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Alligator Bioscience AB (SE:ATORX)
:ATORX

Alligator Bioscience AB (ATORX) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:ATORX

Alligator Bioscience AB

(ATORX)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
kr0.19
▼(-44.41% Downside)
The score is primarily weighed down by weak financial performance (sharp TTM revenue decline, persistent losses, heavy cash burn, and negative equity). Technicals also remain bearish with price well below major moving averages and negative MACD. Valuation provides limited support due to negative earnings and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Partnership-driven business model
A licensing and partnering model limits the need for late-stage commercialization capital and leverages partners' global capabilities. This reduces long-term capex and commercialization risk, enabling the company to focus R&D resources and monetize assets through milestones and royalties.
Focused immunotherapy expertise
Concentration on antibody-based cancer immunotherapies aligns with a durable, growing oncology market and high partner interest. Specialized scientific expertise and pipeline focus increase the likelihood of attractive out-licensing deals and strategic collaborations over the medium term.
Improving gross margin
A materially improved gross margin suggests progress in cost of goods or revenue mix, which can enhance long-term operating leverage if sustained. For a partnering-focused biotech, higher gross margin increases the share of net proceeds available for development and partner negotiations.
Negative Factors
Severe cash burn
Very large negative operating and free cash flows create persistent financing dependence and dilution risk. Over a multi-quarter horizon this undermines run-rate stability, forces frequent capital raises or deal-dependence, and increases execution risk for clinical programs absent new funding.
Negative shareholders' equity
A negative equity position is a structural solvency warning that constrains financing options, complicates leverage calculations, and raises refinancing risk. Lenders and partners may demand stricter terms, increasing cost of capital and limiting strategic flexibility over the medium term.
Sharp revenue decline and persistent losses
A material revenue drop combined with deep, ongoing operating losses signals an unstable commercial progress and weak near-term cash conversion. This erodes bargaining power with partners, raises execution risk for pipeline advancement, and increases likelihood of future financing dependency.

Alligator Bioscience AB (ATORX) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Alligator Bioscience AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlligator Bioscience AB (publ), a research-based biotechnology company, develops antibody-based drugs for cancer treatment in Sweden. It develops products using its technology platforms, including ALLIGATOR-GOLD and ALLIGATOR-FAB, a proprietary human antibody library that contains approximately 60 billion unique antibody fragments; FIND, a molecular evolution technology for optimization of antibodies and other proteins; and RUBY, a bispecific antibody format. The company develops Mitazalimab, an immunostimulatory CD40 antibody, which has completed Phase I clinical trial for the treatment of metastatic cancer; and ATOR-1017, an immunostimulatory antibody, which is in phase I clinical trial that binds to the receptor 4-1BB in tumor-specific T cells. Its drug candidates in the preclinical development stage include ALG.APV-527, a bispecific 4-1BB and 5T4 antibody for the treatment of cancer. The company also holds a stake in clinical project Biosynergy (AC101), which is in phase I clinical trial. It has a partnership agreement with Aptevo Therapeutics Inc. for the co-development of ALG.APV-527; and a research collaboration with MacroGenics, Inc. to develop a novel immunotherapy. The company also has a joint research agreement with BioArctic AB (publ) to employ proprietary antibody generation technologies for developing new product candidates; and a research collaboration and license agreement with the Orion Corporation to discover and develop new bispecific antibody cancer therapeutics. Alligator Bioscience AB (publ) was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Lund, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlligator Bioscience AB generates revenue primarily through strategic collaborations and licensing agreements with larger pharmaceutical companies. These partnerships often provide upfront payments, milestone payments upon reaching certain clinical or regulatory achievements, and royalties on future sales of successfully developed therapies. Additionally, the company may receive funding through government grants and research collaborations to support its R&D initiatives. The development and commercialization of its proprietary and partnered drug candidates are key drivers of its revenue model.

Alligator Bioscience AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement and cash flow show a high-burn, loss-making profile with sharply declining TTM revenue, deeply negative margins, and heavily negative operating/free cash flow. The balance sheet is also strained with negative stockholders’ equity, increasing solvency and financing risk despite only moderate total debt relative to assets.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue declined sharply (down ~199% vs prior period), while profitability remains deeply negative (net margin ~-164% and EBIT margin ~-68%). Gross margin in TTM improved to ~44% versus structurally negative levels in earlier years, but the company continues to post sizable operating and net losses, underscoring an unproven path to sustainable earnings.
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
The balance sheet has weakened materially: stockholders’ equity is negative in TTM (about -9.2m), which is a key solvency red flag and makes leverage ratios hard to interpret (debt-to-equity is negative due to the equity deficit). Total debt is moderate (~37.2m) relative to total assets (~76.8m), but the negative equity position reduces financial flexibility and increases funding/refinancing risk.
Cash Flow
16
Very Negative
Cash generation is very weak, with TTM operating cash flow around -163.7m and free cash flow around -165.2m, indicating ongoing cash burn typical of development-stage biotech but still a major financing dependency. Free cash flow improved versus the prior year (positive growth), yet it remains heavily negative, and cash flow does not currently support self-funded operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue47.51M57.77M58.11M35.70M12.94M4.35M
Gross Profit20.92M57.77M58.11M-112.03M-74.04M-77.97M
EBITDA-794.00K-165.47M-237.61M-180.99M-130.39M-131.46M
Net Income-77.72M-233.89M-248.59M-193.40M-141.74M-143.61M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets76.76M104.34M118.45M169.58M333.20M151.94M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments25.07M64.31M66.12M97.31M278.15M103.34M
Total Debt37.19M43.57M16.10M24.50M9.74M12.07M
Total Liabilities86.01M234.93M106.59M80.53M50.93M36.69M
Stockholders Equity-9.25M-130.59M11.86M89.05M282.27M115.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-165.18M-212.43M-191.74M-173.05M-127.08M-141.45M
Operating Cash Flow-163.72M-212.43M-189.28M-172.61M-127.03M-141.35M
Investing Cash Flow2.21M0.00-2.46M-440.00K-45.00K156.89M
Financing Cash Flow140.23M211.27M161.56M-7.83M301.80M-6.15M

Alligator Bioscience AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.34
Price Trends
50DMA
0.30
Negative
100DMA
0.62
Negative
200DMA
1.00
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Negative
RSI
37.56
Neutral
STOCH
18.79
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:ATORX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.25, above the 50-day MA of 0.30, and below the 200-day MA of 1.00, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.79 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:ATORX.

Alligator Bioscience AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
52
Neutral
kr144.81M-2.95-52.45%2.56%52.76%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
44
Neutral
kr36.14M-0.72-294.38%186.74%73.17%
43
Neutral
kr37.70M-1.37-166.94%-19.35%
42
Neutral
kr81.37M-2.71-20.85%-67.00%13.62%
41
Neutral
kr93.50M-0.0952.38%74.36%
41
Neutral
kr109.66M-1.29-1291.15%28.54%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:ATORX
Alligator Bioscience AB
0.19
-8.99
-97.95%
SE:ALZ
Alzinova AB
0.78
-2.06
-72.54%
SE:NICA
Nanologica AB
0.41
-1.70
-80.62%
SE:MODTX
Modus Therapeutics Holding AB
0.31
-0.23
-42.38%
SE:ACTI
Active Biotech AB
0.04
-0.04
-52.33%
SE:NXTCL
NextCell Pharma AB
1.30
-1.68
-56.38%

Alligator Bioscience AB Corporate Events

Alligator Bioscience to Showcase New Mitazalimab Pancreatic Cancer Data at ASCO GI 2026
Jan 9, 2026

Alligator Bioscience will present new clinical data from its Phase 1b/2 OPTIMIZE-1 study of the CD40 agonist mitazalimab in combination with standard mFOLFIRINOX chemotherapy in previously untreated metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma at the ASCO Gastrointestinal Cancers Symposium 2026 in San Francisco. The final efficacy analyses further characterize the clinical benefit of the combination and support Alligator’s preparations for pivotal development of mitazalimab, potentially strengthening the drug’s profile in a highly challenging cancer indication and reinforcing the company’s positioning in CD40-based immunotherapy as it engages key opinion leaders and advances toward Phase 3.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:ATORX) stock is a Sell with a SEK0.32 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alligator Bioscience AB stock, see the SE:ATORX Stock Forecast page.

Alligator Bioscience Issues Units to Guarantors and Warrants to Fenja Capital After Rights Issue
Jan 7, 2026

Alligator Bioscience’s board has executed a directed issue of 18,585,000 units to guarantors of its recent rights issue, with each unit consisting of two ordinary shares and one warrant, at a subscription price of SEK 0.40 per unit (SEK 0.20 per share), matching the rights issue terms. Eleven guarantors opted to take their guarantee compensation in newly issued units worth approximately SEK 7.4 million, while the remaining guarantors will receive around SEK 3.8 million in cash, and the board has also approved a directed issue of 28,132,473 warrants to Fenja Capital, collectively strengthening the company’s capital structure and aligning key investors through equity-linked instruments, albeit at the cost of further dilution for existing shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:ATORX) stock is a Sell with a SEK0.32 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alligator Bioscience AB stock, see the SE:ATORX Stock Forecast page.

Alligator Bioscience Raises SEK 91 Million in Heavily Dilutive Rights Issue
Dec 22, 2025

Alligator Bioscience has completed a rights issue of units that was subscribed to about 64.8 percent, with approximately 61.2 percent taken up by existing shareholders through unit rights and 3.6 percent subscribed without rights, while guarantee commitments will cover around 9.1 percent of the issue. The transaction will initially raise roughly SEK 91 million before costs and loan repayments, significantly increasing the company’s share count and resulting in an estimated 91.2 percent dilution for existing shareholders, with the potential for a further dilution of about 31.3 percent if all associated TO 14 warrants are exercised in March 2026, which could bring in up to SEK 57 million more and materially extend the company’s funding but at a substantial ownership dilution.

Alligator Bioscience Raises SEK 91 Million in Partially Subscribed Rights Issue
Dec 19, 2025

Alligator Bioscience has reported the preliminary outcome of its recently completed rights issue of units, indicating a subscription level of approximately 64.8 percent, of which 61.2 percent came through the exercise of unit rights and 3.6 percent without rights. As a result, guarantee commitments will be utilized for about 9.1 percent of the offering, and the company expects to raise roughly SEK 91 million before issue costs and debt repayments, including bridge loans and part of an outstanding loan to Fenja Capital II A/S. The rights issue, which comprised up to 306.7 million units—each consisting of two ordinary shares and one warrant—closed on 18 December 2025, with the final outcome scheduled to be announced on 22 December 2025, providing Alligator with important capital to support its ongoing operations and clinical pipeline.

Alligator Bioscience Comments on Henlius’ Regulatory Approval for HLX22 Trials in China
Dec 9, 2025

Alligator Bioscience has commented on Shanghai Henlius Biotech’s recent regulatory approval in China to begin Phase 2/3 trials of HLX22, a monoclonal antibody for treating HER2-positive breast cancer. Although Alligator is not directly involved in the development, the company stands to benefit financially from potential future revenues due to its licensing agreement with AbClon, which entitles Alligator to a share of Henlius’ revenues from HLX22.

Alligator Bioscience Publishes Supplement Prospectus for Rights Issue
Dec 3, 2025

Alligator Bioscience AB has published a supplement prospectus related to its rights issue, which includes ordinary shares and warrants, approved by the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority. The rights issue subscription period runs from December 4 to December 18, 2025, with trading in unit rights available until December 15, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategy to secure additional subscription undertakings and guarantee commitments, potentially strengthening its financial position and supporting its ongoing drug development efforts.

Alligator Bioscience Announces 2026 Financial Calendar
Dec 3, 2025

Alligator Bioscience has released its financial calendar for 2026, detailing key dates for shareholders and stakeholders, including the submission deadline for resolutions, various interim and annual reports, and the Annual General Meeting. This announcement provides stakeholders with a clear timeline for the company’s financial disclosures and meetings, which is crucial for maintaining transparency and engagement with investors.

Alligator Bioscience Secures Additional Funding for Rights Issue
Dec 1, 2025

Alligator Bioscience AB has announced additional subscription undertakings and guarantee commitments for its upcoming rights issue, increasing the total commitments from approximately SEK 78 million to SEK 91 million. This financial support from both existing and new investors, including Roxette Photo SA, Magnus Petersson, and HDF Impact BV, strengthens the company’s ability to advance its mitazalimab treatment towards the market, highlighting investor confidence in Alligator Bioscience’s strategic direction.

Alligator Bioscience’s Mitazalimab Shows Promise in Phase 1 Trial for Pancreatic Cancer
Dec 1, 2025

Alligator Bioscience announced the publication of Phase 1 trial data for mitazalimab in Nature Communications, showcasing its potential in treating metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. The study demonstrated significant immunological effects, including reduced tumor fibrosis and increased T-cell infiltration, supporting mitazalimab’s role in reshaping the tumor microenvironment. These findings reinforce the drug’s potential in combination therapies for hard-to-treat cancers, aligning with Alligator’s broader clinical strategy.

Alligator Bioscience Launches SEK 123 Million Rights Issue
Nov 28, 2025

Alligator Bioscience AB has announced a rights issue to raise approximately SEK 123 million, with the potential for an additional SEK 61 million through warrants. The funds will be used to repay loans and support the ongoing process to secure a partnership for mitazalimab, as well as for general corporate purposes. The rights issue is partially covered by subscription undertakings and guarantee commitments, ensuring a significant portion of the funds is secured.

Alligator Bioscience Adopts Key Resolutions to Strengthen Financial Position
Nov 25, 2025

Alligator Bioscience AB held an extraordinary general meeting on November 25, 2025, where several key resolutions were adopted. The company decided to amend its Articles of Association to adjust the limits for share capital and the number of shares, and to decrease its share capital to cover losses. Additionally, the meeting approved a rights issue of units, which is expected to raise approximately SEK 123 million before costs, and authorized the board to issue shares and warrants to guarantors and Fenja Capital II A/S as part of a loan restructuring. These measures aim to strengthen the company’s financial position and support its ongoing development efforts.

Alligator Bioscience Announces Final Terms for Rights Issue to Boost Cancer Therapy Development
Nov 24, 2025

Alligator Bioscience AB has announced the final terms of its Rights Issue, which involves issuing units of ordinary shares and warrants to existing shareholders. The initiative aims to raise approximately SEK 123 million initially, with potential additional proceeds of SEK 61 million if warrants are fully exercised. The funds will be used to repay loans and support the company’s ongoing efforts to secure a partnership for its cancer treatment, mitazalimab, as well as for general corporate purposes. The Rights Issue is partially covered by subscription undertakings and guarantee commitments, ensuring a significant portion of the funds is secured.

Alligator Bioscience Unveils Promising Data on Immuno-Oncology Drugs
Nov 5, 2025

Alligator Bioscience announced new data on its immuno-oncology drugs, mitazalimab and ATOR-4066, at the SITC 40th Anniversary Annual Meeting. The data on mitazalimab, from the OPTIMIZE-1 trial in metastatic pancreatic cancer, supports the selection of a 900 μg/kg dose for a planned Phase 3 study, showing improved survival outcomes and manageable safety. Preclinical findings on ATOR-4066 demonstrate its potential in immune activation and tumor microenvironment remodeling, highlighting its superior efficacy compared to CD40 monospecific antibodies.

Alligator Bioscience Appoints Nomination Committee for 2026 AGM
Nov 3, 2025

Alligator Bioscience has announced the appointment of its Nomination Committee in preparation for the Annual General Meeting (AGM) scheduled for May 6, 2026. The committee, comprising representatives from the company’s largest shareholders and the Chairman of the Board, is tasked with preparing proposals for the AGM, including board member nominations and remuneration. This strategic move is crucial for aligning shareholder interests and ensuring effective governance, potentially impacting the company’s operational and strategic direction.

Alligator Bioscience Advances Cancer Therapies with Financial and Clinical Milestones
Oct 23, 2025

Alligator Bioscience AB reported significant progress in its clinical and financial endeavors for the period ending September 2025. The company achieved a major milestone with the successful execution of its TO 13 warrant program, raising SEK 28.1 million, and announced promising 30-month survival results for mitazalimab, reinforcing its potential as a transformative treatment for pancreatic cancer. Additionally, Alligator expanded its mitazalimab development through a Phase 2/3 trial for biliary tract cancer and advanced its HLX22 program for HER2-positive gastric cancer. The company also secured a strategic partnership for its RUBY™ bispecific antibody format, showcasing its versatility beyond oncology. Looking ahead, Alligator plans a rights issue to support its financial runway and Phase 3 preparations for mitazalimab.

Alligator Bioscience Calls Extraordinary Meeting for Strategic Resolutions
Oct 22, 2025

Alligator Bioscience AB has announced an extraordinary general meeting to discuss significant resolutions, including amendments to the Articles of Association and a decrease in share capital to cover losses. These proposed changes reflect the company’s strategic efforts to strengthen its financial position and operational framework, potentially impacting its market standing and stakeholder interests.

Alligator Bioscience Announces SEK 120 Million Rights Issue to Support Cancer Therapy Projects
Oct 22, 2025

Alligator Bioscience AB has announced a rights issue of units worth approximately SEK 120 million, subject to approval at an extraordinary general meeting. The funds raised will be used to repay loans and support ongoing projects, including securing a partnership for mitazalimab. The rights issue is partially covered by subscription undertakings and guarantee commitments, and the company has also secured bridge loans to meet liquidity needs until the rights issue is completed.

Alligator Bioscience Secures US Patent for ATOR-4066
Oct 21, 2025

Alligator Bioscience has been granted a US patent for its bispecific antibody, ATOR-4066, which targets CD40 and CEACAM5. This patent, effective until 2043, strengthens the company’s intellectual property and supports its pipeline of innovative immunotherapies. The patent underscores the company’s commitment to advancing novel cancer treatments and reinforces its position in the immuno-oncology field.

Alligator Bioscience Schedules Q3 Earnings Call for October 23, 2025
Oct 16, 2025

Alligator Bioscience has announced an upcoming earnings call on October 23, 2025, to discuss its third-quarter interim report. The call, led by CEO Søren Bregenholt and CFO Johan Giléus, will provide insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 15, 2026