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Smith Douglas Homes Corp. Class A (SDHC)
NYSE:SDHC
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Smith Douglas Homes Corp. Class A (SDHC) AI Stock Analysis

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SDHC

Smith Douglas Homes Corp. Class A

(NYSE:SDHC)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$18.50
▲(3.87% Upside)
The overall stock score of 57 reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenue and cash flow issues, despite strong profitability margins. Technical indicators suggest a neutral trend, while valuation appears reasonable. The earnings call highlighted strategic expansions but also noted profitability challenges.
Positive Factors
Market Expansion
Expanding into new markets like Greenville, Dallas, and the Gulf Coast can drive long-term growth by tapping into new customer bases and increasing market share.
Operational Efficiency
Consistent cycle times indicate strong operational efficiency, which can enhance profitability by reducing costs and improving project turnaround.
Net Orders Growth
A 15% increase in net orders suggests strong demand and potential revenue growth, supporting long-term business sustainability and market presence.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
A decline in revenue indicates potential challenges in market demand or pricing power, which could impact long-term financial health and growth prospects.
Gross Margin Decline
A decrease in gross margins suggests increased cost pressures and reduced pricing power, which can affect profitability and competitive positioning over time.
Increased Debt Levels
Higher debt levels can strain cash flow and limit financial flexibility, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth and weather economic downturns.

Smith Douglas Homes Corp. Class A (SDHC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Smith Douglas Homes Corp. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSmith Douglas Homes Corp. engages in the design, construction, and sale of single-family homes in the southeastern United States. The company operates in metropolitan Atlanta, Birmingham, Charlotte, Huntsville, Nashville, Raleigh-Durham, and Houston. It also provides closing, escrow, and title insurance services. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Woodstock, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneySmith Douglas Homes Corp. generates revenue primarily through the sale of residential properties, which includes the construction and sale of new homes. The company profits by acquiring land, developing it into residential communities, and building homes that meet the demands of local markets. Key revenue streams include home sales, which are driven by market demand and pricing strategies, as well as potential ancillary services such as mortgage origination and home warranty offerings. SDHC may also benefit from partnerships with local contractors and suppliers, which can enhance its operational efficiency and cost management, ultimately contributing to its profitability.

Smith Douglas Homes Corp. Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Smith Douglas Homes demonstrated resilience through strategic market expansions and operational efficiency. However, the quarter faced challenges such as decreased home closings and revenue, declining gross margins, and increased cost pressures, affecting overall profitability.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Pre-tax Income and Earnings
Smith Douglas Homes reported pre-tax income of $17.2 million and earnings of $0.24 per share for the third quarter of 2025.
Net Orders Increase
Net orders for the quarter increased by 15% year-over-year to 690 homes, indicating improved demand compared to the previous year.
New Market Expansion
The company began construction in new markets, including Greenville, Dallas, and the Gulf Coast, which are expected to contribute to future growth.
Controlled Lot Expansion
The company has nearly tripled its controlled lot count since going public, indicating a strong foundation for future growth.
Cycle Times and Efficiency
Cycle times remained consistent at 54 days, excluding Houston, showcasing operational efficiency.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Home Closings and Revenue
Home closings decreased by 3% from the previous year, with revenue dropping by 6% to $262 million.
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margins fell from 26.5% to 21% year-over-year, largely due to higher average lot costs and increased incentives and discounts.
Increased Cost Pressures
Increased payroll expenses and higher closing cost incentives led to a rise in SG&A, which was up approximately $2 million year-over-year.
Net Income Decline
Net income for the quarter decreased to $16.2 million from $37.8 million in the prior year.
Impact of Forward Commitments
Costs on forward commitments were $3.9 million compared to $185,000 a year ago, impacting overall profitability.
Company Guidance
During the Smith Douglas Homes Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided detailed guidance and performance metrics for the quarter. Smith Douglas Homes reported pretax income of $17.2 million and earnings of $0.24 per share, with home sales revenue reaching $262 million. The company achieved home closings totaling 788, with an average selling price of $333,000, and gross margins on homes closed averaged 21%. Net orders increased by 15% year-over-year to 690 homes, demonstrating a sales pace of 2.4 homes per community per month. The backlog at the end of the quarter consisted of 760 homes with an average sales price of approximately $340,000. The company is focusing on maintaining its "pace over price" strategy, utilizing financing incentives to drive sales. For the fourth quarter, Smith Douglas Homes expects to close between 725 and 775 homes, with an average sales price between $330,000 and $335,000, and gross margins projected to be in the range of 18.5% to 19.5%. The call also highlighted the company's strategic market expansions and disciplined financial management, including maintaining a debt-to-book capitalization of 11.2% and a net debt to book capitalization of 8.4%.

Smith Douglas Homes Corp. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. faces significant challenges with declining revenue and cash flow issues in the TTM period. While profitability margins remain strong, the increased debt levels and reduced return on equity suggest potential financial strain. The company needs to address its cash flow and revenue growth to stabilize its financial position.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a significant decline in revenue growth rate of -71.65% in the TTM period, indicating a major downturn. However, the company maintains a strong gross profit margin of 81.31% and a net profit margin of 19.29% in the TTM, reflecting efficient cost management. Historical data shows fluctuating margins with a peak in 2022, but recent trends suggest declining profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.65 in the TTM, which is higher than previous years, indicating increased reliance on debt. The return on equity has decreased to 19.40% in the TTM from a high of 85.37% in 2022, suggesting reduced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio remains stable, indicating a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
The cash flow statement reveals negative operating cash flow and free cash flow in the TTM, indicating liquidity challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.13, but the negative operating cash flow coverage ratio of -1.68 highlights potential cash management issues. Historical data shows a decline in free cash flow growth, raising concerns about future cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue287.49M975.46M764.63M755.35M518.86M
Gross Profit233.77M255.54M216.33M222.75M122.95M
EBITDA89.40M121.21M125.92M142.31M65.72M
Net Income25.37M16.07M123.18M140.44M62.53M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets571.56M475.90M352.69M223.37M201.19M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.78M22.36M19.78M29.60M25.34M
Total Debt55.79M12.07M78.98M18.39M74.41M
Total Liabilities145.12M74.17M143.79M58.86M105.67M
Stockholders Equity82.18M73.63M208.90M164.51M95.52M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-40.80M15.24M74.95M131.09M30.14M
Operating Cash Flow-35.62M19.13M76.26M132.09M30.87M
Investing Cash Flow-6.50M-4.71M-76.83M361.00K847.00K
Financing Cash Flow-5.90M-11.84M-9.25M-128.19M-38.54M

Smith Douglas Homes Corp. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.81
Price Trends
50DMA
17.71
Positive
100DMA
18.76
Negative
200DMA
19.50
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
53.88
Neutral
STOCH
50.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SDHC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.81 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.24, above the 50-day MA of 17.71, and below the 200-day MA of 19.50, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SDHC.

Smith Douglas Homes Corp. Class A Risk Analysis

Smith Douglas Homes Corp. Class A disclosed 83 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Smith Douglas Homes Corp. Class A reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Smith Douglas Homes Corp. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$639.03M4.6412.52%-1.52%81.35%
70
Outperform
$1.28B7.679.99%10.13%-18.11%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
57
Neutral
$891.69M13.7814.98%10.26%-73.20%
53
Neutral
$252.94M-21.380.95%-0.58%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SDHC
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. Class A
17.81
-13.24
-42.64%
ARL
American Realty Investors
16.57
2.37
16.69%
FOR
Forestar Group
24.65
-4.87
-16.50%
FPH
Five Point Holdings
6.21
2.46
65.60%

Smith Douglas Homes Corp. Class A Corporate Events

Smith Douglas Homes Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 6, 2025

Smith Douglas Homes Corp., a prominent homebuilder in the Southern United States, focuses on providing affordable-luxury homes for entry-level and empty-nest buyers. In its third quarter of 2025, the company reported a slight decline in home closings and revenue compared to the previous year, with home closings down by 3% and revenue decreasing by 6% to $262 million. Despite these declines, the company saw a 15% increase in net new home orders, indicating strong demand in its target markets.

Smith Douglas Homes Q3 Earnings: Resilience Amid Challenges
Nov 6, 2025

Smith Douglas Homes Corp. Class A recently held its third-quarter earnings call, revealing a mixed sentiment. The company showcased resilience through strategic market expansions and operational efficiency, yet faced challenges with decreased home closings, declining gross margins, and increased cost pressures, impacting overall profitability.

Smith Douglas Homes’ Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiment and Strategic Expansion
Aug 8, 2025

Smith Douglas Homes Corp. Class A recently held its earnings call, showcasing a mixed sentiment. The company highlighted strong operational performance, expansion into new markets, and improved cycle times, which are positive developments. However, these were tempered by challenges such as declining gross margins, increased SG&A expenses, and a challenging sales environment. Overall, the sentiment was balanced with both positive and negative aspects present.

Smith Douglas Homes Reports Modest Q2 Growth
Aug 7, 2025

Smith Douglas Homes Corp., a prominent homebuilder in the United States, specializes in providing affordable-luxury homes primarily for entry-level and empty-nest buyers across various metro areas.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025