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Simulations Plus (SLP)
:SLP
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Simulations Plus (SLP) AI Stock Analysis

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SLP

Simulations Plus

(NASDAQ:SLP)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$13.50
▲(3.93% Upside)
Simulations Plus has shown strong financial stability and revenue growth, but recent profitability issues and technical indicators suggest caution. The valuation is concerning due to a negative P/E ratio. Mixed results from the earnings call highlight both potential and challenges, with strategic adjustments needed for future growth.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Simulations Plus reported revenue of $20.4 million, which surpassed both the analyst's estimate and the company's preliminary guidance.
Financial Performance
Adjusted EBITDA of $7.4 million exceeded both the analyst's and street estimates.
Long-term Growth
The transition from traditional animal testing to biosimulation and modeling positions SLP well for long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Client Budgets
Biopharma clients are reducing budgets, canceling work, and delaying projects due to market uncertainty over future funding, drug pricing, and potential tariffs.
Guidance Cut
Simulations Plus announced preliminary third quarter fiscal 2025 revenue and updated its fiscal 2025 revenue guidance range, which is well below expectations.
Restructuring Concerns
The announcement of restructuring has led to investor concerns about the timing of the cuts and the potential implications for the company’s demand outlook.

Simulations Plus (SLP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Simulations Plus Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSimulations Plus (SLP) is a leading provider of modeling and simulation software for the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and chemical industries. The company specializes in developing advanced software solutions that facilitate drug discovery, development, and regulatory submissions. Its core products include GastroPlus, DDDPlus, MembranePlus, and ADMET Predictor, which are used by researchers and scientists to model and predict the absorption, distribution, metabolism, excretion, and toxicity (ADMET) of drugs and other compounds.
How the Company Makes MoneySimulations Plus generates revenue primarily through the sale of its software licenses and the provision of consulting services. The company offers various licensing models, including perpetual licenses, annual licenses, and subscriptions, allowing clients to choose the model that best fits their needs. In addition to software sales, Simulations Plus provides customized consulting services to support clients in addressing specific scientific challenges, which forms a significant part of its revenue. Partnerships with pharmaceutical companies, research institutions, and regulatory agencies enhance its market reach and contribute to its earnings. The company also benefits from recurring revenue streams through software maintenance and support contracts, providing ongoing customer support and software updates.

Simulations Plus Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 14, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -25.64%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call presented a mix of positive and negative aspects. While there was some revenue growth aided by acquisitions and improvements in adjusted EBITDA, organic revenue declined, and the company faced significant challenges in its services segment. Additionally, there were large noncash impairment expenses and a notable client cancellation impacting revenue. Despite the introduction of AI and cloud initiatives, the overall sentiment was affected by these negative factors.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth Including Acquisition
Third quarter revenue grew 10% to $20.4 million, including a $2.4 million contribution from the Pro-ficiency acquisition.
Adjusted EBITDA Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA was $7.4 million or 37% of revenue, compared to $5.6 million or 30% of revenue last year.
Software Customer Renewal Rate
On a trailing 12-month basis, Software customer renewal rate was 89% based on fees and 78% based on accounts.
AI and Cloud Initiatives
Simulations Plus is focusing on rolling out cloud platform development and AI-enhanced features in its products like GastroPlus.
Negative Updates
Organic Revenue Decline
On an organic basis, revenue declined 4%, primarily due to lower QSP/QST software revenue and a decrease in biosimulation services revenue.
Significant EPS Loss
Diluted EPS loss was $3.35, which included a $77.2 million noncash impairment expense related to prior acquisitions.
Services Revenue Challenges
Services revenue was significantly impacted by cost constraints from clients, with a slowdown in bookings and delays in contracted projects.
Software Renewal Rate Drop
Software customer renewal rate dropped to 84% based on fees and 71% based on accounts for the quarter.
Client Cancellation Impact
A significant client cancellation during the quarter due to unfavorable outcomes in drug programs impacted near-term revenues by approximately $2 million.
Company Guidance
During the Simulations Plus Third Quarter Fiscal 2025 Conference Call, the company reported a 10% increase in revenue to $20.4 million, with a $2.4 million contribution from the Pro-ficiency acquisition. However, organic revenue experienced a 4% decline due to lower QSP/QST software revenue and decreased biosimulation services revenue. The company's diluted EPS loss was $3.35, heavily impacted by a $77.2 million noncash impairment charge, while adjusted diluted EPS improved to $0.45 from $0.27 the previous year. Adjusted EBITDA rose to $7.4 million, representing 37% of revenue, up from $5.6 million or 30% of revenue in the prior year. Simulations Plus also adjusted its full-year 2025 guidance, now anticipating total revenue between $76 million to $80 million, with adjusted EBITDA margins expected to range from 23% to 27% and adjusted diluted earnings per share estimated between $0.93 and $1.06. The company remains committed to its long-term growth strategy, especially in the clinical operations space, leveraging AI technologies, despite market headwinds that have affected client spending.

Simulations Plus Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Simulations Plus shows strong revenue growth and financial stability, with a low debt profile and robust cash flow generation. However, recent profitability challenges, as seen in the TTM period, indicate areas that might require strategic adjustments to maintain long-term growth and profitability.
Income Statement
61
Positive
Simulations Plus has shown a steady revenue growth trajectory, with a significant increase in revenue over the years. The gross profit margin remains strong, indicating efficient production and service delivery. However, the recent TTM period indicates a concern, as the net profit margin has turned negative due to a substantial net loss, impacting overall profitability. This suggests potential challenges in cost management or one-time expenses affecting earnings.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is robust, with a high equity ratio indicating financial stability. Simulations Plus maintains a very low debt-to-equity ratio, showcasing prudent financial management and low leverage risk. The company has consistently maintained a strong return on equity, although there was a decline in the most recent TTM period due to net losses.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The company has demonstrated strong cash flow management, with positive operating and free cash flows over the years. The free cash flow growth rate is positive, reflecting effective capital expenditure and cash management strategies. However, the recent TTM period shows a decrease in free cash flow growth, signaling potential cash flow pressures.
BreakdownSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue70.01M59.58M53.91M46.47M41.59M
Gross Profit43.15M47.95M43.08M35.87M30.94M
EBITDA11.80M12.56M18.48M14.70M11.85M
Net Income9.95M9.96M12.48M9.78M9.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets196.64M186.10M188.38M179.98M168.42M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.25M115.46M128.24M123.60M116.01M
Total Debt1.01M1.20M1.40M1.28M926.78K
Total Liabilities14.21M16.07M10.13M14.20M12.39M
Stockholders Equity182.43M170.03M178.25M165.78M156.04M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow12.75M17.58M13.93M14.63M8.33M
Operating Cash Flow13.32M21.86M17.90M19.20M10.91M
Investing Cash Flow-53.97M7.37M4.30M-26.74M-75.51M
Financing Cash Flow-6.57M-23.27M-7.62M-4.68M102.37M

Simulations Plus Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.99
Price Trends
50DMA
18.46
Negative
100DMA
24.08
Negative
200DMA
27.48
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.42
Negative
RSI
42.08
Neutral
STOCH
55.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SLP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.99 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.52, below the 50-day MA of 18.46, and below the 200-day MA of 27.48, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SLP.

Simulations Plus Risk Analysis

Simulations Plus disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Simulations Plus reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Simulations Plus Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$1.55B227.940.76%9.37%95.72%
66
Neutral
$1.43B63.021.87%6.39%
56
Neutral
$259.84M47.47-41.49%1.84%20.01%-750.59%
51
Neutral
$7.39B0.36-62.86%2.37%15.48%-2.68%
51
Neutral
$1.44B-44.40%22.29%-32.89%
50
Neutral
$228.56M-74.09%7.31%-7.49%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SLP
Simulations Plus
14.06
-22.79
-61.85%
OMCL
Omnicell
31.03
-9.17
-22.81%
SDGR
Schrodinger
19.36
0.07
0.36%
CERT
Certara
11.26
-1.81
-13.85%
SOPH
SOPHiA GENETICS
3.20
-0.16
-4.76%

Simulations Plus Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Simulations Plus Reports Q3 Revenue Growth Amidst Loss
Neutral
Jul 14, 2025

On July 14, 2025, Simulations Plus reported its third quarter fiscal 2025 financial results, showing a 10% increase in total revenue to $20.4 million compared to the previous year. Despite a net loss of $67.3 million due to a non-cash impairment charge, the company saw growth in both software and services revenue. The company also implemented a strategic reorganization to streamline operations and focus on AI-driven initiatives to maintain its competitive edge in the biosimulation market.

The most recent analyst rating on (SLP) stock is a Buy with a $56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Simulations Plus stock, see the SLP Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Simulations Plus Reschedules Q3 2025 Earnings Release
Neutral
Jun 18, 2025

Simulations Plus, Inc. announced the rescheduling of its third quarter fiscal 2025 earnings release and conference call, initially set for July 2, 2025, now moved to July 14, 2025. This adjustment follows the company’s transition from a large accelerated filer to a non-accelerated filer, allowing it to use the full regulatory time for releasing financial results. The company reaffirmed its preliminary third quarter revenue estimates of $19 to $20 million and full-year 2025 revenue guidance of $76 to $80 million. These figures are preliminary and subject to adjustments in the final financial statements.

The most recent analyst rating on (SLP) stock is a Buy with a $56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Simulations Plus stock, see the SLP Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Simulations Plus Announces Q3 Revenue and Strategic Changes
Neutral
Jun 11, 2025

On June 11, 2025, Simulations Plus announced preliminary revenue figures for its third fiscal quarter, expecting between $19 million and $20 million, and updated its full-year revenue guidance to range between $76 million and $80 million. The company is facing market uncertainties impacting its pharmaceutical and biotech clients, leading to budget cuts and project delays. In response, Simulations Plus has reorganized its operations to a functionally driven model and made key leadership appointments to enhance client engagement and sales capabilities, aiming for long-term growth and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (SLP) stock is a Buy with a $56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Simulations Plus stock, see the SLP Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Simulations Plus Restructures Operations and Leadership
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

On May 30, 2025, Simulations Plus, Inc. announced a restructuring of its operations, which included reducing its workforce by approximately 10%, or 23 employees, to enhance operational efficiency and reduce expenses. This restructuring is expected to incur charges of about $0.7 million but aims to save approximately $4.3 million annually. Additionally, the company made significant leadership changes, including appointing John DiBella as Chief Revenue Officer, while other executives assumed new roles to support the company’s strategic goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (SLP) stock is a Buy with a $56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Simulations Plus stock, see the SLP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 17, 2025