Five Point Holdings (FPH) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $637.95M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 126.41K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 4.5
• Beta (1Y): 0.61
• Revenue Growth: -1.52%
• EPS Growth: 81.35%
• Country: US
• Employees: 88
• Sector: Real Estate
• Sector Strength: 53
• Industry: Real Estate - Development
• EPS (TTM): 0.28
• Shares Outstanding: 70,971,450
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 135,161
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 126,406
• PEG Ratio: -0.11
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.35
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.10
• P/FCF Ratio: 2.27
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 4.12
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 13.56
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 41.74
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 18.12
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 77 Outperform
• Price Target: $6.50 ▲(7.08% Upside)

Five Point Holdings' strong financial performance and attractive valuation are the primary drivers of its score. The positive sentiment from the earnings call further supports the stock's potential, despite technical indicators suggesting a neutral trend. Challenges such as delayed sales and interest rate pressures are noted but do not significantly detract from the overall positive outlook.

Five Point Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Five Point Holdings, LLC, through its subsidiary, Five Point Operating Company, LP, owns and develops mixed-use and planned communities in Orange County, Los Angeles County, and San Francisco County. The company operates in four segments: Valencia, San Francisco, Great Park, and Commercial. It sells residential and commercial land sites to homebuilders, commercial developers, and commercial buyers; operates and owns a commercial office, medical campus, and other properties; and provides development and property management services. The company was formerly known as Newhall Holding Company, LLC and changed its name to Five Point Holdings, LLC in May 2016. Five Point Holdings, LLC was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.

How the Company Makes Money

Five Point Holdings generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by developing and selling residential and commercial properties within its planned communities. The company typically engages in joint ventures and partnerships to share capital expenditures and risks, which facilitates large-scale developments. Additionally, FPH earns revenue from leasing commercial spaces to businesses and collecting homeowners' association fees in residential communities. Significant partnerships with local municipalities and other developers also aid in navigating regulatory processes, further enhancing the company's revenue potential through streamlined project approvals and increased market access.

Five Point Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Five Point Holdings shows strong financial performance with impressive revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is healthy with manageable leverage, and cash flow management is effective. However, there is room for improvement in cash flow consistency and liability management.

Income Statement

Five Point Holdings has shown impressive revenue growth with a consistent increase in total revenue from previous years. The company's gross profit and net profit margins have improved significantly, indicating strong profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, reflecting efficient operational management.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet displays a healthy debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting manageable leverage. The return on equity has improved over time, indicating enhanced shareholder value. Additionally, the equity ratio remains stable, showing a strong capital position, although there is room for improvement in reducing liabilities.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement reveals strong free cash flow growth, highlighting effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting good cash earnings quality. The company is successfully converting profits into cash, though further improvements in cash flow consistency could be beneficial.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	193.90M	237.93M	211.73M	42.69M	224.39M	153.62M
Gross Profit	63.00M	118.83M	77.74M	15.20M	80.10M	42.25M
EBITDA	145.09M	86.96M	46.10M	-22.45M	28.97M	-27.11M
Net Income	211.49M	68.30M	55.39M	-15.40M	6.57M	-408.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.97B	3.08B	2.97B	2.89B	2.94B	2.96B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	351.13M	430.88M	353.80M	131.77M	265.46M	298.14M
Total Debt	0.00	598.77M	692.54M	699.35M	702.58M	721.71M
Total Liabilities	835.77M	896.32M	962.18M	992.74M	1.02B	1.05B
Stockholders Equity	2.13B	749.44M	678.05M	618.13M	634.42M	617.67M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	209.02M	115.18M	154.12M	-188.38M	-81.57M	-80.65M
Operating Cash Flow	209.12M	115.99M	154.12M	-188.30M	-81.42M	-78.50M
Investing Cash Flow	12.97M	70.06M	77.11M	63.99M	75.31M	52.94M
Financing Cash Flow	-95.48M	-108.98M	-9.20M	-9.72M	-26.58M	-23.54M

Five Point Holdings Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 6.07
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FPH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.94, above the 50-day MA of 5.98, and above the 200-day MA of 5.66, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FPH.

Five Point Holdings Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
FPH	77 Outperform	$637.95M	4.52	12.52%	―	-1.52%	81.35%
FOR	70 Outperform	$1.28B	7.67	9.99%	―	10.13%	-18.11%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$2.17B	12.19	3.79%	4.94%	3.15%	1.96%
ARL	53 Neutral	$252.94M	-21.38	―	―	-0.58%	―
AMBR	39 Underperform	$163.01M	―	-34.58%	―	-32.18%	―

Five Point Holdings Corporate Events

Five Point Holdings Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results

Five Point Holdings, LLC, headquartered in Irvine, California, is a developer of large mixed-use planned communities in California, integrating residential, commercial, retail, educational, and recreational elements with public amenities.

Five Point Holdings Expands Credit Facility Agreement

On October 21, 2025, Five Point Operating Company, LP, a subsidiary of Five Point Holdings, LLC, entered into significant amendments to its credit agreements with several banks, including Zions Bancorporation and JPMorgan Chase Bank. The amendments increased the company’s revolving credit facility from $125 million to $217.5 million, with the potential to expand up to $300 million, and extended the maturity date to July 2029, enhancing the company’s financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (FPH) stock is a Buy with a $6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Five Point Holdings stock, see the FPH Stock Forecast page.

Five Point Holdings Issues $450M Senior Notes

On September 25, 2025, Five Point Operating Company, LP and its subsidiary issued $450 million in Senior Notes due 2030, with an 8% interest rate, to refinance existing debt. The proceeds will be used to purchase and redeem outstanding 2028 and 2025 Notes. The Notes, which are not registered under the Securities Act, are intended for qualified institutional buyers and certain offshore transactions. The issuance aims to optimize the company’s debt structure, potentially impacting its financial stability and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (FPH) stock is a Buy with a $6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Five Point Holdings stock, see the FPH Stock Forecast page.

Five Point Holdings Prices $450M Senior Notes Offering

On September 15, 2025, Five Point Holdings announced the pricing of $450 million in 8.000% senior notes due 2030. The proceeds from this offering are intended to purchase and redeem existing notes, including the 10.500% Initial Rate Senior Notes due 2028 and the 7.875% Senior Notes due 2025, as part of a strategic financial restructuring.

The most recent analyst rating on (FPH) stock is a Buy with a $6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Five Point Holdings stock, see the FPH Stock Forecast page.

Five Point Holdings Launches $450 Million Notes Offering

On September 15, 2025, Five Point Holdings announced the launch of a $450 million senior notes offering due 2030 by its operating company and subsidiary. The proceeds are intended to fund a tender offer for outstanding 2028 notes and to redeem existing notes due 2025. This financial maneuver aims to optimize the company’s debt structure, potentially impacting its financial stability and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (FPH) stock is a Buy with a $6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Five Point Holdings stock, see the FPH Stock Forecast page.

Five Point Holdings Updates Strategic Corporate Presentation

On September 8, 2025, Five Point Holdings released an updated corporate presentation for use in conferences and investor meetings. The presentation highlights the company’s strategic approach to monetizing land and creating value through the development of mixed-use communities. This approach is designed to meet diverse residential needs, including affordable options, and incorporates renewable energy and net-zero emission developments. The company’s focus on community design and amenities aims to establish thriving, connected communities, enhancing its industry positioning and potentially benefiting stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (FPH) stock is a Buy with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Five Point Holdings stock, see the FPH Stock Forecast page.

Five Point Holdings Amends Development Agreement for Key Sites

On August 6, 2025, CP Development Co., LLC, a subsidiary of Five Point Holdings, amended its Disposition and Development Agreement with the Successor Agency to the Redevelopment Agency of San Francisco for the Candlestick Point and Hunters Point Shipyard sites. The amendment allows for the transfer of 2,050,000 square feet of research and development and office space from the Shipyard to Candlestick, streamlines approval processes, and increases the limit on bonded indebtedness from $1.7 billion to $5.9 billion. It also extends timeframes for incurring and repaying redevelopment-related indebtedness, with provisions to account for delays in site remediation by the U.S. Navy, impacting the financing of obligations such as affordable housing.