Amrep (AXR) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $104.46M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 8.39K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 10.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.67
• Revenue Growth: -27.32%
• EPS Growth: -15.12%
• Country: US
• Employees: 42
• Sector: Real Estate
• Sector Strength: 53
• Industry: Real Estate - Development
• EPS (TTM): 0.22
• Shares Outstanding: 5,305,199
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 14,173
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 8,394
• PEG Ratio: 0.11
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.92
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.41
• P/FCF Ratio: 12.42
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.67
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.52
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 2.13
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 6.15
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 67 Neutral
• Price Target: $22.00 ▲(1.43% Upside)

Amrep's strong valuation score, driven by a low P/E ratio, is a significant positive factor. However, the financial performance is mixed, with strong operational efficiency but declining revenue and cash flow growth. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, adding caution to the outlook. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data limits insights into strategic direction.

Positive Factors

Operational Efficiency

Amrep's operational efficiency and minimal leverage indicate effective management and financial stability, supporting long-term sustainability.

Cash Generation

Strong cash generation relative to net income suggests robust liquidity and the ability to fund operations and investments without external financing.

Gross Profit Margin

A high gross profit margin indicates efficient cost management, allowing Amrep to maintain profitability despite revenue challenges.

Negative Factors

Revenue Decline

A significant drop in revenue suggests potential market challenges or loss of customer base, which could impact long-term growth prospects.

Free Cash Flow Decline

Declining free cash flow growth may hinder Amrep's ability to invest in growth opportunities and maintain financial flexibility.

Net Profit Margin Decrease

A decrease in net profit margin indicates challenges in maintaining profitability, which could affect Amrep's long-term financial health.

Amrep Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Amrep Corporation (AXR) is a diversified company engaged in various sectors including packaging, marketing, and distribution services. The company primarily focuses on providing innovative packaging solutions and related services to a range of industries, including consumer goods, food and beverage, and pharmaceuticals. Amrep's core products include aerosol and liquid packaging, which are designed to meet the specific needs of its clients, ensuring high-quality performance and sustainability.

How the Company Makes Money

Amrep generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling its packaging products and services to various industries. The company earns money by manufacturing and distributing aerosol and liquid packaging solutions, which are essential for brands looking to deliver their products efficiently. Additionally, Amrep may engage in contract manufacturing and custom packaging services, allowing it to cater to specific customer requirements. Key partnerships with large consumer goods companies enhance its market presence and facilitate consistent sales. The company's revenue is further supported by ongoing demand for sustainable and innovative packaging solutions, as businesses increasingly focus on environmentally responsible practices.

Amrep Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Amrep demonstrates strong operational efficiency and a solid balance sheet with minimal leverage. However, declining revenue and free cash flow growth pose challenges. The company needs to address these areas to sustain its financial health and growth trajectory.

Income Statement

Amrep's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of 71.54% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 22.86% TTM, reflecting challenges in maintaining profitability. The revenue growth rate is negative at -5.18% TTM, suggesting a decline in sales. Despite this, the EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy at 22.02% and 24.81% TTM, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet is robust with a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0002 TTM, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. The return on equity is decent at 10.35% TTM, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is strong, highlighting a solid capital structure with a high proportion of equity financing.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a significant decline in free cash flow growth at -45.18% TTM, which could impact future liquidity. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is exceptionally high at 166.87 TTM, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, suggesting efficient conversion of profits into cash.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	45.95M	49.69M	51.37M	48.68M	62.48M	40.07M
Gross Profit	32.87M	32.88M	14.47M	18.90M	26.66M	14.47M
EBITDA	11.40M	12.29M	7.75M	5.89M	21.53M	40.07M
Net Income	10.50M	12.72M	6.69M	21.79M	15.86M	7.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	140.13M	133.78M	122.83M	115.89M	94.92M	97.37M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	44.62M	39.92M	29.69M	19.99M	15.72M	24.80M
Total Debt	23.00K	68.00K	35.00K	44.00K	2.03M	3.45M
Total Liabilities	4.11M	6.30M	4.78M	4.89M	11.76M	8.48M
Stockholders Equity	136.03M	129.96M	118.05M	111.00M	83.16M	88.89M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	4.98M	9.66M	10.26M	6.26M	14.19M	12.60M
Operating Cash Flow	5.01M	10.24M	10.71M	6.39M	15.48M	12.61M
Investing Cash Flow	-513.00K	-553.00K	-457.00K	-131.00K	-1.20M	-5.00K
Financing Cash Flow	-9.00K	-9.00K	-9.00K	-1.99M	-23.36M	-5.30M

Amrep Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 21.69
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AXR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.30, above the 50-day MA of 20.51, and below the 200-day MA of 21.86, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.45 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AXR.

Amrep Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
FPH	73 Outperform	$632.50M	4.48	12.52%	―	-1.52%	81.35%
FOR	71 Outperform	$1.30B	7.79	9.99%	―	10.13%	-18.11%
AXR	67 Neutral	$104.46M	10.07	8.04%	―	-27.32%	-15.12%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$2.17B	12.19	3.79%	4.94%	3.15%	1.96%
ARL	53 Neutral	$255.85M	44.42	0.95%	―	-0.58%	―