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Amrep
(NYSE:AXR)
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Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$28.00
▲(29.09% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/30/26
AXR’s score is driven primarily by strong financial quality—especially the near-zero debt balance sheet and solid cash generation—partly offset by volatility in revenue/margins tied to lumpy project closings. Technical indicators are neutral-to-mixed with some near-term weakness, while valuation looks reasonable given the low P/E.
Positive Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Near-zero debt gives AMREP durable financial flexibility across real estate cycles, reducing default risk and preserving capacity to fund development or hold land through downturns. This stability supports long-term strategic optionality and lowers refinancing risk.
Negative Factors
Lumpy Revenue and Margin Volatility
Revenue and margin swings from irregular project closings impair forecasting and make earnings timing-dependent. This structural lumpy revenue pattern complicates capital allocation, budgeting, and external performance assessment across 2-6 month horizons.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Near-zero debt gives AMREP durable financial flexibility across real estate cycles, reducing default risk and preserving capacity to fund development or hold land through downturns. This stability supports long-term strategic optionality and lowers refinancing risk.
Read all positive factors
Amrep Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue across different business segments, showcasing which areas drive growth and profitability, and where strategic focus may be needed.
Breaks down revenue across different business segments, showcasing which areas drive growth and profitability, and where strategic focus may be needed.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyAmrep (AXR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$132.95M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)8.39K
Price to Earnings (P/E)10.6
Beta (1Y)0.65
Revenue Growth-8.70%
EPS Growth-0.61%
CountryUS
Employees49
SectorReal Estate
Sector Strength53
IndustryReal Estate - Development
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)2.42
Shares Outstanding5,305,199
10 Day Avg. Volume14,173
30 Day Avg. Volume8,394
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.11
Price to Book (P/B)0.92
Price to Sales (P/S)2.41
P/FCF Ratio12.42
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.62
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.56
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit2.13
Enterprise Value/Ebitda5.53
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)1.78
Revenue Forecast (FY)$50.52M
Amrep Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Established in 1961 and headquartered in Havertown, Pennsylvania, AMREP Corporation is primarily involved in the real estate industry, operating through its subsidiaries. The company's operations are divided into two main divisions: land developme...
How the Company Makes Money
AMREP makes money primarily through real estate-related revenue streams tied to its land and development activities. This typically includes (1) revenue from selling developed and undeveloped land (including residential lots) to homebuilders and o...
Amrep Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Apr 2024 | Apr 2023 | Apr 2022 | Apr 2021 | Apr 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 53.00M | 49.69M | 51.37M | 48.68M | 62.48M | 40.07M |
| Gross Profit | 38.94M | 32.88M | 14.47M | 18.90M | 26.66M | 14.47M |
| EBITDA | 14.96M | 12.29M | 7.75M | 7.70M | 21.79M | 40.07M |
| Net Income | 12.93M | 12.72M | 6.69M | 21.79M | 15.86M | 7.39M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 143.94M | 133.78M | 122.83M | 115.89M | 94.92M | 97.37M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 50.49M | 39.92M | 29.69M | 19.99M | 15.72M | 24.80M |
| Total Debt | 21.00K | 68.00K | 35.00K | 44.00K | 2.03M | 3.45M |
| Total Liabilities | 4.57M | 6.30M | 4.78M | 4.89M | 11.76M | 8.48M |
| Stockholders Equity | 139.38M | 129.96M | 118.05M | 111.00M | 83.16M | 88.89M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 13.65M | 9.66M | 10.26M | 6.26M | 14.19M | 12.60M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 13.65M | 10.24M | 10.71M | 6.39M | 15.48M | 12.61M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -536.00K | -553.00K | -457.00K | -131.00K | -1.20M | -5.00K |
| Financing Cash Flow | -7.00K | -9.00K | -9.00K | -1.99M | -23.36M | -5.30M |
Amrep Technical Analysis
Negative
21.69
Price Trends
25.77
Negative
26.29
Negative
23.95
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.18
Positive
45.83
Neutral
28.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AXR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.69 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.34, below the 50-day MA of 25.77, and below the 200-day MA of 23.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AXR.
Amrep Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 Outperform | $1.54B | 9.22 | 9.49% | ― | 16.12% | -0.91% | |
75 Outperform | $132.95M | 10.58 | 9.58% | ― | -8.70% | -0.61% | |
65 Neutral | $2.17B | 12.19 | 3.79% | 4.94% | 3.15% | 1.96% | |
61 Neutral | $564.73M | 8.04 | 5.56% | ― | -54.20% | -50.02% | |
52 Neutral | $314.16M | 23.94 | 1.99% | ― | 6.16% | ― |
* Real Estate Sector Average
AXR
Amrep
25.61
2.62
11.40%
ARL
American Realty Investors
18.15
4.65
34.44%
FOR
Forestar Group
30.34
8.20
37.04%
FPH
Five Point Holdings
5.20
-0.81
-13.48%
AEI
Alset EHome International
1.21
-0.01
-0.82%
OZ
Belpointe PREP
45.65
-20.37
-30.86%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.