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GoHealth (GOCO)
NASDAQ:GOCO
US Market

GoHealth (GOCO) AI Stock Analysis

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GoHealth

(NASDAQ:GOCO)

Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$6.00
▲(2.56%Upside)
GoHealth's stock is primarily impacted by weak financial performance and technical analysis, reflecting ongoing profitability and cash flow issues with bearish market momentum. Despite positive developments from the earnings call and corporate leadership stability, the significant financial and market challenges result in a low overall score.
Positive Factors
Platform Potential
GoHealth's position as one of the largest Medicare distribution platforms offers good potential.
Product Diversification
Diversifying product mix should improve cash flow.
Revenue Growth
First-quarter revenue grew 19%, driven by submission growth.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Concerns
First-quarter operating cash flow was weaker than expected.
Cost Management
Medicare unit profitability improved 13% year-over-year, driven by a better-than-expected 27% decline in costs per submission.
Operating Cash Flow
Full year 2024 operating cash flow was -$22 million, reflecting mix shift toward GoHealth’s independent agency model.

GoHealth (GOCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

GoHealth Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGoHealth, Inc. (GOCO) is a leading health insurance marketplace and Medicare-focused digital health company. It specializes in connecting consumers with health insurance providers, offering a platform that simplifies the process of comparing and purchasing insurance plans. GoHealth's core services include providing consumers with access to Medicare Advantage, Medicare Supplement, and Prescription Drug Plans, as well as individual and family health insurance options.
How the Company Makes MoneyGoHealth makes money primarily through commissions earned on the sale of health insurance policies. The company partners with a network of insurance carriers and receives a commission for each policy sold through its platform. Revenue is generated when consumers purchase insurance plans after being connected through GoHealth's marketplace. Additionally, GoHealth may earn recurring commissions for policies that are renewed. Key revenue streams include direct sales through its licensed agents and online sales via its digital platform. Significant partnerships with major insurance providers play a crucial role in expanding its product offerings and customer reach, thereby contributing to its revenue.

GoHealth Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -28.04%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a strong growth trajectory with significant improvements in revenue, EBITDA, and agent productivity. However, challenges such as decreased cash flow, lower sales per submission, and ongoing legal issues were noted. The launch of GoHealth Protect and technological advancements indicate strategic growth initiatives.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Q1 2025 revenue increased to $221 million, a 19% increase compared to Q1 2024. Adjusted EBITDA grew to $42 million, a 56% year-over-year improvement.
Agent Productivity Improvement
Submission volume increased with a 64% year-over-year growth in the captive Medicare team, despite only a 24% increase in agent headcount.
Launch of GoHealth Protect
Introduced a new suite of products, including guaranteed acceptance life insurance, aimed at reducing revenue seasonality and leveraging existing consumer relationships.
Technological Advancements
Launch of MyGoHealth platform and other AI-driven tools like PlanGPT and PlanFit, improving consumer engagement and agent efficiency.
Regulatory Tailwinds
CMS announced a 5.06% average increase in Medicare Advantage revenue and a 10.72% increase in the Broker Commission Schedule.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Cash Flow from Operations
Reported negative cash flow from operations of $12.4 million compared to a positive $12.5 million in the prior year period.
Sales Per Submission Decline
A 15% year-over-year decrease in sales per submission due to a higher mix of agency versus non-agency submissions.
Legal Challenges
The United States Attorney's Office decided to intervene in a qui tam lawsuit against GoHealth, alleging violations of the False Claims Act and the Anti-Kickback Statute.
Company Guidance
During the Q1 2025 earnings call, GoHealth provided several key financial metrics and strategic updates. The company reported a 19% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $221 million, and a significant 56% rise in adjusted EBITDA to $42 million. Submission volume grew, driven by a 64% year-over-year increase from the captive Medicare team, although agent headcount only increased by 24%. The company also launched GoHealth Protect, a suite of life insurance products aimed at diversifying their offerings and reducing revenue seasonality. Despite a 15% decrease in sales per submission due to a higher mix of agency versus non-agency submissions, GoHealth's operating model showed strong adaptability with a reduction in customer acquisition costs by 18%. The company highlighted the importance of its AI-driven tools in enhancing agent productivity and consumer engagement, which contributed to the improved financial performance. Additionally, GoHealth remains focused on maintaining capital discipline and is actively exploring opportunities to optimize its capital structure amidst evolving market dynamics.

GoHealth Financial Statement Overview

Summary
GoHealth shows modest revenue growth of 4.43%, but struggles with profitability as indicated by negative net and EBIT margins. Despite a stable balance sheet with low leverage, the negative return on equity and cash flow inefficiencies pose significant challenges. Overall, financial performance requires improvement in profitability and cash management.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
GoHealth has shown volatility in its income statement. The TTM data indicates slight revenue growth of 4.43% compared to the previous year. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by negative net and EBIT margins. The net profit margin improved slightly but remains negative, while the EBIT margin turned positive, indicating some operational improvements. Despite these efforts, the company needs stronger revenue growth and profitability to significantly improve its financial health.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate level of financial stability with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.32, which is relatively low and indicates manageable leverage. The equity ratio stands at 17.48%, suggesting a reasonable level of equity financing. However, the company's return on equity is negative due to ongoing net losses, pointing to challenges in generating returns for investors. The reduced total assets over time also indicate potential risks in asset management.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow statement reveals challenges in cash management, with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, which have worsened in the TTM. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, and cash flow ratios indicate inefficiencies in converting income to cash. The company's ability to generate cash from operations is crucial for its financial sustainability and requires improvement to support long-term viability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue834.27M798.89M734.67M631.67M1.06B877.35M
Gross Profit711.49M668.28M575.71M444.00M823.08M678.15M
EBITDA160.41M101.32M24.10M-211.55M4.61M34.36M
Net Income-3.50M-2.93M-63.26M-148.71M-189.36M-44.27M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.38B1.49B1.50B1.66B2.07B2.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.15M40.92M90.81M16.46M84.36M144.23M
Total Debt77.20M527.97M543.05M557.42M696.29M400.57M
Total Liabilities1.14B1.03B1.04B1.07B1.18B709.64M
Stockholders Equity241.63M294.80M231.01M318.06M353.10M380.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-67.80M-35.34M95.41M47.39M-318.81M-128.74M
Operating Cash Flow-55.58M-21.61M109.14M60.90M-299.01M-114.22M
Investing Cash Flow5.32M3.81M-13.73M-13.51M-19.80M-14.52M
Financing Cash Flow-25.23M-32.03M-21.11M-115.05M259.09M260.66M

GoHealth Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price5.85
Price Trends
50DMA
7.33
Negative
100DMA
10.81
Negative
200DMA
11.33
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Negative
RSI
43.90
Neutral
STOCH
36.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GOCO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 5.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.76, below the 50-day MA of 7.33, and below the 200-day MA of 11.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GOCO.

GoHealth Risk Analysis

GoHealth disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. GoHealth reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

GoHealth Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$16.66B11.449.71%3.91%11.61%-10.70%
65
Neutral
$6.63M-238.61%2.40%94.65%
59
Neutral
$126.77M3.19%17.04%74.07%
58
Neutral
$397.26M0.82%20.41%93.09%
48
Neutral
$65.02M0.80%13.18%97.01%
47
Neutral
$20.79M11.44-3.92%0.48%-127.19%
42
Neutral
$12.51M-12.03%158.74%14.86%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GOCO
GoHealth
5.85
-4.59
-43.97%
EHTH
Ehealth
4.18
-0.42
-9.13%
RELI
Reliance Global Group
2.14
-2.52
-54.08%
HUIZ
Huize Holding
2.09
-2.91
-58.20%
TIRX
Tian Ruixiang Holdings
1.23
-0.96
-43.84%
SLQT
SelectQuote
2.30
-0.76
-24.84%

GoHealth Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
GoHealth Elects Directors and Approves Key Proposals
Neutral
Jun 20, 2025

On June 18, 2025, GoHealth, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where key proposals were voted upon. Brandon M. Cruz, Alan Wheatley, and Abhiraj R. Modi were elected as Class II directors, and proposals including the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent auditor, executive compensation, and an amendment to the 2020 Incentive Award Plan were approved. These decisions are expected to influence the company’s strategic direction and governance structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (GOCO) stock is a Hold with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GoHealth stock, see the GOCO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
GoHealth Extends CEO Vijay Kotte’s Contract and Compensation
Positive
Apr 7, 2025

On April 1, 2025, GoHealth, Inc. announced an amendment to the employment agreement with CEO Vijay Kotte, extending his contract for three years and adjusting his compensation package. The amendment includes a $1,000,000 annual salary and eligibility for significant equity grants, with a 2025 grant valued at $5,000,000. Additionally, a Letter Agreement was established, granting Mr. Kotte 500,000 restricted stock units and a $3,000,000 cash payment, contingent on continued employment and company performance goals. These changes aim to secure leadership stability and align executive incentives with company performance, potentially impacting GoHealth’s market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 22, 2025