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Star Gas Partners LP (SGU)
NYSE:SGU
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Star Gas Partners (SGU) AI Stock Analysis

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SGU

Star Gas Partners

(NYSE:SGU)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$12.50
▲(3.73% Upside)
Star Gas Partners' overall score reflects a balanced view of its financial stability, technical indicators, and valuation. The company's strong gross profit margins and attractive valuation are significant positives. However, challenges in revenue growth, cash flow, and recent earnings performance weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Successful Acquisitions
Successful acquisitions have bolstered Star Gas Partners' market position, contributing positively to adjusted EBITDA and supporting long-term growth.
Improved Service and Installation Business
Enhancements in service and installation have increased gross profit, indicating effective operational improvements and potential for sustained profitability.
Increased Adjusted EBITDA
The rise in adjusted EBITDA reflects improved operational efficiency and successful integration of acquisitions, supporting financial stability.
Negative Factors
Negative Revenue Growth
Negative revenue growth highlights challenges in expanding sales, which could impact long-term financial performance if not addressed.
Increased Net Loss in Q3
The increased net loss in Q3 indicates financial strain, potentially affecting future profitability and necessitating cost management improvements.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flow growth suggests difficulties in generating cash, which could limit investment capacity and operational flexibility over time.

Star Gas Partners (SGU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Star Gas Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStar Group, L.P. sells home heating and air conditioning products and services to residential and commercial home heating oil and propane customers in the United States. It also sells diesel fuel, gasoline, and home heating oil on a delivery only basis, as well as provide plumbing services; and installs maintains, and repairs heating and air conditioning equipment. As of September 30, 2021, the company served approximately 422,200 full service residential and commercial home heating oil and propane customers and 71,100 customers on a delivery only basis. It also sells gasoline and diesel fuel to approximately 26,700 customers. Kestrel Heat, LLC operates as the general partner of the company. The company was formerly known as Star Gas Partners, L.P. and changed its name to Star Group, L.P. in October 2017. Star Group, L.P. was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Stamford, Connecticut.
How the Company Makes MoneyStar Gas Partners generates revenue primarily through the sale of propane and heating oil to its customers. The company employs a revenue model that includes both retail and wholesale distribution, allowing it to cater to a diverse customer base. Key revenue streams include the sale of propane for residential heating, commercial applications, and industrial uses. Additionally, SGU earns income from service-related activities, such as the installation and maintenance of propane tanks and heating systems. The company may also benefit from strategic partnerships with suppliers and distributors, enhancing its supply chain and allowing for competitive pricing. Seasonal demand fluctuations, especially during winter months, significantly impact the company’s earnings, as propane is a critical heating source in many regions.

Star Gas Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with significant volume growth and increased adjusted EBITDA attributed to successful acquisitions and improvements in service and installation. However, there are notable challenges, including a decrease in Q3 volume, increased net loss, and higher operating expenses. The positive aspects from acquisitions and service improvements are counterbalanced by these challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Growth in Home Heating Oil and Propane Volume
For the first 9 months of fiscal 2025, home heating oil and propane volume increased by 28 million gallons or 12% to 263 million gallons, reflecting colder temperatures and additional volume from acquisitions.
Increased Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA rose by $28 million to $170 million, primarily due to a $21 million increase in the base business and a $17 million increase from acquisitions.
Successful Acquisitions
The company closed on 4 transactions so far this fiscal year, with positive contributions from recent propane acquisitions.
Improved Service and Installation Business
The service and installation business contributed an increase in gross profit of $4.8 million year-to-date, with $2.7 million from acquisitions and $2.1 million from initiatives in the base business.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Home Heating Oil and Propane Volume in Q3
For the third quarter, home heating oil and propane volume decreased by 1.5 million gallons or 3.8% to 36 million gallons due to warmer weather, net customer attrition, and other factors.
Increased Net Loss in Q3
The company posted a net loss of $16.6 million in Q3 fiscal 2025, which is $5.6 million more than the prior year period, due to increased adjusted EBITDA loss, higher depreciation and amortization, and acquisition-related financing costs.
Increase in Operating Expenses
Delivery, branch, and G&A expenses increased by $4.3 million year-over-year in Q3, primarily due to additional operating costs from acquisitions.
Company Guidance
During the Star Group's fiscal 2025 third quarter conference call, management provided guidance on various financial metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported a 3.8% decline in home heating oil and propane volumes to 36 million gallons, affected by warmer weather and net customer attrition. Despite this, adjusted EBITDA from recent acquisitions contributed positively, though the company posted a net loss of $16.6 million for the quarter, $5.6 million more than the prior year. The adjusted EBITDA loss increased by $6.5 million, largely due to lower volumes and slightly lower per-gallon margins, even with the positive contributions from acquisitions. For the fiscal year-to-date period, volumes increased by 12% to 263 million gallons, driven by colder temperatures and acquisitions. Adjusted EBITDA rose by $28 million to $170 million, with significant contributions from both base and acquisition businesses. The company continues to focus on expanding its HVAC offerings and enhancing customer service, investing in training to support these goals.

Star Gas Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Star Gas Partners demonstrates a stable but challenged financial performance. Strong gross profit margins and improved operational efficiency are offset by negative revenue growth and cash flow challenges. The balance sheet shows reduced leverage but potential for stronger equity financing.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Star Gas Partners shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM gross profit margin of 29.80% is strong, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 3.04%, suggesting limited profitability. Revenue growth has been negative, with a decline of 1.44% in the TTM period, reflecting challenges in increasing sales. Despite these challenges, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved over the years, indicating better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.84 in the TTM period, showing a reduction in leverage compared to previous years. However, the return on equity of 16.79% is decent, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 35.64%, suggesting a balanced capital structure but with room for improvement in equity financing.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis indicates some concerns. The free cash flow growth rate is negative at -8.18% in the TTM period, reflecting challenges in generating cash. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.29 and the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.86 suggest that the company is generating sufficient cash relative to its net income, although there is room for improvement in cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.78B1.77B1.95B2.01B1.50B1.47B
Gross Profit529.48M470.33M438.40M451.63M444.17M440.40M
EBITDA140.98M92.60M94.89M93.05M163.69M120.87M
Net Income53.98M32.10M29.34M35.29M87.74M55.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets963.80M939.61M875.48M912.48M853.86M838.62M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments28.08M117.33M45.19M14.62M4.77M56.91M
Total Debt287.97M283.56M243.75M351.97M285.49M227.85M
Total Liabilities626.23M675.72M611.75M654.56M575.66M582.80M
Stockholders Equity343.49M269.61M268.34M-15.61M-14.04M-14.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow81.76M100.33M114.65M15.21M53.79M161.54M
Operating Cash Flow95.15M110.98M123.66M33.91M68.88M175.67M
Investing Cash Flow-129.49M-61.19M-28.20M-32.63M-50.33M-28.14M
Financing Cash Flow16.72M22.35M-64.89M8.57M-70.69M-95.52M

Star Gas Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.05
Price Trends
50DMA
11.68
Positive
100DMA
11.57
Positive
200DMA
11.81
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Negative
RSI
58.96
Neutral
STOCH
86.46
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SGU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.82, above the 50-day MA of 11.68, and above the 200-day MA of 11.81, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.46 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SGU.

Star Gas Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$8.56B19.078.27%6.46%-5.18%-33.14%
66
Neutral
$404.96M7.8316.22%6.04%-0.87%33.52%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
54
Neutral
$777.28M17.3410.30%-10.27%131.17%
49
Neutral
$1.32B-23.84%3.12%-15.32%-442.37%
43
Neutral
$609.62M-3.05-31.94%2.59%-192.73%
42
Neutral
$110.81M-30.91%29.09%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SGU
Star Gas Partners
12.05
0.13
1.09%
CLNE
Clean Energy Fuels
2.15
-0.93
-30.19%
WKC
World Kinect
23.69
-4.49
-15.93%
SUN
Sunoco
55.95
3.12
5.91%
CAPL
Crossamerica Partners
20.39
1.60
8.52%
AMTX
Aemetis
1.69
-2.40
-58.68%

Star Gas Partners Corporate Events

Dividends
Star Gas Partners Announces Quarterly Distribution
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

On October 16, 2025, Star Group, L.P. announced a quarterly distribution of $0.1850 per common unit for the fiscal fourth quarter ending September 30, 2025. The record date is set for October 27, 2025, with payment scheduled for November 5, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing value to its stakeholders and maintaining its position as a leading energy distributor in the U.S.

The most recent analyst rating on (SGU) stock is a Hold with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Star Gas Partners stock, see the SGU Stock Forecast page.

Star Gas Partners’ Earnings Call: Mixed Results Amid Growth and Challenges
Aug 12, 2025

The recent earnings call for Star Gas Partners presented a mixed sentiment, highlighting both commendable achievements and notable challenges. The company successfully integrated acquisitions, leading to growth in volume and net income year-to-date. However, the third quarter was marked by decreased volumes, increased expenses, and a net loss, primarily attributed to unfavorable weather conditions and acquisition-related costs.

Star Group Reports Mixed Fiscal 2025 Q3 Results
Aug 8, 2025

Star Group, L.P. is a leading home energy distributor and services provider, specializing in the sale of home heating products and services across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic U.S. regions. The company is recognized as the largest retail distributor of home heating oil in the nation based on sales volume.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025