Amrep (AXR) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $113.92M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 8.32K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 8.7
• Beta (1Y): 0.47
• Revenue Growth: -3.26%
• EPS Growth: 89.15%
• Country: US
• Employees: 42
• Sector: Real Estate
• Sector Strength: 55
• Industry: Real Estate - Development
• EPS (TTM): 0.73
• Shares Outstanding: 5,305,949
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 5,917
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 8,324
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.71
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.63
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 2.46
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 6.49
• 1Y Price Target: $26.00
• Price Target Upside: 25.73% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 79 Outperform
• Price Target: $26.00 ▲(25.73% Upside)

Amrep's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are the primary drivers of its overall stock score. The financial stability, characterized by minimal leverage and robust cash flow, provides a strong foundation. Technical indicators suggest moderate bullishness, with the stock trading above key short-term averages. The lack of dividend yield is offset by a compelling P/E ratio. However, the absence of earnings call and corporate event data limits the analysis to these aspects.

Amrep Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

AMREP Corporation, through its subsidiaries, primarily engages in the real estate business. The company operates through two segments, Land Development and Homebuilding. The company sells developed and undeveloped lots to homebuilders, commercial and industrial property developers, and others. As of July 1, 2022, it owned approximately 17,000 acres in Sandoval County, New Mexico. The company owns an approximately 160-acre property in Brighton, Colorado. It also owns mineral interests covering an area of approximately 55,000 surface acres of land in Sandoval County, New Mexico; and owns oil, gas, and minerals and mineral interests covering an area of approximately 147 surface acres of land in Brighton, Colorado. Additionally, the company focuses on selling single-family detached homes and attached homes. AMREP Corporation was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Havertown, Pennsylvania.

How the Company Makes Money

AMREP Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of developed and undeveloped land, as well as through leasing activities. The company focuses on acquiring land, developing it into residential or commercial properties, and then selling or leasing these properties to generate income. Revenue streams include the direct sale of plots to homebuilders or individuals, as well as lease agreements with commercial tenants. Additionally, AMREP may engage in joint ventures or partnerships to enhance development opportunities and leverage its assets. Key factors contributing to its earnings include property market conditions, land development costs, and demand for residential and commercial real estate in its operating regions.

Amrep Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Amrep exhibits solid financial health with strong profitability, minimal leverage, and robust cash flow generation. The company's growth trajectory is positive, supported by effective cost management and a strong equity base. However, historical fluctuations in revenue and cash flow suggest the need for cautious monitoring of market conditions in the real estate sector.

Income Statement

Amrep shows strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 43.27% and a net profit margin of 22.33% in the TTM. The revenue growth rate is impressive at 13.01% over the last year, indicating robust sales performance. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 22.81% and 22.97% respectively, reflecting efficient operational management. However, the historical volatility in revenue and net income suggests potential cyclical risks in the real estate market.

Balance Sheet

Amrep maintains an exceptionally strong balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of only 0.0002, indicating minimal leverage. The equity ratio is high at 97.70%, showcasing a solid asset base supported by equity. The return on equity (ROE) stands at 10.29%, reflecting efficient use of shareholder funds. The company's low debt levels and substantial equity provide stability and financial resilience.

Cash Flow

The company has a strong cash flow position with a free cash flow growth rate of 40.97%, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.13, suggesting that the company effectively converts its net income into cash. Additionally, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.11 further highlights robust cash flow management. However, the variability in cash flow from year to year should be monitored.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	49.69M	49.69M	51.37M	48.68M	62.48M	40.07M
Gross Profit	32.88M	32.88M	14.47M	18.90M	26.66M	14.47M
EBITDA	12.46M	12.11M	7.75M	5.89M	21.53M	9.05M
Net Income	12.72M	12.72M	6.69M	21.79M	15.86M	7.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	67.07M	67.07M	122.83M	115.89M	94.92M	97.37M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	0.00	0.00	29.69M	19.99M	15.72M	24.80M
Total Debt	0.00	0.00	35.00K	44.00K	2.03M	3.45M
Total Liabilities	0.00	0.00	4.78M	4.89M	11.76M	8.48M
Stockholders Equity	0.00	0.00	118.05M	111.00M	83.16M	88.89M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	10.22M	10.24M	10.26M	6.26M	14.19M	12.60M
Operating Cash Flow	10.24M	10.24M	10.71M	6.39M	15.48M	12.61M
Investing Cash Flow	-553.00K	-553.00K	-457.00K	-131.00K	-1.20M	-5.00K
Financing Cash Flow	-9.00K	-9.00K	-9.00K	-1.99M	-23.36M	-5.30M

Amrep Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 20.68
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AXR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 20.68 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.01, below the 50-day MA of 22.26, and below the 200-day MA of 25.45, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AXR.

Amrep Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
AXR	79 Outperform	$113.92M	8.72	10.25%	―	-3.26%	89.15%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$7.06B	13.77	-0.50%	7.05%	4.08%	-25.24%
LSEA	61 Neutral		―		―	24.15%	-60.70%
LRE	53 Neutral	$19.99M	5.68	-2.06%	1.12%	-4.55%	-115.10%
ARL	43 Neutral	$247.13M	―	-1.93%	―	-4.84%	-412.72%
XIN	―	$14.47M	0.42		―	―	―
AMBR	45 Neutral	$337.26M	―	-95.79%	―	-75.67%	―