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Ryanair Holdings (RYAAY)
NASDAQ:RYAAY

Ryanair Holdings (RYAAY) AI Stock Analysis

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RYAAY

Ryanair Holdings

(NASDAQ:RYAAY)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$69.00
▲(12.10% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:01/28/26
The score is driven mainly by strong financial profitability and an improved balance sheet, supported by constructive guidance and shareholder returns from the latest earnings call. The key offsets are weaker recent free-cash-flow conversion and softer near-term technical momentum, while valuation appears reasonable.
Positive Factors
High and improving profitability
Ryanair has delivered a sustained rebound to strong TTM margins after the 2021–22 downturn, indicating durable earnings power from its low‑cost model. Above‑average margins support reinvestment and returns and provide a buffer versus cyclical demand swings, strengthening long‑term profitability.
Strong balance sheet and liquidity
Meaningful cash balances, net cash position and investment‑grade rating reduce refinancing risk and support capital allocation (buybacks, dividend, fleet CapEx). Improved leverage and a planned bond repayment create durable financial flexibility through economic cycles and supply shocks.
Secured fleet pipeline and supplier deals
A clear aircraft orderbook plus scale agreements (and related engine supply planning) lock in capacity growth and unit‑cost improvement. Predictable deliveries and supplier partnerships support Ryanair’s decade‑long route expansion targets and preserve its low‑cost competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
Weak free cash flow conversion
TTM free cash flow deterioration despite strong earnings signals timing or working‑capital stress and heavier investment. Persistent weak FCF would limit ability to self‑fund CapEx, sustain buybacks/dividends, and reduce resilience to shocks over the next 2–6 months.
Regulatory/legal risk in Italy
A substantial competition fine challenges Ryanair’s direct‑sales distribution model and creates precedent risk across EU jurisdictions. Even if overturned, prolonged litigation and provisions raise compliance costs, distract management and can impair ancillary revenues over the medium term.
Rising structural operating costs & capacity constraints
Persistent increases in ATC fees, environmental charges and industry delivery/engine bottlenecks raise unit costs and force route reallocations. These structural pressures can erode Ryanair’s low‑cost edge and compress margins unless offset by sustained fare or ancillary gains.

Ryanair Holdings (RYAAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ryanair Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRyanair Holdings plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides scheduled-passenger airline services in Ireland, the United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, Germany, and other European countries. It is also involved in the provision of various ancillary services, such as non-flight scheduled and Internet-related services; in-flight sale of beverages, food, duty-free, and merchandise; and marketing of car hire and accommodation services, and travel insurance through its website and mobile app. In addition, the company offers aircraft and passenger handling, ticketing, and maintenance and repair services; and markets car parking, fast-track, airport transfers, attractions, and activities on its website and mobile app, as well as sells gift vouchers. As of June 30, 2022, it had a principal fleet of approximately 483 Boeing 737 aircrafts and 29 Airbus A320 aircrafts; and offered approximately 3,000 short-haul flights per day serving approximately 225 airports. Ryanair Holdings plc was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Swords, Ireland.
How the Company Makes MoneyRyanair primarily makes money from (1) passenger ticket revenue and (2) ancillary revenue generated around its flight network. Passenger revenue comes from selling seats on scheduled flights, with pricing generally based on demand, route, seasonality, and booking timing. Ancillary revenue is a major component of the model and includes fees and charges for optional services such as checked and carry-on baggage options, seat selection and priority boarding, ticket change and other administrative fees, onboard food and beverage sales, and other travel-related add-ons sold during booking or through Ryanair’s platforms. In addition to passenger-related income, Ryanair earns revenue from third parties connected to its distribution and travel ecosystem, including commissions and fees from products like car hire, accommodation, and travel insurance sold alongside flights (where offered through its channels). The company’s earnings are also influenced by operational factors such as aircraft utilization, route network scale, airport and handling arrangements, and fuel and currency movements, which affect costs and thus profitability rather than constituting separate revenue streams. Specific material long-term revenue-sharing partnerships beyond these standard travel-product relationships are null.

Ryanair Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 26, 2026
(Q3-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasizes multiple operational and financial strengths: traffic and fare recovery, strong revenue growth, disciplined cost control with flat unit costs in Q3, significant fuel hedges for FY '27, solid liquidity and balance sheet, active buyback/dividend returns, and clear long-term fleet/growth plans (MAX 10s to 300 million passengers). Key negatives include a one-off exceptional provision for the Italian AGCM fine (EUR 85m), a 22% decline in Q3 PAT driven largely by the absence of prior-year Boeing compensation, and ongoing exposure to external risks (ATC costs, environmental charges, geopolitical shocks). Management framed the legal issue as likely reversible, reiterated conservative provisioning, and maintained confident guidance for FY profit and traffic growth. Overall, positives (recovering demand, revenue growth, strong hedging and balance sheet, clear growth runway) outweigh the material but manageable negatives.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Quarterly Traffic and Load Factor
Q3 traffic increased 6% to 47.5 million passengers with a stable load factor of 92%.
Revenue and Fares Growth
Q3 revenue rose 9% to EUR 3.21 billion; average fares increased 4% in the quarter and revenue per passenger was up 3%.
Profit Guidance and Full-Year Outlook
Management guides FY '26 profit after tax (pre-exceptionals) of EUR 2.13–2.23 billion and now expects full-year fares to be ~8%–9% (vs prior +7%).
Improved FY Traffic Targets and Long-Term Growth
FY '26 traffic raised to ~208 million (4% growth); FY '27 target of 216 million (4% growth) and long-term target of 300 million passengers by FY '34 supported by a 300 MAX 10 order.
Fleet Progress and MAX 10 Timetable
206 Boeing Gamechangers in service with final 4 due by February (210 total); Boeing MAX 10 certification expected summer 2026 and first 15 deliveries penciled for spring 2027 to drive decade-long growth.
Fuel Hedging Delivering Cost Benefits
80% of FY '27 jet fuel hedged at $67/bbl (management cites ~10% saving); Q4 FY '26 hedged ~84% at ~$77/bbl.
Cost Control and Unit Costs
Very strong cost control in Q3 with unit costs flat in the quarter (pre-exceptional); total costs (ex-AGCM) rose 6% to EUR 3.11 billion.
Balance Sheet Strength and Capital Returns
Gross cash EUR 2.4 billion, net cash ~EUR 1.0 billion; BBB+ ratings; on track to repay a EUR 1.2 billion bond in May 2026 (moving to essentially debt-free). Buyback ~46% complete (EUR ~340 million spent) and an interim dividend ~EUR 0.19 per share declared.
Shareholder Returns and TSR
Three-year total shareholder return of ~153%, placing Ryanair in the upper quartile of the Stoxx Europe 600; ongoing capital allocation balanced between growth (MAX 10s) and returns (dividends, buyback).
Negative Updates
Q3 Profit Decline
Q3 profit after tax pre-exceptional was EUR 115 million, down 22% year-on-year, driven primarily by the absence of Boeing delivery compensation compared with the prior year.
Italian AGCM Fine and Exceptional Charge
Italian AGCM levied a EUR 256 million fine; Ryanair booked an exceptional provision of EUR 85 million (33% of the fine). Management is confident of overturning the ruling on appeal but retained the 33% provision.
Loss of Boeing Delivery Compensation
No delayed-delivery compensation from Boeing in the quarter (compared with prior-year benefit), negatively impacting profit and contributing to the YoY decline in PAT.
Rising Regulatory and Operating Costs
Headwinds from higher air traffic control (ATC) charges and increasing environmental costs are expected to persist and partially offset fuel-hedging benefits.
External Risk Exposure
Outlook remains exposed to geopolitical escalation (Ukraine/Middle East), macroeconomic shocks and potential further European ATC strikes or mismanagement which could materially affect Q4 and FY results.
CapEx Timing and Industry Capacity Constraints
FY '26 CapEx expected close to EUR 2.0 billion (down from prior EUR 2.2 billion guidance due to timing shifts). Industry-wide delivery and engine challenges are constraining short-haul capacity, forcing route churn and reallocations.
Company Guidance
Ryanair guided FY‑26 traffic to 208 million passengers (up 4% YoY) with full‑year fares now seen at about +8–9% (vs prior +7%), Q3 traffic was 47.5m (+6%) at a 92% load factor with average fares +4%, revenue per passenger +3% and total Q3 revenue €3.21bn (ancillaries +7%, +1% per pax); Q3 profit after tax pre‑exceptional was €115m (down 22%) with unit costs flat and total Q3 costs (ex‑AGCM) €3.11bn, while an Italian AGCM EUR256m fine has a 33% provision of ~€85m; FY‑26 profit after tax pre‑exceptional is being cautiously guided to €2.13–2.23bn, gross cash €2.4bn/ net cash ~€1bn, CapEx ~€2bn for FY‑26 (and similar FY‑27), interim dividend ~€0.19/share, EUR750m buyback 46% complete (€340m, 13.1m shares at €26 avg), fleet 643 with 206 Gamechangers (210 after 4 Feb deliveries), 300 MAX‑10s on order with first 15 expected Spring 2027, FY‑27 traffic target 216m (+4%) and a long‑term goal of 300m by FY‑34; fuel hedges are ~84% for Q4 at ~$76–77/bbl and 80% for FY‑27 at $67/bbl (c.10% saving), and euro/dollar exposure is locked at ~€1.15 for next year.

Ryanair Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong rebound in profitability with solid TTM margins and meaningfully improved leverage, but cash flow quality is the main constraint as TTM free cash flow turned slightly negative despite strong earnings, indicating weaker near-term cash conversion.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Profitability has rebounded strongly versus the loss-making period in 2021–2022, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) showing solid margins (gross ~25%, EBIT ~18%, net ~16%). Revenue growth in the latest TTM period is very strong, and earnings power looks durable versus recent annual results. Key weakness is volatility across the cycle (deep losses in 2021–2022), highlighting sensitivity to industry conditions.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Leverage has improved meaningfully, with debt-to-equity down from elevated levels in 2022 to low levels in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), alongside strong returns on equity (~30% TTM). Equity base is sizable relative to total assets, suggesting improved financial resilience. The main risk is the sector’s inherent cyclicality and the fact that leverage was materially higher just a few years ago, implying balance sheet strength can swing with conditions.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash generation is mixed. While operating cash flow is positive in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), free cash flow turned slightly negative and deteriorated sharply versus the prior year, indicating heavier investment and/or working-capital pressure. Annual history shows the business can generate substantial free cash flow (notably 2023 and 2025 annual), but the recent TTM step-down raises execution and timing risk around capital spending and cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.33B13.95B13.44B10.78B4.80B1.64B
Gross Profit4.15B2.65B3.88B2.22B120.70M-66.90M
EBITDA4.09B3.07B3.06B2.44B381.00M-337.00M
Net Income2.24B1.61B1.92B1.31B-240.80M-1.02B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.04B17.51B17.18B16.41B15.15B12.33B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.42B3.96B4.11B4.66B3.60B3.12B
Total Debt1.53B2.68B2.75B4.12B5.08B5.43B
Total Liabilities7.26B10.47B9.56B10.76B9.60B7.68B
Stockholders Equity8.78B7.04B7.61B5.64B5.55B4.65B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-16.43M1.86B766.00M1.98B758.90M758.90M
Operating Cash Flow1.62B3.42B3.16B3.89B1.94B1.94B
Investing Cash Flow-1.16B-1.43B-1.56B-1.90B-1.41B-1.41B
Financing Cash Flow-2.14B-2.00B-1.33B-1.05B-536.50M-536.50M

Ryanair Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price61.55
Price Trends
50DMA
67.21
Negative
100DMA
66.67
Negative
200DMA
63.03
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.56
Positive
RSI
39.41
Neutral
STOCH
22.38
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RYAAY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 61.55 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 64.31, below the 50-day MA of 67.21, and below the 200-day MA of 63.03, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.56 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RYAAY.

Ryanair Holdings Risk Analysis

Ryanair Holdings disclosed 10 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ryanair Holdings reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
In 2021, a law was passed in France prohibiting domestic flights where an alternative direct train service operates in under 2.5 hours, with an exception made for connecting flights. The European Commission found this distorted competition between point to point carriers and network operators. Consequently, France amended the law to remove this exemption for connecting flights. The new formulation of the law de facto means that only 3 routes to Paris Orly airport are affected. The European Commission approved this law in December 2022. Q1, 2023

Ryanair Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$13.58B8.01136.60%3.50%6.81%58.22%
73
Outperform
$30.27B269.9627.85%1.37%14.75%71.73%
71
Outperform
$30.14B10.9124.13%4.24%20.29%
69
Neutral
$42.34B8.9927.63%0.96%4.33%-1.58%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
54
Neutral
$20.20B50.615.33%1.73%0.65%
45
Neutral
$7.17B25.57-2.76%1.27%118.64%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RYAAY
Ryanair Holdings
61.55
14.84
31.78%
DAL
Delta Air Lines
64.83
17.66
37.44%
LUV
Southwest Airlines
41.12
8.19
24.86%
UAL
United Airlines Holdings
93.19
18.76
25.20%
AAL
American Airlines
10.86
-0.62
-5.40%
LTM
LATAM Airlines Group SA Sponsored ADR
50.15
18.77
59.82%

Ryanair Holdings Corporate Events

Ryanair Opens €25m Madrid Super-Hangar as It Warns on Spain’s Rising Airport Costs
Mar 18, 2026

On 18 March 2026, Ryanair inaugurated a new €25 million, 22,000 m² maintenance hangar at Madrid Barajas Airport, its largest maintenance facility with capacity for seven aircraft and 700 high-skill jobs. The hangar expands Ryanair’s Barajas maintenance capacity to eight lines and deepens its role as a central engineering hub within the airline’s seven-location EU maintenance network, supporting both routine checks and specialised work.

The airline highlighted its extensive footprint in Spain but warned that rising airport charges proposed by operator Aena risk curbing further investment and growth, shifting traffic and jobs to cheaper European airports. Ryanair cited a sharp contrast between its minimal 0.5% growth in Spain this summer and stronger expansion in markets such as Morocco and Italy, arguing that Spain’s competitiveness is being undermined by “gold-plated” airport projects and calling for a more cost-effective pricing policy to sustain tourism and employment.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAAY) stock is a Buy with a $69.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryanair Holdings stock, see the RYAAY Stock Forecast page.

Ryanair Cancels Nearly 581,000 Shares in Ongoing March 2026 Buy-Back
Mar 16, 2026

Ryanair Holdings disclosed that between 9 and 13 March 2026 it repurchased a total of 9,920 ordinary shares and 570,718 ordinary shares underlying American Depositary Shares for cancellation. The transactions, executed at volume-weighted average prices in euros for ordinary shares and in U.S. dollars for ADS-underlying shares, reflect ongoing capital management under its previously announced buy-back programme.

These purchases, which will reduce the company’s share count as all acquired shares are cancelled, continue the buy-back plan launched in May 2025 and will be reported on a weekly basis. The sustained execution of the programme signals Ryanair’s commitment to returning capital to shareholders and may incrementally enhance earnings per share, reinforcing its financial positioning in the European aviation sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAAY) stock is a Buy with a $69.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryanair Holdings stock, see the RYAAY Stock Forecast page.

Ryanair Discloses Capital Group Stake Increase Above 14% Threshold
Mar 12, 2026

Ryanair Holdings disclosed that The Capital Group Companies, Inc. has increased its stake in the airline above a key reporting threshold, according to a major shareholding notification filed in March 2026. The move underscores continued institutional investor interest in the carrier’s equity and consolidates Capital Group’s role as a significant shareholder in Ryanair.

The filing shows that on 11 March 2026 Capital Group’s holding, via Capital Research and Management Company and related entities, rose from 13.82% to 14.03% of Ryanair’s total voting rights. The position, held on behalf of client accounts rather than Capital Group’s own balance sheet, signals sustained long-term fund exposure to Ryanair and may be read as a vote of confidence in the airline’s prospects by one of the world’s largest asset managers.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAAY) stock is a Buy with a $80.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryanair Holdings stock, see the RYAAY Stock Forecast page.

Ryanair Director Ray Conway Buys Shares in March 2026 Transaction
Mar 11, 2026

Ryanair Holdings disclosed that non-executive director Ray Conway purchased 3,852 ordinary shares in the company at a price of €25.45 per share on 6 March 2026 in Dublin, Ireland. The transaction, reported under EU Market Abuse Regulation via a Form 6-K filed on 11 March 2026, modestly increases insider equity ownership and provides additional transparency for investors regarding board-level share dealings.

As a reportable transaction by a person discharging managerial responsibilities, the purchase underscores regulatory scrutiny of insider trading and reinforces Ryanair’s compliance with European market abuse rules. While limited in scale, such board member share acquisitions can be interpreted by the market as a vote of confidence in the airline’s outlook and governance, offering incremental reassurance to shareholders and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAAY) stock is a Hold with a $74.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryanair Holdings stock, see the RYAAY Stock Forecast page.

Ryanair Cancels Over 585,000 Shares in Early March 2026 Buyback
Mar 9, 2026

Ryanair Holdings plc disclosed that between 2 and 6 March 2026 it repurchased for cancellation 9,420 ordinary shares and 575,872 ordinary shares underlying its American Depositary Shares as part of its ongoing share buyback programme launched in May 2025. The purchases, conducted at volume-weighted average prices around €26–€27 in Europe and just over $31–$33 in the U.S., will reduce the company’s share count, supporting capital return to investors and potentially enhancing earnings per share while signaling continued confidence in its financial position.

These transactions are to be reported on a weekly basis under the existing programme, and all acquired shares will be cancelled in line with regulatory requirements. By steadily executing buybacks across both its domestic listing and ADSs, Ryanair is reinforcing shareholder-focused capital management, which may bolster its valuation and underscore management’s positive view of the airline’s long-term prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAAY) stock is a Buy with a $77.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryanair Holdings stock, see the RYAAY Stock Forecast page.

Ryanair Continues Share Buyback With February 2026 Share Cancellations
Feb 23, 2026

Ryanair Holdings has continued its capital return strategy with further share repurchases carried out between 16 and 20 February 2026. The airline bought 6,202 ordinary shares for cancellation on the Irish market and an additional 532,750 ordinary shares underlying American Depositary Shares in the U.S., at volume-weighted average prices ranging from about €26.62 to €27.69 and $32.12 to $33.37.

These transactions form part of a broader share buyback programme first announced in May 2025, under which all repurchased shares are cancelled, thereby reducing the company’s share count. The ongoing weekly-disclosed buybacks underscore Ryanair’s commitment to returning excess capital to investors and may enhance earnings per share over time, potentially supporting shareholder value and reinforcing confidence in the group’s financial position.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAAY) stock is a Buy with a $77.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryanair Holdings stock, see the RYAAY Stock Forecast page.

Ryanair Discloses Capital Group Stake Cut Below 14% Threshold
Feb 19, 2026

Ryanair Holdings disclosed that investment manager The Capital Group Companies, Inc. reduced its stake in the airline below a key 14% voting-rights threshold on 17 February 2026. Capital Group’s holding now represents 13.82% of Ryanair’s total voting rights, equivalent to 144,941,408 voting rights tied to depository receipts and ordinary shares, with no exposure via financial instruments.

The notification, filed with regulators and dated 18 February 2026, also shows Capital Research and Management Company similarly slipping under the 14% level, with American Funds Fundamental Investors accounting for 3.66% of voting rights within the group structure. While Ryanair’s overall ownership base remains diversified, the trimming by a major institutional shareholder may be watched by investors as a signal of portfolio rebalancing or shifting sentiment toward the carrier’s equity.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAAY) stock is a Buy with a $77.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryanair Holdings stock, see the RYAAY Stock Forecast page.

Ryanair Cancels Shares After Fresh Buybacks in February 2026
Feb 17, 2026

Ryanair Holdings said it repurchased and cancelled a total of 4,968 ordinary shares and 515,524 ordinary shares underlying American Depositary Shares between 9 and 13 February 2026. The trades, executed at volume-weighted average prices ranging from €26.617 to €28.260 for ordinary shares and about $32.73 to $34.87 for ADS-underlying shares, are part of its ongoing share buy-back programme launched in May 2025.

The airline reiterated that all repurchased shares will be cancelled, effectively reducing the company’s share count and potentially enhancing earnings per share. The purchases, which will continue to be disclosed on a weekly basis, underscore Ryanair’s continued use of excess capital to return value to shareholders, and were disclosed in line with EU market abuse regulations.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAAY) stock is a Buy with a $77.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryanair Holdings stock, see the RYAAY Stock Forecast page.

Ryanair Signs Multi‑Year, Multi‑Billion‑Dollar CFM Engine Services Deal as Fleet Expansion Advances
Feb 10, 2026

On 10 February 2026, Ryanair signed a multi-year, multi-billion-dollar Memorandum of Understanding with CFM, the Safran–GE Aerospace joint venture, for engine material services to support its expanding Boeing 737 fleet. The deal secures direct sourcing of spare parts for more than 2,000 CFM engines as Ryanair’s fleet grows toward 800 aircraft, reinforcing a three-decade partnership with CFM.

Under the agreement, Ryanair will purchase all its engine spare parts directly from CFM and plans to open two engine maintenance, repair and overhaul shops in Europe from 2029, bringing engine maintenance in-house. The airline expects to buy spare parts in excess of $1 billion per year over the term, a move that could enhance operational control and cost efficiency while cementing CFM’s role as a critical supplier to one of the world’s largest Boeing 737 operators.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAAY) stock is a Buy with a $77.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryanair Holdings stock, see the RYAAY Stock Forecast page.

Ryanair Cancels Over 516,000 Shares in Late-January 2026 Buyback
Feb 2, 2026

Between 26 and 30 January 2026, Ryanair Holdings plc repurchased a total of 6,360 ordinary shares and 510,558 ordinary shares underlying American Depositary Shares as part of its ongoing share buy-back programme launched in May 2025. All of the shares acquired during this period will be cancelled, a move that reduces the company’s share count and may enhance earnings per share, signalling continued capital returns to shareholders and confidence in the airline’s financial position.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAAY) stock is a Buy with a $77.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryanair Holdings stock, see the RYAAY Stock Forecast page.

Ryanair Discloses Capital Group’s Stake Increase Above 14% Voting Rights
Jan 27, 2026

On 26 January 2026, U.S.-based investment group The Capital Group Companies, Inc. notified Ryanair Holdings that its aggregate holding of voting rights in the airline had risen above the 14% threshold, reaching 14.10% of the company’s total voting rights, equivalent to 148,063,943 voting rights, all held through shares rather than financial instruments. The move, formally recorded in a regulatory filing on 27 January 2026, reflects increased exposure by Capital Group’s asset management arms—led by Capital Research and Management Company, which now also exceeds 14%—and underscores growing institutional investor interest in Ryanair, potentially reinforcing the airline’s shareholder base and its standing among global fund managers without implying direct strategic control, as the shares are held on behalf of client accounts under discretionary management.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAAY) stock is a Buy with a $83.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryanair Holdings stock, see the RYAAY Stock Forecast page.

Ryanair Cancels Over 350,000 Shares in January 2026 Buyback
Jan 26, 2026

Between 19 and 23 January 2026, Ryanair Holdings plc repurchased and cancelled a total of 8,218 ordinary shares and 345,408 ordinary shares underlying American Depositary Shares as part of its ongoing share buy-back programme launched in May 2025. The purchases, conducted at volume-weighted average prices in euros for ordinary shares and in US dollars for ADS-underlying shares, reflect Ryanair’s continued capital return strategy to shrink its share count, which can enhance earnings per share and signal management’s confidence in the company’s financial position, while all repurchased shares are being cancelled in line with EU market abuse regulations.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAAY) stock is a Buy with a $83.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryanair Holdings stock, see the RYAAY Stock Forecast page.

Ryanair Q3 Profit Hit by Italian Fine Provision Despite Traffic and Revenue Growth
Jan 26, 2026

On 26 January 2026, Ryanair reported third-quarter FY26 profit after tax of €115 million before exceptional items, down from €149 million a year earlier, with post-exceptional profit dropping to €30 million following an €85 million provision related to a disputed Italian competition authority fine. Despite the profit decline, Q3 revenue rose 9% to €3.21 billion as traffic grew 6% to 47.5 million passengers, average fares increased 4%, and ancillary revenue climbed 7%, while unit costs remained flat per passenger; the airline highlighted strong hedging positions on fuel, a robust BBB+ rated balance sheet with €1 billion net cash, ongoing share buybacks and dividends, and reiterated its growth plan to 216 million passengers in FY27 and 300 million annually by FY34, supported by its expanding Boeing 737-8200 “Gamechanger” fleet, capacity reallocation towards lower-tax markets, continued ESG upgrades, and expectations of structurally constrained European short-haul capacity. The company is appealing the €256 million Italian AGCM fine it describes as baseless, and for FY26 it modestly raised its traffic forecast to almost 208 million passengers and now guides pre-exceptional full-year profit after tax in the €2.13–€2.23 billion range, while cautioning that final results remain vulnerable to geopolitical risks, macroeconomic shocks and persistent European air traffic control disruptions.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAAY) stock is a Buy with a $83.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryanair Holdings stock, see the RYAAY Stock Forecast page.

Ryanair Cancels Over 422,000 Shares in January 2026 Buyback
Jan 20, 2026

Between 12 and 16 January 2026, Ryanair Holdings plc repurchased and cancelled a total of 3,947 ordinary shares and 418,424 ordinary shares underlying its American Depositary Shares as part of its ongoing share buyback programme launched on 20 May 2025. The purchases, disclosed with volume-weighted average prices in euros and U.S. dollars, reflect Ryanair’s continued capital return strategy, reducing its share count and potentially enhancing earnings per share, while the company has committed to providing weekly updates on transactions under the programme in line with EU market abuse regulation.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAAY) stock is a Buy with a $33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryanair Holdings stock, see the RYAAY Stock Forecast page.

Ryanair Discloses Capital Group Stake Trim Below 14% Threshold
Jan 13, 2026

On 9 January 2026, The Capital Group Companies, Inc. reduced its holding in Ryanair Holdings PLC to 13.98% of the airline’s total voting rights, falling below the 14% disclosure threshold, with the change formally notified to the issuer and regulators on 12 January 2026. The adjustment, reflecting a modest disposal of shares primarily held via depository receipts and managed by Capital Research and Management Company and related entities, marginally trims a major institutional investor’s stake but leaves Capital Group as a significant shareholder, underscoring continued substantial institutional backing for Ryanair despite the slight decrease in ownership concentration.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAAY) stock is a Buy with a $33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryanair Holdings stock, see the RYAAY Stock Forecast page.

Ryanair Cancels Over 267,000 Shares in Early January Buyback
Jan 12, 2026

Between 5 and 9 January 2026, Ryanair Holdings plc repurchased and cancelled a total of 4,404 ordinary shares and 263,310 ordinary shares underlying American Depositary Shares as part of its previously announced share buy-back programme. The weekly purchases, conducted at volume-weighted average prices in euros for ordinary shares and in U.S. dollars for ADS-related shares, form part of an ongoing capital management strategy that reduces the company’s share count, potentially enhancing earnings per share and signalling continued confidence in its financial position to investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAAY) stock is a Buy with a $33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryanair Holdings stock, see the RYAAY Stock Forecast page.

Ryanair Reports 7% December Traffic Growth and 206.5 Million Rolling Annual Passengers
Jan 5, 2026

On 5 January 2026, Ryanair reported that its December 2025 traffic rose 7% year-on-year to 14.5 million passengers, up from 13.6 million in December 2024, while maintaining a stable load factor of 92%. The airline operated over 82,000 flights during the month, and its rolling 12-month passenger numbers increased 5% to 206.5 million from 197.2 million a year earlier, with the load factor steady at 94%, underscoring continued strong demand and capacity utilization that reinforce Ryanair’s position as a dominant low-cost carrier in the European market.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAAY) stock is a Buy with a $74.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryanair Holdings stock, see the RYAAY Stock Forecast page.

Ryanair Continues Share Buyback With Late-December and Early-January Share Cancellations
Jan 5, 2026

Between 29 December 2025 and 2 January 2026, Ryanair Holdings plc repurchased and cancelled a total of 2,616 ordinary shares and 159,468 ordinary shares underlying American Depositary Shares as part of its previously announced share buy-back programme. Conducted at volume-weighted average prices of around €29.4 for ordinary shares and approximately $36.4 for ADS-underlying shares, the transactions reduce Ryanair’s share count and may enhance earnings per share, underscoring ongoing capital return to investors and disciplined balance-sheet management in line with its 2025 buyback initiative.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAAY) stock is a Buy with a $74.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryanair Holdings stock, see the RYAAY Stock Forecast page.

Ryanair Confirms Total Voting Rights of 1.05 Billion Shares as of Year-End 2025
Jan 2, 2026

On 2 January 2026, Ryanair Holdings plc reported that, as of 31 December 2025, its issued share capital comprised 1,049,990,932 ordinary shares with a nominal value of €0.006 each, with no ordinary shares held in treasury, resulting in the same number of shares carrying voting rights. The disclosure, made in line with EU transparency regulations and Irish Central Bank market conduct rules, provides an updated share count that investors and other stakeholders must use as the reference denominator when assessing and reporting any interests or changes in interests in Ryanair’s share capital, ensuring continued transparency around significant shareholdings in the airline.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAAY) stock is a Buy with a $74.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryanair Holdings stock, see the RYAAY Stock Forecast page.

Capital Group Lifts Stake in Ryanair Above 14% Voting Threshold
Dec 29, 2025

On 23 December 2025, U.S.-based asset manager The Capital Group Companies, Inc. notified Ryanair Holdings that its aggregate holding in the airline had risen above the 14% threshold of total voting rights, up from 13.01%, all through share ownership rather than financial instruments. The disclosure, formally recorded with regulators on 24 December and filed by Ryanair with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on 29 December 2025, underscores growing institutional investor exposure to Ryanair, with Capital Research and Management Company now directly controlling 14.03% of voting rights, a level that may reinforce the airline’s backing from large global fund managers and potentially increase their influence in shareholder decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAAY) stock is a Buy with a $74.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryanair Holdings stock, see the RYAAY Stock Forecast page.

Ryanair Cancels Shares After Late-December 2025 Buyback Transactions
Dec 29, 2025

Between 22 and 26 December 2025, Ryanair Holdings plc repurchased for cancellation a total of 1,879 ordinary shares and 103,150 ordinary shares underlying its American Depositary Shares as part of its previously announced share buy-back programme launched on 20 May 2025. All repurchased shares will be cancelled, slightly reducing the company’s share count and potentially enhancing earnings per share, with Ryanair confirming that buyback transactions under the programme will continue to be disclosed on a weekly basis in line with EU market abuse regulation requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAAY) stock is a Buy with a $74.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryanair Holdings stock, see the RYAAY Stock Forecast page.

Ryanair to Appeal €256m Italian Antitrust Fine Over Direct Sales Model
Dec 23, 2025

On 23 December 2025, Ryanair announced it has instructed its lawyers to immediately appeal a €256m fine and an associated ruling by Italy’s competition authority AGCM, which found the carrier held a dominant position in air services to and from Italy and criticised aspects of its distribution model. The airline argues the decision is legally flawed, contradicts a January 2024 Milan Court of Appeal precedent that found Ryanair’s direct distribution “undoubtedly benefits consumers” and is economically justified, and is based on a gerrymandered market definition that excludes long-haul flights and alternative transport modes. Ryanair maintains that its current agreements with online travel agents and traditional travel agents—giving them cost-free access to fares provided they do not overcharge customers—are pro-consumer and compliant with competition law, and contends that the AGCM has been misled by a small number of bricks‑and‑mortar agents and a Spanish OTA accused of overcharging. The company says it is confident the ruling and fine will be overturned on appeal, framing the case as a test of consumer protection, competition enforcement, and the legality of its low‑cost, direct‑booking model in the Italian market.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAAY) stock is a Buy with a $74.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryanair Holdings stock, see the RYAAY Stock Forecast page.

Ryanair Cancels Over 300,000 ADS-Linked Shares in December Buyback
Dec 22, 2025

Between 15 and 19 December 2025, Ryanair Holdings plc repurchased for cancellation a total of 4,700 ordinary shares and 307,276 ordinary shares underlying its American Depositary Shares as part of its previously announced share buy-back programme. The purchases, conducted at volume-weighted average prices of around €29.5 per ordinary share and approximately $35.5–$36.2 per ADS-underlying share, reduce the company’s share count and reflect ongoing capital return to shareholders, with Ryanair committing to disclose buyback activity on a weekly basis under applicable EU market abuse regulations.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAAY) stock is a Buy with a $74.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryanair Holdings stock, see the RYAAY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 28, 2026