Amber International Holding (AMBR) AI Stock Analysis

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Amber International Holding

(NASDAQ:AMBR)

Rating:50Neutral

Price Target:

$10.00

▲(2.56%Upside)

Amber International Holding's stock score is primarily driven by a positive earnings call that highlights significant revenue growth and profitability improvements. However, ongoing financial challenges, such as persistent losses and negative cash flows, weigh heavily on the score. The valuation remains weak due to negative earnings and lack of dividends. Mixed technical indicators provide no clear trend, adding to the cautious outlook.

Amber International Holding (AMBR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Market Cap

$86.72M

Dividend YieldN/A

Average Volume (3M)120.81K

Price to Earnings (P/E)―

Beta (1Y)0.08

Revenue Growth-75.67%

EPS GrowthN/A

CountryUS

Employees894

SectorCommunication Services

Sector Strength83

IndustryReal Estate - Development

Share Statistics

EPS (TTM)0.02

Shares Outstanding83,891,220

10 Day Avg. Volume152,716

30 Day Avg. Volume120,807

Financial Highlights & Ratios

PEG RatioN/A

Price to Book (P/B)7.69

Price to Sales (P/S)0.00

P/FCF Ratio-40.50

Enterprise Value/Market Cap10.04

Enterprise Value/Revenue3.23

Enterprise Value/Gross Profit24.89

Enterprise Value/Ebitda-35.60

Forecast

1Y Price TargetN/A

Price Target UpsideN/A

Rating ConsensusN/A

Number of Analyst Covering0

Amber International Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmber International Holding Limited is a real estate developer and investor focused on hospitality projects in emerging and frontier markets. The company develops resort properties that incorporate local elements and tourism opportunities while partnering with management firms for operational oversight.

How the Company Makes MoneyAmber International Holding (AMBR) generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by leveraging its diverse portfolio of businesses. In the technology sector, AMBR provides software solutions and consultancy services, earning income through licensing fees and service contracts. In real estate, the company invests in and develops residential and commercial properties, earning money through property sales and rental income. The energy division focuses on renewable energy projects, where revenue is generated from the sale of electricity and energy credits. Strategic partnerships with key industry players enhance their market reach and contribute significantly to their earnings profile. Additionally, AMBR invests in research and development to innovate and expand its market offerings, further solidifying its revenue streams.

Amber International Holding Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 28, 2025

(Q1-2025)

% Change Since: -1.32%|

Next Earnings Date:Sep 01, 2025

Earnings Call Sentiment Positive

The earnings call presented a largely positive outlook with substantial revenue growth and profitability improvements, driven by strategic expansions and new product launches. However, there were some challenges noted, such as the decline in execution trading volume and slower growth in active clients. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights.

Q1-2025 Updates

Positive Updates

Record Revenue Growth

Total revenue increased to $14.9 million from $1 million a year ago, driven by the successful merger and expansion of wealth management solutions.

Significant Increase in Wealth Management Revenue

Revenue from wealth management solutions surged to $9.9 million from $0.6 million in the same period last year.

Improved Profitability

Gross profit doubled to $11 million with margins increasing to 74% from 46% last year. Net income was $900,000 compared to a net loss of $12 million last year.

Launch of uMINT Product

uMINT, a tokenized money market fund developed with UBS Asset Management, offers clients yield on stable coins, integrating with Amber Premium crypto card for global spending.

Introduction of $100 Million Crypto Ecosystem Reserve

The reserve aims to strategically engage with ecosystem tokens like Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and Binance Coin, preparing for future digital asset roles in institutional finance.

Negative Updates

Decline in Execution Trading Volume

Year-over-year declines in execution trading volume were noted, influenced by overall market performance and crypto price trends.

Slow Growth in Active Clients

Active clients only grew by 4% year-over-year despite a 22% increase in KYC user base, indicating a slower conversion rate of new users to active status.

Company Guidance

During Amber International's first-quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings call, the company highlighted several key metrics and strategic initiatives driving their growth. Total revenue surged to $14.9 million, up from $1 million the previous year, largely due to the successful merger completion on March 12, 2025, and expansion in their Amber DWM business. Wealth management solutions revenue alone climbed to $9.9 million from $0.6 million year-over-year. Execution solutions generated $2.7 million compared to $29,000 in Q1 2024. Their gross profit nearly doubled to $11 million, with margins increasing to 74% from 46% last year. Operating income improved to $800,000 from a $900,000 loss, while net income reached $900,000 compared to a $12 million net loss previously. The company also announced the launch of the uMINT tokenization product and a $100 million crypto ecosystem reserve as part of their long-term growth strategy. Looking forward, they anticipate revenue for their Amber DWM business to rise between $65 million and $75 million for the full year 2025, driven by continued institutional adoption of digital assets.

Amber International Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Amber International Holding faces substantial financial challenges, characterized by shrinking revenues, persistent losses, and weakening balance sheet strength. The company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by negative margins and declining equity. While cash reserves provide some liquidity, the negative cash flow trend signals potential difficulties in sustaining operations without strategic changes or external support.

Income Statement

Negative

Amber International Holding has faced significant challenges in recent years, with declining revenues and persistent net losses. The revenue has decreased from $307.7 million in 2021 to $32.8 million in 2023, indicating significant revenue contraction. The company consistently reports negative EBIT and net income, reflecting ongoing operational difficulties in achieving profitability. The declining gross profit margin and EBIT margin further highlight profitability issues.

Balance Sheet

Neutral

The balance sheet shows a mixed picture, with a debt-to-equity ratio improving from 0.29 in 2020 to 0.23 in 2023, due to reduced liabilities and a sharp decline in equity. Stockholders' equity has dramatically fallen, which reduces financial resilience. On the positive side, cash reserves have been maintained, though overall total assets have decreased significantly, affecting the company's ability to leverage assets for growth.

Cash Flow

Negative

The company's cash flow situation is concerning, with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow in recent years. Free cash flow has deteriorated further from 2022 to 2023, reflecting operational inefficiencies. Although the negative net income and cash flows indicate operational challenges, the company has managed to reduce financing cash outflows, which may help manage liquidity constraints.

TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Breakdown
Income Statement		Total Revenue
58.35M	32.81M	133.22M	169.08M	307.70M	254.75M
	Gross Profit
34.98M	16.75M	34.84M	-4.13M	89.15M	73.26M
	EBIT
-11.90M	-17.36M	-40.81M	-194.17M	-12.89M	-1.76M
	EBITDA
-6.94M	-23.43M	-35.55M	-205.37M	-3.19M	-4.01M
	Net Income Common Stockholders
-13.76M	-29.01M	-38.69M	-200.88M	-13.63M	-12.62M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
17.60M	26.21M	56.75M	89.78M	60.34M	76.04M
	Total Assets
109.83M	49.60M	163.70M	221.78M	507.73M	470.12M
	Total Debt
14.44M	3.03M	41.30M	47.81M	79.13M	63.89M
	Net Debt
-3.16M	-16.61M	-9.47M	-34.94M	37.69M	11.66M
	Total Liabilities
70.06M	35.22M	122.45M	142.49M	216.15M	191.03M
	Stockholders Equity
39.77M	13.02M	37.13M	74.93M	284.35M	272.10M
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
2.49B	-21.91M	-19.52M	70.60M	-21.26M	-20.76M
	Operating Cash Flow
5.37M	-21.83M	-19.43M	71.10M	-19.67M	-19.63M
	Investing Cash Flow
-3.55M	-1.00M	-987.00K	-3.98M	-22.39M	-27.69M
	Financing Cash Flow
-1.28M	-36.52M	-6.09M	-37.29M	24.74M	79.98M

Amber International Holding Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment

Neutral

Last Price9.75

Price Trends

50DMA

10.27

Negative

100DMA

9.55

Positive

200DMA

7.10

Positive

Market Momentum

MACD

-0.15

Negative

RSI

48.80

Neutral

STOCH

67.18

Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMBR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 9.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.94, below the 50-day MA of 10.27, and above the 200-day MA of 7.10, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AMBR.

Amber International Holding Risk Analysis

Amber International Holding disclosed 91 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Amber International Holding reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.

Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks

We have recorded significant impairment charges and may continue to do so in the future. Q4, 2022

The failure of any bank in which we deposit our funds could have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. Q4, 2022

We cannot assure the success of "SaaS+X" model and our enterprise solutions business. Q4, 2022

Amber International Holding Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
AXR	79 Outperform	$106.49M	8.29	10.82%	―	30.36%	481.87%
LSEA	70 Outperform	$410.34M	42.15	1.50%	―	24.15%	-60.70%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$14.35B	5.84	-4.31%	3.69%	2.75%	-35.67%
ARL	55 Neutral	$240.18M	―	-2.20%	―	-6.48%	-592.10%
AMBR	50 Neutral	$86.72M	―	-95.79%	―	-75.67%	―
XIN		$14.05M	0.42		―	―	―
AEI		$9.68M	―	-7.00%	―	―	―

* Communication Services Sector Average

Performance Comparison

AMBR

Amber International Holding

9.75

8.46

655.81%

ARL

American Realty Investors

14.63

0.77

5.56%

AXR

Amrep

20.25

-1.00

-4.71%

XIN

Xinyuan Real Estate Co

2.47

-0.36

-12.72%

LSEA

Landsea Homes

11.27

1.58

16.31%

AEI

Alset EHome International

0.84

-0.19

-18.45%

Glossary

OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.

NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.

UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.