tiprankstipranks
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Inc (RYTM)
NASDAQ:RYTM

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals (RYTM) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
480 Followers

Top Page

RY

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:RYTM)

49Neutral
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals shows strong revenue growth and a promising pipeline, particularly with IMCIVREE's expanding market. However, the company faces financial challenges with ongoing net losses and high operating expenses. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, though oversold conditions might lead to a reversal. Valuation remains a concern with a negative P/E ratio and no dividend yield, indicating reinvestment into growth. The positive earnings call outlook is offset by potential market uptake challenges and high expenses.
Positive Factors
Clinical Trials
The Phase 3 study of setmelanotide in hypothalamic obesity is expected to read out positively, as prior studies have shown durable reductions despite the refractory nature of the condition.
Market Potential
The largest market opportunity for setmelanotide is hypothalamic obesity, with a conservative assumption of around 6,000 acquired patients in the US and significant peak sales potential.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Rhythm reported a full-year 2024 net loss of $4.34 per share.

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals (RYTM) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRhythm Pharmaceuticals (RYTM) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing therapies for the treatment of rare genetic disorders of obesity. The company aims to address unmet medical needs by targeting the melanocortin-4 receptor (MC4R) pathway, which plays a significant role in regulating hunger and energy expenditure. Rhythm's core product, IMCIVREE (setmelanotide), is designed to treat specific genetic obesity disorders caused by genetic variants along the MC4R pathway.
How the Company Makes MoneyRhythm Pharmaceuticals generates revenue primarily through the commercialization of its flagship product, IMCIVREE. The company earns money by selling this drug to healthcare providers, hospitals, and specialty pharmacies. The pricing of IMCIVREE reflects its status as a treatment for rare genetic disorders, which often allows for premium pricing due to the lack of alternative therapies. Rhythm also engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations that may provide additional revenue streams through research funding, milestone payments, and royalties. Furthermore, the company invests in expanding the indications for IMCIVREE, which could broaden its market and increase sales.

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals is experiencing robust revenue growth, a positive sign in the biotechnology sector. However, the company continues to face challenges with profitability and cash flow. The low debt levels are a strength, but negative equity returns and persistent net losses indicate ongoing financial difficulties.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals has shown significant revenue growth over the years, with an impressive increase from $3.15 million in 2021 to $130.13 million in 2024. However, profitability remains a concern as the company continues to report negative EBIT and net income, resulting in negative profit margins. The gross profit margin is relatively high at 89.71% for 2024, indicating efficient production, but the net profit margin is deeply negative due to substantial operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's balance sheet reveals a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18 in 2024, indicating a conservative leverage strategy. However, the return on equity is negative due to consistent net losses, which is a major concern. The equity ratio has declined over time, reflecting increasing liabilities relative to assets, which might pose risks if the trend continues.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals has a negative operating cash flow of -$113.88 million in 2024, which is an improvement from previous years but still a concern. The free cash flow is also negative, suggesting that the company is not generating enough cash from its operations to cover its capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating that cash losses are smaller than accounting losses, partially due to non-cash expenses.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
130.13M77.43M23.64M3.15M0.00
Gross Profit
116.76M68.13M21.50M2.56M-690.00K
EBIT
-265.50M-184.36M-179.16M-170.06M-136.57M
EBITDA
-238.09M-168.46M-174.51M-68.45M-135.88M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-260.60M-184.68M-183.08M-68.01M-130.73M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
320.56M275.85M333.29M294.86M172.79M
Total Assets
392.27M332.75M382.48M329.52M187.07M
Total Debt
3.94M1.26M1.94M2.55M3.09M
Net Debt
-85.20M-58.82M-125.73M-56.70M-97.77M
Total Liabilities
227.72M162.99M118.22M45.37M20.55M
Stockholders Equity
21.73M169.76M264.26M284.15M166.53M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-113.88M-136.20M-177.71M-151.44M-122.19M
Operating Cash Flow
-113.88M-136.16M-173.43M-146.00M-121.98M
Investing Cash Flow
-48.17M-5.67M28.03M-62.16M158.53M
Financing Cash Flow
191.24M74.37M213.83M166.48M2.01M

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price50.06
Price Trends
50DMA
56.25
Negative
100DMA
56.31
Negative
200DMA
51.12
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.90
Positive
RSI
36.81
Neutral
STOCH
17.05
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RYTM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 50.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 54.27, below the 50-day MA of 56.25, and below the 200-day MA of 51.12, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.90 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.05 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RYTM.

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rhythm Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (49)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$3.49B-39.22%-31.37%
54
Neutral
$1.84B-113.76%229.74%70.23%
52
Neutral
$125.08M-3758.21%-99.95%-5.95%
49
Neutral
$3.16B-272.15%68.06%-35.93%
49
Neutral
$6.90B-0.08-53.01%2.43%24.84%-3.06%
45
Neutral
$3.19B-32.02%-0.12%
38
Underperform
$3.33B-74.17%-43.10%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RYTM
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals
51.32
10.35
25.26%
MCRB
Seres Therapeutics
0.69
-0.09
-11.54%
CRNX
Crinetics Pharmaceuticals
35.40
-5.10
-12.59%
AKRO
Akero Therapeutics
45.85
17.88
63.93%
IMVT
Immunovant
19.12
-12.70
-39.91%
ARQT
Arcutis Biotherapeutics
15.16
4.10
37.07%

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 26, 2025 | % Change Since: -1.90% | Next Earnings Date: May 6, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive outlook with strong financial positioning, robust sales growth, and significant pipeline advancements. However, there are concerns about high operating expenses and potential challenges in market uptake for new indications.
Highlights
Strong Financial Position
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals raised $75 million in gross proceeds, extending their cash run rate into 2027, allowing them to fund operations through multiple inflection points.
Positive Growth in IMCIVREE Sales
U.S. sales of IMCIVREE were $31.7 million in Q4 2024, accounting for 76% of the quarter's revenue, marking a significant growth compared to previous periods.
Expansion of International Access
IMCIVREE has achieved access in more than 15 countries outside the U.S., contributing to steady growth in international markets.
Pipeline Advancements
Enrollment completed for Phase II oral bivamelagon study; Phase III trial of setmelanotide in acquired HO with a second-quarter readout expected.
FDA Label Expansion for IMCIVREE
The FDA approved a label expansion for IMCIVREE to include children as young as 2 years of age, broadening its applicability and potential impact.
Lowlights
High Operating Expenses
Rhythm's operating expenses were $382.3 million for 2024, driven by increased R&D and SG&A expenses.
Potential Challenges in Market Uptake
There is uncertainty in market uptake for new indications and the impact of the FDA label expansion, which may not significantly affect revenue immediately.
Company Guidance
During the Rhythm Pharmaceuticals earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for the upcoming year. They reported entering 2025 well-capitalized with $320.6 million in cash, aided by a $75 million raise through their ATM program, extending their cash runway into 2027. The company completed enrollment in their Phase II daily oral bivamelagon study and achieved a dropout rate of below 10% in their Phase III trial of setmelanotide for acquired hypothalamic obesity (HO), with a second quarter 2025 readout expected. Revenue from global IMCIVREE sales reached $130.1 million in 2024, a significant increase from $77.4 million in 2023, with consistent growth in both the U.S. and international markets. Rhythm anticipates non-GAAP operating expenses for 2025 to be between $285 million and $315 million, with increased spending due to expansion plans and ongoing trials. The company also highlighted strategic partnerships, particularly in Turkey, to expand market reach, and emphasized the potential for growth in Japan, where the prevalence of hypothalamic obesity is higher than in the U.S. or Europe.

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Reports Growth and Expands Pipeline
Positive
Jan 10, 2025

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals announced preliminary unaudited net revenues of $42 million for the fourth quarter and $130 million for the full year of 2024, marking significant growth driven by increased patient reimbursement and inventory growth in the U.S. The company is advancing its clinical pipeline with several ongoing and upcoming trials, including a Phase 3 trial for acquired hypothalamic obesity and a new Phase 2 trial for Prader-Willi syndrome. These developments are expected to drive further growth and provide transformative treatment opportunities for unmet medical needs, reflecting the company’s strategic focus on expanding its therapeutic impact in rare diseases.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.