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Ryerson Holding Corporation (RYZ)
NYSE:RYZ
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Ryerson Holdings (RYZ) AI Stock Analysis

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RYZ

Ryerson Holdings

(NYSE:RYZ)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$27.00
▲(8.74% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/31/26
The score is held back most by weak financial performance—especially the TTM reversal to negative operating and free cash flow—and still-thin/negative profitability despite the revenue rebound. The latest earnings call is a meaningful positive, citing post-merger execution, EBITDA outperformance, and accelerating synergies with an expectation of moderating working capital needs. Technically, the stock’s near-term trend is soft (below key shorter moving averages), while valuation is mixed due to a moderate dividend but negative P/E tied to losses.
Positive Factors
Revenue & Volume Recovery
A sustained rebound in shipments and record quarterly revenue indicates durable demand capture and improved market share. Higher tons and same-store price gains support structural scale advantages across Ryerson’s distribution network, bolstering revenue stability and operational leverage over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash Generation
Material cash burn in the trailing twelve months signals working-capital stress and/or weak cash earnings despite revenue growth. Persistent negative OCF and FCF limit ability to organically fund capex, pay down debt, or sustain dividends without relying on improved inventory turns or external financing.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue & Volume Recovery
A sustained rebound in shipments and record quarterly revenue indicates durable demand capture and improved market share. Higher tons and same-store price gains support structural scale advantages across Ryerson’s distribution network, bolstering revenue stability and operational leverage over coming quarters.
Read all positive factors

Ryerson Holdings (RYZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ryerson Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Ryerson Holding Corporation, operating globally through its subsidiaries, specializes in the refinement and supply of industrial metal products across the United States and various international markets. The company's extensive inventory features ...
How the Company Makes Money
Ryerson primarily makes money by buying metal products from mills and producers, holding inventory across its service center network, and reselling these metals to customers at a spread that reflects metal acquisition costs, market pricing, handli...

Ryerson Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlights significant operational and commercial progress from the Ryerson–Olympic Steel combination: record revenue and shipments, adjusted EBITDA above guidance, meaningful synergy realization and acceleration, improved same-store metrics, expanding liquidity and falling leverage. These positive developments are tempered by near-term margin and working capital headwinds driven by purchase accounting adjustments, LIFO expense, logistics and commodity volatility, and program pricing lags. Management views many of the challenges as transitional and actionable, with additional synergies and operational steps expected to improve margins and cash flow over time.
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue and Shipments
Net sales of $2.01 billion in Q2 2026 (record quarter), up 28.1% sequentially; total tons shipped just over 800,000, ton shift up 22.6% sequentially.
Negative Updates
Purchase Accounting and LIFO Pressures
A $15.7 million purchase accounting adjustment reduced gross margin and net income in Q2; Q2 LIFO expense of $17 million recorded and Q3 LIFO expense expected in range $16–$18 million.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Quarterly Revenue and Shipments
Net sales of $2.01 billion in Q2 2026 (record quarter), up 28.1% sequentially; total tons shipped just over 800,000, ton shift up 22.6% sequentially.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
For Q3 management expects volumes down 3–5% sequentially with average selling prices flat to up ~0–2%, revenue of $1.87–$1.95 billion, adjusted EBITDA excluding LIFO of $88–$92 million (with $21–$23 million contributed by Olympic Steel), LIFO expense of $16–$18 million, and reported net income (excluding inventory purchase accounting adjustments) of $19–$21 million or $0.37–$0.40 per diluted share; they also forecast ~$5–$7 million of additional inventory purchase accounting adjustments through year‑end, expect working capital needs to moderate (as stainless and aluminum prices retreat) supporting free cash flow and net debt reduction, and forecast realizing ~$13–$14 million of synergies in Q3 (driving a $52–$56 million annual run rate vs. a first‑year target of $40 million and a two‑year target of $120 million), of which ~ $6.5 million is expected from procurement, ~$3 million from efficiency/public company savings, ~$2 million from commercial enhancements (plus ~$8 million of annualized incremental EBITDA from new business) and ~$2 million from network optimization (~$8 million annualized), moving them closer to a ~3.0x net leverage ratio by year end.

Ryerson Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue rebounded strongly in the TTM period, but fundamentals remain constrained by negative net income and very weak cash generation. Operating cash flow and free cash flow are both negative (cash burn), which outweighs the improving leverage trend on the balance sheet.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
35
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.84B4.57B4.60B5.11B6.32B5.68B
Gross Profit1.01B767.70M817.60M1.00B1.31B1.19B
EBITDA120.30M47.30M113.20M290.90M616.20M494.00M
Net Income-32.70M-56.40M-8.60M145.70M391.00M294.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.84B2.57B2.60B2.57B2.33B2.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments43.30M27.80M29.30M55.40M40.50M52.40M
Total Debt1.33B1.15B1.19B1.16B841.50M1.06B
Total Liabilities2.54B1.80B1.77B1.66B1.44B1.82B
Stockholders Equity1.29B753.10M815.30M905.90M885.10M537.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-151.80M35.50M105.30M243.20M396.10M-24.30M
Operating Cash Flow-89.70M87.00M204.90M365.10M501.20M35.00M
Investing Cash Flow-325.10M-53.60M-142.70M-262.10M-160.00M94.40M
Financing Cash Flow425.00M-36.50M-86.80M-88.30M-350.10M-137.90M

Ryerson Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price24.83
Price Trends
50DMA
27.88
Negative
100DMA
26.00
Positive
200DMA
25.35
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Positive
RSI
47.57
Neutral
STOCH
29.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RYZ, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 24.83 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.59, below the 50-day MA of 27.88, and below the 200-day MA of 25.35, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for RYZ.

Ryerson Holdings Risk Analysis

Ryerson Holdings disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ryerson Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ryerson Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$4.35B21.8914.87%0.56%5.68%-23.91%
73
Outperform
$1.19B24.3212.16%15.12%50.31%
69
Neutral
$593.33M16.399.92%3.43%17.06%16.89%
69
Neutral
$2.75B17.6215.80%1.36%19.72%63.76%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
50
Neutral
$1.44B-22.59-5.10%2.84%31.54%-171.56%
48
Neutral
$654.43M-32.49-6.63%-0.04%-172.38%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RYZ
Ryerson Holdings
27.64
7.44
36.82%
AZZ
AZZ
151.96
44.19
41.00%
IIIN
Insteel Industries
32.82
-1.62
-4.71%
NWPX
Northwest Pipe Company
124.24
82.23
195.73%
WOR
Worthington Industries
58.72
-3.77
-6.03%
MEC
Mayville Engineering Company
25.50
10.84
73.94%

Ryerson Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Ryerson Holdings Reports Strong Q2 Results Post-Merger
Positive
Jul 29, 2026
On July 29, 2026, Ryerson reported second-quarter 2026 results that marked its first full period after the Olympic Steel merger and showed stronger operational performance. Revenue rose to $2.01 billion, with tons shipped up 22.6% and average sell...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ryerson Updates Investors on Post-Merger Strategy and Outlook
Positive
May 27, 2026
On May 27, 2026, Ryerson began using a new investor presentation to brief investors and analysts for the 2026 fiscal year, outlining its use of non-GAAP financial measures alongside reconciled GAAP metrics. Management argues these measures offer a...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Ryerson Holdings posts strong Q1 results after merger
Positive
May 6, 2026
On May 6, 2026, Ryerson Holding Corporation reported first-quarter 2026 results showing a sharp rebound in activity after its February 13 merger with Olympic Steel, with revenue rising 37.9% year over year to $1.57 billion as tons shipped increase...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Ryerson Holdings Shareholders Approve Governance Changes and Directors
Neutral
May 6, 2026
On April 30, 2026, Ryerson Holdings shareholders elected Class III directors Edward J. Lehner and Philip E. Norment with strong majorities, while Jacob Kotzubei received a notably higher level of withheld votes. The board’s remaining directo...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2026