Amrep (AXR)
NYSE:AXR
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Amrep
(NYSE:AXR)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:83Outperform
Price Target:
$33.00
▲(52.14% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/17/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance—especially the very low-debt balance sheet and solid TTM profitability/cash generation—offset by development-style volatility in results. Technicals are constructive with clear trend strength, though near-overbought RSI moderates the outlook. Valuation is supportive given the low P/E.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
An essentially debt-free capital structure materially lowers refinancing and solvency risk across real estate cycles. This durability gives management flexibility to time land sales, fund opportunistic development or acquisitions without external financing, and protects cash flows versus peers.
Negative Factors
Project-timing earnings volatility
Revenue, margins and FCF have swung materially year-to-year due to timing of lot sales and project milestones. That development-driven volatility reduces earnings predictability, complicates cash planning and investor visibility over multiple quarters despite healthy trailing metrics.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
An essentially debt-free capital structure materially lowers refinancing and solvency risk across real estate cycles. This durability gives management flexibility to time land sales, fund opportunistic development or acquisitions without external financing, and protects cash flows versus peers.
Read all positive factors
Amrep (AXR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$137.40M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)8.39K
Price to Earnings (P/E)8.8
Beta (1Y)0.73
Revenue Growth-27.32%
EPS Growth-15.12%
CountryUS
Employees42
SectorReal Estate
Sector Strength53
IndustryReal Estate - Development
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.58
Shares Outstanding5,305,199
10 Day Avg. Volume14,173
30 Day Avg. Volume8,394
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.11
Price to Book (P/B)0.92
Price to Sales (P/S)2.41
P/FCF Ratio12.42
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.64
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.65
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit2.25
Enterprise Value/Ebitda5.84
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)2.24
Revenue Forecast (FY)$55.32M
Amrep Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Amrep Corporation (AXR) is a diversified company engaged in various sectors including packaging, marketing, and distribution services. The company primarily focuses on providing innovative packaging solutions and related services to a range of ind...
How the Company Makes Money
Amrep primarily makes money from real estate activities, principally through the monetization of owned land and development assets. Key revenue streams generally include: (1) sales of developed and undeveloped land or lots to homebuilders and othe...
Amrep Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue across different business segments, showcasing which areas drive growth and profitability, and where strategic focus may be needed.
Breaks down revenue across different business segments, showcasing which areas drive growth and profitability, and where strategic focus may be needed.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyAmrep Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Apr 2024 | Apr 2023 | Apr 2022 | Apr 2021 | Apr 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 53.00M | 49.69M | 51.37M | 48.68M | 62.48M | 40.07M |
| Gross Profit | 38.94M | 32.88M | 14.47M | 18.90M | 26.66M | 14.47M |
| EBITDA | 14.96M | 12.29M | 7.75M | 5.89M | 21.53M | 40.07M |
| Net Income | 12.93M | 12.72M | 6.69M | 21.79M | 15.86M | 7.39M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 143.94M | 133.78M | 122.83M | 115.89M | 94.92M | 97.37M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 50.00M | 39.92M | 29.69M | 19.99M | 15.72M | 24.80M |
| Total Debt | 21.00K | 68.00K | 35.00K | 44.00K | 2.03M | 3.45M |
| Total Liabilities | 4.57M | 6.30M | 4.78M | 4.89M | 11.76M | 8.48M |
| Stockholders Equity | 139.38M | 129.96M | 118.05M | 111.00M | 83.16M | 88.89M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 13.65M | 9.66M | 10.26M | 6.26M | 14.19M | 12.60M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 13.65M | 10.24M | 10.71M | 6.39M | 15.48M | 12.61M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -536.00K | -553.00K | -457.00K | -131.00K | -1.20M | -5.00K |
| Financing Cash Flow | -7.00K | -9.00K | -9.00K | -1.99M | -23.36M | -5.30M |
Amrep Technical Analysis
Neutral
21.69
Price Trends
24.16
Positive
22.30
Positive
22.58
Positive
Market Momentum
0.88
Positive
49.84
Neutral
57.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AXR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 21.69 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.18, below the 50-day MA of 24.16, and below the 200-day MA of 22.58, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.88 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AXR.
Amrep Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
83 Outperform | $137.40M | 8.82 | 7.98% | ― | -27.32% | -15.12% | |
66 Neutral | $1.26B | 20.39 | 9.82% | ― | 10.13% | -18.11% | |
65 Neutral | $2.17B | 12.19 | 3.79% | 4.94% | 3.15% | 1.96% | |
62 Neutral | $520.99M | 5.51 | 8.87% | ― | -1.52% | 81.35% | |
47 Neutral | $246.80M | -91.47 | 2.58% | ― | -0.58% | ― |
* Real Estate Sector Average
AXR
Amrep
25.90
5.85
29.18%
ARL
American Realty Investors
15.28
4.33
39.54%
FOR
Forestar Group
24.81
3.67
17.36%
FPH
Five Point Holdings
4.77
-0.57
-10.67%
AEI
Alset EHome International
1.78
0.79
79.80%
OZ
Belpointe PREP
52.01
-12.49
-19.36%
Amrep Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Amrep Expands Board and Amends Corporate Bylaws
Positive
Jan 26, 2026
On January 26, 2026, Amrep’s board of directors approved changes to its governance structure, effective January 27, 2026, by expanding the board from four to five members and reallocating directors among its classified board structure. The n...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.