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Alligator Bioscience AB (SE:ATORX)
:ATORX

Alligator Bioscience AB (ATORX) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:ATORX

Alligator Bioscience AB

(ATORX)

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Underperform 38 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:38Underperform
Price Target:
kr0.16
▼(-51.76% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven down primarily by very weak financial performance (heavy losses, worsening cash burn, and pressured balance sheet). Technicals add further downside due to a strong downtrend and negative momentum, while valuation offers limited support because the company is loss-making and no dividend yield is available.
Positive Factors
Partnering / licensing revenue model
A partnering/licensing business model is capital-efficient for a clinical-stage biotech: it enables milestone and royalty upside while shifting late‑stage costs to partners. Over 2–6 months this reduces cash runway sensitivity and preserves upside if programs attract partners.
Focused antibody immunotherapy expertise
A clear scientific focus on antibody-based immunotherapies and immune co-stimulatory pathways supports durable competitive positioning in oncology R&D. Specialized expertise improves likelihood of valuable assets for out-licensing or partnerships in a growing immuno-oncology market.
Lean organizational structure
A small headcount implies lower fixed overhead and potential for capital efficiency relative to larger peers. For a licensing-focused biotech, a lean team helps stretch limited resources, allowing management to prioritize R&D and partnering activities without large structural costs.
Negative Factors
Very high cash burn
Sustained, very large negative operating and free cash flow creates structural reliance on external financing. Over coming months this elevates refinancing and dilution risk, constrains strategic optionality, and pressures timing/terms of potential partnering or licensing deals.
Weakened balance sheet & rising debt
Material erosion of equity and stepped-up debt raise leverage and financial fragility. Higher indebtedness with minimal capital buffers limits flexibility, increases refinancing and covenant risk, and weakens negotiating power with potential partners or acquirers.
Sharp revenue collapse and persistent losses
A near-total revenue drop alongside ongoing operating losses signals structural volatility in recognized collaborations or milestone timing. This undermines internal funding prospects, raises uncertainty about commercial traction, and lengthens the time to self-sustaining profitability.

Alligator Bioscience AB (ATORX) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Alligator Bioscience AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlligator Bioscience AB (publ), a research-based biotechnology company, develops antibody-based drugs for cancer treatment in Sweden. It develops products using its technology platforms, including ALLIGATOR-GOLD and ALLIGATOR-FAB, a proprietary human antibody library that contains approximately 60 billion unique antibody fragments; FIND, a molecular evolution technology for optimization of antibodies and other proteins; and RUBY, a bispecific antibody format. The company develops Mitazalimab, an immunostimulatory CD40 antibody, which has completed Phase I clinical trial for the treatment of metastatic cancer; and ATOR-1017, an immunostimulatory antibody, which is in phase I clinical trial that binds to the receptor 4-1BB in tumor-specific T cells. Its drug candidates in the preclinical development stage include ALG.APV-527, a bispecific 4-1BB and 5T4 antibody for the treatment of cancer. The company also holds a stake in clinical project Biosynergy (AC101), which is in phase I clinical trial. It has a partnership agreement with Aptevo Therapeutics Inc. for the co-development of ALG.APV-527; and a research collaboration with MacroGenics, Inc. to develop a novel immunotherapy. The company also has a joint research agreement with BioArctic AB (publ) to employ proprietary antibody generation technologies for developing new product candidates; and a research collaboration and license agreement with the Orion Corporation to discover and develop new bispecific antibody cancer therapeutics. Alligator Bioscience AB (publ) was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Lund, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlligator Bioscience AB generates revenue primarily through strategic collaborations and licensing agreements with larger pharmaceutical companies. These partnerships often provide upfront payments, milestone payments upon reaching certain clinical or regulatory achievements, and royalties on future sales of successfully developed therapies. Additionally, the company may receive funding through government grants and research collaborations to support its R&D initiatives. The development and commercialization of its proprietary and partnered drug candidates are key drivers of its revenue model.

Alligator Bioscience AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Very weak fundamentals: persistent large operating/net losses, a ~99% revenue collapse in 2025, consistently deeply negative operating and free cash flow with increased 2025 cash burn (~-156m to -157m), and a materially weakened capital structure with equity turning negative in 2024 and leverage rising (debt ~60m in 2025).
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Profitability is very weak and volatile. The company reports persistent large operating and net losses across all years, with deeply negative margins in most periods, and 2025 shows a sharp collapse in revenue (down ~99% vs. prior year) alongside continued heavy losses. While revenue had grown strongly earlier in the period (2021–2023), the overall trajectory is dominated by sustained losses and a significant deterioration in the latest reported year.
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
Balance sheet strength has deteriorated materially. Equity fell from positive levels in prior years to negative in 2024, then returned to only a small positive balance in 2025, indicating weakened capital buffers and higher financial risk. Debt has also stepped up over time (rising to ~60m in 2025 vs. ~10m in 2021), and with very low equity in 2025, leverage remains a key concern despite total assets staying relatively stable.
Cash Flow
10
Very Negative
Cash generation is very weak. Operating cash flow and free cash flow are consistently deeply negative each year, and 2025 cash burn increased to roughly -156m to -157m. Free cash flow has not shown a sustained improvement trend, implying continued reliance on external funding (capital raises or additional debt) to support operations.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue514.00K57.77M58.11M35.70M12.94M
Gross Profit-110.03M57.77M58.11M-112.03M-74.04M
EBITDA-121.98M-165.47M-237.61M-180.99M-130.39M
Net Income-51.35M-233.89M-248.59M-193.40M-141.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets110.60M104.34M118.45M169.58M333.20M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments62.20M64.31M66.12M97.31M278.15M
Total Debt60.41M43.57M16.10M24.50M9.74M
Total Liabilities103.74M234.93M106.59M80.53M50.93M
Stockholders Equity6.86M-130.59M11.86M89.05M282.27M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-157.45M-212.43M-191.74M-173.05M-127.08M
Operating Cash Flow-155.99M-212.43M-189.28M-172.61M-127.03M
Investing Cash Flow2.21M0.00-2.46M-440.00K-45.00K
Financing Cash Flow152.59M211.27M161.56M-7.83M301.80M

Alligator Bioscience AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.34
Price Trends
50DMA
0.24
Negative
100DMA
0.42
Negative
200DMA
0.88
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Negative
RSI
46.41
Neutral
STOCH
65.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:ATORX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.19, above the 50-day MA of 0.24, and below the 200-day MA of 0.88, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SE:ATORX.

Alligator Bioscience AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
52
Neutral
kr169.76M-3.34-52.45%2.56%52.76%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
44
Neutral
kr35.87M-0.65-294.38%186.74%73.17%
43
Neutral
kr37.83M-1.33-166.94%-19.35%
42
Neutral
kr104.32M-2.22-20.85%-67.00%13.62%
40
Underperform
kr123.63M-1.93-1291.15%28.54%
38
Underperform
kr99.15M-0.1752.38%74.36%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:ATORX
Alligator Bioscience AB
0.20
-30.12
-99.36%
SE:ALZ
Alzinova AB
0.63
-2.45
-79.61%
SE:NICA
Nanologica AB
0.40
-1.50
-79.10%
SE:MODTX
Modus Therapeutics Holding AB
0.30
-0.22
-42.75%
SE:ACTI
Active Biotech AB
0.05
-0.02
-31.94%
SE:NXTCL
NextCell Pharma AB
1.38
-2.36
-63.10%

Alligator Bioscience AB Corporate Events

Alligator Bioscience Bolsters Finances and Pipeline as Mitazalimab Advances
Feb 12, 2026

Alligator Bioscience reported its 2025 year-end results highlighting a rights issue that raised approximately SEK 91 million before costs to bolster liquidity and support further development of lead cancer drug candidate mitazalimab. The financing, complemented by bridge loans and potential future warrant proceeds, aims to secure the company’s transition of mitazalimab into its next development phase, despite continued operating losses and modest net sales.

The company advanced its scientific and strategic position through new peer-reviewed publications and congress presentations validating mitazalimab and ATOR-4066, and by securing a U.S. patent for ATOR-4066 to reinforce intellectual property and long-term asset value. Partner Shanghai Henlius progressed the HLX22 program into Phase 2/3 breast cancer trials in China, preserving a potential future revenue stream for Alligator via milestones and royalties and underscoring the broader commercial optionality of its portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:ATORX) stock is a Sell with a SEK0.18 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alligator Bioscience AB stock, see the SE:ATORX Stock Forecast page.

Alligator Bioscience Sets Date for 2025 Earnings Report and Investor Call
Feb 5, 2026

Alligator Bioscience will publish its full-year 2025 report on 12 February 2026 and on the same day host an English-language webinar and conference call for investors, analysts and media, led by CEO Søren Bregenholt and CFO Johan Giléus. The event, which requires advance registration and will include a Q&A session, underlines the company’s effort to engage the capital markets around its financial performance and development progress, with the full report to be made available on its website upon release.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:ATORX) stock is a Sell with a SEK0.18 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alligator Bioscience AB stock, see the SE:ATORX Stock Forecast page.

Alligator Bioscience Expands Share Capital to Over 534 Million Shares
Jan 30, 2026

Alligator Bioscience AB has increased its total number of outstanding shares and votes to 534,516,986 ordinary shares as of 30 January 2026, following a rights issue of units approved in late 2025 and a subsequent directed issue of units to guarantors. The expanded share base reflects the company’s ongoing capital-raising efforts to support its strategic and operational needs, potentially affecting existing shareholders through dilution while strengthening Alligator Bioscience’s financial position and flexibility within the competitive biotech sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:ATORX) stock is a Sell with a SEK0.18 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alligator Bioscience AB stock, see the SE:ATORX Stock Forecast page.

Alligator Bioscience to Showcase New Mitazalimab Pancreatic Cancer Data at ASCO GI 2026
Jan 9, 2026

Alligator Bioscience will present new clinical data from its Phase 1b/2 OPTIMIZE-1 study of the CD40 agonist mitazalimab in combination with standard mFOLFIRINOX chemotherapy in previously untreated metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma at the ASCO Gastrointestinal Cancers Symposium 2026 in San Francisco. The final efficacy analyses further characterize the clinical benefit of the combination and support Alligator’s preparations for pivotal development of mitazalimab, potentially strengthening the drug’s profile in a highly challenging cancer indication and reinforcing the company’s positioning in CD40-based immunotherapy as it engages key opinion leaders and advances toward Phase 3.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:ATORX) stock is a Sell with a SEK0.32 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alligator Bioscience AB stock, see the SE:ATORX Stock Forecast page.

Alligator Bioscience Issues Units to Guarantors and Warrants to Fenja Capital After Rights Issue
Jan 7, 2026

Alligator Bioscience’s board has executed a directed issue of 18,585,000 units to guarantors of its recent rights issue, with each unit consisting of two ordinary shares and one warrant, at a subscription price of SEK 0.40 per unit (SEK 0.20 per share), matching the rights issue terms. Eleven guarantors opted to take their guarantee compensation in newly issued units worth approximately SEK 7.4 million, while the remaining guarantors will receive around SEK 3.8 million in cash, and the board has also approved a directed issue of 28,132,473 warrants to Fenja Capital, collectively strengthening the company’s capital structure and aligning key investors through equity-linked instruments, albeit at the cost of further dilution for existing shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:ATORX) stock is a Sell with a SEK0.32 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alligator Bioscience AB stock, see the SE:ATORX Stock Forecast page.

Alligator Bioscience Raises SEK 91 Million in Heavily Dilutive Rights Issue
Dec 22, 2025

Alligator Bioscience has completed a rights issue of units that was subscribed to about 64.8 percent, with approximately 61.2 percent taken up by existing shareholders through unit rights and 3.6 percent subscribed without rights, while guarantee commitments will cover around 9.1 percent of the issue. The transaction will initially raise roughly SEK 91 million before costs and loan repayments, significantly increasing the company’s share count and resulting in an estimated 91.2 percent dilution for existing shareholders, with the potential for a further dilution of about 31.3 percent if all associated TO 14 warrants are exercised in March 2026, which could bring in up to SEK 57 million more and materially extend the company’s funding but at a substantial ownership dilution.

Alligator Bioscience Raises SEK 91 Million in Partially Subscribed Rights Issue
Dec 19, 2025

Alligator Bioscience has reported the preliminary outcome of its recently completed rights issue of units, indicating a subscription level of approximately 64.8 percent, of which 61.2 percent came through the exercise of unit rights and 3.6 percent without rights. As a result, guarantee commitments will be utilized for about 9.1 percent of the offering, and the company expects to raise roughly SEK 91 million before issue costs and debt repayments, including bridge loans and part of an outstanding loan to Fenja Capital II A/S. The rights issue, which comprised up to 306.7 million units—each consisting of two ordinary shares and one warrant—closed on 18 December 2025, with the final outcome scheduled to be announced on 22 December 2025, providing Alligator with important capital to support its ongoing operations and clinical pipeline.

Alligator Bioscience Comments on Henlius’ Regulatory Approval for HLX22 Trials in China
Dec 9, 2025

Alligator Bioscience has commented on Shanghai Henlius Biotech’s recent regulatory approval in China to begin Phase 2/3 trials of HLX22, a monoclonal antibody for treating HER2-positive breast cancer. Although Alligator is not directly involved in the development, the company stands to benefit financially from potential future revenues due to its licensing agreement with AbClon, which entitles Alligator to a share of Henlius’ revenues from HLX22.

Alligator Bioscience Publishes Supplement Prospectus for Rights Issue
Dec 3, 2025

Alligator Bioscience AB has published a supplement prospectus related to its rights issue, which includes ordinary shares and warrants, approved by the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority. The rights issue subscription period runs from December 4 to December 18, 2025, with trading in unit rights available until December 15, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategy to secure additional subscription undertakings and guarantee commitments, potentially strengthening its financial position and supporting its ongoing drug development efforts.

Alligator Bioscience Announces 2026 Financial Calendar
Dec 3, 2025

Alligator Bioscience has released its financial calendar for 2026, detailing key dates for shareholders and stakeholders, including the submission deadline for resolutions, various interim and annual reports, and the Annual General Meeting. This announcement provides stakeholders with a clear timeline for the company’s financial disclosures and meetings, which is crucial for maintaining transparency and engagement with investors.

Alligator Bioscience Secures Additional Funding for Rights Issue
Dec 1, 2025

Alligator Bioscience AB has announced additional subscription undertakings and guarantee commitments for its upcoming rights issue, increasing the total commitments from approximately SEK 78 million to SEK 91 million. This financial support from both existing and new investors, including Roxette Photo SA, Magnus Petersson, and HDF Impact BV, strengthens the company’s ability to advance its mitazalimab treatment towards the market, highlighting investor confidence in Alligator Bioscience’s strategic direction.

Alligator Bioscience’s Mitazalimab Shows Promise in Phase 1 Trial for Pancreatic Cancer
Dec 1, 2025

Alligator Bioscience announced the publication of Phase 1 trial data for mitazalimab in Nature Communications, showcasing its potential in treating metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. The study demonstrated significant immunological effects, including reduced tumor fibrosis and increased T-cell infiltration, supporting mitazalimab’s role in reshaping the tumor microenvironment. These findings reinforce the drug’s potential in combination therapies for hard-to-treat cancers, aligning with Alligator’s broader clinical strategy.

Alligator Bioscience Launches SEK 123 Million Rights Issue
Nov 28, 2025

Alligator Bioscience AB has announced a rights issue to raise approximately SEK 123 million, with the potential for an additional SEK 61 million through warrants. The funds will be used to repay loans and support the ongoing process to secure a partnership for mitazalimab, as well as for general corporate purposes. The rights issue is partially covered by subscription undertakings and guarantee commitments, ensuring a significant portion of the funds is secured.

Alligator Bioscience Adopts Key Resolutions to Strengthen Financial Position
Nov 25, 2025

Alligator Bioscience AB held an extraordinary general meeting on November 25, 2025, where several key resolutions were adopted. The company decided to amend its Articles of Association to adjust the limits for share capital and the number of shares, and to decrease its share capital to cover losses. Additionally, the meeting approved a rights issue of units, which is expected to raise approximately SEK 123 million before costs, and authorized the board to issue shares and warrants to guarantors and Fenja Capital II A/S as part of a loan restructuring. These measures aim to strengthen the company’s financial position and support its ongoing development efforts.

Alligator Bioscience Announces Final Terms for Rights Issue to Boost Cancer Therapy Development
Nov 24, 2025

Alligator Bioscience AB has announced the final terms of its Rights Issue, which involves issuing units of ordinary shares and warrants to existing shareholders. The initiative aims to raise approximately SEK 123 million initially, with potential additional proceeds of SEK 61 million if warrants are fully exercised. The funds will be used to repay loans and support the company’s ongoing efforts to secure a partnership for its cancer treatment, mitazalimab, as well as for general corporate purposes. The Rights Issue is partially covered by subscription undertakings and guarantee commitments, ensuring a significant portion of the funds is secured.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026