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Softbank Corp (SFTBY)
OTHER OTC:SFTBY
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Softbank (SFTBY) AI Stock Analysis

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SFTBY

Softbank

(OTC:SFTBY)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$56.00
â–¼(-8.42% Downside)
Softbank's overall stock score is driven primarily by its financial performance challenges, particularly high leverage and cash flow issues. The strong technical indicators provide a positive outlook, but the overbought conditions warrant caution. Valuation metrics suggest the stock may be undervalued, offering potential upside.
Positive Factors
Investment in Semiconductor Industry
SoftBank's strategic investment in Intel underscores its commitment to the semiconductor sector, a critical industry for technological advancement, ensuring long-term growth potential and alignment with global tech trends.
AI Infrastructure Expansion
The collaboration with Foxconn to build AI hardware in Ohio reflects SoftBank's strategic push into AI infrastructure, positioning it to capitalize on the growing demand for AI technologies and infrastructure.
Improved Profit Margins
The significant improvement in net profit margins indicates enhanced operational efficiency and profitability, providing a solid foundation for sustainable financial health and shareholder value.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
SoftBank's high leverage poses financial risks, potentially limiting its ability to invest in new opportunities and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns, impacting long-term stability.
Cash Flow Challenges
The negative free cash flow growth rate highlights significant cash flow challenges, which could constrain SoftBank's ability to fund operations and investments, affecting long-term growth prospects.
Low Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio
A low operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests potential issues in cash generation relative to reported profits, indicating that profitability may not be translating into actual cash flow, affecting financial flexibility.

Softbank (SFTBY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Softbank Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSoftBank Group Corp. provides telecommunication services in Japan and internationally. It operates through five segments: Investment Business of Holding Companies, SoftBank Vision Funds, SoftBank, Arm, and Latin America Funds. The company offers mobile communications, broadband, and fixed-line communications services; and sells mobile devices. It is also involved in the internet advertising marketing, online advertising distribution, and e-book distribution services; planning and operation of fashion e-commerce website; mail-order sale of stationery and services; and design and development of mobile robots. In addition, the company designs microprocessor intellectual property and related technology; sells software tools; and generates, supplies, and sells electricity from renewable energy sources, as well as offers related services. Further, it provides alternative investment management, smartphone payment, PC software downloads, and banking services, as well as solutions and services for online businesses; distributes video, voice, and data content; manufactures, distributes, and sells IT-related products, as well as IT-related services; and manages funds. Additionally, the company operates a professional baseball team; and ITmedia, an IT information site, as well as manages and maintains baseball stadium and other sports facilities. It also plans and operates ZOZOTOWN, ZOZO, and ZOZOBASE websites. The company was formerly known as SoftBank Corp. and changed its name to SoftBank Group Corp. in July 2015. SoftBank Group Corp. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneySoftBank generates revenue through multiple streams. Primarily, it earns income from its telecommunications operations, including mobile and broadband services provided to millions of customers in Japan. Additionally, the company's investment arm, the SoftBank Vision Fund, contributes significantly to its earnings by investing in high-potential startups and established companies in various sectors, particularly technology. The returns from these investments, both through capital appreciation and exits via IPOs or acquisitions, are crucial for SoftBank's revenue. Strategic partnerships with global tech firms and investment in emerging technologies further bolster its earnings potential. Furthermore, the company has stakes in various subsidiaries and associate companies, allowing it to benefit from dividends and profits generated by these entities.

Softbank Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
SoftBank's earnings call highlighted a return to profitability and strong performance in several areas, including Vision Fund 1, PayPay, and Arm. However, challenges such as a decrease in net asset value, increased loan-to-value ratio, and decreased cash position were noted. The company's strategic investments in OpenAI and Ampere were emphasized as critical for future growth.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Return to Profitability
SoftBank reported a net income of JPY 1.15 trillion, marking its first profit in four years, up JPY 1.38 trillion year-over-year.
Strong Performance of Vision Fund 1
Vision Fund 1 saw a significant contribution primarily from ByteDance, contributing to the overall gain on investments.
PayPay's Growth
PayPay achieved an EBIT of JPY 45 billion and GMV of JPY 15.4 trillion, a 23% increase year-on-year, with plans for an IPO.
Arm's Record High Revenue
Arm posted record high annual revenue, with a 31% increase in non-GAAP operating income year-on-year.
OpenAI Investment Commitment
SoftBank committed up to $30 billion in follow-on investments in OpenAI, emphasizing its strategic importance.
Acquisition of Ampere
SoftBank announced the acquisition of Ampere for $6.5 billion, aiming to enhance its capabilities in AI and semiconductor design.
Negative Updates
Net Asset Value Decline
Net asset value decreased by JPY 2.1 trillion year-over-year, ending at JPY 25.7 trillion, although it later recovered.
Increased Loan-to-Value Ratio
SoftBank's loan-to-value ratio increased from 8.4% to 18.0%, a 10 percentage point increase year-over-year.
Cash Position Decrease
SoftBank's cash position decreased from JPY 4.7 trillion to JPY 3.4 trillion due to active investments.
Volatility in Tech Stocks
The company faced weaker performance of tech stocks, contributing to market volatility.
Company Guidance
In the call, SoftBank Group Corp. provided comprehensive guidance for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, detailing several key financial metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported a net asset value of JPY 25.7 trillion, down JPY 2.1 trillion year-over-year, but noted a recovery to JPY 27.4 trillion based on current share prices. They achieved a net income of JPY 1.15 trillion, marking their first profit in four years, driven by gains in their investment portfolio, particularly from Vision Fund contributions like ByteDance and OpenAI. Their loan-to-value ratio increased to 18.0%, still below their 25% safety threshold, while cash on hand decreased to JPY 3.4 trillion. Strategic actions included significant investments in AI, such as a JPY 6.5 billion acquisition of Ampere and a commitment of up to $30 billion in OpenAI. SoftBank also highlighted the Stargate Project in collaboration with OpenAI and Oracle, and the establishment of Cristal Intelligence through a partnership with OpenAI, reflecting their focus on AI and technological advancement.

Softbank Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Softbank's financial performance shows a recovery in profitability with improved net profit margins. However, high leverage and significant cash flow challenges, including a negative free cash flow growth rate, weigh heavily on the score.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Softbank's income statement shows a modest revenue growth rate of 2.64% in the latest year, with a strong gross profit margin of 51.83%. The net profit margin improved significantly from a negative position in previous years to 15.92%, indicating a turnaround in profitability. However, the EBIT margin remains relatively low at 10.07%, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.64, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. The return on equity is 9.98%, showing moderate profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio stands at 25.68%, suggesting a balanced but cautious approach towards asset financing.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -1482.56%, indicating cash outflows exceeding inflows. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.016, highlighting potential issues in cash generation relative to reported profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash flow difficulties.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.24T7.24T6.76T6.57T6.22T5.63T
Gross Profit3.75T3.75T3.54T3.33T3.27T2.87T
EBITDA1.60T1.60T1.47T1.53T1.57T6.21T
Net Income1.15T1.15T-227.65B-970.14B-1.71T4.99T
Balance Sheet
Total Assets45.01T45.01T46.72T43.94T47.54T45.75T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.71T3.71T6.44T7.30T6.09T7.80T
Total Debt18.91T18.91T16.19T20.32T22.32T19.55T
Total Liabilities31.06T31.06T33.49T33.29T35.84T33.79T
Stockholders Equity11.56T11.56T10.97T9.03T9.98T10.21T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-650.59B-650.59B-372.06B107.53B1.89T-89.64B
Operating Cash Flow203.58B203.58B250.55B741.29B2.73T557.25B
Investing Cash Flow-1.63T-1.63T-841.46B547.58B-3.02T-1.47T
Financing Cash Flow-1.12T-1.12T-606.22B191.52B602.22B2.19T

Softbank Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price61.15
Price Trends
50DMA
45.42
Positive
100DMA
36.63
Positive
200DMA
32.52
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.43
Negative
RSI
69.76
Neutral
STOCH
95.36
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SFTBY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 61.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 53.57, above the 50-day MA of 45.42, and above the 200-day MA of 32.52, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.36 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SFTBY.

Softbank Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$186.11B10.2518.26%6.16%2.05%61.39%
78
Outperform
$123.32B5.5325.44%3.87%2.54%60.53%
77
Outperform
$210.86B16.6512.12%3.75%1.46%0.88%
73
Outperform
$271.66B22.7619.74%1.46%6.27%31.78%
68
Neutral
$61.68B20.8914.41%2.57%-0.64%56.92%
64
Neutral
$177.64B13.9915.53%0.16%6.31%3932.00%
60
Neutral
$47.27B4.55-11.27%4.14%1.88%-40.90%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SFTBY
Softbank
61.15
30.92
102.28%
AMX
America Movil
20.34
4.00
24.48%
T
AT&T
29.57
8.90
43.06%
CMCSA
Comcast
33.06
-5.17
-13.52%
VZ
Verizon
43.97
2.34
5.62%
TMUS
T Mobile US
241.72
41.74
20.87%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 15, 2025