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CellaVision AB (SE:CEVI)
:CEVI

CellaVision AB (CEVI) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:CEVI

CellaVision AB

(CEVI)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
kr175.00
▲(8.70% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong underlying profitability and an exceptionally low-debt balance sheet, providing resilience. It is held back by weak recent growth and subpar free-cash-flow conversion, while technicals remain mixed/soft and valuation (P/E ~25) looks only moderately supported by the dividend. Earnings-call commentary adds a modest positive tilt via product/software milestones but highlights near-term FX and regional/cash-flow challenges.
Positive Factors
High profitability and margins
Sustained high gross and net margins indicate strong product pricing power and efficient operations. Durable margins support reinvestment in R&D, fund operating leverage if sales recover, and provide a cushion against adverse cycles, underpinning long-term shareholder returns.
Conservative balance sheet with minimal leverage
Extremely low leverage provides financial flexibility to fund product development, absorb regional softness, and pursue targeted M&A or capital returns without refinancing risk. This resilience reduces bankruptcy risk and preserves strategic optionality over the medium term.
Recurring revenue and product innovation pipeline
A mix of hardware sales plus recurring software/licenses and maintenance increases revenue visibility and customer stickiness. Ongoing innovation—CE marking pursuit and software upgrades—can expand addressable market and boost lifetime customer value sustainably.
Negative Factors
Sharp recent revenue decline
A ~40% TTM revenue drop signals a significant demand setback that may not be transient. Persistent top-line contraction can erode economies of scale, pressure future R&D funding, and make margin maintenance harder, raising execution risk over the coming quarters.
Weak free cash flow conversion and working-capital strain
Low FCF conversion and volatile cash from working-capital swings reduce internally available funds for capex, dividends, or buybacks. Recurring AR issues can force external financing or slower reinvestment, weakening the company’s ability to execute strategic projects reliably.
Regional weakness and competitive pressure in China/APAC
Sustained pricing pressure and strong local competitors in China/APAC threaten market share and margin expansion. Given the region’s growth importance, persistent competitive dynamics could limit long-term revenue growth and require ongoing investment or price concessions to defend position.

CellaVision AB (CEVI) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

CellaVision AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCellaVision AB (publ) develops and sells digital solutions for blood and body fluids analysis in health care services sector in Sweden, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia Pacific. The company provides CellaVision DM1200 and CellaVision DM9600, which automatically capture digital images of cells from blood smears and body fluid preparations; and CellaVision DC-1, an analyzer. It also offers CellaVision Peripheral Blood Application that enables laboratories to automate, standardize, and simplify morphological examination of peripheral blood smears; CellaVision Advanced RBC Application, which enables to perform comprehensive examination of red blood cell morphology; CellaVision Body Fluid Application that enables laboratories to automate, standardize, and simplify morphological examination of body fluid preparations; and CellaVision Remote Review Software, which removes restrictive geographical constraints from the smear review process. In addition, the company provides CellaVision Server Software that creates a single streamlined workflow within one or multiple testing sites; CellaVision Dashboard, a tool designed to give an at-a-glance view of CellaVision analyzer and reviewer metrics; CellaVision Proficiency Software, a cloud-based software designed to help laboratory managers assess, monitor, and promote staff competency in the area of cell morphology; CellaVision CellAtlas, which combines a series of mini lectures with an extensive cell image library; and CellaVision VET that offers digital solutions for medical microscopy in the field of hematology. It sells its products to hospital and commercial laboratories. CellaVision AB (publ) was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Lund, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyCellaVision generates revenue primarily through the sale of its advanced digital microscopes and software solutions designed for automated blood sample analysis. The company operates on a model that includes direct sales of equipment, as well as recurring revenue from software licenses and maintenance agreements. Key revenue streams include the initial sale of hardware systems, ongoing software subscriptions, and service contracts. Additionally, CellaVision has established partnerships with various distributors and strategic alliances within the healthcare sector, which help expand its market reach and drive sales. These partnerships, along with a focus on providing high-quality, reliable diagnostic solutions, contribute significantly to the company's earnings.

CellaVision AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with several strategic advancements and organic growth offset by regional performance issues and currency headwinds. The company's strategic initiatives and innovation efforts show potential for future growth, but current challenges in certain markets and financial metrics present areas of concern.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Organic Sales Growth
Despite a net sales decrease of 1.7%, CellaVision achieved an organic sales increase of 2.6% compared to the previous year.
EBITDA Improvement
EBITDA improved from SEK 49 million to SEK 50 million, resulting in an EBITDA margin of 28%.
Progress in Strategic Projects
Completion of clinical trials and submission for CE Marking for the bone marrow application, expected by early 2026.
Reagents Segment Growth
The reagents segment saw a growth of 14%, indicating a positive trajectory in this business area.
Software and Innovation
The software upgrade was finalized and installed at customer sites, with an enhanced user experience and functionality.
Negative Updates
Negative Currency Effects
The company faced a currency headwind of minus 4.3%, impacting overall sales figures.
APAC Soft Quarter
APAC region reported only SEK 13 million in sales, with a 10% growth on a low base, impacted by inventory and shipping issues.
Challenges in China
Fierce competition in China with local players and pricing pressures, despite strategic initiatives to manufacture locally.
Timing and Cash Flow Issues
A significant increase in accounts receivable due to late quarter orders, impacting cash flow negatively by SEK 22 million.
Company Guidance
In the CellaVision Q3 2025 report, CEO Simon Østergaard discussed a softer quarter with mixed regional performance, influenced by currency effects. Net sales decreased by 1.7% to SEK 176 million, though organic sales grew by 2.6% compared to the previous year, despite a 4.3% FX headwind. EBITDA increased slightly to SEK 50 million, equating to a 28% margin. The company emphasized its strategic progress, including the completion of a clinical trial and submission for CE Marking of its bone marrow application, expected early 2026. They also highlighted an upgraded software for their platforms, set to roll out in the current quarter. Gross margin improved to 69%, aided by price increases and product mix adjustments. Operating expenses totaled SEK 82 million, with significant R&D investments accounting for 24% of sales, although capitalization was lower at SEK 14 million. The operating cash flow was SEK 29.6 million, with a total cash flow of SEK 4 million after investments and finance activities. Regionally, the Americas saw SEK 68 million in sales with a 4% organic growth, while EMEA recorded SEK 96 million with 1% growth. APAC reported SEK 13 million, reflecting a 10% growth but on a low base. The company is optimistic about its strategic directions, particularly with its bone marrow application and software upgrades expected to enhance future growth.

CellaVision AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability (gross margin ~69%, net margin ~20%, EBIT margin ~27%) and a very conservative balance sheet (minimal leverage, healthy ROE ~18%) support a high score. Offsetting factors are the sharp TTM revenue decline (~-40%) and weaker/volatile free cash flow conversion (FCF much lower vs net income), which raise near-term execution risk.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Profitability is strong and consistent, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross margin around 69% and net margin around 20%, and solid operating profitability (EBIT margin ~27%). However, growth has turned into a key concern: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue declined sharply (~-40%) versus steady positive growth in prior annual periods, suggesting a notable demand slowdown or tough comparison period despite margins holding up.
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
The balance sheet is very conservatively financed: debt is minimal (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.03) and equity is sizable relative to assets, providing strong financial flexibility. Returns remain healthy (TTM return on equity ~18%), though down from earlier peak levels, implying profitability is still good but not accelerating.
Cash Flow
63
Positive
Cash generation from operations is solid (TTM operating cash flow exceeds net income), indicating good earnings quality. The weaker point is free cash flow conversion and volatility: TTM free cash flow is much lower relative to net income (~0.32) and free cash flow fell materially versus the last annual period, pointing to higher reinvestment needs or working-capital drag.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue748.45M723.22M677.29M639.34M565.55M471.44M
Gross Profit517.25M487.07M463.04M438.32M392.30M313.04M
EBITDA229.98M219.75M207.25M198.36M193.60M134.37M
Net Income151.41M140.72M130.31M118.33M125.34M89.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.08B1.01B928.71M891.75M825.21M668.02M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments158.67M149.43M121.64M108.05M130.29M102.26M
Total Debt27.26M26.85M64.70M102.50M136.65M132.78M
Total Liabilities224.75M196.16M212.32M250.12M281.93M238.41M
Stockholders Equity851.50M815.73M716.39M641.63M543.28M429.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow61.53M120.69M109.96M67.85M75.41M37.47M
Operating Cash Flow195.10M198.44M196.44M137.28M159.72M71.12M
Investing Cash Flow-92.79M-76.01M-85.53M-70.01M-84.34M-34.96M
Financing Cash Flow-81.11M-95.09M-97.04M-90.41M-48.48M-35.22M

CellaVision AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price161.00
Price Trends
50DMA
155.96
Negative
100DMA
166.65
Negative
200DMA
173.02
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.84
Positive
RSI
38.61
Neutral
STOCH
4.56
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:CEVI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 161 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 154.89, above the 50-day MA of 155.96, and below the 200-day MA of 173.02, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.84 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.56 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:CEVI.

CellaVision AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
kr3.52B23.2217.89%1.61%1.53%0.79%
66
Neutral
kr1.07B45.726.93%-5.80%-65.99%
60
Neutral
kr7.09B281.921.32%8.39%-85.36%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
kr1.22B-1.78-57.26%-23.24%45.32%
48
Neutral
kr997.34M-24.54-4.42%13.48%28.98%
43
Neutral
kr786.08M-5.77-36.55%62.24%21.16%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:CEVI
CellaVision AB
147.40
-66.38
-31.05%
SE:BICO
BICO Group AB Class B
17.25
-15.45
-47.25%
SE:SEZI
Senzime AB
5.00
-0.64
-11.35%
SE:XVIVO
Xvivo Perfusion AB
225.20
-242.30
-51.83%
SE:CRAD.B
C-Rad AB Class B
31.55
-0.85
-2.62%
SE:SEDANA
Sedana Medical AB
10.04
-7.90
-44.04%

CellaVision AB Corporate Events

CellaVision’s Bone Marrow Application Achieves CE Marking
Dec 8, 2025

CellaVision has achieved CE marking approval for its Bone Marrow Aspirate Application under the EU In Vitro Diagnostic Regulation as a Class C product, marking a significant milestone. This approval allows laboratories to automate and standardize bone marrow aspirate examinations, enhancing efficiency and reducing workload in diagnosing hematologic conditions, thus strengthening CellaVision’s position in the medical technology industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:CEVI) stock is a Hold with a SEK174.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CellaVision AB stock, see the SE:CEVI Stock Forecast page.

CellaVision Reports Mixed Q3 Performance Amid Strategic Advancements
Nov 6, 2025

CellaVision AB’s third quarter of 2025 showed mixed regional performance with a slight decrease in net sales, impacted by currency effects and changes in the supply chain. Despite these challenges, the company remains optimistic about its long-term growth, driven by strong demand for its products, particularly in the US and APAC regions. Strategic advancements include the completion of European clinical trials for a new bone marrow application and the upcoming launch of upgraded software for hematology analyzers, reflecting CellaVision’s commitment to innovation and enhanced diagnostic solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:CEVI) stock is a Buy with a SEK199.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CellaVision AB stock, see the SE:CEVI Stock Forecast page.

CellaVision to Present Q3 2025 Report on November 6
Oct 23, 2025

CellaVision AB announced the release of its third-quarter 2025 report on November 6, inviting analysts, investors, and media to a conference call and webcast for a presentation by CEO Simon Østergaard. This event underscores the company’s commitment to transparency and engagement with stakeholders, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:CEVI) stock is a Buy with a SEK199.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CellaVision AB stock, see the SE:CEVI Stock Forecast page.

CellaVision Announces Nomination Committee for 2026 AGM
Oct 21, 2025

CellaVision has announced the formation of its Nomination Committee ahead of the 2026 Annual General Meeting, scheduled for April 28 in Lund. The committee, chaired by Joel Eklund, will propose candidates for key positions such as the Chairman of the General Meeting and members of the Board of Directors. This announcement is a routine part of CellaVision’s governance process, ensuring structured leadership and strategic planning for the company’s future operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:CEVI) stock is a Buy with a SEK199.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CellaVision AB stock, see the SE:CEVI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026