Amrep (AXR)
NYSE:AXR
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Amrep
(NYSE:AXR)
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Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$30.00
▲(38.31% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/21/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance—especially the very low-debt balance sheet and solid TTM profitability—tempered by inherently volatile, timing-driven results typical of development and land closings. Valuation is supportive due to a low P/E, while technical signals are mixed with negative MACD and only modest strength versus key moving averages.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Near-zero debt provides durable financial flexibility across real estate cycles. Low leverage reduces liquidity and refinancing risk, enabling the company to fund development, hold land through downturns, and selectively pursue opportunities without relying on external credit markets.
Negative Factors
Lumpy, timing-driven results
Revenue and earnings are heavily tied to timing of lot and home closings, creating material quarter-to-quarter and year-to-year volatility. This reduces earnings predictability, complicates capital allocation and planning, and can stress operations during prolonged slowdowns in homebuilding activity.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Near-zero debt provides durable financial flexibility across real estate cycles. Low leverage reduces liquidity and refinancing risk, enabling the company to fund development, hold land through downturns, and selectively pursue opportunities without relying on external credit markets.
Read all positive factors
Amrep Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue across different business segments, showcasing which areas drive growth and profitability, and where strategic focus may be needed.
Breaks down revenue across different business segments, showcasing which areas drive growth and profitability, and where strategic focus may be needed.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyAmrep (AXR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$142.98M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)8.39K
Price to Earnings (P/E)8.8
Beta (1Y)0.66
Revenue Growth-8.70%
EPS Growth-0.61%
CountryUS
Employees42
SectorReal Estate
Sector Strength53
IndustryReal Estate - Development
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)2.42
Shares Outstanding5,305,199
10 Day Avg. Volume14,173
30 Day Avg. Volume8,394
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.11
Price to Book (P/B)0.92
Price to Sales (P/S)2.41
P/FCF Ratio12.42
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.65
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.75
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit2.39
Enterprise Value/Ebitda6.22
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$30.00Price Target Upside38.31% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)2.09
Revenue Forecast (FY)$57.80M
Amrep Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Amrep Corporation (AXR) is a diversified company engaged in various sectors including packaging, marketing, and distribution services. The company primarily focuses on providing innovative packaging solutions and related services to a range of ind...
How the Company Makes Money
AMREP makes money primarily through real estate-related revenue streams tied to its land and development activities. This typically includes (1) revenue from selling developed and undeveloped land (including residential lots) to homebuilders and o...
Amrep Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Apr 2024 | Apr 2023 | Apr 2022 | Apr 2021 | Apr 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 53.00M | 49.69M | 51.37M | 48.68M | 62.48M | 40.07M |
| Gross Profit | 38.94M | 32.88M | 14.47M | 18.90M | 26.66M | 14.47M |
| EBITDA | 14.96M | 12.29M | 7.75M | 5.89M | 21.53M | 40.07M |
| Net Income | 12.93M | 12.72M | 6.69M | 21.79M | 15.86M | 7.39M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 143.94M | 133.78M | 122.83M | 115.89M | 94.92M | 97.37M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 50.00M | 39.92M | 29.69M | 19.99M | 15.72M | 24.80M |
| Total Debt | 21.00K | 68.00K | 35.00K | 44.00K | 2.03M | 3.45M |
| Total Liabilities | 4.57M | 6.30M | 4.78M | 4.89M | 11.76M | 8.48M |
| Stockholders Equity | 139.38M | 129.96M | 118.05M | 111.00M | 83.16M | 88.89M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 13.65M | 9.66M | 10.26M | 6.26M | 14.19M | 12.60M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 13.65M | 10.24M | 10.71M | 6.39M | 15.48M | 12.61M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -536.00K | -553.00K | -457.00K | -131.00K | -1.20M | -5.00K |
| Financing Cash Flow | -7.00K | -9.00K | -9.00K | -1.99M | -23.36M | -5.30M |
Amrep Technical Analysis
Positive
21.69
Price Trends
26.91
Positive
24.63
Positive
23.44
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.55
Positive
54.19
Neutral
38.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AXR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.69 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.46, below the 50-day MA of 26.91, and below the 200-day MA of 23.44, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.55 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AXR.
Amrep Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 Outperform | $142.98M | 8.82 | 9.58% | ― | -8.70% | -0.61% | |
76 Outperform | $1.33B | 9.71 | 9.49% | ― | 16.12% | -0.91% | |
65 Neutral | $2.17B | 12.19 | 3.79% | 4.94% | 3.15% | 1.96% | |
57 Neutral | $537.16M | -38.86 | 5.56% | ― | -54.20% | -50.02% | |
48 Neutral | $225.97M | -113.23 | 1.99% | ― | 6.16% | ― |
* Real Estate Sector Average
AXR
Amrep
26.95
4.25
18.72%
ARL
American Realty Investors
13.99
0.35
2.57%
FOR
Forestar Group
26.03
7.12
37.65%
FPH
Five Point Holdings
4.87
-0.56
-10.31%
AEI
Alset EHome International
1.64
0.72
78.26%
OZ
Belpointe PREP
48.00
-16.63
-25.73%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.