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Five Point Holdings Llc (FPH)
NYSE:FPH

Five Point Holdings (FPH) AI Stock Analysis

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Five Point Holdings

(NYSE:FPH)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$6.00
▲(7.91%Upside)
Five Point Holdings exhibits a strong financial position with notable profitability and a debt-free balance sheet. The attractive valuation and strategic corporate acquisition enhance its outlook. While technical indicators remain neutral, the overall financial health and strategic maneuvers suggest a positive future trajectory, tempered by market uncertainties and potential cash flow volatility.

Five Point Holdings (FPH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Five Point Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFive Point Holdings, LLC, through its subsidiary, Five Point Operating Company, LP, owns and develops mixed-use and planned communities in Orange County, Los Angeles County, and San Francisco County. The company operates in four segments: Valencia, San Francisco, Great Park, and Commercial. It sells residential and commercial land sites to homebuilders, commercial developers, and commercial buyers; operates and owns a commercial office, medical campus, and other properties; and provides development and property management services. The company was formerly known as Newhall Holding Company, LLC and changed its name to Five Point Holdings, LLC in May 2016. Five Point Holdings, LLC was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyFive Point Holdings primarily makes money through the sale of residential and commercial real estate properties. The company's revenue streams include land sales to homebuilders, commercial property leasing, and management fees from operating commercial and retail spaces within its master-planned communities. Additionally, Five Point Holdings benefits from strategic partnerships with local governments and private entities to enhance infrastructure and amenities, which increase the value of its developments. The company also earns from property management services provided to residents and businesses in its communities.

Five Point Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 6.92%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted robust financial results, increased liquidity, and successful land sales, contrasted by challenges from market uncertainties and tariff policies affecting economic conditions.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Stronger-than-Expected Net Income
Five Point Holdings reported a net income of $60.6 million for Q1, exceeding guidance by $10 million.
Successful Residential Land Sales
The Great Park Venture secured sales of 325 homesites on 23.6 acres for $278.9 million.
Increased Liquidity
Five Point ended the quarter with total liquidity of $653.3 million, including $528.3 million in cash.
Credit Rating Upgrade
Five Point received a credit rating upgrade from S&P from B- to B, with senior notes upgraded from B to B+.
Steady Home Sales in Great Park
Builders sold 233 homes in Q1 at Great Park, up from 143 homes in Q4 2024.
Negative Updates
Market Uncertainty Impact
Economic challenges due to shifting tariff policies and higher mortgage rates were noted, affecting consumer sentiment and sales pace.
Negative Carry on Debt
Five Point faced a negative carry due to holding cash against a higher coupon debt, resulting in a cost of $30 million.
Tariff Policy Concerns
Tariff policies have put upward pressure on interest rates and inflation, impacting the housing market.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Five Point Holdings, LLC reported a net income of $60.6 million, exceeding their guidance by approximately $10 million. The company's financial success was driven by several key factors, including revenue generation from land sales, controlling expenses, and effective capital management. Specifically, the Great Park Venture contributed significantly with land sales revenue of $278.9 million, resulting in a gross margin of 75%. The company ended the quarter with total liquidity of $653.3 million, comprising $528.3 million in cash and cash equivalents and $125 million in borrowing availability. Five Point's credit rating was upgraded by S&P from B- to B, with senior notes upgraded to B+ due to consistent earnings and cash generation. Looking ahead, Five Point anticipates net income close to $200 million for 2025, contingent on the timing of development processes in Los Angeles County.

Five Point Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Five Point Holdings shows strong financial performance with a high gross profit margin and solid net profit margin. The balance sheet is robust, with no debt and strong equity, reducing financial risk. However, cash flow volatility and the absence of EBITDA limit the assessment of operational efficiency.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Five Point Holdings has shown significant improvement in revenue and profitability in the latest year compared to previous years. The most recent annual report indicates a gross profit margin of 100% due to the entirety of revenue being converted to gross profit, and a strong net profit margin of approximately 97.7%. The company has experienced solid revenue growth, particularly notable from 2022 to 2023, suggesting a positive trajectory in their financial performance. However, the absence of EBITDA in the latest year limits the analysis of operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet of Five Point Holdings reflects a strong equity position, with stockholders' equity making up a substantial portion of total assets. The company has a debt-free balance sheet as of the latest report, which significantly reduces financial risk and enhances stability. The equity ratio is robust, indicating a solid foundation for growth. Additionally, the return on equity has improved remarkably, reflecting efficient utilization of equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow statement indicates a healthy free cash flow and a positive operating cash flow in the latest report, which suggests strong cash generation capabilities. However, the free cash flow has decreased compared to the previous year, indicating potential volatility in cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio remains positive, showing efficient conversion of profits into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue241.15M237.93M211.73M42.69M224.39M153.62M
Gross Profit132.72M118.83M77.74M15.20M80.10M42.25M
EBITDA102.39M86.96M46.10M-22.20M2.98M-27.11M
Net Income89.25M68.30M55.39M-34.77M13.31M1.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.16B3.08B2.97B2.89B2.94B2.96B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments528.33M430.88M353.80M131.77M265.46M298.14M
Total Debt599.77M525.74M692.54M620.65M619.12M617.58M
Total Liabilities919.13M896.32M962.18M992.74M1.02B1.05B
Stockholders Equity774.33M749.44M678.05M618.13M634.42M617.67M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow198.74M115.18M154.12M-188.38M-81.57M-80.65M
Operating Cash Flow199.14M115.99M154.12M-188.30M-81.42M-78.50M
Investing Cash Flow106.32M70.06M77.11M63.99M75.31M52.94M
Financing Cash Flow-9.81M-108.98M-9.20M-9.72M-26.58M-23.54M

Five Point Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.56
Price Trends
50DMA
5.44
Positive
100DMA
5.45
Positive
200DMA
4.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Positive
RSI
51.18
Neutral
STOCH
57.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FPH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.56, above the 50-day MA of 5.44, and above the 200-day MA of 4.72, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FPH.

Five Point Holdings Risk Analysis

Five Point Holdings disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Five Point Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Five Point Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AXAXR
79
Outperform
$110.35M8.6310.82%30.36%481.87%
FPFPH
76
Outperform
$599.10M4.4712.27%11.66%78.44%
FOFOR
72
Outperform
$1.02B6.1110.81%-5.60%-17.86%
61
Neutral
$411.79M42.301.50%24.15%-60.70%
ARARL
55
Neutral
$232.75M-2.20%-6.48%-592.10%
53
Neutral
$1.19B3.25-0.13%7.48%-1.64%-127.49%
OZOZ
$246.58M-9.30%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FPH
Five Point Holdings
5.56
2.63
89.76%
ARL
American Realty Investors
14.41
0.41
2.93%
AXR
Amrep
20.87
2.47
13.42%
FOR
Forestar Group
20.15
-11.27
-35.87%
LSEA
Landsea Homes
11.31
2.50
28.38%
OZ
Belpointe PREP
65.08
7.08
12.21%

Five Point Holdings Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Five Point Holdings Acquires Stake in Hearthstone Venture
Positive
Jun 20, 2025

On June 19, 2025, Five Point Holdings entered into a Contribution and Purchase Agreement with Hearthstone, Inc. and associated entities to acquire a controlling interest in a new venture, Hearthstone Residential Holdings, LLC. This strategic partnership aims to expand Five Point’s capabilities in providing capital solutions to the homebuilding sector, leveraging Hearthstone’s platform and expertise. The transaction, valued at $56.25 million, will see Five Point owning 75% of the new venture, with Hearthstone retaining 25%. The acquisition is expected to close by the end of the third quarter of 2025, subject to customary conditions, and aims to create new revenue streams and strengthen relationships with builder partners.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Five Point Holdings Concludes Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
May 23, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Five Point Holdings, LLC held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where 91.4% of the issued and outstanding common shares were represented. During the meeting, shareholders elected three directors, approved executive compensation on a non-binding advisory basis, and ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accountants for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 21, 2025