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Softbank Corp (SFTBY)
OTHER OTC:SFTBY

Softbank (SFTBY) AI Stock Analysis

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SFTBY

Softbank

(OTC:SFTBY)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$13.50
â–¼(-73.66% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
Overall score is driven by mixed financial quality—strong recent profitability and revenue momentum offset by negative TTM cash flows and meaningful leverage. Technicals are broadly neutral with modest positive bias, while the low P/E provides valuation support.
Positive Factors
Diversified business model
SoftBank’s mix of recurring telecom operations and an active investment portfolio provides structural revenue and upside optionality. Telecom delivers subscription-based cash flows while the investment arm can produce episodic but large gains, lowering single-segment dependency over months.
Negative Factors
Negative cash conversion
TTM negative operating and free cash flow indicate earnings are not converting to cash, forcing reliance on financing or asset sales. This persistent conversion gap reduces capital flexibility for capex, dividends or buybacks and raises funding needs over coming quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified business model
SoftBank’s mix of recurring telecom operations and an active investment portfolio provides structural revenue and upside optionality. Telecom delivers subscription-based cash flows while the investment arm can produce episodic but large gains, lowering single-segment dependency over months.
Read all positive factors

Softbank (SFTBY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Softbank Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
SoftBank Group Corp. provides telecommunication services in Japan and internationally. It operates through five segments: Investment Business of Holding Companies, SoftBank Vision Funds, SoftBank, Arm, and Latin America Funds. The company offers m...
How the Company Makes Money
SoftBank primarily generates earnings through (1) telecommunications operations and (2) investment activities, with additional contributions from other consolidated subsidiaries. 1) Telecommunications (operating business): Through its telecom sub...

Softbank Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
SoftBank's earnings call highlighted a return to profitability and strong performance in several areas, including Vision Fund 1, PayPay, and Arm. However, challenges such as a decrease in net asset value, increased loan-to-value ratio, and decreased cash position were noted. The company's strategic investments in OpenAI and Ampere were emphasized as critical for future growth.
Positive Updates
Return to Profitability
SoftBank reported a net income of JPY 1.15 trillion, marking its first profit in four years, up JPY 1.38 trillion year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Net Asset Value Decline
Net asset value decreased by JPY 2.1 trillion year-over-year, ending at JPY 25.7 trillion, although it later recovered.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Return to Profitability
SoftBank reported a net income of JPY 1.15 trillion, marking its first profit in four years, up JPY 1.38 trillion year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
In the call, SoftBank Group Corp. provided comprehensive guidance for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, detailing several key financial metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported a net asset value of JPY 25.7 trillion, down JPY 2.1 trillion year-over-year, but noted a recovery to JPY 27.4 trillion based on current share prices. They achieved a net income of JPY 1.15 trillion, marking their first profit in four years, driven by gains in their investment portfolio, particularly from Vision Fund contributions like ByteDance and OpenAI. Their loan-to-value ratio increased to 18.0%, still below their 25% safety threshold, while cash on hand decreased to JPY 3.4 trillion. Strategic actions included significant investments in AI, such as a JPY 6.5 billion acquisition of Ampere and a commitment of up to $30 billion in OpenAI. SoftBank also highlighted the Stargate Project in collaboration with OpenAI and Oracle, and the establishment of Cristal Intelligence through a partnership with OpenAI, reflecting their focus on AI and technological advancement.

Softbank Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement is solid (revenue growth and strong recent profitability), but quality is tempered by volatile historical earnings, elevated leverage (debt consistently above equity), and weak cash conversion with negative TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
32
Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.73T7.24T6.76T6.57T6.22T5.63T
Gross Profit3.99T3.75T3.54T3.33T3.27T2.87T
EBITDA4.56T1.60T1.47T1.53T1.57T6.21T
Net Income3.73T1.15T-227.65B-970.14B-1.71T4.99T
Balance Sheet
Total Assets55.60T45.01T46.72T43.94T47.54T45.75T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.66T3.71T6.44T7.30T6.09T7.80T
Total Debt25.23T18.91T16.19T20.32T22.32T19.55T
Total Liabilities37.46T31.06T33.49T33.29T35.84T33.79T
Stockholders Equity15.46T11.56T11.16T9.03T9.98T10.21T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.08T-650.59B-372.06B107.53B1.89T-89.64B
Operating Cash Flow-718.21B203.58B250.55B741.29B2.73T557.25B
Investing Cash Flow-5.16T-1.63T-841.46B547.58B-3.02T-1.47T
Financing Cash Flow4.69T-1.12T-606.22B191.52B602.22B2.19T

Softbank Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price51.25
Price Trends
50DMA
12.93
Negative
100DMA
14.03
Negative
200DMA
13.50
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.46
Negative
RSI
45.61
Neutral
STOCH
60.29
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SFTBY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 51.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.77, above the 50-day MA of 12.93, and above the 200-day MA of 13.50, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SFTBY.

Softbank Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$101.93B5.1420.98%4.42%0.20%61.54%
76
Outperform
$232.29B20.8418.18%1.75%7.30%17.67%
72
Outperform
$212.19B18.3916.62%6.60%2.42%102.17%
67
Neutral
$203.72B8.1420.35%4.56%1.98%150.68%
62
Neutral
$75.87B14.4817.05%2.69%1.14%83.48%
61
Neutral
$140.52B25.0428.25%0.22%8.09%45.49%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SFTBY
Softbank
11.64
5.34
84.82%
AMX
America Movil
24.81
10.99
79.52%
T
AT&T
29.10
2.01
7.40%
CMCSA
Comcast
28.33
-4.87
-14.67%
VZ
Verizon
50.31
7.86
18.50%
TMUS
T Mobile US
210.82
-51.41
-19.60%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026