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Softbank Corp. (SFTBY)
:SFTBY

Softbank (SFTBY) AI Stock Analysis

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Softbank

(OTC:SFTBY)

58Neutral
Softbank's stock score reflects significant financial challenges, particularly in profitability and cash flow, which weigh heavily on its performance. The technical analysis suggests ongoing positive momentum, but with a cautionary note on short-term overbought conditions. Valuation metrics hint at potential undervaluation, adding some support to the stock's outlook. However, without recent earnings call insights or notable corporate events, these factors form the primary basis for the current assessment.

Softbank (SFTBY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Softbank Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSoftBank Group Corp. provides telecommunication services in Japan and internationally. It operates through five segments: Investment Business of Holding Companies, SoftBank Vision Funds, SoftBank, Arm, and Latin America Funds. The company offers mobile communications, broadband, and fixed-line communications services; and sells mobile devices. It is also involved in the internet advertising marketing, online advertising distribution, and e-book distribution services; planning and operation of fashion e-commerce website; mail-order sale of stationery and services; and design and development of mobile robots. In addition, the company designs microprocessor intellectual property and related technology; sells software tools; and generates, supplies, and sells electricity from renewable energy sources, as well as offers related services. Further, it provides alternative investment management, smartphone payment, PC software downloads, and banking services, as well as solutions and services for online businesses; distributes video, voice, and data content; manufactures, distributes, and sells IT-related products, as well as IT-related services; and manages funds. Additionally, the company operates a professional baseball team; and ITmedia, an IT information site, as well as manages and maintains baseball stadium and other sports facilities. It also plans and operates ZOZOTOWN, ZOZO, and ZOZOBASE websites. The company was formerly known as SoftBank Corp. and changed its name to SoftBank Group Corp. in July 2015. SoftBank Group Corp. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneySoftBank makes money through a diverse range of revenue streams primarily from its telecommunications business, investment management, and strategic partnerships. The telecommunications sector, which includes mobile and broadband services in Japan, is a major source of revenue, generating income from subscriber fees and related services. Another significant revenue stream comes from SoftBank's investments, particularly through its Vision Fund, which holds stakes in numerous tech companies worldwide. Profits are realized through capital gains when these investments appreciate in value or are divested profitably. Additionally, SoftBank benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other companies, which can include revenue-sharing agreements and collaborative business ventures that enhance its overall earnings.

Softbank Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SoftBank's financials show profitability and liquidity challenges, with negative net income and free cash flow. High leverage adds risk, although substantial assets provide stability. Strategic improvements are needed for sustainable growth.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Softbank's income statement shows a mixed performance. The gross profit margin is healthy, but the net profit margin is negative, indicating ongoing issues with profitability. The revenue growth rate is volatile, with recent declines. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are positive, reflecting some operational efficiency, but the negative net income is a concern.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting significant leverage and potential financial risk. The equity ratio is moderate, and return on equity is negative due to net losses, further highlighting profitability challenges. However, the company maintains substantial assets and cash reserves, providing some stability.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows negative free cash flow growth, indicating cash outflow issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting cash generation despite losses. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is concerning, with free cash flow also negative, pointing to liquidity pressures.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
6.90T6.76T6.57T6.22T11.92T3.83T
Gross Profit
3.63T3.54T3.33T3.27T9.17T1.24T
EBIT
831.07B560.01B380.08B713.85B6.89T-918.51B
EBITDA
853.41B1.47T1.27T365.37B7.73T2.61T
Net Income Common Stockholders
71.06B-227.65B-1.01T-1.74T4.99T-1.16T
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
6.78T6.19T7.11T5.36T4.78T3.61T
Total Assets
44.98T46.72T43.94T47.54T45.75T37.26T
Total Debt
20.93T21.36T20.73T22.82T20.04T14.77T
Net Debt
14.77T15.18T13.80T17.65T15.38T11.40T
Total Liabilities
33.27T33.49T33.70T36.33T34.29T30.38T
Stockholders Equity
9.77T10.97T8.62T9.48T9.72T5.42T
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
28.71B-372.06B35.71B-323.63B-123.89B-145.74B
Operating Cash Flow
659.87B250.55B669.48B511.44B523.00B1.09T
Investing Cash Flow
-1.72T-841.46B228.18B-3.06T-16.86B-4.37T
Financing Cash Flow
-894.89B-606.22B191.52B602.22B2.24T2.92T

Softbank Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price26.44
Price Trends
50DMA
25.28
Positive
100DMA
27.57
Negative
200DMA
28.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.46
Negative
RSI
55.99
Neutral
STOCH
65.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SFTBY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 26.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.95, above the 50-day MA of 25.28, and below the 200-day MA of 28.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SFTBY.

Softbank Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CHCHT
80
Outperform
$33.77B29.339.59%2.59%-0.19%-0.79%
VZVZ
78
Outperform
$186.82B10.5318.23%6.09%0.93%56.97%
75
Outperform
$277.33B23.6519.35%1.25%5.31%38.46%
AMAMX
71
Outperform
$52.93B31.618.54%2.92%0.19%-49.68%
TT
69
Neutral
$201.62B17.2111.38%3.96%0.50%-12.66%
60
Neutral
$14.09B6.90-3.35%3.68%2.44%-36.27%
58
Neutral
$76.89B10.2910.28%0.36%-2.23%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SFTBY
Softbank
26.44
-0.11
-0.41%
AMX
America Movil
17.59
-1.53
-8.00%
T
AT&T
27.78
11.15
67.05%
CHT
Chunghwa Telecom Co
43.79
5.79
15.24%
VZ
Verizon
44.22
6.94
18.62%
TMUS
T Mobile US
241.21
78.01
47.80%

Softbank Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: -0.64%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed outlook for SoftBank Group. While there were significant achievements such as the successful ARM IPO and improved Vision Fund performance, challenges like the negative net income, WeWork's bankruptcy, and the persistent SoftBank discount were notable issues. The company's focus on AI investments suggests a strategic direction towards future growth.
Q2-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful ARM IPO
ARM's IPO was a major event, with a market cap of $52 billion upon listing. The share price has exceeded the listing price, and ARM is seen as a core strategic company for SoftBank, expected to lead AI-related services.
Improved Vision Fund Performance
Vision Fund's loss reduced to JPY 583 billion from JPY 4.3 trillion a year ago, indicating significant improvement in investment performance.
Increased Net Asset Value
Net asset value increased by JPY 1 trillion compared to the end of June, reaching JPY 16.4 trillion, reflecting a positive trend.
Strong Cash Position
The cash position is strong at JPY 5.1 trillion, providing a safety net for future investments and operations.
Positive AI Investment Outlook
SoftBank is actively investing in AI, with significant investments in companies like ByteDance and Swiggy, indicating a strategic focus on AI-driven growth.
Negative Updates
Negative Net Income
The company reported a negative net income of JPY 1.4 trillion, continuing the negative trend from the previous year.
WeWork Bankruptcy Impact
WeWork's bankruptcy filing under Chapter 11 was acknowledged, with SoftBank taking a significant hit due to its investment decisions.
SoftBank Discount Persisting
The gap between the net asset value per share and the actual share price remains wide, raising concerns about market perception and valuation.
Company Guidance
During the Q2 2024 earnings call for SoftBank Group Corp, the executive team, including Yoshimitsu Goto and Kazuko Kimiwada, provided several key metrics and updates. The IPO of ARM was highlighted as a significant event, with a market capitalization upon listing of $52 billion, and SoftBank Group's investment in ARM yielding a MOIC of 3.2x. The group's net income was reported as negative JPY 1.4 trillion, with Vision Fund investments showing improvement, posting a negative JPY 583 billion compared to the previous year's JPY 4.3 trillion loss. The net asset value increased by JPY 1 trillion to JPY 16.4 trillion, while the cash position stood at JPY 5.1 trillion. Additionally, SoftBank Group's loan-to-value ratio remained at a safe level of 10%, well below the policy cap of 25%. The call also delved into ARM's future prospects, highlighting its strong market share in mobile, cloud, automotive, and IoT sectors, with quarterly revenue reaching a record high and non-GAAP operating profit up by 92% year-on-year.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.