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Seer (SEER)
NASDAQ:SEER
US Market

Seer (SEER) AI Stock Analysis

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SEER

Seer

(NASDAQ:SEER)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▼(-15.73% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/03/26
The score is held back primarily by persistent operating and free-cash-flow losses (despite improvement) and a bearish technical setup with the stock below key moving averages. Offsetting factors include low leverage, improving margins and cash-burn trajectory, and an earnings-call outlook that balances conservative near-term revenue guidance with strong operational milestones and a solid cash runway.
Positive Factors
Installed base & consumable pull‑through
Rapid installed‑base growth and strong consumable volume indicate a rising recurring revenue stream from consumables and services. Durable pull‑through economics imply the Proteograph platform can generate sustainable, annuity‑like revenues as instruments scale in research and population studies.
Margin expansion potential & scalable products
Material gross margin improvement and a clear long‑term margin target, combined with higher‑throughput instrument launches, suggest the business model can become structurally more profitable. Scale advantages from automation and higher throughput support sustainable margin expansion as volume grows.
Low leverage and solid cash runway
A large cash balance, substantial NOLs and minimal debt give the company financial flexibility to fund product rollouts and large cohort studies without near‑term refinancing. This runway supports continued R&D and commercialization while pursuing breakeven, reducing execution risk over 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Persistent operating losses & cash burn
Despite improving trends, the company remains materially cash‑burning and unprofitable, requiring ongoing external capital or sustained cash reserves to fund operations. Continued negative cash generation limits strategic optionality and raises execution risk if revenue growth stalls or costs reaccelerate.
Revenue lumpy and funding‑dependent sales
Sales remain sensitive to customer CapEx cycles and government/NIH funding, producing elongated sales cycles and binary large contract impacts. This structural dependence makes revenue timing volatile and forecasting fragile, slowing sustainable topline predictability as commercialization scales.
Eroding equity base & negative returns on equity
Ongoing losses have materially eroded shareholders' equity, reducing the balance‑sheet cushion and signaling dilution or value attrition over time. Negative ROE and shrinking net worth constrain capital strategy and increase the importance of returning to profitability to restore shareholder value.

Seer (SEER) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Seer Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSeer, Inc., a life sciences company, engages in developing and commercializing products to decode the secrets of the proteome. It develops Proteograph Product Suite, an integrated solution that comprises consumables, an automation instrumentation, and software that allows researchers to conduct proteomic studies in therapeutic and diagnostic research, and clinical trials. The company intends to sell its products for research purposes, which cover academic institutions, life sciences, and research laboratories, as well as biopharmaceutical and biotechnology companies for non-diagnostic and non-clinical purposes. It has a collaboration agreement with Discovery Life Sciences, LLC. and the Salk Institute for Biological Studies. The company was formerly known as Seer Biosciences, Inc. and changed its name to Seer, Inc. in July 2018. Seer, Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Redwood City, California.
How the Company Makes MoneySeer generates revenue primarily through the sale of its proteomic analysis platforms and related consumables to research institutions and pharmaceutical companies. Additionally, the company may earn revenue through service contracts where it conducts custom proteomic analyses for clients. Key partnerships with academic institutions and collaborations with pharmaceutical companies enhance its market presence and provide opportunities for joint research projects, which can also contribute to its earnings. Furthermore, grants and funding from governmental and private entities aimed at advancing proteomic research can serve as additional revenue sources.

Seer Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a balanced picture: strong commercial and scientific momentum (notably 67% installed base growth, ~69% consumable growth, doubling of publications, product launches, and a solid cash runway of ~$241M) alongside persistent headwinds from customer funding uncertainty, elongated sales cycles, modest 2026 guidance (~3% midpoint growth) and continued sizable net losses. Management emphasized innovation and long-term upside from large population studies and product roadmap milestones, while taking a conservative near-term view given NIH-related and macro funding risks.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Full Year Revenue Growth
Total revenue for 2025 was $16.6 million, representing 17% year-over-year growth versus $14.2 million in 2024; when excluding related party revenue, total revenue growth was approximately 33% year-over-year.
Quarterly Revenue and Product Mix
Q4 2025 revenue was $4.2 million, up 5% year-over-year from $4.0 million in Q4 2024; Q4 product revenue was $2.8 million and service revenue was $1.2 million. Excluding related party revenue, Q4 revenue grew ~16% YoY.
Strong Installed Base Expansion
Installed base increased to 82 instruments at year-end 2025, a 67% increase from 49 instruments at year-end 2024; approximately 60% of 2025 installs were under the Strategic Instrument Placement Program (SIPP).
Meaningful Consumable Volume Growth
Consumable kit volume increased approximately 69% year-over-year in 2025, demonstrating higher utilization of the Proteograph platform; calculated consumable pull-through per instrument was approximately $113,000 (noting methodological caveats).
Expanding Scientific Validation and Publications
Cumulative peer-reviewed publications nearly doubled from 36 at the end of 2024 to 70 at the end of 2025 (≈94% increase), including high-profile papers in Nature and Nature Genetics and multiple presentations/posters at HUPO 2025.
Commercial Milestone via Customer Launch
Customer PrognomIQ commercially launched ProVue Lung, a proteomics-based LDT for early lung cancer detection in November 2025; Seer holds approximately a 20% fully diluted interest in PrognomIQ.
Product and R&D Progress
Launched Proteograph ONE (3rd-generation assay) and SP200 (2nd-generation automation instrument) in June 2025 enabling throughput >1,000 samples/week (nearly 10x vs 112 samples/week in 2021); roadmap includes PAS v4 with AI/LLM interface in 2026 and a proteoform profiling assay planned for 2027.
Improved Financial Discipline and Cash Position
Operating expenses and stock-based compensation declined (total operating expenses down 19% YoY to $86.5M in 2025); net loss improved to $73.6M in 2025 from $86.6M in 2024. Free cash flow loss improved to ~$45.6M (2025) from $49.4M (2024). Cash, cash equivalents and investments were approximately $241M at year-end 2025.
Share Repurchases and Capital Allocation
Repurchased ~5.3 million Class A shares in 2025 for ≈$10.2M; total repurchases ~11.7M shares (≈$22M) since program inception, reducing shares outstanding by ~13%; Board authorized an additional $25M repurchase program.
Large-Scale Study Selections
Proteograph was selected for multiple population-scale studies in 2025, including a 20,000-sample study with Korea University and a 10,000-sample project with Discovery Life Sciences, demonstrating scalability for large cohorts.
Negative Updates
Revenue Lumpy and Binary Upside
Management highlighted that a small number of large opportunities (population-scale studies) can materially move reported revenue between quarters, making results volatile and dependent on a few binary deal outcomes.
Q4 Shortfall and Funding Delays
Q4 results fell short of expectations primarily due to budgetary pressures and delayed NIH funding that caused customer purchase deferrals; management cited specific NIH-related project payments pushed into 2026.
Conservative 2026 Revenue Guidance
2026 revenue guidance is $16M–$18M (midpoint ≈$17M), representing only ~3% growth at the midpoint over 2025, reflecting ongoing customer caution and funding uncertainty—guidance excludes potential upside from new population-scale study wins.
Continued Net Loss and Large Operating Spend
Despite improvement, net loss remained substantial at $73.6M for 2025; total operating expenses were $86.5M in 2025, indicating continued high spend while the business scales.
Dependence on External Funding Environment
Sales cycles remain elongated and instrument placements constrained by pressure on customers' CapEx and uncertainty around NIH and government funding, creating lumpy revenue and making near-term forecasting challenging.
Decline in Related Party Revenue
Related party revenue declined to $761,000 in 2025 from $2.3M in 2024 as a customer (PrognomIQ) shifted from discovery work toward commercialization, removing a modest near-term revenue source.
Temporary Pull-Through Decline
Pull-through per instrument was ~ $113,000 based on year-end installed base, but management noted a decline in pull-through due to many new instrument installs and initial stocking orders—indicating near-term consumable revenue per instrument may be depressed.
Company Guidance
Seer guided 2026 revenue of $16–18 million (midpoint ~3% growth versus 2025), noting the range assumes continued pressure on instrument placements and customer funding (NIH uncertainty) and excludes upside from any additional population‑scale studies; management expects to further reduce free cash‑flow loss in 2026 and believes its cash position (~$241 million) and NOLs (~$262 million) provide sufficient capital to reach cash‑flow breakeven. Key 2025 metrics referenced alongside the guidance: full‑year revenue $16.6M (+17% YoY; ~+33% excluding related‑party revenue), Q4 revenue $4.2M, full‑year gross margin ~51% (Q4 52%), installed base 82 instruments (+67% YoY), consumable kit volume +69% YoY with pull‑through per instrument ≈$113k (year‑end basis), FY net loss $73.6M, and free‑cash‑flow loss ≈$45.6M (improved from $49.4M in 2024). Management also reiterated a long‑term gross margin target of 70–75% and highlighted ongoing capital actions including repurchasing 5.3M shares in 2025 (~$10.2M) and a total of 11.7M shares bought at a VWAP of $1.87 (~$22M used of a $25M program) with an additional $25M repurchase authorization.

Seer Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Improving trends (stronger 2025 revenue growth, ~51% gross margin, reduced losses and cash burn) and low leverage support flexibility, but operating losses and free-cash-flow burn remain large and the equity base has been eroding over time.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Revenue is growing off a small base, with 2025 revenue up strongly versus 2024 (after a decline in 2024). Profitability remains the key issue: despite a materially improved gross margin in 2025 (~51% vs ~49% in 2024 and very low levels in 2022–2023), operating losses are still very large and net margins remain deeply negative. Bottom-line losses improved from 2024 to 2025, but the business is still far from breakeven.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Leverage is low (debt-to-equity ~0.09 in 2025), providing financial flexibility relative to many cash-burning biotech peers. However, the equity base is trending down meaningfully from 2021 to 2025, consistent with ongoing losses, and returns on equity remain firmly negative. Overall: solid capitalization with limited debt risk, but continued erosion in net worth is a clear longer-term concern.
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
Cash generation remains negative: operating cash flow and free cash flow are still materially cash-burning in every year shown. The trajectory is improving (2025 cash burn is lower than 2024 and 2023, and free cash flow growth is positive), but the company is not yet self-funding. Free cash flow is roughly in line with net losses (close to 1x in 2024–2025), suggesting reported losses broadly reflect real cash outflows rather than being primarily non-cash.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.58M13.95M15.18M14.69M6.39M
Gross Profit8.46M6.83M1.45M384.00K-374.00K
EBITDA-66.15M-93.92M-80.70M-87.06M-67.61M
Net Income-73.60M-86.60M-86.28M-92.97M-71.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets296.08M366.60M436.27M487.93M539.14M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments185.90M236.41M316.22M421.24M400.07M
Total Debt23.65M25.96M28.26M29.87M23.32M
Total Liabilities36.78M39.03M39.37M40.94M36.22M
Stockholders Equity259.31M327.57M396.90M446.99M502.92M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-46.24M-49.69M-66.37M-71.05M-53.27M
Operating Cash Flow-44.45M-46.11M-59.06M-60.78M-46.35M
Investing Cash Flow61.55M65.86M37.90M-122.72M-170.88M
Financing Cash Flow-10.57M-11.49M452.00K3.89M116.63M

Seer Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.78
Price Trends
50DMA
1.88
Negative
100DMA
1.93
Negative
200DMA
2.03
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
40.76
Neutral
STOCH
29.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SEER, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.78 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.87, below the 50-day MA of 1.88, and below the 200-day MA of 2.03, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SEER.

Seer Risk Analysis

Seer disclosed 67 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Seer reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Seer Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
54
Neutral
$221.92M-3.06-131.71%-100.00%79.01%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$220.11M-0.39-63.96%-28.50%
49
Neutral
$60.88M-1.00-71.28%-10.03%11.06%
47
Neutral
$97.10M-5.34-109.73%50.39%
46
Neutral
$98.17M-1.64-26.04%13.77%-4.76%
44
Neutral
$56.56M-2.22-53.02%1.40%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SEER
Seer
1.74
-0.18
-9.37%
IKT
Inhibikase Therapeutics
1.83
-0.64
-25.91%
SRZN
Surrozen
25.68
14.36
126.86%
TIL
Instil Bio
8.34
-11.53
-58.03%
TCRX
TScan Therapeutics
1.07
-0.63
-37.06%
CGTX
Cognition Therapeutics
1.10
0.65
144.44%

Seer Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Seer Adopts Tax Benefit Plan to Protect NOLs
Positive
Feb 26, 2026

On February 26, 2026, Seer’s board adopted a Tax Benefit Preservation Plan and declared a dividend of one right for each outstanding share of Class A common stock to stockholders of record as of March 9, 2026, with each right allowing the holder to purchase a fraction of a share of Series A Participating Preferred Stock at an exercise price of $11.00. The plan is structured as a so‑called NOL rights plan that discourages any investor from acquiring 4.9% or more of Seer’s common stock without board approval, aiming to prevent an ownership change under Section 382 of the U.S. tax code that could significantly limit the use of Seer’s net operating losses and other tax attributes, thereby protecting a key financial asset for existing shareholders.

Under the plan, if an investor crosses the 4.9% threshold, other stockholders would be entitled to purchase shares at a substantial discount, diluting the would‑be acquirer, while the board retains the ability to redeem or exchange the rights and to amend the plan’s terms within specified limits. The rights, which are attached to common shares until they become separately exercisable upon certain triggering events, are set to expire no later than February 25, 2029, or earlier if stockholders fail to ratify the plan by February 25, 2027 or if the board later concludes that preserving tax benefits is no longer necessary or in the best interests of the company and its investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (SEER) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Seer stock, see the SEER Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Seer Retires Class B Common Stock Shares
Neutral
Dec 12, 2025

On December 12, 2025, Seer Company filed a Certificate of Retirement with the Delaware Secretary of State to retire its Class B Common Stock shares that were issued but not outstanding. This action reduces the company’s authorized shares of capital stock and Class B Common Stock. The Class A Common Stock will continue trading on Nasdaq under the symbol ‘SEER’ with the same CUSIP number.

The most recent analyst rating on (SEER) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Seer stock, see the SEER Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 03, 2026