%9.08%2.10%-13.02%
49
Neutral
$83.23M-13.55%-2.15%52.80%
44
Neutral
$53.72M-2.44%-0.34%32.41%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SONO
Sonos
10.97
-0.97
-8.12%
GPRO
GoPro
1.32
0.12
10.00%
KOSS
Koss
5.56
-1.12
-16.77%
TBCH
Turtle Beach
14.41
-0.36
-2.44%
UEIC
Universal Electronics
6.03
-3.25
-35.02%
ZEPP
Zepp Health
24.30
21.74
849.22%

Sonos Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sonos Appoints Tom Conrad as CEO and President
Positive
Jul 23, 2025

On July 22, 2025, Sonos appointed Tom Conrad as Chief Executive Officer and President, following his interim CEO role since January 2025. Under his leadership, Sonos has made significant progress, including enhancing software and product experiences, and launching new innovations. His appointment is expected to lead Sonos into a new phase of growth, focusing on customer satisfaction, innovation, and leveraging technology to create more immersive and intelligent experiences.

The most recent analyst rating on (SONO) stock is a Sell with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sonos stock, see the SONO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025