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Ryerson Holding Corporation (RYZ)
NYSE:RYZ
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Ryerson Holdings (RYZ) AI Stock Analysis

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RYZ

Ryerson Holdings

(NYSE:RYZ)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$26.00
▲(4.71% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/30/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance—ongoing losses and a sharp deterioration to negative operating and free cash flow. Offsetting this, the latest earnings call points to improving near-term fundamentals via stronger volumes, margin expansion, and upbeat Q2 guidance with synergy realization, while technicals and valuation are mixed (neutral momentum, supportive dividend, but negative P/E).
Positive Factors
Scale & market position (post‑merger)
The combined footprint and ~7% North American share create a durable competitive advantage: broader stocking locations and customer proximity support higher fill rates, lower logistics costs and stronger commercial leverage across infrastructure, reshoring and data‑center driven demand for years.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Leverage near 5x materially reduces financial flexibility and raises interest and covenant risk. Sustained deleveraging depends on continued EBITDA improvement and realized synergies; a setback in demand or margins would slow paydown and constrain capex or shareholder returns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Scale & market position (post‑merger)
The combined footprint and ~7% North American share create a durable competitive advantage: broader stocking locations and customer proximity support higher fill rates, lower logistics costs and stronger commercial leverage across infrastructure, reshoring and data‑center driven demand for years.
Read all positive factors

Ryerson Holdings (RYZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ryerson Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Ryerson Holding Corporation, operating globally through its subsidiaries, specializes in the refinement and supply of industrial metal products across the United States and various international markets. The company's extensive inventory features ...
How the Company Makes Money
Ryerson primarily makes money by buying metal products from mills and producers, holding inventory across its service center network, and reselling these metals to customers at a spread that reflects metal acquisition costs, market pricing, handli...

Ryerson Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights a clear operational rebound: strong shipment growth, robust revenue expansion (+37.9% YoY), margin improvement, and adjusted EBITDA more than doubling year-over-year. Integration with Olympic Steel is producing early, tangible synergies (procurement savings realized, facility consolidations, and initial synergy targets on track) and management provided constructive Q2 guidance including higher revenues and substantially higher expected adjusted EBITDA. Counterbalancing these positives are elevated leverage (net debt increased to $883M and leverage rose to 5.1x), significant near-term cash use for working capital and merger costs, higher-than-expected LIFO expense, and demand unevenness in contract/OEM markets plus commodity/delivery cost inflation risk. On balance, the operational momentum, synergy progress, and improved profitability and guidance materially outweigh the near-term balance-sheet and cost pressures.
Positive Updates
Strong Volume Recovery and Market Share Gains
Total company tons shipped increased sequentially by 42.3% (13.4% on a same-store basis). Year-over-year shipments rose 31.2% (4.6% on a same-store basis). Ryerson outpaced the MSCI industry trend and realized market share gains, driven by transactional strength and carbon products.
Negative Updates
Significant Increase in Leverage
Total debt increased to $908 million and net debt to $883 million in Q1 (increases of ~$445M), driving the leverage ratio to 5.1x from 3.1x in the prior quarter. Management expects leverage to decline as EBITDA rises, but current leverage is elevated.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Volume Recovery and Market Share Gains
Total company tons shipped increased sequentially by 42.3% (13.4% on a same-store basis). Year-over-year shipments rose 31.2% (4.6% on a same-store basis). Ryerson outpaced the MSCI industry trend and realized market share gains, driven by transactional strength and carbon products.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided Q2 shipments to be 1%–3% higher on a same‑store basis (total company tons 18%–20% above Q1 with Olympic fully included), revenue of $1.86B–$1.93B, same‑store average selling prices up 2%–4% sequentially (overall ASPs up 1%–3%), net income of $20M–$22M or $0.38–$0.42 per diluted share, LIFO expense of $14M–$16M, and adjusted EBITDA excluding LIFO of $88M–$92M (with $21M–$23M contributed by Olympic Steel); management expects $4M–$6M of Q2 synergy realization, has already annualized roughly $15M of procurement savings in the first 6 weeks, remains on track for a $40M procurement target and $120M of annual run‑rate synergies over two years, plans 2026 capex of ~$75M ($50M same‑store + $25M Olympic), confirmed a $0.1875 quarterly dividend and a new $100M share‑repurchase authorization over two years, and noted Q1 balance‑sheet metrics of $908M total debt/$883M net debt (5.1x leverage) with liquidity of $618M, inventory days of supply at 74 (target 70–75) and a 67‑day cash conversion cycle.

Ryerson Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite solid TTM revenue growth (+9.4%), profitability and cash generation are weak: the company is posting a net loss (-$46.3M) with slightly negative operating profit, and has turned to cash burn with negative operating cash flow (-$51M) and negative free cash flow (-$106.7M). The balance sheet is more controlled than prior years (debt-to-equity ~1.0), but negative returns and weakened cash flow materially constrain overall financial strength.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
27
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.00B4.57B4.60B5.11B6.32B5.68B
Gross Profit863.30M767.70M817.60M1.00B1.31B1.19B
EBITDA73.90M47.30M113.20M290.90M616.20M494.00M
Net Income-46.30M-56.40M-8.60M145.70M391.00M294.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.72B2.57B2.60B2.57B2.33B2.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.70M27.80M29.30M55.40M40.50M52.40M
Total Debt1.29B1.15B1.19B1.16B841.50M1.06B
Total Liabilities2.43B1.80B1.77B1.66B1.44B1.82B
Stockholders Equity1.28B753.10M815.30M905.90M885.10M537.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-106.70M35.50M105.30M243.20M396.10M-24.30M
Operating Cash Flow-51.00M87.00M204.90M365.10M501.20M35.00M
Investing Cash Flow-326.60M-53.60M-142.70M-262.10M-160.00M94.40M
Financing Cash Flow368.20M-36.50M-86.80M-88.30M-350.10M-137.90M

Ryerson Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price24.83
Price Trends
50DMA
26.94
Negative
100DMA
25.58
Negative
200DMA
24.67
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.18
Positive
RSI
34.86
Neutral
STOCH
11.70
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RYZ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 24.83 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.90, below the 50-day MA of 26.94, and above the 200-day MA of 24.67, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.70 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RYZ.

Ryerson Holdings Risk Analysis

Ryerson Holdings disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ryerson Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ryerson Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$4.65B14.7124.53%0.67%4.58%556.92%
78
Outperform
$1.44B34.3610.73%10.67%30.61%
69
Neutral
$2.65B16.9511.58%1.27%19.72%63.76%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$586.88M13.7111.72%3.49%20.94%88.74%
58
Neutral
$955.01M-47.34-6.76%-0.04%-172.38%
52
Neutral
$1.28B-16.85-5.10%2.84%11.28%-560.75%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RYZ
Ryerson Holdings
24.61
2.77
12.67%
AZZ
AZZ
155.05
58.99
61.41%
IIIN
Insteel Industries
30.20
-6.43
-17.56%
NWPX
Northwest Pipe Company
149.94
107.92
256.83%
WOR
Worthington Industries
53.76
-9.86
-15.49%
MEC
Mayville Engineering Company
37.46
21.20
130.38%

Ryerson Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ryerson Updates Investors on Post-Merger Strategy and Outlook
Positive
May 27, 2026
On May 27, 2026, Ryerson began using a new investor presentation to brief investors and analysts for the 2026 fiscal year, outlining its use of non-GAAP financial measures alongside reconciled GAAP metrics. Management argues these measures offer a...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Ryerson Holdings posts strong Q1 results after merger
Positive
May 6, 2026
On May 6, 2026, Ryerson Holding Corporation reported first-quarter 2026 results showing a sharp rebound in activity after its February 13 merger with Olympic Steel, with revenue rising 37.9% year over year to $1.57 billion as tons shipped increase...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Ryerson Holdings Shareholders Approve Governance Changes and Directors
Neutral
May 6, 2026
On April 30, 2026, Ryerson Holdings shareholders elected Class III directors Edward J. Lehner and Philip E. Norment with strong majorities, while Jacob Kotzubei received a notably higher level of withheld votes. The board’s remaining directo...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 30, 2026