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Cloetta AB Class B (SE:CLA.B)
:CLA.B

Cloetta AB (CLA.B) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:CLA.B

Cloetta AB

(CLA.B)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
kr56.00
▲(42.42% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/19/26
The score is driven primarily by improved profitability and a de-risked balance sheet, reinforced by a constructive earnings call with upgraded growth targets, strong cash flow, and higher dividends. Offsetting factors are technically overbought conditions (high RSI/Stoch) and only mid-range valuation, alongside lingering concerns around 2025 top-line softness and some one-off margin support.
Positive Factors
Margin recovery and profitability
Sustained margin expansion reflects successful net revenue management, cost control and portfolio actions, raising underlying earnings power. Higher operating margins improve cash conversion, support reinvestment and dividends, and provide buffer versus commodity or regional volatility.
De-leveraged balance sheet
Marked deleveraging increases financial flexibility and lowers interest risk, enabling capacity for capex, acquisitions or buybacks while maintaining the new net-debt target below 1.5x. Strong equity and low leverage materially reduce solvency risk over the medium-term.
Robust cash generation and shareholder returns
Consistent and rising operating and free cash flow supports a higher, sustainable payout and funds planned capex for growth. Strong cash conversion historically underpins strategic execution and reduces reliance on external funding for expansion or restructuring.
Negative Factors
Softening top-line momentum
A negative revenue print indicates structural demand or pricing headwinds that can erode the base for future margin gains. Sustained top-line weakness would force more reliance on cost measures or price increases, constraining durable growth and earnings scalability.
One-off supplier compensation aided margins
Margins were materially aided by a non-recurring supplier compensation. If that benefit lapses, reported margins and EBIT could decline absent offsetting structural savings or pricing, calling into question the durability of the recent profit recovery.
Commodity exposure (cocoa) in chocolate
Volatile cocoa costs can persistently pressure gross margins in the chocolate category, forcing either margin compression or price moves that risk volume. With chocolate a meaningful slice of sales, extended commodity swings can impair medium-term profitability and planning.

Cloetta AB (CLA.B) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Cloetta AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCloetta AB (publ) operates as a confectionary company. It manufactures and markets chocolate confectionery products, including pralines, chocolate wafers, dragees, plates, and countlines under the Kexchoklad, Polly, Center, Plopp, Tupla, Royal, Sportlunch, Bridge, Lonka, Sinas, Snippers, and Lonka soft nougat brands. The company also provides confectionery products comprising foams, wine gums, liquorice, toffees, hard boiled candies, and lollypops under the Malaco, Red Band, Ahlgrens bilar, Venco, Chewits, and Juleskum brands. In addition, it offers pastilles under the Läkerol, Mynthon, and King brands, as well as chewing gums under the Jenkki, Sportlife, and Xylifresh brands. Further, the company produces and sells dry roasted nuts under the Nutisal brand. It sells its products through a network of grocery retail trade, service trade, e-commerce, and other sales channels. Cloetta AB (publ) was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in Sundbyberg, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyCloetta generates revenue primarily through the sale of its confectionery products across various segments, including retail, food service, and online platforms. The company benefits from multiple revenue streams, including direct sales to retailers, partnerships with distributors, and private label agreements. Key factors contributing to its earnings include brand loyalty, effective marketing strategies, and a robust supply chain that ensures product availability. Additionally, Cloetta focuses on product innovation and expanding its product lines, which helps attract new customers and retain existing ones, thereby enhancing its profitability.

Cloetta AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a predominantly positive operational and financial picture: strong profitability recovery (12.1% adjusted EBIT), record operating cash flow (+SEK 1.057 billion), reduced leverage (net debt-to-EBITDA 0.7), successful strategic moves (IKEA agreement, North America progress) and increased shareholder returns (dividend +27%). Headwinds include translation-related reported sales declines, regional softness outside the Nordics, an ongoing supplier compensation negotiation that temporarily boosted margins, cocoa-price related uncertainty in chocolate, and short-term variability in Pick & Mix. On balance, the positive performance, cash generation, deleveraging and clear strategic execution outweigh the manageable challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Margin Recovery
Full-year sales of SEK 8.5 billion with an adjusted operating margin of 12.1% in 2025 versus 10.6% in 2024 (+150 bps). Q4 adjusted operating margin was 13.9%.
Organic Growth and Volume Improvement
Q4 organic sales growth of 1.1% and full-year organic growth of 1.9%. Management reports Q4 volumes are stable to growing after prior pricing benefit faded.
Nordic Market Outperformance
Nordics accounted for 70% of Q4 sales, up 2 percentage points vs 2024; implies roughly ~4% Nordic growth in Q4, driving overall outperformance within core markets.
Cash Generation and Leverage Strength
Operating cash flow exceeded SEK 1.0 billion (SEK 1.057 billion) for the first time. Q4 free cash flow rose to SEK 394 million (up ~49% from SEK 264 million). Net debt-to-EBITDA ended at 0.7 and net debt at SEK 956 million, well below the new target of <1.5.
Dividend and Shareholder Returns
Board proposed ordinary dividend of SEK 1.40 per share for 2025, a 27% increase vs prior year; updated dividend policy aims for payout above 50% of profit after tax.
Strategic Partnerships and International Expansion
Signed a global agreement with IKEA with broader assortment available in 14 European countries and further rollouts planned for 2026-2027. North America expansion progressing: local commercial leader contracted, packaging/recipes finalized, and a CandyKing store in Manhattan that has been profitable since opening.
Cost Savings and Margin Initiatives
Organizational restructuring target of SEK 60–70 million; delivered roughly 30% of annualized savings (~SEK 20 million) within 2025 (better than the initially expected 20%). Continued margin improvements attributed to net revenue management, cost control and portfolio actions.
Pick & Mix and Branded Segment Improvements
Pick & Mix full-year margin at 9.2% (within target 7–9%); Branded (Packed) full-year margin just over 13%, a 150 bps recovery vs prior year.
Negative Updates
Translation-Driven Reported Sales Decline
Reported net sales declined ~2% for the full year and ~3% in Q4 due to currency translation effects from a strong Swedish krona, even though underlying local performance was stronger.
Partial and Ongoing Supplier Compensation
Q4 and full-year margin improvement were partially driven by a received partial compensation related to a 2024 supplier quality incident. The negotiation is ongoing and management is not treating the benefit as fully repeatable.
Regional Weakness Outside Nordics
Rest of Europe (including Germany and the UK) displayed softness relative to the Nordics; continental markets stabilized in Q4 but did not match Nordic growth rates, offsetting some group growth.
Category and Pricing Uncertainty in Chocolate
Cocoa price volatility creates uncertainty around consumer price elasticity and competitive pricing in chocolate. Chocolate represents just over 20% of Cloetta's portfolio, limiting exposure but creating potential headwinds for competitors and market dynamics.
Pick & Mix Quarter-on-Quarter Fluctuation
Pick & Mix showed softer profitability and growth in Q4 versus Q3, indicating some short-term variability even though the long-term trajectory remains positive.
Low CapEx in 2025 with Planned Increase Ahead
CapEx was modest in Q4 at SEK 31 million and generally low in 2025; management signaled investments will rise to secure future growth, implying near-term spend increases that may affect future free cash flow timing.
Company Guidance
Cloetta’s guidance updated key financial targets and near-term operational expectations: long‑term organic growth is now 3–4% (up from ~1–2%), adjusted EBIT target remains 14% with a nearer‑term objective of at least 12% by 2027 (FY2025 reported 12.1%; Q4 adjusted EBIT 13.9% aided by a partial supplier compensation expected to conclude in H1 2026), a new net‑debt target below 1.5x (historical ~2.5x; year‑end net debt SEK 956m, net‑debt/EBITDA 0.7) and a dividend policy targeting payout above 50% (Board proposal SEK 1.40/share, +27% y/y); management expects to realize SEK 60–70m of annualized restructuring savings (≈30% or ~SEK 20m delivered in 2025), delivered operating cash flow > SEK 1.057bn in 2025, Q4 free cash flow SEK 394m, Q4 capex SEK 31m with capex set to rise to support growth, available liquidity ~SEK 2.8bn, and timing/seasonality effects including an expected SEK 30–40m shift of Easter sales from Q2 into Q1 2026.

Cloetta AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and earnings improved materially (gross margin rising to ~38% by 2025; net margin ~9% in 2025; net income up to 791M). Balance sheet de-risked with lower leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.29 in 2025) and stronger ROE (~14%). Main offset is softer top-line momentum in 2025 (revenue dip/negative growth indicated) and some 2025 cash-flow coverage fields are inconsistent, limiting latest-year quality confirmation.
Income Statement
71
Positive
Profitability improved meaningfully over the last few years, with higher gross margin (about 31% in 2022 rising to ~38% in 2025) and stronger operating and net margins (net margin ~5–6% in 2023–2024 rising to ~9% in 2025). Earnings also strengthened (net income 437M in 2023 to 791M in 2025). The main weakness is top-line momentum: after growth in 2022–2024, 2025 revenue dipped slightly versus 2024 (and the provided 2025 revenue growth rate is negative), suggesting demand/pricing softness or tougher comparables.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Leverage looks conservative and is improving: debt-to-equity declined from ~0.52–0.59 (2020–2021) to ~0.29 in 2025, alongside rising equity (about 4.2B in 2020 to 5.7B in 2025). Returns on equity also strengthened (roughly 8–9% in 2023–2024 up to ~14% in 2025), indicating better efficiency/profit generation on shareholder capital. A watch item is that total assets fell from 11.1B (2024) to 10.4B (2025), which could reflect portfolio/working-capital shifts, though not necessarily negative given the lower leverage.
Cash Flow
67
Positive
Cash generation is solid and improving in absolute terms: operating cash flow increased from 765M (2024) to 1,057M (2025), and free cash flow rose from 602M to 924M with strong growth shown in 2025. Free cash flow has generally covered net income well in prior years (e.g., ~64% in 2023 and ~79% in 2024), supporting earnings quality. The key weakness is data consistency in 2025 where the provided cash-flow-to-earnings style coverage fields are shown as 0.0, which prevents confirming coverage metrics for the latest year from the dataset.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.53B8.61B8.30B6.87B6.05B
Gross Profit3.21B2.87B2.60B2.13B2.15B
EBITDA1.42B1.14B1.05B661.00M854.00M
Net Income791.00M477.00M437.00M275.00M472.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.41B11.14B10.68B10.32B9.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments737.00M953.00M658.00M583.00M692.00M
Total Debt1.60B2.51B2.48B2.48B2.37B
Total Liabilities4.71B5.71B5.58B5.32B5.03B
Stockholders Equity5.71B5.43B5.10B4.99B4.51B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow924.00M602.00M496.00M305.00M664.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.06B765.00M778.00M519.00M858.00M
Investing Cash Flow-131.00M-91.00M-280.00M-213.00M-191.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.19B-367.00M-379.00M-406.00M-436.00M

Cloetta AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price39.32
Price Trends
50DMA
45.09
Positive
100DMA
40.75
Positive
200DMA
36.96
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.25
Positive
RSI
86.51
Negative
STOCH
86.99
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:CLA.B, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 39.32 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 50.16, below the 50-day MA of 45.09, and above the 200-day MA of 36.96, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 86.51 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.99 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SE:CLA.B.

Cloetta AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
kr15.35B18.8612.72%2.74%0.81%57.02%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
62
Neutral
kr4.52B14.759.65%4.83%3.79%39.15%
61
Neutral
kr2.98B14.154.40%19.47%46.15%
58
Neutral
kr1.67B164.24-0.17%2.34%-2.95%-112.90%
55
Neutral
kr8.39B23.132.56%7.37%2.90%
50
Neutral
kr3.16B197.770.87%5.99%-38.16%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:CLA.B
Cloetta AB
53.20
26.51
99.29%
SE:MSON.B
Midsona AB Class B
11.50
3.08
36.61%
SE:DUNI
Duni AB
96.10
2.23
2.38%
SE:HUMBLE
Humble Group AB
7.08
-3.31
-31.86%
SE:VIVA
Viva Wine Group AB
33.30
-5.22
-13.55%
SE:SCST
Scandi Standard AB
128.40
45.65
55.16%

Cloetta AB Corporate Events

Cloetta Caps Profitable 2025 with Margin Gains and Dividend Raise
Feb 4, 2026

The company’s 2025 performance featured 1.9% organic growth, an adjusted EBIT margin of 12.1%, record low leverage, and SEK 924m free cash flow, prompting a proposed dividend hike as operational restructuring and cost savings accelerated more quickly than planned while the CandyKing concept entered New York.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:CLA.B) stock is a Buy with a SEK48.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cloetta AB stock, see the SE:CLA.B Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 19, 2026