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Amrep (AXR)
NYSE:AXR
US Market
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Amrep (AXR) AI Stock Analysis

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AXR

Amrep

(NYSE:AXR)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$28.00
▲(29.09% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/30/26
AXR’s score is driven primarily by strong financial quality—especially the near-zero debt balance sheet and solid cash generation—partly offset by volatility in revenue/margins tied to lumpy project closings. Technical indicators are neutral-to-mixed with some near-term weakness, while valuation looks reasonable given the low P/E.
Positive Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Near-zero debt gives AMREP durable financial flexibility across real estate cycles, reducing default risk and preserving capacity to fund development or hold land through downturns. This stability supports long-term strategic optionality and lowers refinancing risk.
Negative Factors
Lumpy Revenue and Margin Volatility
Revenue and margin swings from irregular project closings impair forecasting and make earnings timing-dependent. This structural lumpy revenue pattern complicates capital allocation, budgeting, and external performance assessment across 2-6 month horizons.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Near-zero debt gives AMREP durable financial flexibility across real estate cycles, reducing default risk and preserving capacity to fund development or hold land through downturns. This stability supports long-term strategic optionality and lowers refinancing risk.
Read all positive factors

Amrep Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue across different business segments, showcasing which areas drive growth and profitability, and where strategic focus may be needed.
Chart InsightsAmrep's revenue from land sales shows significant volatility, with recent declines suggesting potential challenges in this segment. However, home sales have demonstrated a more consistent upward trend, indicating a strategic focus on residential development. The 'Other' segment remains erratic, reflecting potential one-off transactions or less stable revenue streams. Without recent earnings call insights, the sustainability of these trends remains uncertain, but the emphasis on home sales could signal a strategic pivot towards more stable revenue sources in the face of fluctuating land sale performance.
Data provided by:The Fly

Amrep (AXR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Amrep Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Established in 1961 and headquartered in Havertown, Pennsylvania, AMREP Corporation is primarily involved in the real estate industry, operating through its subsidiaries. The company's operations are divided into two main divisions: land developme...
How the Company Makes Money
AMREP makes money primarily through real estate-related revenue streams tied to its land and development activities. This typically includes (1) revenue from selling developed and undeveloped land (including residential lots) to homebuilders and o...

Amrep Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals supported by an exceptionally conservative balance sheet (near-zero debt; Balance Sheet Score 92) and solid profitability with a return to TTM growth (Income Statement Score 78). Cash generation is also strong with TTM free cash flow matching net income (Cash Flow Score 81). The key constraint is predictability: results and margins are volatile year-to-year, consistent with lumpy land/home closing timing highlighted in the KPI insights.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMApr 2024Apr 2023Apr 2022Apr 2021Apr 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue53.00M49.69M51.37M48.68M62.48M40.07M
Gross Profit38.94M32.88M14.47M18.90M26.66M14.47M
EBITDA14.96M12.29M7.75M5.89M21.53M40.07M
Net Income12.93M12.72M6.69M21.79M15.86M7.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets143.94M133.78M122.83M115.89M94.92M97.37M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments50.49M39.92M29.69M19.99M15.72M24.80M
Total Debt21.00K68.00K35.00K44.00K2.03M3.45M
Total Liabilities4.57M6.30M4.78M4.89M11.76M8.48M
Stockholders Equity139.38M129.96M118.05M111.00M83.16M88.89M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow13.65M9.66M10.26M6.26M14.19M12.60M
Operating Cash Flow13.65M10.24M10.71M6.39M15.48M12.61M
Investing Cash Flow-536.00K-553.00K-457.00K-131.00K-1.20M-5.00K
Financing Cash Flow-7.00K-9.00K-9.00K-1.99M-23.36M-5.30M

Amrep Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price21.69
Price Trends
50DMA
26.43
Negative
100DMA
25.74
Negative
200DMA
23.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.36
Positive
RSI
42.54
Neutral
STOCH
8.39
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AXR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.69 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.81, below the 50-day MA of 26.43, and below the 200-day MA of 23.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.39 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AXR.

Amrep Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$1.50B8.939.49%16.12%-0.91%
75
Outperform
$131.99M10.279.58%-8.70%-0.61%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
61
Neutral
$564.73M8.065.56%-54.20%-50.02%
53
Neutral
$258.43M21.211.99%6.16%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AXR
Amrep
24.88
3.38
15.72%
ARL
American Realty Investors
16.00
1.54
10.65%
FOR
Forestar Group
29.31
9.82
50.38%
FPH
Five Point Holdings
5.12
-0.38
-6.91%
AEI
Alset EHome International
1.24
0.31
33.33%
OZ
Belpointe PREP
46.85
-19.16
-29.03%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 30, 2026