Viva Wine Group AB (VIVA) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: kr3.05B
• Dividend Yield: 4.4%
• Average Volume (3M): 24.05K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 17.7
• Beta (1Y): -0.03
• Revenue Growth: 19.47%
• EPS Growth: 46.15%
• Country: SE
• Employees: 282
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries
• EPS (TTM): 0.60
• Shares Outstanding: 89,631,880
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 20,867
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 24,055
• PEG Ratio: 0.32
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.04
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.80
• P/FCF Ratio: 14.01
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 71 Outperform
• Price Target: kr41.00 ▲(15.82% Upside)

Viva Wine Group AB demonstrates strong financial performance with robust cash flow and a stable balance sheet, which are the most significant factors in its overall score. The technical analysis suggests a neutral trend with potential overbought conditions. The valuation is reasonable with an attractive dividend yield, supporting the stock's overall appeal.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Consistent revenue growth indicates the company's ability to expand its market reach and adapt to consumer demands, supporting long-term business sustainability.

Cash Flow Strength

Strong cash flow growth enhances the company's liquidity position, allowing it to fund operations and investments without heavy reliance on external financing.

Balance Sheet Health

A stable balance sheet with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio provides financial stability and flexibility for future growth and investment opportunities.

Negative Factors

Profit Margin Challenges

Decreasing net profit margins indicate potential challenges in cost management, which could impact the company's profitability if not addressed.

Increasing Liabilities

Rising liabilities can strain financial resources and limit the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities, affecting long-term financial health.

Return on Equity Decline

A declining ROE suggests reduced efficiency in generating returns on shareholder investments, which could impact investor confidence and future capital raising.

Viva Wine Group AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Viva Wine Group AB develops, produces, markets, imports, and supplies wines and spirits. It operates through four segments: Sweden, Nordics, E-commerce, and Other. It offers red, white, rosé, and sparkling wines under the Il Barone, Pietro di Campo, Casa Vinironia, Hope, Leva, and Ecologica brands, as well as under the partner brands, including Louis Bouillot, Cigarra, Amicone, and Pizzolato. The company sells its products through supermarkets, specialist stores, and B2C and B2B online sales channels. It serves consumers, wholesalers, hotels, and restaurants. The company operates in Sweden, Nordic countries, Germany, Switzerland, Austria, France, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, the United States, and China. Viva Wine Group AB was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

How the Company Makes Money

Viva Wine Group AB generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of its wine products to wholesalers, retailers, and direct consumers. The company leverages its brand portfolio to target different market segments, allowing it to capture a wide customer base. Revenue is also enhanced through partnerships with distributors and participation in wine festivals and events, which help to increase brand visibility and drive sales. Additionally, VIVA may engage in strategic collaborations with other beverage companies or retailers to expand its reach and improve distribution efficiency, contributing positively to its overall earnings.

Viva Wine Group AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue growth is healthy (+11% TTM) and free cash flow is strong (232M; FCF/net income ~0.97) with solid growth (+50.6%). Offsetting this, profitability is thin and compressing (net margin ~3.5% vs ~4.0% in 2024), and leverage increased sharply (debt-to-equity ~1.0 vs ~0.34 in 2024), raising financial risk.

Income Statement

TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue grew 11.0% versus the last annual period, showing healthy top-line momentum. Profitability is positive but thin: TTM gross margin is ~20.2% and net margin is ~3.5%, down from 2024’s ~4.0% net margin and well below 2021–2022 levels, indicating margin compression. Net income is roughly stable versus 2024 (171M vs 170M), but overall earnings power appears less robust than earlier years.

Balance Sheet

Leverage increased materially in TTM, with debt-to-equity rising to ~1.0 from ~0.34 in 2024, reducing balance-sheet flexibility. Equity remains sizable (1,576M) and return on equity is a solid ~10.7% in TTM, suggesting the company is still generating reasonable returns. The main weakness is the step-up in debt load (1,543M TTM vs 558M in 2024), which heightens risk if margins remain pressured.

Cash Flow

Cash generation is a clear strength: TTM free cash flow is 232M and is nearly equal to net income (free cash flow to net income ~0.97), indicating good earnings quality. TTM free cash flow growth is strong (+50.6%) and operating cash flow remains healthy (239M). A watch-out is that cash flow coverage of debt weakened in TTM (operating cash flow relative to debt ~0.13 vs ~0.20 in 2024), reflecting the higher debt balance.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	4.92B	4.21B	3.98B	3.83B	3.33B	3.71B
Gross Profit	991.00M	862.00M	248.00M	870.00M	783.00M	842.90M
EBITDA	459.00M	445.00M	280.00M	496.00M	614.00M	292.10M
Net Income	171.00M	170.00M	106.00M	254.00M	414.00M	359.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	4.89B	3.71B	3.63B	3.90B	3.81B	1.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	100.00M	31.00M	94.00M	339.00M	331.00M	42.30M
Total Debt	1.54B	558.00M	617.00M	831.00M	876.00M	175.60M
Total Liabilities	3.15B	1.98B	1.91B	2.04B	2.08B	1.02B
Stockholders Equity	1.58B	1.66B	1.65B	1.77B	1.66B	338.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	232.00M	241.00M	180.00M	281.00M	49.00M	169.10M
Operating Cash Flow	239.00M	245.00M	212.00M	286.00M	158.00M	217.10M
Investing Cash Flow	-580.00M	-51.00M	-35.00M	-5.00M	-1.59B	-64.10M
Financing Cash Flow	412.00M	-258.00M	-422.00M	-281.00M	1.71B	-205.30M

Viva Wine Group AB Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 35.40
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:VIVA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 35.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.94, below the 50-day MA of 35.42, and below the 200-day MA of 38.01, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:VIVA.

Viva Wine Group AB Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CLA.B	73 Outperform	kr12.57B	17.33	12.72%	2.74%	0.81%	57.02%
VIVA	71 Outperform	kr3.05B	17.66	―	4.40%	19.47%	46.15%
DUNI	71 Outperform	kr4.93B	15.06	9.65%	4.83%	3.79%	39.15%
SCST	68 Neutral	kr7.06B	22.78	―	2.56%	7.37%	2.90%
MSON.B	63 Neutral	kr1.43B	143.31	-0.17%	2.34%	-2.95%	-112.90%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
HUMBLE	59 Neutral	kr3.54B	80.34	0.87%	―	5.99%	-38.16%