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Star Gas Partners (SGU)
:SGU
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Star Gas Partners (SGU) AI Stock Analysis

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SGU

Star Gas Partners

(NYSE:SGU)

Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$12.50
▲(7.67% Upside)
Star Gas Partners' overall stock score is driven by its attractive valuation and commitment to shareholder returns through dividends. However, financial performance challenges, neutral technical indicators, and mixed earnings call results temper the overall outlook.

Star Gas Partners (SGU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Star Gas Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStar Group, L.P. sells home heating and air conditioning products and services to residential and commercial home heating oil and propane customers in the United States. It also sells diesel fuel, gasoline, and home heating oil on a delivery only basis, as well as provide plumbing services; and installs maintains, and repairs heating and air conditioning equipment. As of September 30, 2021, the company served approximately 422,200 full service residential and commercial home heating oil and propane customers and 71,100 customers on a delivery only basis. It also sells gasoline and diesel fuel to approximately 26,700 customers. Kestrel Heat, LLC operates as the general partner of the company. The company was formerly known as Star Gas Partners, L.P. and changed its name to Star Group, L.P. in October 2017. Star Group, L.P. was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Stamford, Connecticut.
How the Company Makes MoneyStar Gas Partners generates revenue primarily through the sale of propane and heating oil to its customers. The company employs a revenue model that includes both retail and wholesale distribution, allowing it to cater to a diverse customer base. Key revenue streams include the sale of propane for residential heating, commercial applications, and industrial uses. Additionally, SGU earns income from service-related activities, such as the installation and maintenance of propane tanks and heating systems. The company may also benefit from strategic partnerships with suppliers and distributors, enhancing its supply chain and allowing for competitive pricing. Seasonal demand fluctuations, especially during winter months, significantly impact the company’s earnings, as propane is a critical heating source in many regions.

Star Gas Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with significant volume growth and increased adjusted EBITDA attributed to successful acquisitions and improvements in service and installation. However, there are notable challenges, including a decrease in Q3 volume, increased net loss, and higher operating expenses. The positive aspects from acquisitions and service improvements are counterbalanced by these challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Growth in Home Heating Oil and Propane Volume
For the first 9 months of fiscal 2025, home heating oil and propane volume increased by 28 million gallons or 12% to 263 million gallons, reflecting colder temperatures and additional volume from acquisitions.
Increased Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA rose by $28 million to $170 million, primarily due to a $21 million increase in the base business and a $17 million increase from acquisitions.
Successful Acquisitions
The company closed on 4 transactions so far this fiscal year, with positive contributions from recent propane acquisitions.
Improved Service and Installation Business
The service and installation business contributed an increase in gross profit of $4.8 million year-to-date, with $2.7 million from acquisitions and $2.1 million from initiatives in the base business.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Home Heating Oil and Propane Volume in Q3
For the third quarter, home heating oil and propane volume decreased by 1.5 million gallons or 3.8% to 36 million gallons due to warmer weather, net customer attrition, and other factors.
Increased Net Loss in Q3
The company posted a net loss of $16.6 million in Q3 fiscal 2025, which is $5.6 million more than the prior year period, due to increased adjusted EBITDA loss, higher depreciation and amortization, and acquisition-related financing costs.
Increase in Operating Expenses
Delivery, branch, and G&A expenses increased by $4.3 million year-over-year in Q3, primarily due to additional operating costs from acquisitions.
Company Guidance
During the Star Group's fiscal 2025 third quarter conference call, management provided guidance on various financial metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported a 3.8% decline in home heating oil and propane volumes to 36 million gallons, affected by warmer weather and net customer attrition. Despite this, adjusted EBITDA from recent acquisitions contributed positively, though the company posted a net loss of $16.6 million for the quarter, $5.6 million more than the prior year. The adjusted EBITDA loss increased by $6.5 million, largely due to lower volumes and slightly lower per-gallon margins, even with the positive contributions from acquisitions. For the fiscal year-to-date period, volumes increased by 12% to 263 million gallons, driven by colder temperatures and acquisitions. Adjusted EBITDA rose by $28 million to $170 million, with significant contributions from both base and acquisition businesses. The company continues to focus on expanding its HVAC offerings and enhancing customer service, investing in training to support these goals.

Star Gas Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Star Gas Partners demonstrates a solid financial position with improved profitability and operational efficiency. While revenue growth remains modest, the company has strengthened its balance sheet and cash flow generation capabilities. Historical challenges with negative equity have been addressed, and the company is now on a stable financial trajectory.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Star Gas Partners shows a stable gross profit margin of 29.5% TTM, improving from previous margins due to better cost management. The net profit margin increased to 3.3% TTM, up from 1.8% last year, indicating enhanced profitability. Revenue growth was modest at 2.1% TTM compared to the previous period, showing slow but steady expansion. EBIT and EBITDA margins of 6.3% and 8.1% respectively suggest operational efficiency gains. Overall, the income statement reflects improving profitability but moderate revenue growth.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
Star Gas Partners maintains a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.85, indicating moderate leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) improved significantly to 15.8% TTM, reflecting better utilization of equity. The equity ratio is at 35.5%, showing a strong equity position relative to assets. Despite improvements, the company had negative equity in past years, indicating historical financial struggles. The current balance sheet reflects improved stability and financial health.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
The company achieved a free cash flow growth rate of -11.2% TTM, reflecting a decline from previous levels. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 1.69, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.50, demonstrating effective conversion of profits into cash. While cash generation remains strong, the decline in free cash flow growth warrants attention.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.78B1.77B1.95B2.01B1.50B1.47B
Gross Profit529.48M470.33M438.40M451.63M444.17M440.40M
EBITDA140.98M92.60M94.89M93.05M163.69M120.87M
Net Income53.98M32.10M29.34M35.29M87.74M55.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets963.80M939.61M875.48M912.48M853.86M838.62M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments28.08M117.33M45.19M14.62M4.77M56.91M
Total Debt287.97M304.56M243.75M282.96M219.09M227.85M
Total Liabilities626.23M675.72M611.75M654.56M575.66M582.80M
Stockholders Equity343.49M269.61M268.34M-15.61M-14.04M-14.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow81.76M100.33M114.65M15.21M53.79M161.54M
Operating Cash Flow95.15M110.98M123.66M33.91M68.88M175.67M
Investing Cash Flow-129.49M-61.19M-28.20M-32.63M-50.33M-28.14M
Financing Cash Flow16.72M22.35M-64.89M8.57M-70.69M-95.52M

Star Gas Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.61
Price Trends
50DMA
11.62
Positive
100DMA
11.84
Negative
200DMA
11.86
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
50.95
Neutral
STOCH
59.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SGU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.61 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.63, below the 50-day MA of 11.62, and below the 200-day MA of 11.86, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SGU.

Star Gas Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.54B7.272.96%5.23%4.26%-62.58%
65
Neutral
$7.93B25.456.62%6.82%-8.65%-73.25%
62
Neutral
$390.17M7.6116.22%6.14%-0.87%33.52%
60
Neutral
$578.92M-30.98%4.92%-156.72%
55
Neutral
$2.84B268.82-50.65%9.31%-15.98%-160.88%
54
Neutral
$800.86M19.02666.62%10.02%-10.51%101.44%
52
Neutral
$1.64B3.02-1.59%-13.09%-103.24%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SGU
Star Gas Partners
11.65
0.79
7.27%
CLNE
Clean Energy Fuels
2.63
-0.46
-14.89%
CVI
CVR Energy
29.66
4.24
16.68%
SUN
Sunoco
52.30
1.57
3.09%
CAPL
Crossamerica Partners
20.96
3.07
17.16%
PARR
Par Pacific Holdings
34.64
12.20
54.37%

Star Gas Partners Corporate Events

Dividends
Star Gas Partners Announces Quarterly Distribution
Positive
Jul 17, 2025

On July 17, 2025, Star Group, L.P. announced a quarterly distribution of $0.1850 per common unit for the fiscal third quarter ended June 30, 2025. The record date for this distribution is July 28, 2025, with a payment date set for August 6, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing value to its stakeholders through consistent distributions, reinforcing its strong market position in the home energy sector.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Star Gas Partners Finalizes Unit Purchase Agreement
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

On May 30, 2025, Star Group, L.P. entered into a Unit Purchase Agreement with Bandera Master Fund, L.P. to acquire 0.7 million common units for approximately $8.4 million in a private transaction, which was finalized on June 2, 2025. This acquisition was conducted outside of Star Group’s unit repurchase plan, indicating a strategic move to consolidate ownership, potentially impacting its market position and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2025