tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Skillz Inc. (SKLZ)
NYSE:SKLZ
US Market

Skillz (SKLZ) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
4,217 Followers

Top Page

SKLZ

Skillz

(NYSE:SKLZ)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▼(-36.48% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/31/25
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing losses and negative cash flows) and a bearish technical backdrop (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Earnings-call improvements in revenue and paying MAUs provide some support, but are tempered by continued losses plus reporting/compliance and litigation risks; valuation is also limited by lack of profitability.
Positive Factors
Revenue and Paying MAU Growth
Sustained quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year revenue and paying MAU growth indicate improving product-market fit and monetization. Higher payor conversion and deeper monetization tend to produce durable top-line expansion and recurring revenue streams if retention and engagement persist.
High Gross Margins and Manageable Leverage
High gross margins provide structural profitability potential as revenue scales, while modest leverage limits financing strain. Together these fundamentals give the company room to invest in growth and pursue profitability without immediate balance-sheet distress.
Aarki Ad Business Momentum and Product Innovation
Rapid, AI-driven ad business growth diversifies revenue away from entry-fee commissions and leverages programmatic advertising strength. Innovation in ad products can create a durable high-margin revenue stream and cross-subsidize platform development and user acquisition.
Negative Factors
Persistent Net Losses and Negative Cash Flow
Ongoing GAAP losses and negative operating cash flow reduce financial flexibility and lengthen the path to sustainable profitability. Continued cash burn forces reliance on existing cash or external funding, which can constrain strategic investments and increase execution risk over months.
Delayed Financial Reporting and NYSE Non-compliance
Regulatory non-compliance and delayed filings signal governance and control weaknesses that can undermine investor confidence and invite regulatory scrutiny. Persistence of these issues raises delisting risk and can materially impede access to public capital when needed.
Ongoing Litigation and Fair-Play Disputes
Active legal disputes over bots and fair play threaten platform trust, developer relationships, and may lead to costly settlements or operational restrictions. Protracted litigation can divert management, create financial liabilities, and weaken the platform's long-term network effects.

Skillz (SKLZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Skillz Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSkillz Inc. operates a mobile games platform that connects players in fair, fun, and meaningful competition. The company primarily develops and supports a proprietary online-hosted technology platform that enables independent game developers to host tournaments and provide competitive gaming activity to end-users worldwide. It also hosts casual esports tournaments to a range of mobile players. The company distributes games through direct app download from its website, as well as through third-party platforms. Skillz Inc. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneySkillz generates revenue primarily through a commission-based model, where it takes a percentage of the entry fees paid by players to participate in cash competitions. Additionally, the company earns money through advertising and sponsorships within its platform. Skillz's revenue is bolstered by partnerships with game developers, who utilize the Skillz platform to reach a broader audience and monetize their games through various competition formats. The company's unique position in the esports and skill-based gaming market allows it to capitalize on the increasing demand for competitive gaming experiences.

Skillz Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Monthly Active Users
Monthly Active Users
Measures the number of unique users engaging with Skillz's platform each month, indicating the platform's popularity and user retention capabilities.
Chart InsightsSkillz's Monthly Active Users have been declining since 2022, reflecting challenges in user retention. However, the latest earnings call reveals a strategic shift with a focus on increasing paying users, which grew by 18% sequentially. This indicates a pivot towards monetization over sheer user volume. Despite the drop in overall MAUs, the company is enhancing platform features and improving financial metrics, suggesting a potential turnaround in profitability. Investors should watch for continued growth in paying users as a sign of sustainable revenue improvement.
Data provided by:The Fly

Skillz Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with notable progress in revenue growth, paying MAU increase, and Aarki's performance. However, challenges such as delayed financial reporting, ongoing litigation, and net losses persist, indicating a need for improved financial stability and resolution of legal issues.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Q3 GAAP revenue of $27 million grew 9% quarter-over-quarter and 11% year-over-year, supported by Aarki momentum and competition platform stability.
Increase in Paying MAU
Paying MAU of 155,000 grew 6% quarter-over-quarter and 28% year-over-year, driven by higher payor conversion rates and deeper monetization.
Aarki's Performance
Aarki business saw accelerating revenue growth with new AI-driven product launches. Net revenue for Aarki was up more than 100% year-over-year.
Progress in Fair Play Initiative
Court denied Papaya's motion for summary judgment against Skillz, allowing Skillz claims to proceed to trial, marking a major step forward in their fair play initiative.
Cash Position
Ended Q3 with $213 million in cash, maintaining a healthy balance sheet while continuing to manage capital prudently.
Negative Updates
Delayed Financial Reporting
Company is delayed in filing financial statements for multiple periods, receiving a notice from NYSE for non-compliance with listing standards.
Ongoing Litigation
Continued litigation with Papaya and Voodoo over the alleged use of bots, which affects player trust and developer revenue.
Adjusted EBITDA Loss
Q3 adjusted EBITDA loss was $12 million, representing a 3% decrease quarter-over-quarter but a 15% increase year-over-year.
Decline in Total MAU
Total MAU declined modestly, reflecting a focus on engagement quality over volume.
Net Loss
Q3 net loss of $17 million, although improved 17% year-over-year, still represents a significant loss.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2025 earnings call, Skillz reported a GAAP revenue of $27 million, reflecting a 9% increase quarter-over-quarter and an 11% rise year-over-year. The company also noted a 6% quarter-over-quarter and 28% year-over-year growth in paying Monthly Active Users (MAU), totaling 155,000. While the adjusted EBITDA loss was $12 million, showing a 3% decrease quarter-over-quarter and a 15% increase year-over-year, net loss improved by 17% year-over-year to $17 million. Research and Development (R&D) expenses rose 15% year-over-year to $5 million, whereas Sales and Marketing expenses decreased by 10% to $17 million, and General and Administrative (G&A) expenses fell by 4% to $17 million. Skillz ended the quarter with $213 million in cash and $129.7 million in total debt principal outstanding. The company is focused on enhancing platform engagement, optimizing monetization, and progressing towards profitability while addressing compliance issues with the NYSE.

Skillz Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial statements point to ongoing stress: persistent net losses and negative operating/free cash flow. Positives include high gross margins and manageable leverage, but profitability and cash generation remain unresolved.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Skillz's income statement reveals a challenging financial position. The company has experienced declining revenues over the past few years, with a slight recovery in the TTM period. Gross profit margins remain high, indicating effective cost management, but net profit margins are deeply negative, reflecting significant losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, highlighting ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio in the TTM period, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, but the overall financial health is impacted by consistent losses.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Skillz's cash flow statement indicates negative operating and free cash flows, although there is a positive growth trend in free cash flow in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, suggesting some alignment between cash flow and accounting profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue97.53M95.47M152.08M269.71M380.15M229.05M
Gross Profit84.76M82.06M136.70M238.99M354.91M216.77M
EBITDA-66.08M-92.78M-96.31M-394.80M-194.18M-146.03M
Net Income-67.73M-48.23M-101.36M-438.88M-187.93M-149.08M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets308.23M364.17M395.83M621.29M1.02B282.42M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments211.80M281.92M302.03M489.78M560.39M262.73M
Total Debt128.30M136.54M136.70M288.38M297.01M0.00
Total Liabilities181.05M192.58M185.34M342.89M411.96M225.63M
Stockholders Equity127.18M171.59M210.49M278.40M609.16M56.79M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-80.28M-9.95M-84.99M-181.49M-183.39M-59.48M
Operating Cash Flow-74.41M-7.19M-71.76M-179.60M-180.15M-56.23M
Investing Cash Flow-5.87M-1.63M168.30M311.39M-643.92M-3.25M
Financing Cash Flow-18.36M-21.29M-149.95M-10.61M802.68M296.58M

Skillz Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.51
Price Trends
50DMA
3.78
Negative
100DMA
4.81
Negative
200DMA
6.09
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Negative
RSI
41.27
Neutral
STOCH
55.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SKLZ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.43, above the 50-day MA of 3.78, and below the 200-day MA of 6.09, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SKLZ.

Skillz Risk Analysis

Skillz disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Skillz reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Skillz Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
59
Neutral
$266.51M3.9418.48%
52
Neutral
$1.08B-7.20119.44%9.98%7.49%-60.32%
46
Neutral
$64.31M-3.32-15.36%-17.17%-51.88%
45
Neutral
$49.10M-1.76-45.42%-8.99%-117.83%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SKLZ
Skillz
3.25
-1.40
-30.11%
NCTY
The9
5.85
-5.94
-50.38%
GDEV
Nexters
14.70
-0.23
-1.54%
MYPS
PLAYSTUDIOS
0.51
-0.69
-57.50%
PLTK
Playtika Holding
2.85
-1.44
-33.61%

Skillz Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Skillz Shareholders Endorse Board, Auditor and Compensation
Positive
Dec 30, 2025

At its annual meeting of stockholders held on December 29, 2025, Skillz Inc. reported that shareholders elected all nominated directors, including CEO Andrew Paradise and other board members, with strong majorities of votes cast in favor. Stockholders also approved the retention of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the company’s independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, and gave advisory support to the company’s executive compensation program, signaling continued shareholder confidence in Skillz’s leadership, governance, and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (SKLZ) stock is a Hold with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Skillz stock, see the SKLZ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 31, 2025