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SelectQuote Inc (SLQT)
NYSE:SLQT

SelectQuote (SLQT) AI Stock Analysis

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SLQT

SelectQuote

(NYSE:SLQT)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$0.99
▲(15.58% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/10/26
The score reflects improving fundamentals and a constructive earnings-call outlook (profitability recovery, sharply improved leverage, and expectations for better FY2026 operating cash flow), tempered by very weak technical momentum (below major moving averages with negative MACD and oversold readings) and limited valuation support due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
De-risked balance sheet and extended liquidity
The new $415M facility materially extends debt maturities to 2031, raises revolver capacity and can lower interest costs. That structural improvement reduces refinancing risk, smooths seasonal liquidity needs tied to commissions receivable and gives management optionality for investments or buybacks over the medium term.
High and durable Senior-segment margins
The senior business is the core cash engine: near‑record 39% margins and rising approved policy volume demonstrate strong unit economics and pricing power with carriers. Durable high margins in the flagship segment support sustainable earnings and cash generation even if growth moderates.
SelectRx (healthcare services) structural growth and clinical impact
SelectRx shows durable, double‑digit member and revenue growth and produces measurable clinical outcomes (fewer hospital days). Those outcomes drive payer/carrier value, stickier relationships and growing recurring revenue, improving long‑term profitability and strategic diversification away from pure commission sales.
Negative Factors
Weak and inconsistent cash conversion
Operating and free cash flows are positive but modest relative to revenue and volatile across years. Inconsistent cash conversion limits internal funding for marketing and margin expansion, increases reliance on credit facilities for seasonality, and raises sensitivity to one‑time reimbursement or carrier shocks.
Concentration exposure to PBM/carrier actions and regulatory rates
Material, discrete actions by PBMs and national carriers produced a large guidance hit, highlighting structural concentration and contract risk. Ongoing CMS rate uncertainty and carrier marketing changes can persistently reduce enrollments, commissions, or reimbursement, compressing revenue and predictability.
Overall profitability remains thin; margin durability uncertain
Although earnings recovered from losses, consolidated margins are still narrow versus historical peaks. Thin margins increase vulnerability to commission rate moves, marketing cost inflation, or industry disruptions and constrain the company's ability to self‑fund growth or absorb further adverse carrier or regulatory changes.

SelectQuote (SLQT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SelectQuote Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSelectQuote, Inc. operates a technology-enabled, direct-to-consumer distribution platform that sells a range of insurance policies to consumers from various insurance carriers in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Senior; Life; and Auto & Home. It distributes senior health policies, such as medicare advantage, medicare supplement, medicare part D, and other ancillary senior health insurance related policies, including prescription drugs, dental, vision, and hearing plans; term life policies; and non-commercial auto and home property, and casualty policies. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Overland Park, Kansas.
How the Company Makes MoneySelectQuote generates revenue primarily through commissions earned on the sale of insurance policies. The company partners with numerous insurance carriers, receiving a commission for each policy sold through its platform. This commission-based model allows SelectQuote to monetize its extensive customer base effectively. Additionally, the company may earn referral fees for directing customers to specific insurance providers. SelectQuote's focus on providing a transparent and user-friendly experience attracts a wide audience, contributing to its revenue growth. The company also invests in marketing and technology to enhance its services and expand its reach within the insurance marketplace.

SelectQuote Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 05, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call described strong operational execution: double‑digit consolidated revenue growth, near‑record senior margins (39%), rapid SelectRx revenue growth (26% YoY) and measurable clinical outcomes (20% fewer hospital days). Management secured a multiyear PBM agreement and a $415M credit facility that materially improves visibility and capital flexibility. However, the quarter and fiscal 2026 guidance were meaningfully impacted by two discrete headwinds (~$20M PBM reimbursement adjustment and ~$20M from a national carrier marketing cut), prompting a revised adjusted EBITDA range of $90–$100M and signaling near‑term uncertainty from industry disruption and preliminary CMS rate guidance. Overall the operational and cash flow improvements and strategic balance sheet actions outweigh the near‑term, largely one‑time headwinds, leaving management optimistic about long‑term profitability and cash generation.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Consolidated Revenue Growth
Consolidated revenue grew 12% year-over-year to $537 million in the quarter.
Senior Segment Profitability and Volume
Senior revenue was $262 million, up 2% YoY; approved policy volume growth of 4%; senior adjusted EBITDA was $102 million and senior EBITDA margin was a near‑record 39% (fourth consecutive AEP season >30%).
Agent Productivity and Retention
Agent retention remained north of 90%; productivity per agent was 12% higher than two years ago despite a higher mix of new hires.
Marketing Efficiency
Marketing cost per approved policy was $326, in line with last year and ~20% lower versus 02/2024, contributing to strong marketing efficiency.
Health Care Services (SelectRx) Rapid Growth
SelectRx members grew 17% YoY to 113,000 and revenue grew 26% YoY to $231 million as onboarding members matured and consumed full prescriptions.
Clinical Outcomes and Operational Impact of SelectRx
SelectRx pharmacists identified nearly 50,000 potential dosage or adverse interaction concerns in 2025, leading to tens of thousands of prescription changes and an observed 20% reduction in beneficiary hospital days tied to improved medication adherence.
Improved Capital Flexibility
Closed a new $415 million credit facility in January that extends debt maturities to 2031, increases peak season liquidity, and provides optionality to lower interest cost (up to 100 bps) and fund strategic initiatives.
PBM Multiyear Agreement
Entered a multiyear PBM agreement that materially improves visibility into drug reimbursement pricing, supporting SelectRx profitability and predictability moving forward.
Cash Flow Improvement
Management expects operating cash flow of $25 million to $35 million for fiscal 2026 (midpoint stated as >$40 million higher than last year) and forecasts ~20% increase in cash EBITDA for 2026 versus prior year.
Life Insurance Performance
Life revenue grew 9% to $44 million; final expense premiums increased 24% YoY; Life adjusted EBITDA was $6 million, continuing to deliver attractive returns and cash flow.
Negative Updates
Guidance Reduced Due to Aggregate $40M Headwind
Fiscal 2026 guidance was lowered: consolidated revenue range revised to $1.61–$1.71 billion and adjusted EBITDA to $90–$100 million after an aggregate ~$40 million impact (approximately $20 million from PBM reimbursement changes and ~$20 million from a national carrier reducing marketing spend).
Quarterly EBITDA Temporarily Depressed by PBM Reimbursement Headwind
Healthcare services EBITDA was temporarily depressed by the PBM reimbursement change disclosed last quarter; management calls this a fiscal 2026 one‑time headwind (~$20M).
National Carrier Marketing Pullback
A major national carrier significantly cut strategic marketing budgets across third-party distribution, creating an estimated ~$20 million FY2026 impact to SelectQuote and introducing near‑term revenue risk from that partner.
Industry Disruption and Plan Terminations
Carriers terminated ~7% of plans in each of the past two seasons (vs historical <1%), and the majority of beneficiaries experienced a negative impact on at least one plan benefit, contributing to elevated market volatility and shopping behavior.
Health Care Services Membership Outlook Moderation
Management expects SelectRx membership to end fiscal 2026 flat to modestly down from the current 113,000 as the company prioritizes cash flow and profitability over enrollment growth.
Life Segment Margin Pressure
Life adjusted EBITDA was down modestly YoY (total $6M) due to modest marketing expense pressure and increased competition within the Term Life business.
Regulatory / Rate Uncertainty
CMS 2027 advanced rate notice preliminary rates were softer than expected; management highlighted industry concern and uncertainty until the final rate notice in April.
Company Guidance
SelectQuote narrowed fiscal 2026 guidance to consolidated revenue of $1.61–$1.71 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $90–$100 million after an aggregate ~ $40 million headwind (about $20M from PBM reimbursement changes and $20M from a carrier marketing cut); management still expects operating cash flow of $25–$35 million (more than $40M higher at the midpoint versus last year) and roughly 20% growth in cash EBITDA year‑over‑year. They reiterated longer‑term targets of 20%+ EBITDA margins for the senior division and an annualized adjusted EBITDA exit run‑rate of $40–$50 million for health care services, expect SelectRx membership to finish fiscal 2026 flat to modestly down from 113,000 while driving 20%+ year‑over‑year revenue growth, and cited a new $415 million credit facility that extends maturities to 2031 and could reduce the term rate by up to 100 basis points.

SelectQuote Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show a credible recovery with profitability returning and a materially de-risked balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.14x; ROE positive again). However, profitability remains thin versus prior peak levels and cash generation is inconsistent, with weak cash conversion and volatility in operating/free cash flow keeping the overall financial profile only moderately strong.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Results show a clear earnings recovery from sizable losses in 2022–2024 to profitability in 2025, alongside steady top-line expansion (TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue up 3.6%). Profitability is still relatively thin on a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) basis (net margin ~3.7% and EBIT margin ~3.1%), well below the stronger profile seen in 2021, indicating the turnaround is real but not yet fully re-established. Overall, improving trajectory is a positive, but margin durability remains a key watch item.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Leverage has improved materially: debt-to-equity moved from very elevated levels in 2023–2024 (above 2x) to a much more conservative position in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data (debt-to-equity ~0.14x), implying significantly reduced balance-sheet risk. Equity is sizable relative to assets (TTM equity of ~$620M vs. assets of ~$1.35B), and returns on equity are positive again (TTM ~11.7%) after negative levels in prior years. The main drawback is the recent history of volatility in profitability and capital structure, even though the latest snapshot is much healthier.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Cash generation is currently modest: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow (~$12M) and free cash flow (~$8M) are positive, but the business has shown inconsistency with negative operating and free cash flow in 2023 and again in 2025 annual data. Free cash flow growth is sharply negative in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) period, and operating cash flow is low relative to revenue, signaling that accounting profitability is not consistently translating into cash. Strength is the return to positive free cash flow in the latest period, but volatility and weak cash conversion keep this vertical below average.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.62B1.53B1.32B1.00B764.04M929.98M
Gross Profit1.13B591.13M597.97M475.36M308.35M659.27M
EBITDA163.08M148.36M89.48M39.34M-321.49M203.48M
Net Income77.72M47.58M-34.13M-58.54M-297.50M124.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.35B1.25B1.19B1.22B1.29B1.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.20M32.40M42.69M83.16M141.00M286.45M
Total Debt457.83M415.91M713.92M731.80M745.06M505.30M
Total Liabilities732.62M673.84M877.11M872.28M898.95M756.82M
Stockholders Equity619.64M575.52M316.80M346.97M391.11M667.04M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.47M-13.86M3.57M-28.50M-372.96M-138.43M
Operating Cash Flow12.07M-11.67M15.24M-19.38M-338.31M-115.44M
Investing Cash Flow-14.10M-11.31M-14.85M-9.13M-42.58M-64.02M
Financing Cash Flow11.74M17.36M-40.86M-29.34M235.43M97.04M

SelectQuote Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.86
Price Trends
50DMA
1.27
Negative
100DMA
1.49
Negative
200DMA
1.82
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.13
Negative
RSI
34.02
Neutral
STOCH
58.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SLQT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.86 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.98, below the 50-day MA of 1.27, and below the 200-day MA of 1.82, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 34.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SLQT.

SelectQuote Risk Analysis

SelectQuote disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SelectQuote reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SelectQuote Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
55
Neutral
$152.09M-13.1016.44%13.16%
52
Neutral
$38.53M-2.704.22%16.79%
46
Neutral
$20.11M7.994.56%19.30%-17.56%
44
Neutral
$21.73M-0.08-142.05%7.56%-344.04%
43
Neutral
$4.72M-0.01-11.18%624.24%85.46%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SLQT
SelectQuote
0.86
-3.41
-79.81%
EHTH
Ehealth
1.24
-7.40
-85.65%
HUIZ
Huize Holding
1.99
-1.52
-43.22%
TIRX
Tian Ruixiang Holdings
0.06
-7.69
-99.26%
GOCO
GoHealth
1.35
-13.06
-90.63%

SelectQuote Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
SelectQuote secures new $415 million credit facility
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

On January 8, 2026, SelectQuote entered into a new $415 million senior secured credit facility consisting of a $325 million term loan led by Pathlight Capital and a $90 million revolving credit facility with UMB Bank, using roughly $313.8 million of the term loan proceeds to fully repay its prior debt and cover transaction costs. Announced publicly on January 12, 2026, the financing significantly extends the company’s debt maturity to January 2031, modestly lowers its cost of capital, increases peak-season revolver capacity from $72 million to $90 million, and reduces principal amortization requirements, collectively strengthening liquidity and operational flexibility as the company looks to leverage its roughly $1 billion in commissions receivable and the growing cash generation of its SelectRx and healthcare services operations, while its obligations remain secured by substantially all company and guarantor subsidiary assets and subject to customary covenants, coverage ratios, and borrowing-base tests tied to receivables.

The most recent analyst rating on (SLQT) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SelectQuote stock, see the SLQT Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
SelectQuote Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Nov 14, 2025

On November 11, 2025, SelectQuote, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where 114,443,928 shares were represented. During the meeting, two Class III directors were elected, Deloitte & Touche LLP was ratified as the independent accounting firm for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2026, and the compensation for the company’s named executive officers was approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (SLQT) stock is a Buy with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SelectQuote stock, see the SLQT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 10, 2026