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Ryerson Holdings (RYZ)
NYSE:RYZ

Ryerson Holdings (RYZ) AI Stock Analysis

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RYZ

Ryerson Holdings

(NYSE:RYZ)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$29.00
▲(6.50% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/24/26
The score is held back primarily by weakened financial performance (recent losses and higher leverage), partially offset by a more encouraging near-term outlook from the latest earnings call (Q1 profitability guidance and sizable synergy plan). Technicals are mildly supportive (price above key moving averages) but momentum is mixed, and valuation is constrained by negative earnings despite a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Scale Expansion via Merger
The merger creates enduring scale across North America, broadening distribution reach and service‑center density. Larger footprint improves procurement leverage, regional coverage, and cross‑sell opportunities in industrial end markets—structural advantages that support revenue stability and cost efficiency over the next 2–6 months and beyond.
Material Synergy Program
A clearly quantified $120M synergy target provides a multi‑period earnings and cash flow uplift if realized. Procurement, network optimization and commercial efficiency gains are structural drivers that can sustainably improve margins and fund deleveraging or reinvestment, materially changing free cash flow profile over two years.
Strong Cash Generation & Liquidity
Positive operating cash flow and an enlarged revolver give the combined company durable financial flexibility during integration. Consistent cash generation (OCF and positive free cash flow) supports capital investment, synergies funding, and a path to deleveraging, reducing refinancing risk over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Rising debt and leverage limit financial flexibility and increase refinancing risk if demand softens. Despite progress, leverage remains above management's 0.5–2.0x target, constraining capacity for opportunistic M&A, buybacks, or large capital projects until free cash flow and synergies materially reduce net debt.
Profitability Deterioration & Margin Pressure
Sustained margin compression and a shift to operating losses reflect weaker pricing spreads and commodity pass‑through delays. This structural margin volatility undermines durable earnings power, reduces internal cash available for debt paydown, and makes returns sensitive to commodity cycles and pricing discipline.
Integration & Litigation Risks
Active legal challenges and supplemental disclosures increase integration uncertainty and potential cost. Combined with leadership and system integration tasks, these execution risks could delay synergy capture, inflate one‑time expenses, and distract management, weakening the tempo of cash flow and margin recovery.

Ryerson Holdings (RYZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ryerson Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRyerson Holding Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, processes and distributes industrial metals in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and China. It offers a line of products in carbon steel, stainless steel, alloy steels, and aluminum, as well as nickel and red metals in various shapes and forms, including coils, sheets, rounds, hexagons, square and flat bars, plates, structural, and tubing. The company also provides various processing services, such as bending, beveling, blanking, blasting, burning, cutting-to-length, drilling, embossing, flattening, forming, grinding, laser cutting, machining, notching, painting, perforating, polishing, punching, rolling, sawing, scribing, shearing, slitting, stamping, tapping, threading, welding, or other techniques to process materials. It serves various industries, including commercial ground transportation, metal fabrication and machine shops, industrial machinery and equipment manufacturing, consumer durable equipment, HVAC manufacturing, construction equipment manufacturing, food processing and agricultural equipment manufacturing, and oil and gas. The company was founded in 1842 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyRyerson generates revenue primarily through the sale of metal products and related processing services. Its revenue model is based on the distribution of metal products, with significant revenue streams coming from both the sale of raw materials and the provision of value-added services. The company benefits from economies of scale due to its extensive distribution network, allowing it to serve a variety of industries efficiently. Key revenue streams include direct sales to manufacturers, construction firms, and other industrial clients. Additionally, Ryerson's partnerships with suppliers and manufacturers help secure competitive pricing and reliable product availability, which are crucial for maintaining profit margins. The company's strategic focus on customer service and operational efficiency further supports its earnings by enhancing customer retention and attracting new business.

Ryerson Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are below average: profitability deteriorated into operating losses and a sizable net loss in 2025, while leverage increased (debt up to ~$1.13B; debt/equity ~1.51x). Cash flow is a relative bright spot with positive operating cash flow (~$87M) and positive free cash flow (~$35.5M) in 2025, but the cushion versus debt is modest (OCF/debt ~0.13).
Income Statement
38
Negative
Profitability has deteriorated meaningfully from 2022–2023 to 2024–2025. Revenue is essentially flat recently (2025 up ~2.2% after a slight decline in 2024), but margins compressed sharply: gross margin fell to ~17.1% in 2025 from ~20.0% in 2023, and the company moved to operating losses in 2025 (negative EBIT) with a net loss of ~$56M. The earlier cycle (2021–2022) showed strong earnings power and higher margins, but the latest two years highlight a weaker pricing/spread environment and higher earnings volatility.
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Leverage has risen again and financial flexibility looks more constrained than in the 2022–2023 period. Total debt increased to ~$1.13B in 2025 from ~$0.80B in 2023, and debt relative to equity climbed to ~1.51x (vs. ~0.89x in 2023). Equity remains sizable (~$753M in 2025), but negative returns on equity in 2024–2025 reflect the swing back to losses. The balance sheet is not distressed based on equity levels, but higher leverage into a softer earnings backdrop increases risk.
Cash Flow
57
Neutral
Cash generation remains a relative bright spot despite weaker earnings. Operating cash flow stayed positive in 2025 (~$87M) and free cash flow was also positive (~$35.5M), rebounding strongly versus 2024’s lower free cash flow (~$105M in 2024 vs. ~$243M in 2023, then down again in 2025). However, cash flow has become less robust than the 2022–2023 peak, and operating cash flow as a share of debt is modest in 2025 (~0.13), indicating less cushion if conditions remain weak.
Breakdown
Income Statement
Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
Net Income
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Debt
Total Liabilities
Stockholders Equity
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

Ryerson Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price27.23
Price Trends
50DMA
27.33
Negative
100DMA
24.74
Positive
200DMA
23.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.29
Positive
RSI
48.93
Neutral
STOCH
68.34
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RYZ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 27.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.98, below the 50-day MA of 27.33, and above the 200-day MA of 23.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RYZ.

Ryerson Holdings Risk Analysis

Ryerson Holdings disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ryerson Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ryerson Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$4.03B12.6327.38%0.67%1.55%701.41%
78
Outperform
$702.95M19.899.78%7.61%25.35%
70
Outperform
$2.79B26.2511.31%1.27%7.43%148.83%
68
Neutral
$724.45M15.1213.77%3.49%22.39%112.75%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$440.50M37.745.06%-12.38%-0.71%
54
Neutral
$1.41B-15.53-2.81%2.84%-4.89%-214.50%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RYZ
Ryerson Holdings
27.23
2.19
8.73%
AZZ
AZZ
134.35
38.48
40.13%
IIIN
Insteel Industries
37.83
10.34
37.63%
NWPX
Northwest Pipe Company
74.01
25.99
54.12%
WOR
Worthington Industries
57.12
15.48
37.18%
MEC
Mayville Engineering Company
21.04
6.00
39.89%

Ryerson Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Ryerson Unveils Post-Merger Investor Presentation and Outlook
Positive
Feb 23, 2026

On February 24, 2026, Ryerson Holding Corporation began using a new investor presentation at the BMO Metals and Mining Conference and in broader investor outreach for its 2026 fiscal year, outlining its enlarged scale and financial profile following the recently closed merger with Olympic Steel. The materials highlight Ryerson’s expanded North American network, pro forma 2024 revenue of about $6.5 billion, improved adjusted EBITDA margin of roughly 5%, and its emergence as the second-largest metals service center in North America.

The presentation underscores Ryerson’s strategic focus on higher-margin, less cyclical niche markets, increased value-added processing, and the integration benefits from Olympic Steel, including an expected $120 million in annual run-rate synergies by the end of year two. Management details planned gains from procurement, network optimization, efficiency improvements and commercial initiatives, alongside significant recent and planned capital investments aimed at moving further up the value chain, which together are intended to enhance free cash flow generation and support continued organic growth and disciplined M&A activity.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYI) stock is a Hold with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryerson Holdings stock, see the RYI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Ryerson and Olympic Steel Complete Merger, Expand Credit Facility
Positive
Feb 19, 2026

Ryerson reported fourth-quarter 2025 revenue of $1.10 billion, with tons shipped down 4.9% sequentially and average selling prices essentially flat, as contractionary industrial demand and mill-driven cost increases compressed margins and led to a quarterly net loss of $37.9 million. For full-year 2025, revenue was $4.57 billion with higher adjusted EBITDA ex-LIFO year over year, while net debt was reduced to $436 million and leverage improved to 3.1x.

On February 13, 2026, Ryerson closed its merger with Olympic Steel and extended and upsized its credit facility from $1.3 billion to $1.8 billion, moves that strengthen its balance sheet, expand financing flexibility, and are expected to unlock about $120 million in annual run-rate synergies over the next two years. The board also declared a first-quarter 2026 dividend of $0.1875 per share, and management signaled early signs of a demand and pricing recovery in early 2026, positioning the combined company to benefit from an anticipated inflection in U.S. manufacturing.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYI) stock is a Hold with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryerson Holdings stock, see the RYI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDelistings and Listing ChangesDividendsM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Ryerson Closes Olympic Steel Merger and Expands Credit Facility
Positive
Feb 13, 2026

On the closing date of the merger completed as of February 13, 2026, Ryerson amended its long-standing asset-based credit agreement, extending its maturity by five years, increasing total commitments from $1.3 billion to $1.8 billion and aligning terms with the combined operations of Joseph T. Ryerson & Son and Olympic Steel. The expanded facility will be used in part to repay and terminate Olympic Steel’s existing loan and security agreement, supporting integration financing needs after the transaction.

Under the merger, a Ryerson subsidiary was combined with Olympic Steel, with each Olympic share converted into 1.7105 Ryerson shares and approximately 19.5 million new Ryerson shares issued, leaving former Olympic shareholders owning about 37% of the enlarged group. Olympic’s equity awards and long-term incentives were either converted into Ryerson-based instruments or cashed out on defined terms, and Olympic’s Nasdaq-listed shares, previously trading under “ZEUS,” ceased trading and were delisted at the close on the February 13, 2026 closing date.

Ryerson and Olympic Steel announced that the combined company will operate as Ryerson Holding Corporation and, beginning February 24, 2026, will change its New York Stock Exchange ticker from “RYI” to “RYZ” while retaining its existing listing and CUSIP. The merger solidifies Ryerson’s position as the second-largest North American metals service center, with management highlighting complementary footprints, broader product offerings and expected operational efficiencies across an expanded network.

Leadership of the combined company was reshaped with Ryerson CEO Eddie Lehner remaining in place and former Olympic CEO Richard T. Marabito becoming President and Chief Operating Officer, supported by a blended finance and operating team drawn from both organizations. Former Olympic Executive Chairman Michael D. Siegal was appointed chairman of the enlarged 11-member Ryerson board, which now includes three additional former Olympic directors and aims to steer the company through integration and value creation.

On February 13, 2026, Ryerson’s board approved time-vested restricted stock unit inducement awards for Marabito, Andrew S. Greiff and Richard A. Manson, structured to vest in full on the third anniversary of grant, aligning key incoming executives’ incentives with long-term performance. The board also declared a first-quarter cash dividend of $0.1875 per share of Ryerson common stock, payable on March 19, 2026 to shareholders of record on March 5, 2026, maintaining capital returns while integrating the Olympic Steel acquisition.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYI) stock is a Hold with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryerson Holdings stock, see the RYI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Ryerson Shareholders Approve Merger to Acquire Olympic Steel
Positive
Feb 12, 2026

On February 12, 2026, Ryerson Holding Corporation held a special meeting at which stockholders overwhelmingly approved the issuance of new Ryerson common shares required to complete its planned merger with Olympic Steel, with about 90.95% of eligible shares represented and the issuance proposal passing by a wide margin. At a separate special meeting the same day, Olympic Steel shareholders also approved the merger, clearing a key shareholder hurdle for a transaction that will make Olympic a wholly owned subsidiary of Ryerson.

Under the merger terms, which were expected to close on February 13, 2026, Olympic Steel shareholders were to receive 1.7105 shares of Ryerson common stock for each Olympic share, and Olympic’s stock was slated to cease trading on Nasdaq once the deal closed. The approvals mark a significant consolidation move in the metals distribution sector, positioning the combined company to broaden its footprint and product offering, while ending Olympic’s run as an independent public company and reshaping the competitive landscape for customers, suppliers, and investors in the industrial metals market.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYI) stock is a Hold with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryerson Holdings stock, see the RYI Stock Forecast page.

Legal ProceedingsM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Ryerson Issues Supplemental Disclosures Amid Olympic Merger Challenges
Negative
Feb 6, 2026

On October 28, 2025, Ryerson and Olympic Steel agreed to a merger under which a Ryerson subsidiary will merge into Olympic, leaving Olympic as the surviving entity and a wholly owned Ryerson subsidiary, and the companies have since advanced the deal’s regulatory and shareholder approval process, including filing a joint proxy statement/prospectus in December 2025 that was declared effective on January 14, 2026, ahead of special shareholder meetings scheduled for February 12, 2026. In January 2026, Olympic received 14 demand letters and two shareholder lawsuits in New York state court, and Ryerson received one demand letter, all challenging the adequacy of disclosures in the joint proxy statement/prospectus; while both companies deny any legal or disclosure deficiencies and characterize the claims as without merit, they are voluntarily issuing detailed supplemental financial and valuation disclosures regarding advisory analyses, comparable companies, precedent transactions, premiums paid and discounted cash flow assumptions to minimize litigation risk and avoid potential delays or disruptions to the completion of the merger.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYI) stock is a Hold with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryerson Holdings stock, see the RYI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 24, 2026