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Golden Matrix Group (GMGI)
NASDAQ:GMGI

Golden Matrix Group (GMGI) AI Stock Analysis

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Golden Matrix Group

(NASDAQ:GMGI)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
The overall score reflects Golden Matrix Group's strong revenue growth and stable financial base, countered by profitability issues and weak technical indicators. The negative earnings and lack of dividend yield further impact the valuation score. Recent stock price declines post-earnings call suggest a cautious outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
The company has strengthened its balance sheet by significantly reducing debt and converting some payables into equity, which is expected to sustain current operations without needing additional capital.
Market Expansion
Golden Matrix Group is strategically expanding into new markets, such as Brazil, and making strategic acquisitions that enhance growth and provide synergies.
Revenue Growth
Golden Matrix Group reported strong 4Q24 results with revenue significantly increasing by 81% year over year, showcasing strong demand and successful integration efforts.
Negative Factors
Capital Market Activity
GMGI is expected to remain active in the capital markets to maintain financial flexibility and capitalize on potential M&A opportunities, which may impact the stock price if not managed effectively.
Regulatory Approvals
The company is pending licensing in Ontario and NJ, which could delay its expansion plans into these key markets.

Golden Matrix Group (GMGI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Golden Matrix Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGolden Matrix Group (GMGI) is a technology-driven company that specializes in developing and licensing online gaming platforms, systems, and gaming content. The company primarily operates within the digital gaming and entertainment industry, offering a wide range of products and services that include social gaming platforms, casino games, and marketing solutions for gaming operators. GMGI aims to enhance user engagement and drive revenue growth for its clients through innovative and state-of-the-art gaming technology solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyGolden Matrix Group makes money primarily through licensing its gaming platforms and content to online gaming operators. The company generates revenue by providing subscription-based services and charging fees for the use of its robust gaming systems, which include features such as user management, gaming content integration, and marketing tools. GMGI also earns from the distribution of its proprietary and third-party gaming content, which includes a variety of casino games, to its clients. Additionally, strategic partnerships with other gaming and technology companies enhance its revenue streams by expanding its reach and offering a more diverse range of products and services to its customers.

Golden Matrix Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 3.78%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights significant revenue growth, successful acquisition integrations, and strong performance in key segments like GMAG and Merdianbet, despite facing some one-off costs and minor challenges in the RKings division. The outlook remains very positive with continued growth expected.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Consolidated revenues grew 85% to $41 million in Q3. Year-to-date revenue increased by 55% to $105 million.
Significant Increase in Gross Profit
Third quarter gross profit increased by 39% to $22.4 million, and year-to-date gross profit increased by 24% to $61.8 million.
Successful Acquisition Integration
Finalized the acquisition of Classics for a Cause, contributing $2.1 million in revenues and $503,000 in EBITDA for two months.
Cash and Balance Sheet Strength
Over $38.4 million in cash and equivalents with short-term debt of only $17.5 million. Shareholder equity grew 60% to $94 million.
GMAG Platform Growth
Wagering grew by 84% to $1.4 billion in Q3, with gross profit margin increasing to 26.2% from 24.7% in Q2.
RKings Recovery
Overcame customer acquisition channel challenges, with a subsequent 11.1% increase in October revenues over September.
Merdianbet Revenue Growth
Total revenue increased by 16% year-over-year, driven by a 19% increase in the online segment.
Expanse Studios Expansion
Revenue increased by 167% compared to Q3 2023, with player activity surging and 100 new partners added.
Negative Updates
One-Off Costs from Acquisitions
Residual one-off costs due to the completion and implementation of the Merdianbet and Classics for a Cause acquisitions.
RKings Customer Acquisition Challenge
Experienced a brief performance impact due to challenges with a customer acquisition channel.
Company Guidance
During the Golden Matrix Group's Third Quarter 2024 earnings call, significant guidance was provided, highlighting robust financial metrics and operational achievements. The company reported an impressive 85% year-over-year increase in third-quarter consolidated revenues, reaching $41 million, and a year-to-date revenue surge of 55% to $105 million. Gross profit for Q3 grew by 39% to $22.4 million, with a year-to-date increase of 24% to $61.8 million. The adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $4.3 million. The company's balance sheet remained strong, with cash and equivalents of over $38.4 million against a short-term debt of $17.5 million, while shareholder equity rose by 60% to $94 million. Divisional performance also showcased growth, with the RKings competitions' revenue rising by 11.1% in October and the GMAG platform achieving an 84% increase in wagering to $1.4 billion. Newly acquired Classics for a Cause contributed $2.1 million in revenues and $253,000 in profit for the two months it was operational. The Mexican online casino, Mixed Play, reported a 56% increase in active players and a 67% increase in gross gaming wagering. Meanwhile, Merdianbet's revenue grew by 16% year-over-year, driven by a 19% increase in the online segment. Looking ahead, Golden Matrix emphasized cost efficiencies and synergies to improve profitability and maintain their expansive growth strategy, with a strong start to the fourth quarter and a promising outlook for future performance.

Golden Matrix Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Golden Matrix Group demonstrates strong revenue growth and a stable balance sheet with low leverage, which is promising for long-term sustainability. However, the negative net income and challenges in profitability are significant concerns.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Golden Matrix Group has shown significant revenue growth over the years, with a substantial increase from 2019 to 2023. However, the net profit margin is negative for the recent period, indicating profitability challenges. The gross profit margin remains positive, suggesting efficient production but issues in managing other expenses.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company maintains a strong equity base with a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating financial stability and lower leverage risk. The equity ratio is high, showcasing a solid proportion of equity financing relative to total assets. However, the small amount of debt could limit financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow remains positive, and the free cash flow is consistently growing, indicating good cash generation capability. However, the free cash flow growth rate has slowed recently, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests challenges in converting revenue into cash.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Mar 2021Dec 2019Sep 2018
Income StatementTotal Revenue
104.03M44.17M36.03M5.22M2.88M915.80K
Gross Profit
50.69M9.87M9.16M3.22M2.86M843.80K
EBIT
613.47K-526.25K192.49K399.32K1.81M-990.95K
EBITDA
4.44M609.12K400.94K2.20M-883.65K
Net Income Common Stockholders
-2.50M-1.17M44.03K398.08K1.77M-1.32M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
17.96K17.10M14.95M11.71M1.73M446.58K
Total Assets
17.96K35.58M32.57M13.81M3.01M819.87K
Total Debt
0.0059.09K154.86K99.001.36M546.94K
Net Debt
-17.96K-17.04M-14.79M-11.71M-367.53K100.36K
Total Liabilities
13.39K4.48M2.77M552.61K1.97M2.16M
Stockholders Equity
4.57K31.10M26.80M13.26M1.03M-1.34M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-1.60M2.14M2.61M1.88M1.45M302.72K
Operating Cash Flow
7.20M2.21M2.77M1.88M1.45M302.72K
Investing Cash Flow
-16.11M-95.96K-4.41M192.000.000.00
Financing Cash Flow
21.13M-32.32K32.00K7.97M-167.42K118.70K

Golden Matrix Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.92
Price Trends
50DMA
1.86
Positive
100DMA
1.94
Negative
200DMA
2.13
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Negative
RSI
59.77
Neutral
STOCH
90.34
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GMGI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.92 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.68, above the 50-day MA of 1.86, and below the 200-day MA of 2.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.34 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GMGI.

Golden Matrix Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$14.60B5.95-4.32%3.69%2.76%-30.49%
56
Neutral
$266.10M494.74-2.17%147.89%96.56%
55
Neutral
$16.12M507.27-31.58%-9.65%
49
Neutral
$57.70M-34.39%18.20%50.14%
34
Underperform
$24.50M-530.92%65.93%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GMGI
Golden Matrix Group
1.89
-1.37
-42.02%
INUV
Inuvo
0.40
0.15
60.00%
VPLM
Voip-Palcom
0.01
-0.01
-50.00%
MSGM
Motorsport Games
2.84
0.25
9.65%

Golden Matrix Group Corporate Events

Golden Matrix Group Announces CFO Transition and Severance Deal
Sep 11, 2024

Golden Matrix Group, Inc. and Omar Jimenez have mutually agreed to part ways, with Jimenez stepping down as Chief Financial and Compliance Officer. He will receive a severance package of $50,000 plus expense reimbursements. Following his departure, Weiting ‘Cathy’ Feng, the company’s COO and director, will take over the CFO role. Feng’s appointment comes with no undisclosed arrangements beyond her existing employment agreement with the company.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.