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Fagerhult AB (SE:FAG)
:FAG

Fagerhult AB (FAG) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:FAG

Fagerhult AB

(FAG)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
kr29.00
▼(-28.40% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is held back primarily by deteriorating cash generation (2025 free cash flow falling to zero) and compressed profitability, despite strong 2025 revenue growth and manageable leverage. Technicals also weigh on the rating with clear bearish momentum. Valuation is only moderately supportive due to a solid dividend yield but a relatively high P/E versus the recent fundamentals.
Positive Factors
Diversified business model
Fagerhult's mix of product sales, bundled project solutions and aftermarket demand across direct and indirect channels supports stable, multi-year revenue streams. This reduces reliance on single project wins, leverages brand/specification strength, and benefits from secular demand for energy-efficient, connected lighting.
Negative Factors
Deteriorating cash generation
A collapse of free cash flow to zero materially weakens internal funding capacity for capex, working capital and dividends. Continued weak FCF raises reliance on external financing, reduces strategic optionality, and magnifies risk if revenue or margins weaken again during project cycles.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified business model
Fagerhult's mix of product sales, bundled project solutions and aftermarket demand across direct and indirect channels supports stable, multi-year revenue streams. This reduces reliance on single project wins, leverages brand/specification strength, and benefits from secular demand for energy-efficient, connected lighting.
Read all positive factors

Fagerhult AB (FAG) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Fagerhult AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
AB Fagerhult (publ.), together with its subsidiaries, provides professional lighting solutions worldwide. It offers indoor and outdoor lighting products that are used in offices, education, healthcare, retail, hospitality and residential, culture,...
How the Company Makes Money
Fagerhult AB makes money primarily by selling professional lighting products and solutions (luminaires and lighting systems) to business and institutional customers. Revenue is generated through project-based sales (e.g., lighting for offices, edu...

Fagerhult AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement is mixed: strong 2025 revenue growth (+47%) but materially weaker operating and net margins versus 2022–2023. Balance sheet leverage appears manageable (~0.61x debt/equity in 2025) but returns have cooled. Cash flow is the main drag, with 2025 free cash flow dropping to zero and lower operating cash flow, raising near-term quality concerns.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.89B8.31B8.56B8.27B7.09B
Gross Profit3.12B3.25B3.35B3.12B2.62B
EBITDA531.30M1.17B1.36B1.26B1.11B
Net Income317.40M354.30M543.50M576.30M465.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.65B13.71B13.01B13.33B12.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.31B1.88B1.27B1.29B1.74B
Total Debt4.14B3.97B3.53B4.09B4.17B
Total Liabilities6.56B6.25B5.82B6.45B6.43B
Stockholders Equity7.09B7.46B7.18B6.88B6.22B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00750.90M963.80M216.80M646.00M
Operating Cash Flow740.10M963.90M1.21B402.70M802.50M
Investing Cash Flow-1.18B-259.70M-225.90M-192.50M-266.80M
Financing Cash Flow-31.80M-142.70M-991.00M-743.30M-470.10M

Fagerhult AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price40.50
Price Trends
50DMA
30.68
Negative
100DMA
35.41
Negative
200DMA
38.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.50
Negative
RSI
54.84
Neutral
STOCH
80.81
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:FAG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 40.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.78, above the 50-day MA of 30.68, and above the 200-day MA of 38.30, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.50 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.81 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SE:FAG.

Fagerhult AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
kr9.41B18.519.42%3.37%3.41%-1.70%
65
Neutral
kr19.15B26.7215.15%0.83%2.60%3.05%
64
Neutral
kr5.69B21.4310.13%3.29%-0.69%-14.04%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
56
Neutral
kr5.14B16.183.57%3.46%-6.23%-37.00%
47
Neutral
kr560.00M-48.91-2.59%-9.58%76.19%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:FAG
Fagerhult AB
29.20
-10.36
-26.18%
SE:INWI
Inwido AB
162.40
-24.22
-12.98%
SE:AQ
AQ Group AB
208.80
70.61
51.10%
SE:GARO
GARO AB
11.20
-7.26
-39.33%
SE:COOR
Coor Service Management Holding AB
59.85
26.73
80.70%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026