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Golden Matrix Group, Inc. (GMGI)
NASDAQ:GMGI

Golden Matrix Group (GMGI) AI Stock Analysis

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GMGI

Golden Matrix Group

(NASDAQ:GMGI)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$0.65
▼(-32.68% Downside)
The score is held up by solid financial fundamentals (notably strong recent cash flow, improving leverage, and scaling revenue), but is pulled down by weak technicals (price below all key moving averages with bearish momentum) and elevated corporate-event risk from the Nasdaq minimum bid price notice. Valuation is also constrained by ongoing losses (negative P/E) and no provided dividend support.
Positive Factors
Strong operating and free cash flow
Sustained strong operating cash flow and a sharp TTM free cash flow improvement provide durable financial resilience. This cash generation supports investment in content, absorbes losses while scaling, and reduces reliance on external financing, improving the company's capacity to execute strategy over months.
Material revenue scaling with healthy gross margins
Robust revenue growth combined with mid-to-high 50% gross margins indicates a scalable, high-margin product mix. This structural dynamic supports operating leverage potential as distribution expands across regulated markets, underpinning long-term margin sustainability if operating expenses are managed.
Improving leverage and balance sheet flexibility
Meaningful reduction in leverage increases financial flexibility to fund operations, M&A, or absorb volatility. A stronger balance sheet helps sustain investments in content and geographic expansion while lowering refinancing risk, supporting the company's ability to navigate the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent net losses and volatile profitability
Despite top-line growth, repeated net losses and swings in operating profit indicate fragile earnings quality. Structural profitability risk may require continued cash burn or dilutive financing to reach sustainable margins, constraining reinvestment and long-term return generation for shareholders.
Entrenched majority stockholder governance actions
Unilateral bylaw changes by the majority holder create structural governance and minority shareholder risk. Entrenchment can impair independent oversight, influence strategic decisions, and deter institutional investors, affecting capital-raising options and long-term corporate governance quality.
Executive turnover and interim leadership
A CEO departure and interim leadership introduce execution and succession risk that can delay strategic initiatives. High severance highlights governance tradeoffs and may strain near-term cash allocation; leadership instability can impede consistent operational execution and long-term strategic momentum.

Golden Matrix Group (GMGI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Golden Matrix Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGolden Matrix Group (GMGI) is a technology-driven company that specializes in developing and licensing online gaming platforms, systems, and gaming content. The company primarily operates within the digital gaming and entertainment industry, offering a wide range of products and services that include social gaming platforms, casino games, and marketing solutions for gaming operators. GMGI aims to enhance user engagement and drive revenue growth for its clients through innovative and state-of-the-art gaming technology solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyGolden Matrix Group makes money primarily through licensing its gaming platforms and content to online gaming operators. The company generates revenue by providing subscription-based services and charging fees for the use of its robust gaming systems, which include features such as user management, gaming content integration, and marketing tools. GMGI also earns from the distribution of its proprietary and third-party gaming content, which includes a variety of casino games, to its clients. Additionally, strategic partnerships with other gaming and technology companies enhance its revenue streams by expanding its reach and offering a more diverse range of products and services to its customers.

Golden Matrix Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2024
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights significant revenue growth, successful acquisition integrations, and strong performance in key segments like GMAG and Merdianbet, despite facing some one-off costs and minor challenges in the RKings division. The outlook remains very positive with continued growth expected.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Consolidated revenues grew 85% to $41 million in Q3. Year-to-date revenue increased by 55% to $105 million.
Significant Increase in Gross Profit
Third quarter gross profit increased by 39% to $22.4 million, and year-to-date gross profit increased by 24% to $61.8 million.
Successful Acquisition Integration
Finalized the acquisition of Classics for a Cause, contributing $2.1 million in revenues and $503,000 in EBITDA for two months.
Cash and Balance Sheet Strength
Over $38.4 million in cash and equivalents with short-term debt of only $17.5 million. Shareholder equity grew 60% to $94 million.
GMAG Platform Growth
Wagering grew by 84% to $1.4 billion in Q3, with gross profit margin increasing to 26.2% from 24.7% in Q2.
RKings Recovery
Overcame customer acquisition channel challenges, with a subsequent 11.1% increase in October revenues over September.
Merdianbet Revenue Growth
Total revenue increased by 16% year-over-year, driven by a 19% increase in the online segment.
Expanse Studios Expansion
Revenue increased by 167% compared to Q3 2023, with player activity surging and 100 new partners added.
Negative Updates
One-Off Costs from Acquisitions
Residual one-off costs due to the completion and implementation of the Merdianbet and Classics for a Cause acquisitions.
RKings Customer Acquisition Challenge
Experienced a brief performance impact due to challenges with a customer acquisition channel.
Company Guidance
During the Golden Matrix Group's Third Quarter 2024 earnings call, significant guidance was provided, highlighting robust financial metrics and operational achievements. The company reported an impressive 85% year-over-year increase in third-quarter consolidated revenues, reaching $41 million, and a year-to-date revenue surge of 55% to $105 million. Gross profit for Q3 grew by 39% to $22.4 million, with a year-to-date increase of 24% to $61.8 million. The adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $4.3 million. The company's balance sheet remained strong, with cash and equivalents of over $38.4 million against a short-term debt of $17.5 million, while shareholder equity rose by 60% to $94 million. Divisional performance also showcased growth, with the RKings competitions' revenue rising by 11.1% in October and the GMAG platform achieving an 84% increase in wagering to $1.4 billion. Newly acquired Classics for a Cause contributed $2.1 million in revenues and $253,000 in profit for the two months it was operational. The Mexican online casino, Mixed Play, reported a 56% increase in active players and a 67% increase in gross gaming wagering. Meanwhile, Merdianbet's revenue grew by 16% year-over-year, driven by a 19% increase in the online segment. Looking ahead, Golden Matrix emphasized cost efficiencies and synergies to improve profitability and maintain their expansive growth strategy, with a strong start to the fourth quarter and a promising outlook for future performance.

Golden Matrix Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Golden Matrix Group demonstrates strong revenue growth and a stable balance sheet with low leverage, which is promising for long-term sustainability. However, the negative net income and challenges in profitability are significant concerns.
Income Statement
Golden Matrix Group has shown significant revenue growth over the years, with a substantial increase from 2019 to 2023. However, the net profit margin is negative for the recent period, indicating profitability challenges. The gross profit margin remains positive, suggesting efficient production but issues in managing other expenses.
Balance Sheet
The company maintains a strong equity base with a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating financial stability and lower leverage risk. The equity ratio is high, showcasing a solid proportion of equity financing relative to total assets. However, the small amount of debt could limit financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow remains positive, and the free cash flow is consistently growing, indicating good cash generation capability. However, the free cash flow growth rate has slowed recently, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests challenges in converting revenue into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue179.14M151.12M44.17M36.03M60.37M5.22M
Gross Profit101.75M88.57M9.87M9.16M45.75M3.22M
EBITDA15.49M15.52M609.12K18.16M400.94K
Net Income-5.38M-1.48M-1.17M44.03K12.87M398.08K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets209.78M213.72M35.58M32.57M20.46M13.81M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.40M30.46M17.10M14.95M16.80M11.71M
Total Debt25.97M39.35M59.09K154.86K282.23K99.00
Total Liabilities82.68M104.77M4.48M2.77M1.53M552.61K
Stockholders Equity123.54M105.07M31.10M26.80M18.93M13.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.01M1.92M2.14M2.61M13.28M1.88M
Operating Cash Flow33.83M23.92M2.21M2.77M21.16M1.88M
Investing Cash Flow-30.83M-37.43M-95.96K-4.41M-8.55M192.00
Financing Cash Flow-22.13M27.71M-32.32K32.00K4.05M7.97M

Golden Matrix Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.97
Price Trends
50DMA
0.85
Negative
100DMA
0.97
Negative
200DMA
1.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
27.70
Positive
STOCH
9.96
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GMGI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.97 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.78, above the 50-day MA of 0.85, and below the 200-day MA of 1.36, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.70 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.96 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GMGI.

Golden Matrix Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
57
Neutral
$89.21M-15.66-4.94%53.06%-196.63%
49
Neutral
$55.18M
46
Neutral
$78.47M-2.08-14.82%-17.17%-51.88%
45
Neutral
$66.78M-0.91-48.34%-8.99%-117.83%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GMGI
Golden Matrix Group
0.63
-1.57
-71.32%
NCTY
The9
6.46
-7.64
-54.18%
GDC
GD Culture Group
4.38
2.52
135.48%
SKLZ
Skillz
4.42
-1.03
-18.90%
MYPS
PLAYSTUDIOS
0.62
-1.10
-63.84%
GMHS
Gamehaus Holdings
1.03
-10.25
-90.87%

Golden Matrix Group Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and ComplianceStock Split
Golden Matrix Group Receives Nasdaq Minimum Bid Price Notice
Negative
Jan 2, 2026

On December 31, 2025, Golden Matrix Group, Inc. disclosed that it had received a notice from Nasdaq stating the company was no longer in compliance with the exchange’s minimum $1.00 per share bid price requirement, after its stock traded below that threshold for 34 consecutive business days from November 11 to December 30, 2025. While the notice does not immediately affect the company’s Nasdaq Capital Market listing, Golden Matrix now has until June 30, 2026, to restore compliance by maintaining a closing bid price of at least $1.00 for 10 consecutive business days, with the possibility of an additional 180-day extension if certain conditions are met, failing which its shares could ultimately face delisting; the company said it will monitor its share price and may consider options such as a reverse stock split to preserve its listing.

The most recent analyst rating on (GMGI) stock is a Hold with a $0.85 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Golden Matrix Group stock, see the GMGI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Golden Matrix Group realigns board with new independent director
Positive
Dec 19, 2025

On December 12, 2025, Golden Matrix Group director Thomas E. McChesney resigned from the company’s Board of Directors and its Audit, Nominating and Corporate Governance, and Compensation committees, prompting a broader realignment of the board and its committees completed on December 18, 2025. Effective that date, the board appointed experienced gaming executive Atul Bali as a director, member of the Audit and Nominating and Corporate Governance committees, and chairman of the Compensation Committee, and named Murray G. Smith as a member and chairman of the Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee, while removing interim CEO William Scott from the Audit and Nominating committees after his loss of independent status; these changes bolster the company’s independent governance and bring substantial sector expertise to the board as it continues to seek an additional independent director.

The most recent analyst rating on (GMGI) stock is a Buy with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Golden Matrix Group stock, see the GMGI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Golden Matrix Board Reshapes After Director McChesney Resigns
Neutral
Dec 18, 2025

On December 12, 2025, Golden Matrix Group, Inc. announced that director Thomas E. McChesney resigned from the company’s Board of Directors and all board committee roles, including his position as chairman of the Compensation Committee, under a Director Separation Agreement effective the same day. Under the agreement, the company paid McChesney $60,000 in cash for past board services and in lieu of 2025 board incentive compensation he could have earned, while all of his unvested restricted stock units were forfeited; the agreement also contains customary mutual release, confidentiality and non-disparagement provisions, and the company stated his departure did not stem from any disagreement over operations, policies or governance. The board has begun searching for candidates to fill the vacancy created by McChesney’s departure and to replace the independent directorship vacated when William Scott became interim CEO, signaling a near-term reshaping of the company’s board composition and governance structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (GMGI) stock is a Buy with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Golden Matrix Group stock, see the GMGI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Golden Matrix Group CEO Resigns, Interim CEO Appointed
Neutral
Dec 15, 2025

Golden Matrix Group, Inc. announced that its Chief Executive Officer, Anthony Brian Goodman, resigned effective December 12, 2025, following a mutual agreement with the company. As part of the severance agreement, Mr. Goodman received a payment of $951,750, with a portion held in escrow. William Scott, the Executive Chairman of the Board, has been appointed as the Interim Chief Executive Officer and Principal Executive Officer. The company is actively seeking a successor independent director to fill the vacancy on the Board.

The most recent analyst rating on (GMGI) stock is a Buy with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Golden Matrix Group stock, see the GMGI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Golden Matrix Group Bylaws Amended by Stockholder
Neutral
Dec 8, 2025

On December 2, 2025, Aleksandar Milovanović, the majority stockholder of Golden Matrix Group, unilaterally amended the company’s bylaws without a meeting or solicitation. The amendments allow only stockholders to amend Section 45 of the bylaws and grant the Chairperson the power to postpone meetings or agenda items for up to 30 days. The company does not plan to file a Schedule 14C information statement as the action was not a corporate action.

The most recent analyst rating on (GMGI) stock is a Buy with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Golden Matrix Group stock, see the GMGI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Golden Matrix Group CEO Transition Announced
Neutral
Dec 2, 2025

Golden Matrix Group, Inc. announced a Severance and Release Agreement with its CEO, Anthony Brian Goodman, effective December 12, 2025. The agreement includes a severance payment of $951,750 and additional benefits, with Goodman transitioning out of his role and William Scott appointed as Interim CEO.

The most recent analyst rating on (GMGI) stock is a Buy with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Golden Matrix Group stock, see the GMGI Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings
Golden Matrix Converts Subsidiary Debts into Stock
Neutral
Nov 12, 2025

Golden Matrix Group finalized the acquisition of MeridianBet Group, a collection of gaming companies, on April 1, 2024. The acquisition involved a significant conversion of cash consideration into common stock for one of the sellers, Milovanović, who received 8,000,000 shares. Additionally, the company extended the due date for remaining cash considerations owed to the sellers. In a related corporate governance update, the company held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on November 6, 2025, where several proposals, including the election of directors and approval of executive compensation, were voted upon and approved. Furthermore, on November 10, 2025, Golden Matrix entered into agreements to convert debts owed to minority interest holders of its subsidiary, Meridian Gaming Ltd., into common stock.

The most recent analyst rating on (GMGI) stock is a Buy with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Golden Matrix Group stock, see the GMGI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026