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VNV Global (SE:VNV)
:VNV

VNV Global (VNV) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:VNV

VNV Global

(VNV)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
kr22.00
▲(2.23% Upside)
The score is primarily constrained by weak TTM profitability and significant cash burn, partially offset by a conservatively levered balance sheet. Technicals are neutral with negative momentum signals, while valuation appears mid-range (P/E ~20.2) without dividend support. Earnings-call commentary is mixed, with improved net cash and some portfolio strength tempered by NAV and valuation declines in major holdings.

VNV Global (VNV) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

VNV Global Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVNV Global AB (publ) formerly known as Vostok New Ventures Ltd., is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in growth capital, buyout investments, incubation, seed/startup, early venture, mid venture, late venture. It prefers to invest globally including Africa / Middle East, European Emerging Markets, Latin America and Caribbean, United States and Canada except China in online marketplaces, consumer-focused and business 2 business companies. It usually seeks investments where it can become a significant minority shareholder and actively manage the investment through board representation. The firm prefers to invest in unlisted companies. It prefers to take majority and minority stake in its portfolio companies. VNV Global AB (publ) was founded on April 5, 2007 and is based in Stockholm, Sweden .
How the Company Makes MoneyVNV Global makes money through capital appreciation and investment returns from its portfolio of high-growth technology companies. The company invests in early-stage and growth-stage businesses, often acquiring significant equity stakes. As these companies grow and potentially go public or are acquired, VNV Global realizes returns on its investments. Additionally, the company may earn dividends or interest from its holdings, though its primary focus is on long-term capital gains. Strategic partnerships with technology firms and financial institutions may also enhance its investment capabilities and returns.

VNV Global Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 18, 2024
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive developments such as strong performances by BlaBlaCar, Voi, Numan, and Breadfast, alongside challenges including a decline in NAV and the sale of Gett below NAV. While there are significant achievements, the balance between highlights and lowlights suggests a neutral sentiment.
Q2-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Performance of BlaBlaCar
BlaBlaCar closed last year with about EUR 250 million revenue and positive EBITDA, indicating strong performance despite a downtick in NAV due to peer group adjustments.
Successful Acquisition by BlaBlaCar
BlaBlaCar acquired Obilet, the bus marketplace of Turkey, which is expected to close in Q3 2024, adding profitable growth to the company.
Positive Developments in Voi
Voi is EBITDA positive and potentially EBIT positive by the end of the year, with significant market presence and contract wins like Solent in England and Antwerpen.
Significant Growth in Breadfast
Breadfast achieved an ARR of $150 million in revenue, a remarkable 38x increase since 2021, becoming a well-loved brand in Egypt.
Numan's Strong Financial Performance
Numan's revenue run rate increased by 100% year-on-year and the company is EBITDA positive, showing strong financial performance.
Negative Updates
Decline in NAV
NAV per share decreased by 10% during the quarter, impacted by peer multiples and the sale of Gett below NAV.
BlaBlaCar and HousingAnywhere Downward Adjustment
BlaBlaCar and HousingAnywhere experienced a 14% decline in valuation due to peer group adjustments and FX impacts.
Sale of Gett Below NAV
The sale of Gett was below NAV, contributing to the overall decrease in NAV for the quarter.
Company Guidance
During the VNV Global Second Quarter 2024 earnings call, the company reported a NAV of $600 million, equating to SEK 48.6 per share, reflecting a 10% decline from the previous quarter. This was primarily due to falling peer multiples affecting valuations of key investments like BlaBlaCar, Gett, and HousingAnywhere. The sale of Gett to Pango for $83 million was highlighted, with $70 million receivable at closing and $13 million in escrow. The transaction is pending approval from Israeli antitrust authorities. The company's liquidity at quarter-end was $16.6 million, with a net debt of $81.2 million or minus SEK 6.6 per share. Portfolio concentration increased, with the top three holdings—BlaBlaCar, Gett, and HousingAnywhere—comprising over 70% of total NAV. VNV's cash position is anticipated to improve significantly upon the completion of the Gett sale, potentially reaching up to $70 million by year-end, subject to further asset disposals. The company is also poised to consider stock buybacks to capitalize on current undervaluations.

VNV Global Financial Statement Overview

Summary
VNV Global's financial performance displays significant revenue volatility and recent net losses, impacting overall profitability. The balance sheet is strong with a robust equity position and debt reduction, reducing financial risk. While there are improvements in cash flow, historical inconsistencies in cash management remain a concern.
Income Statement
VNV Global has experienced significant volatility in its revenue, showing substantial declines in recent years. The revenue growth rate has been negative due to the drop from 2023 to 2024. Gross profit margins have been consistently aligned with total revenue, indicating no cost of goods sold, but the negative net profit margin from 2023 to 2024 highlights profitability challenges. EBIT margin is notably absent in 2024, reflecting operational difficulties.
Balance Sheet
The company's balance sheet shows a strong equity base with a positive equity ratio, reflecting low financial risk. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has improved with debt elimination in 2024, suggesting a more conservative financial strategy. ROE has been negative recently due to net losses, but the high stockholders' equity provides a buffer against liabilities.
Cash Flow
VNV Global's cash flow statement indicates fluctuating cash flows with a notable improvement in operating cash flow in 2024. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, showing cash generation capability despite net losses. However, the past inconsistency in operating cash flow raises concerns about cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue36.63M-71.11M45.29M-758.29M86.22M222.91M
Gross Profit15.70M-77.78M35.82M-771.72M77.74M217.54M
EBITDA-20.28M-84.80M22.72M-781.69M64.09M207.72M
Net Income-57.16M-85.14M22.43M-782.00M63.74M206.93M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.41B661.01M824.62M781.55M1.55B1.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments670.51M15.68M42.49M66.13M124.20M17.72M
Total Debt849.01M77.04M152.12M164.34M144.94M99.06M
Total Liabilities892.25M79.62M158.33M168.12M144.94M108.33M
Stockholders Equity5.52B581.39M666.29M613.43M1.40B1.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-276.94M46.38M-29.41M-80.55M-191.01M-104.74M
Operating Cash Flow-276.94M46.38M-29.41M-80.55M-191.01M-104.74M
Investing Cash Flow845.07M0.000.000.000.000.00
Financing Cash Flow-32.54M-67.82M4.13M22.73M305.20M105.79M

VNV Global Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price21.52
Price Trends
50DMA
21.86
Negative
100DMA
22.86
Negative
200DMA
20.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.24
Positive
RSI
41.79
Neutral
STOCH
16.54
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:VNV, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 21.52 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.28, below the 50-day MA of 21.86, and above the 200-day MA of 20.26, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.54 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SE:VNV.

VNV Global Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
kr5.44B13.736.23%-0.22%-58.80%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
kr6.23B13.877.83%0.79%-25.75%-27.25%
58
Neutral
kr17.42B-3.26-23.18%1.13%22.38%-153.85%
53
Neutral
kr2.72B19.732.59%
51
Neutral
kr406.61M-32.318.78%
47
Neutral
kr22.86B184.50-97.64%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:VNV
VNV Global
21.00
3.83
22.31%
SE:KINV.A
Kinnevik AB Class A
82.60
5.80
7.55%
SE:BURE
Bure Equity AB
236.80
-120.66
-33.75%
SE:SVOL.B
Svolder AB Class B
60.25
10.87
22.01%
SE:NAXS
NAXS AB
39.60
3.01
8.23%
SE:ORES
Investment AB Oresund
120.00
19.71
19.65%

VNV Global Corporate Events

VNV Global Boosts Treasury Stock with New Share Buyback
Dec 29, 2025

VNV Global has repurchased 40,636 of its own common shares on the market between 22 and 23 December 2025 at an average price of SEK 21.3179 per share, bringing its total holdings of treasury shares to 2,378,585 out of 130,978,236 outstanding common shares. The transaction modestly increases the proportion of capital returned to shareholders and may signal management’s confidence in the company’s valuation, while slightly reducing the free float in the market.

VNV Global Increases Treasury Share Holdings With December Buyback
Dec 22, 2025

VNV Global AB has repurchased 96,149 of its own common shares between 15 and 19 December 2025 at an average price of SEK 21.2038, bringing its total holdings of treasury shares to 2,337,949 out of 130,978,236 shares outstanding. The buyback underscores the company’s ongoing use of share repurchases as a capital allocation tool, potentially signalling management’s confidence in the valuation and offering a modest incremental benefit to remaining shareholders through a reduced free float.

VNV Global Enhances Shareholder Value Through Share Repurchase
Dec 15, 2025

VNV Global AB has repurchased 131,839 of its own common shares between December 8 and December 12, 2025, at an average price of SEK 21.2986. This move increases their total number of repurchased shares to 2,241,800, which is part of their strategy to manage share capital effectively and potentially enhance shareholder value.

VNV Global Strengthens Market Position with Share Repurchase
Dec 8, 2025

VNV Global AB has repurchased 158,225 of its own common shares between December 1 and December 5, 2025, at an average price of SEK 21.7491, bringing its total repurchased shares to 2,109,961. This move could potentially strengthen the company’s market position and shareholder value by consolidating ownership and demonstrating confidence in its business strategy.

VNV Global Enhances Shareholder Value with Recent Share Repurchase
Dec 1, 2025

VNV Global AB has repurchased 45,443 of its own common shares between November 24 and November 28, 2025, at an average price of SEK 21.5850. This strategic move increases the total number of repurchased shares held by the company to 1,951,736, out of a total of 130,978,236 common shares. This repurchase could potentially enhance shareholder value and reflect the company’s confidence in its market position.

VNV Global Repurchases 208,805 Shares
Nov 24, 2025

VNV Global has repurchased 208,805 of its own common shares between November 17 and November 21, 2025, at an average price of SEK 21.4426. This move increases the total number of repurchased shares held by the company to 1,906,293, out of a total of 130,978,236 common shares, potentially impacting its stock value and shareholder equity.

VNV Global Secures Final Proceeds from Gett Sale, Boosting Cash Position
Nov 5, 2025

VNV Global has confirmed the receipt of the remaining USD 26 million from the sale of Gett, completing the total proceeds of USD 86.7 million. This financial development, along with other recent activities such as the Tise exit and partial bond redemption, has resulted in VNV Global achieving a positive net cash position, which could enhance its operational flexibility and market positioning.

VNV Global Enhances Shareholder Value with Recent Share Repurchase
Nov 3, 2025

VNV Global has repurchased 254,431 of its own common shares between October 28 and October 31, 2025, at an average price of SEK 23.2042. This move increases the total number of repurchased shares held by the company to 1,337,137, reflecting a strategic decision to potentially enhance shareholder value and optimize capital structure.

VNV Global Reports Q3 2025 Financials and Strategic Exits
Oct 28, 2025

VNV Global AB reported a net asset value of USD 587.09 million as of September 30, 2025, reflecting a slight increase in USD terms but a decrease in SEK due to currency fluctuations. Key developments include the full exit from Gett, partial bond redemption, and the sale of shares in Tise to eBay, which are expected to impact the company’s financial positioning and stakeholder interests.

Voi Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results with Revenue Growth
Oct 23, 2025

Voi, a leading European micromobility company and a portfolio company of VNV Global, reported a 34% increase in net revenue for Q3 2025, reaching EUR 57.5 million. The company also achieved a 67% year-over-year growth in cash flow from operating activities, marking an all-time high of EUR 19.8 million, indicating strong operational performance and financial health.

VNV Global Announces Q3 2025 Report Release and Conference
Oct 21, 2025

VNV Global has announced the release of its third-quarter report for 2025, scheduled for October 28. The company will host a telephone conference and webcast on the same day, where CEO Per Brilioth will discuss the report and recent developments, providing stakeholders with insights into the company’s performance and strategic direction.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025