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Amrep (AXR)
NYSE:AXR
US Market
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Amrep (AXR) AI Stock Analysis

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AXR

Amrep

(NYSE:AXR)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$25.00
▼(-1.61% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/28/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial stability (strong margins, positive cash generation, and low leverage) but is held back by weak technical positioning (price below key moving averages) and a less favorable near-term trajectory reflected in volatile/recently declining revenue and sharply negative free-cash-flow growth in 2026. Valuation is supportive with a relatively low P/E.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Near-zero debt and sizable equity give AMREP durable financial flexibility. This conservatism lets the company fund entitlement, weather cyclical slumps in lot sales, and pursue opportunistic land investments without immediate refinancing risk, supporting stability over months.
Negative Factors
Volatile and declining revenue
AMREP's revenue is driven by lumpy, timing-sensitive land sales; recent multi-year declines reduce near-term revenue visibility. Continued top-line volatility undermines forecasting, makes operational planning harder, and can compress investment and payout decisions over months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Near-zero debt and sizable equity give AMREP durable financial flexibility. This conservatism lets the company fund entitlement, weather cyclical slumps in lot sales, and pursue opportunistic land investments without immediate refinancing risk, supporting stability over months.
Read all positive factors

Amrep Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue across different business segments, showcasing which areas drive growth and profitability, and where strategic focus may be needed.
Chart InsightsAmrep’s topline is driven by lumpy land-sale receipts and increasingly material home-sale closings; land sales create sporadic, large spikes that drive quarter-to-quarter volatility, while home sales have shown stronger, more sustained momentum through mid‑2025 and are becoming the steadier growth driver. “Other” is negligible except for occasional one‑offs. For investors, revenue swings reflect timing of closings more than demand trends—watch lot inventory, backlog and margins for a clearer read on sustainable earnings power.
Data provided by:The Fly

Amrep (AXR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Amrep Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Established in 1961 and headquartered in Havertown, Pennsylvania, AMREP Corporation is primarily involved in the real estate industry, operating through its subsidiaries. The company's operations are divided into two main divisions: land developme...
How the Company Makes Money
AMREP primarily makes money by monetizing its land assets. The company’s main revenue stream comes from selling developed and undeveloped land, including residential lots, to homebuilders and other buyers. Revenue is recognized when control of the...

Amrep Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial profile is stable but cyclical: profitability remains solid with strong recent margins, the balance sheet is conservatively positioned with minimal debt, and operating/free cash flow have been positive. Offsetting these strengths are volatile and recently declining revenue, a pullback in net income in 2026, and sharply negative free-cash-flow growth in 2026, consistent with lumpy project timing in land/home sales.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
67
Positive
BreakdownApr 2025Apr 2024Apr 2023Apr 2022Apr 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue52.85M49.69M51.37M48.68M62.48M
Gross Profit31.02M32.88M14.47M18.90M26.66M
EBITDA14.44M12.29M7.75M7.70M21.79M
Net Income10.29M12.72M6.69M21.79M15.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets147.35M133.78M122.83M115.89M94.92M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments52.69M39.92M29.69M19.99M15.72M
Total Debt167.00K34.00K27.00K44.00K2.03M
Total Liabilities6.61M3.82M4.78M4.89M11.76M
Stockholders Equity140.74M129.96M118.05M111.00M83.16M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow12.78M9.66M10.26M6.26M14.19M
Operating Cash Flow12.88M10.24M10.71M6.39M15.48M
Investing Cash Flow-102.00K-553.00K-457.00K-131.00K-1.20M
Financing Cash Flow-8.00K-9.00K-9.00K-1.99M-23.36M

Amrep Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price25.41
Price Trends
50DMA
24.59
Negative
100DMA
25.72
Negative
200DMA
23.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.81
Positive
RSI
40.30
Neutral
STOCH
50.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AXR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 25.41 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.32, above the 50-day MA of 24.59, and above the 200-day MA of 23.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.81 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AXR.

Amrep Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$1.50B8.819.42%11.76%4.46%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
$119.86M11.667.47%6.34%-19.44%
65
Neutral
$565.93M6.896.35%-40.80%-33.41%
51
Neutral
$242.28M29.101.56%6.77%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AXR
Amrep
22.51
1.02
4.75%
ARL
American Realty Investors
15.00
0.90
6.38%
FOR
Forestar Group
29.44
2.38
8.80%
FPH
Five Point Holdings
5.16
-0.35
-6.35%
AEI
Alset EHome International
1.34
0.00
0.00%
OZ
Belpointe PREP
47.26
-13.84
-22.65%

Amrep Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Amrep Board Enhances Executive Compensation to Support Leadership
Positive
Jul 15, 2026
On July 13, 2026, AMREP Corporation’s board approved substantial incentive awards for President and CEO Christopher V. Vitale and CFO Adrienne M. Uleau, including cash bonuses of $178,000 and $64,000 respectively and grants of restricted com...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 28, 2026