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Star Gas Partners (SGU)
:SGU
US Market

Star Gas Partners (SGU) AI Stock Analysis

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SGU

Star Gas Partners

(NYSE:SGU)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$12.50
▲(3.73% Upside)
Star Gas Partners' overall score reflects a balanced view of its financial stability, technical indicators, and valuation. The company's strong gross profit margins and attractive valuation are significant positives. However, challenges in revenue growth, cash flow, and recent earnings performance weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Successful Acquisitions
Successful acquisitions have bolstered Star Gas Partners' market position, contributing positively to adjusted EBITDA and supporting long-term growth.
Improved Service and Installation Business
Enhancements in service and installation have increased gross profit, indicating effective operational improvements and potential for sustained profitability.
Increased Adjusted EBITDA
The rise in adjusted EBITDA reflects improved operational efficiency and successful integration of acquisitions, supporting financial stability.
Negative Factors
Negative Revenue Growth
Negative revenue growth highlights challenges in expanding sales, which could impact long-term financial performance if not addressed.
Increased Net Loss in Q3
The increased net loss in Q3 indicates financial strain, potentially affecting future profitability and necessitating cost management improvements.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flow growth suggests difficulties in generating cash, which could limit investment capacity and operational flexibility over time.

Star Gas Partners (SGU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Star Gas Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStar Gas Partners, L.P. (SGU) is a publicly traded company that operates in the liquid propane distribution sector. The company primarily serves residential, commercial, and industrial customers across the United States, offering a wide range of products and services related to propane and fuel distribution. SGU is involved in the distribution of propane, heating oil, and other fuels, as well as providing related services such as equipment installation and maintenance, making it a key player in the energy sector.
How the Company Makes MoneyStar Gas Partners generates revenue primarily through the sale of propane and heating oil to its customers. The company employs a revenue model that includes both retail and wholesale distribution, allowing it to cater to a diverse customer base. Key revenue streams include the sale of propane for residential heating, commercial applications, and industrial uses. Additionally, SGU earns income from service-related activities, such as the installation and maintenance of propane tanks and heating systems. The company may also benefit from strategic partnerships with suppliers and distributors, enhancing its supply chain and allowing for competitive pricing. Seasonal demand fluctuations, especially during winter months, significantly impact the company’s earnings, as propane is a critical heating source in many regions.

Star Gas Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 08, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive growth trajectory for Star Group, driven by increased heating oil and propane volumes, successful acquisitions, and improved service revenue. However, challenges such as increased customer attrition and higher operating costs present areas of concern.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Heating Oil and Propane Volume
The company reported a 12% year-over-year increase in heating oil and propane volume, totaling a 29 million gallon increase, driven by cooler temperatures and recent acquisitions.
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA increased by $24.8 million or 22.2% year-over-year, reaching $136.4 million, with contributions from both the base business and recent acquisitions.
Successful Acquisition Strategy
Completed 4 transactions during fiscal 2025, adding just under 12 million gallons of heating oil and propane volume annually, with many additional opportunities under review.
Service and Installation Revenue Growth
Service and installation posted nearly 10% revenue growth over fiscal 2024, contributing to increased gross profit.
Negative Updates
Increased Net Customer Attrition
Net customer attrition rose modestly, influenced by a lower level of real estate activity and fewer new customer additions.
Higher Operating and Financing Costs
Increased operating expenses by $5 million in the fourth quarter and higher acquisition-related financing costs impacted profitability.
Lower Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow was lower than expected in the fourth quarter due to working capital tied up in receivables and inventory.
Company Guidance
During the Star Group Fiscal 2025 Fourth Quarter Results Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics reflecting their performance and strategic initiatives. Notably, the company achieved a 12% year-over-year increase in heating oil and propane volume, totaling 29 million gallons, attributed to colder temperatures and recent acquisitions. This growth contributed to a 22.2% rise in adjusted EBITDA, amounting to an increase of $24.8 million. Additionally, Star Group completed four acquisitions in fiscal 2025, adding nearly 12 million gallons of annual heating oil and propane volume. Capital allocation for the year included $81 million in acquisitions, $16 million in unit repurchases, and $26 million in distributions. Despite a slight increase in net customer attrition, the company noted improvements in customer satisfaction metrics. Overall, Star Group emphasized its commitment to enhancing shareholder value through strategic acquisitions, disciplined margin management, and investment in complementary service offerings, which saw nearly a 10% revenue increase compared to fiscal 2024.

Star Gas Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Star Gas Partners demonstrates a stable but challenged financial performance. Strong gross profit margins and improved operational efficiency are offset by negative revenue growth and cash flow challenges. The balance sheet shows reduced leverage but potential for stronger equity financing.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Star Gas Partners shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM gross profit margin of 29.80% is strong, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 3.04%, suggesting limited profitability. Revenue growth has been negative, with a decline of 1.44% in the TTM period, reflecting challenges in increasing sales. Despite these challenges, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved over the years, indicating better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.84 in the TTM period, showing a reduction in leverage compared to previous years. However, the return on equity of 16.79% is decent, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 35.64%, suggesting a balanced capital structure but with room for improvement in equity financing.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis indicates some concerns. The free cash flow growth rate is negative at -8.18% in the TTM period, reflecting challenges in generating cash. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.29 and the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.86 suggest that the company is generating sufficient cash relative to its net income, although there is room for improvement in cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.78B1.78B1.77B1.95B2.01B1.50B
Gross Profit479.72M0.00470.33M438.40M451.63M444.17M
EBITDA146.96M123.93M92.60M94.89M93.05M163.69M
Net Income52.80M73.50M32.10M29.34M35.29M87.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets937.33M937.33M939.61M875.48M912.48M853.86M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments24.68M24.68M117.33M45.19M14.62M4.77M
Total Debt285.26M285.26M283.56M243.75M351.97M285.49M
Total Liabilities624.38M624.38M675.72M611.75M654.56M575.66M
Stockholders Equity312.95M312.95M269.61M268.34M-15.61M-14.04M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow60.60M56.03M100.33M114.65M15.21M53.79M
Operating Cash Flow70.95M70.95M110.98M123.66M33.91M68.88M
Investing Cash Flow-99.85M-99.85M-61.19M-28.20M-32.63M-50.33M
Financing Cash Flow-63.75M-63.75M22.35M-64.89M8.57M-70.69M

Star Gas Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.05
Price Trends
50DMA
11.80
Negative
100DMA
11.64
Positive
200DMA
11.77
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
45.78
Neutral
STOCH
25.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SGU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.91, above the 50-day MA of 11.80, and above the 200-day MA of 11.77, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SGU.

Star Gas Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$7.98B17.778.27%6.93%-5.18%-33.14%
66
Neutral
$385.83M6.4220.37%6.22%1.04%111.69%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
54
Neutral
$781.47M17.4310.24%-10.27%131.17%
51
Neutral
$1.31B-3.05-23.84%3.27%-15.32%-442.37%
43
Neutral
$489.04M-2.38-31.94%2.59%-192.73%
42
Neutral
$97.04M-0.93-30.91%29.09%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SGU
Star Gas Partners
11.70
1.12
10.59%
CLNE
Clean Energy Fuels
2.23
-0.33
-12.89%
WKC
World Kinect
23.58
-2.36
-9.10%
SUN
Sunoco
52.13
4.33
9.06%
CAPL
Crossamerica Partners
20.50
0.77
3.90%
AMTX
Aemetis
1.48
-1.14
-43.51%

Star Gas Partners Corporate Events

Dividends
Star Gas Partners Announces Quarterly Distribution
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

On October 16, 2025, Star Group, L.P. announced a quarterly distribution of $0.1850 per common unit for the fiscal fourth quarter ending September 30, 2025. The record date is set for October 27, 2025, with payment scheduled for November 5, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing value to its stakeholders and maintaining its position as a leading energy distributor in the U.S.

The most recent analyst rating on (SGU) stock is a Hold with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Star Gas Partners stock, see the SGU Stock Forecast page.

Star Gas Partners’ Earnings Call: Mixed Results Amid Growth and Challenges
Aug 12, 2025

The recent earnings call for Star Gas Partners presented a mixed sentiment, highlighting both commendable achievements and notable challenges. The company successfully integrated acquisitions, leading to growth in volume and net income year-to-date. However, the third quarter was marked by decreased volumes, increased expenses, and a net loss, primarily attributed to unfavorable weather conditions and acquisition-related costs.

Star Group Reports Mixed Fiscal 2025 Q3 Results
Aug 8, 2025

Star Group, L.P. is a leading home energy distributor and services provider, specializing in the sale of home heating products and services across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic U.S. regions. The company is recognized as the largest retail distributor of home heating oil in the nation based on sales volume.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025