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ALM Equity AB (SE:ALM)
:ALM
Sweden Market
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ALM Equity AB (ALM) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:ALM

ALM Equity AB

(ALM)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
kr56.00
▲(2.94% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/03/26
The score is primarily held back by weak and volatile financial performance (ongoing losses, steep 2025 revenue drop, and inconsistent cash flow), only partly offset by meaningful debt reduction. Technicals add additional pressure with the stock below key moving averages and bearish momentum signals. Valuation is difficult to support with a negative P/E and no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Material debt reduction and improved leverage
Significant debt reduction materially lowers refinancing and liquidity risk for a real estate owner-developer. Lower leverage increases flexibility to fund project completions, reduces interest burden, and strengthens the balance sheet resilience over the next 2–6 months when project timing and financing availability matter.
Negative Factors
Sharp and volatile revenue decline
A large, rapid drop in revenue and negative gross profit indicate project timing, sales or pricing failures that materially weaken near-term earnings power. Persistent top-line volatility undermines predictability of cash flows and project economics, complicating planning and raising execution risk over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Material debt reduction and improved leverage
Significant debt reduction materially lowers refinancing and liquidity risk for a real estate owner-developer. Lower leverage increases flexibility to fund project completions, reduces interest burden, and strengthens the balance sheet resilience over the next 2–6 months when project timing and financing availability matter.
Read all positive factors

ALM Equity AB (ALM) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

ALM Equity AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
ALM Equity AB (publ) operates as a real estate development company in Sweden. The company operates through five segments: Management, Project Development, Construction, Financing, and Digital Services. The Management segment acquires and manages s...
How the Company Makes Money
ALM primarily makes money through (1) property development profits and (2) recurring income from owned investment properties. In the development business, revenue is generated when residential units or completed properties are sold (or when projec...

ALM Equity AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are pressured by persistent losses and a sharp 2025 revenue decline with negative margins, and cash flow has been highly inconsistent (strong in 2024 but near breakeven in 2025). The key offsetting positive is materially improved leverage from significant debt reduction, though declining equity and negative ROE remain concerns.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
44
Neutral
Cash Flow
26
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue985.00M3.13B2.39B6.90B5.26B
Gross Profit-63.00M273.00M242.00M1.73B3.32B
EBITDA-91.00M-850.00M176.00M1.63B32.00M
Net Income-215.00M-950.00M-1.98B-576.00M3.39B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.21B5.47B7.66B11.52B13.13B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments820.00M1.77B1.02B1.18B2.15B
Total Debt1.31B2.01B4.16B4.31B5.06B
Total Liabilities1.86B2.71B4.68B5.76B5.98B
Stockholders Equity2.25B2.77B2.48B4.97B5.94B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.001.10B-1.12B-388.00M828.00M
Operating Cash Flow8.00M1.11B-1.11B-388.00M832.00M
Investing Cash Flow-30.00M172.00M770.00M-641.00M-2.22B
Financing Cash Flow-829.00M-51.00M-285.00M148.00M2.64B

ALM Equity AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price54.40
Price Trends
50DMA
52.05
Positive
100DMA
53.47
Positive
200DMA
58.15
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.39
Negative
RSI
72.81
Negative
STOCH
65.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:ALM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 54.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 51.87, above the 50-day MA of 52.05, and below the 200-day MA of 58.15, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.39 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.81 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SE:ALM.

ALM Equity AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
kr611.78M6.7313.40%-19.76%88.08%
69
Neutral
kr611.78M6.707.08%13.73%-19.76%88.08%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
kr8.98B11.516.83%2.58%5.30%16.67%
55
Neutral
kr3.24B12.177.48%1.21%42.73%
44
Neutral
kr885.31M-6.62-68.50%71.70%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:ALM
ALM Equity AB
51.20
-46.20
-47.43%
SE:TRIAN.B
Fastighets AB Trianon Class B
17.45
-1.87
-9.68%
SE:DIOS
Dios Fastigheter AB
63.55
-1.37
-2.12%
SE:ACRI.B
Acrinova AB Class B
13.90
3.87
38.58%
SE:ACRI.A
Acrinova AB Class A
14.05
3.74
36.26%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 03, 2026