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Softbank Corp. (SFTBY)
:SFTBY
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Softbank (SFTBY) AI Stock Analysis

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SFTBY

Softbank

(OTC:SFTBY)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$56.00
â–²(7.03% Upside)
Softbank's overall stock score is driven primarily by its financial performance challenges, particularly high leverage and cash flow issues. The strong technical indicators provide a positive outlook, but the overbought conditions warrant caution. Valuation metrics suggest the stock may be undervalued, offering potential upside.

Softbank (SFTBY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Softbank Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSoftBank Group Corp. provides telecommunication services in Japan and internationally. It operates through five segments: Investment Business of Holding Companies, SoftBank Vision Funds, SoftBank, Arm, and Latin America Funds. The company offers mobile communications, broadband, and fixed-line communications services; and sells mobile devices. It is also involved in the internet advertising marketing, online advertising distribution, and e-book distribution services; planning and operation of fashion e-commerce website; mail-order sale of stationery and services; and design and development of mobile robots. In addition, the company designs microprocessor intellectual property and related technology; sells software tools; and generates, supplies, and sells electricity from renewable energy sources, as well as offers related services. Further, it provides alternative investment management, smartphone payment, PC software downloads, and banking services, as well as solutions and services for online businesses; distributes video, voice, and data content; manufactures, distributes, and sells IT-related products, as well as IT-related services; and manages funds. Additionally, the company operates a professional baseball team; and ITmedia, an IT information site, as well as manages and maintains baseball stadium and other sports facilities. It also plans and operates ZOZOTOWN, ZOZO, and ZOZOBASE websites. The company was formerly known as SoftBank Corp. and changed its name to SoftBank Group Corp. in July 2015. SoftBank Group Corp. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneySoftBank generates revenue through multiple streams. Primarily, it earns income from its telecommunications operations, including mobile and broadband services provided to millions of customers in Japan. Additionally, the company's investment arm, the SoftBank Vision Fund, contributes significantly to its earnings by investing in high-potential startups and established companies in various sectors, particularly technology. The returns from these investments, both through capital appreciation and exits via IPOs or acquisitions, are crucial for SoftBank's revenue. Strategic partnerships with global tech firms and investment in emerging technologies further bolster its earnings potential. Furthermore, the company has stakes in various subsidiaries and associate companies, allowing it to benefit from dividends and profits generated by these entities.

Softbank Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: 24.01%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed outlook for SoftBank Group. While there were significant achievements such as the successful ARM IPO and improved Vision Fund performance, challenges like the negative net income, WeWork's bankruptcy, and the persistent SoftBank discount were notable issues. The company's focus on AI investments suggests a strategic direction towards future growth.
Q2-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful ARM IPO
ARM's IPO was a major event, with a market cap of $52 billion upon listing. The share price has exceeded the listing price, and ARM is seen as a core strategic company for SoftBank, expected to lead AI-related services.
Improved Vision Fund Performance
Vision Fund's loss reduced to JPY 583 billion from JPY 4.3 trillion a year ago, indicating significant improvement in investment performance.
Increased Net Asset Value
Net asset value increased by JPY 1 trillion compared to the end of June, reaching JPY 16.4 trillion, reflecting a positive trend.
Strong Cash Position
The cash position is strong at JPY 5.1 trillion, providing a safety net for future investments and operations.
Positive AI Investment Outlook
SoftBank is actively investing in AI, with significant investments in companies like ByteDance and Swiggy, indicating a strategic focus on AI-driven growth.
Negative Updates
Negative Net Income
The company reported a negative net income of JPY 1.4 trillion, continuing the negative trend from the previous year.
WeWork Bankruptcy Impact
WeWork's bankruptcy filing under Chapter 11 was acknowledged, with SoftBank taking a significant hit due to its investment decisions.
SoftBank Discount Persisting
The gap between the net asset value per share and the actual share price remains wide, raising concerns about market perception and valuation.
Company Guidance
During the Q2 2024 earnings call for SoftBank Group Corp, the executive team, including Yoshimitsu Goto and Kazuko Kimiwada, provided several key metrics and updates. The IPO of ARM was highlighted as a significant event, with a market capitalization upon listing of $52 billion, and SoftBank Group's investment in ARM yielding a MOIC of 3.2x. The group's net income was reported as negative JPY 1.4 trillion, with Vision Fund investments showing improvement, posting a negative JPY 583 billion compared to the previous year's JPY 4.3 trillion loss. The net asset value increased by JPY 1 trillion to JPY 16.4 trillion, while the cash position stood at JPY 5.1 trillion. Additionally, SoftBank Group's loan-to-value ratio remained at a safe level of 10%, well below the policy cap of 25%. The call also delved into ARM's future prospects, highlighting its strong market share in mobile, cloud, automotive, and IoT sectors, with quarterly revenue reaching a record high and non-GAAP operating profit up by 92% year-on-year.

Softbank Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Softbank's financials reflect a company facing profitability and liquidity challenges, with high leverage adding risk. While revenue and operational efficiencies are present, consistent losses and cash flow issues undermine financial health. The significant asset base provides a cushion, but strategic improvements are necessary for sustainable growth and stability.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Softbank's income statement shows a mixed performance. The gross profit margin is healthy, but the net profit margin is negative, indicating ongoing issues with profitability. The revenue growth rate is volatile, with recent declines. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are positive, reflecting some operational efficiency, but the negative net income is a concern.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting significant leverage and potential financial risk. The equity ratio is moderate, and return on equity is negative due to net losses, further highlighting profitability challenges. However, the company maintains substantial assets and cash reserves, providing some stability.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows negative free cash flow growth, indicating cash outflow issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting cash generation despite losses. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is concerning, with free cash flow also negative, pointing to liquidity pressures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.24T7.24T6.76T6.57T6.22T5.63T
Gross Profit3.75T3.75T3.54T3.33T3.27T2.87T
EBITDA1.60T1.60T1.47T1.53T1.57T6.21T
Net Income1.15T1.15T-227.65B-970.14B-1.71T4.99T
Balance Sheet
Total Assets45.01T45.01T46.72T43.94T47.54T45.75T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.71T3.71T6.44T7.30T6.09T7.80T
Total Debt18.91T18.91T16.19T20.32T22.32T19.55T
Total Liabilities31.06T31.06T33.49T33.29T35.84T33.79T
Stockholders Equity11.56T11.56T10.97T9.03T9.98T10.21T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-650.59B-650.59B-372.06B107.53B1.89T-89.64B
Operating Cash Flow203.58B203.58B250.55B741.29B2.73T557.25B
Investing Cash Flow-1.63T-1.63T-841.46B547.58B-3.02T-1.47T
Financing Cash Flow-1.12T-1.12T-606.22B191.52B602.22B2.19T

Softbank Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price52.32
Price Trends
50DMA
36.82
Positive
100DMA
31.03
Positive
200DMA
30.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.38
Negative
RSI
84.85
Negative
STOCH
94.35
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SFTBY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 52.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.98, above the 50-day MA of 36.82, and above the 200-day MA of 30.25, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 84.85 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.35 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SFTBY.

Softbank Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$183.41B10.1118.26%6.13%2.05%61.39%
80
Outperform
$281.70B23.6119.74%1.31%6.27%31.78%
78
Outperform
$34.74B29.539.95%3.70%3.12%3.14%
74
Outperform
$57.73B19.9614.41%2.77%-0.64%56.92%
67
Neutral
$205.57B16.3912.12%3.84%1.46%0.88%
64
Neutral
$154.35B13.0215.53%0.17%6.31%3932.00%
60
Neutral
$44.04B1.92-11.93%4.00%2.47%-38.33%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SFTBY
Softbank
55.70
26.93
93.60%
AMX
America Movil
19.09
2.21
13.09%
T
AT&T
28.87
10.25
55.05%
CHT
Chunghwa Telecom Co
44.90
7.33
19.51%
VZ
Verizon
44.24
6.06
15.87%
TMUS
T Mobile US
254.63
59.77
30.67%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 15, 2025