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Construction Partners Inc (ROAD)
NASDAQ:ROAD

Construction Partners (ROAD) AI Stock Analysis

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ROAD

Construction Partners

(NASDAQ:ROAD)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$142.00
▲(2.25% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/06/26
Score is driven primarily by improving financial performance (rapid revenue scale, margin expansion, stronger recent cash flow) and strong technical momentum (price above major moving averages with positive MACD). The biggest constraint is valuation (high 58.36 P/E with no dividend yield provided). Earnings call tone is supportive due to raised FY2026 guidance and strong backlog/cash outlook, tempered by elevated leverage and a Q1 organic-growth shortfall.
Positive Factors
Sustained revenue growth & margin expansion
ROAD has scaled revenue materially over several years while expanding gross and EBIT margins, indicating improving operational leverage and pricing/pasteurization of inputs. That structural margin improvement supports durable profitability as volumes and mix normalize across cycles.
Improved cash generation and free cash flow
Operating cash flow and free cash flow have meaningfully recovered from prior weak years, demonstrating better working-capital management and converting EBITDA to cash. Stronger cash generation underpins debt paydown, reinvestment in plants, and funding of acquisitive growth over the medium term.
Robust backlog and acquisitive expansion
A large, covered backlog plus targeted acquisitions (e.g., GMJ plant addition) provide predictable revenue conversion and market share gains in key Southeast regions. This structural pipeline and bolt-on M&A strategy support sustained revenue visibility and higher regional scale.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent leverage and balance-sheet swings
Sharp swings in reported leverage suggest material financing or reporting changes and create uncertainty about balance-sheet comparability. Elevated leverage episodically limits flexibility and raises refinancing and covenant risk if cash generation weakens during seasonality or integration periods.
Moderate cash conversion and cyclicality
Despite recent FCF improvement, only moderate conversion of earnings to cash and a history of negative FCF highlight exposure to working-capital swings and seasonality. This structural cash volatility can constrain investment pacing and deleveraging during down cycles.
Organic growth shortfall and local competitive pressure
Below-target organic growth and localized aggressive pricing indicate pockets of margin pressure and execution risk. Reliance on acquisitive growth to hit targets may mask underlying market share challenges and makes sustainable margin expansion dependent on successful integrations.

Construction Partners (ROAD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Construction Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionConstruction Partners, Inc., a civil infrastructure company, engages in the construction and maintenance of roadways across Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and South Carolina. The company, through its subsidiaries, provides various products and services to public and private infrastructure projects, with a focus on highways, roads, bridges, airports, and commercial and residential developments. It also engages in manufacturing and distributing hot mix asphalt (HMA) for internal use and sales to third parties in connection with construction projects; paving activities, including the construction of roadway base layers and application of asphalt pavement; site development, including the installation of utility and drainage systems; mining aggregates, such as sand and gravel that are used as raw materials in the production of HMA; and distributing liquid asphalt cement for internal use and sales to third parties in connection with HMA production. The company was formerly known as SunTx CPI Growth Company, Inc. and changed its name to Construction Partners, Inc. in September 2017. Construction Partners, Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Dothan, Alabama.
How the Company Makes MoneyConstruction Partners generates revenue primarily through the sale of asphalt and concrete products, as well as services related to road construction and maintenance. The company's revenue model is built on contract-based projects where it partners with government agencies and private entities to fulfill their infrastructure needs. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of construction materials, project management fees, and service contracts for road maintenance. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with local and state governments, as well as other construction firms, which help secure long-term contracts and ensure a steady flow of work. Additionally, favorable market conditions, such as increased public spending on infrastructure, significantly contribute to its earnings.

Construction Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 05, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 08, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented strong operational and financial results: substantial top-line growth (+44%), a large increase in adjusted EBITDA (+63%) with a record first-quarter margin (13.9%), an expanded backlog ($3.09B), improved cash flow, and an active M&A pipeline and integrations. Management raised full-year guidance and reiterated ambitious long-term targets. Near-term weaknesses included a Q1 organic growth shortfall (3.5% vs. 7%–8% target), elevated leverage (3.18x), localized competitive pricing pressure, and normal seasonality/weather uncertainty. On balance, the positive financial momentum, upgraded guidance, successful acquisitions/integrations, and strong backlog and cash generation outweigh the isolated near-term headwinds.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue of $809.5 million in Q1, up 44% year-over-year (3.5% organic growth, 40.6% acquisitive growth).
Adjusted EBITDA and Record First-Quarter Margin
Adjusted EBITDA of $112.2 million, up 63% year-over-year; adjusted EBITDA margin reached 13.9% (vs. 12.2% prior year) — the highest first-quarter margin in company history.
Gross Profit and Margin Improvement
Gross profit of $121.5 million, up ~58% year-over-year; gross profit as a percentage of revenue improved to 15.0% from 13.6%.
Raised Full-Year FY2026 Guidance
Company raised FY26 ranges: revenue $3.48B–$3.56B; net income $154M–$158M; adjusted net income $163.5M–$168.7M; adjusted EBITDA $534M–$550M; adjusted EBITDA margin 15.34%–15.45%. Organic growth guidance of ~7%–8% for the year.
Robust Backlog and Contract Coverage
Project backlog of $3.09 billion at 12/31/25, with approximately 80%–85% of the next 12 months' contract revenue covered by backlog.
Strong Cash Flow and Liquidity
Operating cash flow of $82.6 million in Q1 (up from $40.7 million prior year). Cash and equivalents of $104 million plus $163 million available under the credit facility (net of letters of credit). Company expects to convert 75%–85% of EBITDA to cash flow in FY26.
Active M&A and Market Expansion
Completed multiple strategic acquisitions including recent GMJ Paving (adds 12th Houston hot-mix plant); acquisitions accounted for ~ $260M–$280M of revenue in the remaining three quarters (including GMJ). Management reports a robust acquisition pipeline and successful integration of recent platform deals.
Operational Execution and Organic Growth Initiatives
Successful integration of platform acquisitions (Houston, Daytona Beach, Lone Star platforms) and planned organic investments (HMA greenfield in Georgia and additional greenfield facilities later this year/early next year).
Favorable Public-Sector Environment
Management expects federal, state and local contract awards in FY26 to increase ~10%–15% over FY25, with anticipated favorable formula funding in the upcoming Surface Transportation reauthorization.
Road 2030 Long-Term Targets
Management reiterated Road 2030 plan: target to double revenue to >$6 billion by 2030 and target ~17% EBITDA margin (long-term ambition to generate >$1 billion EBITDA annually).
Negative Updates
Q1 Organic Growth Below Full-Year Target
Organic growth in Q1 was 3.5%, below the company’s stated FY26 organic growth target of ~7%–8%. Management attributed roughly $19 million of the shortfall to late project starts and redeployment of crews (some revenue counted as acquisitive).
Elevated Leverage
Debt to trailing 12-month EBITDA stood at 3.18x at quarter end. Management plans to reduce leverage to ~2.5x by late 2026, but current leverage remains elevated and dependent on continued strong cash generation and integration of recent acquisitions.
Seasonality and Near-Term Weather Uncertainty
Company reiterated typical seasonality (1H/2H split) but noted recent winter weather in parts of the Southeast and Texas; Q2 implied guidance appeared light to some investors, creating short-term uncertainty despite management framing results as 'on plan.'
Local Competitive Pressures
Management cited instances of 'irrational competition' in specific local markets that led to equipment redeployment and revenue being recorded as acquisitive rather than organic, indicating pockets of pricing/competitive pressure.
GAAP vs. Adjusted Income Differential
GAAP net income was $17.2 million while adjusted net income was $26.4 million (adjusted diluted EPS $0.47), highlighting non-GAAP adjustments that materially improve reported profitability metrics.
Policy / Authorization Uncertainty
While management is optimistic about a favorable Surface Transportation reauthorization, timing and legislative risk remain (Congress could involve continuing resolutions), which could create planning uncertainty for public infrastructure flows.
Company Guidance
Management raised FY2026 guidance, calling for revenue of $3.48–$3.56 billion, net income of $154–$158 million, adjusted net income of $163.5–$168.7 million, adjusted EBITDA of $534–$550 million and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 15.34%–15.45%, with organic revenue growth targeted at ~7%–8%; they expect the first half to contribute ~42% of revenue and ~34% of adjusted EBITDA (second half ~58% revenue, ~66% adjusted EBITDA), plan to convert roughly 75%–85% of EBITDA to cash from operations, and said backlog stood at $3.09 billion covering ~80%–85% of the next 12 months’ contract revenue.

Construction Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong scale-up and margin improvement (revenue up to ~$3.06B TTM; EBIT margin ~7.0% TTM vs ~2.8% FY2022) with much stronger recent operating and free cash flow (OCF $333M TTM; FCF $187M TTM). The main offset is balance-sheet inconsistency (large swing in leverage between FY2025 annual and TTM) and only moderate cash conversion (~56% FCF to net income TTM).
Income Statement
78
Positive
ROAD shows strong top-line momentum, with revenue rising from ~$0.91B (2021) to $2.81B (FY2025) and $3.06B in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), alongside improving profitability. Gross margin expanded from ~10.5% (FY2022) to ~15.8% (TTM), and operating profitability improved with EBIT margin reaching ~7.0% (TTM) vs ~2.8% (FY2022). Net margin remains modest for the sector (~4.0% TTM), and revenue growth is uneven year to year (notably very strong in FY2022, much lower in FY2025 annual), which tempers the score.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Leverage looks inconsistent across periods: debt-to-equity is very low in TTM (~0.14) but was high in FY2025 annual (~1.85), signaling either a meaningful deleveraging event or reporting mix that warrants caution. Equity has grown (to ~$969M in TTM), and returns on equity are solid and improving versus earlier years (~12% TTM vs ~5% in FY2021–FY2022). The key weakness is the sharp swing in leverage, which raises questions around balance-sheet stability and comparability.
Cash Flow
71
Positive
Cash generation is generally supportive: operating cash flow improved from very weak FY2022 levels to $291M (FY2025) and $333M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), with free cash flow also rising to $153M (FY2025) and $187M (TTM). Free cash flow growth is strong in TTM (+21.69%). However, cash conversion versus earnings is only moderate (free cash flow is ~56% of net income in TTM), and the earlier history includes negative free cash flow (FY2021–FY2022), suggesting cyclicality and working-capital swings remain a risk.
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.06B2.81B1.82B1.56B1.30B910.74M
Gross Profit484.02M439.09M258.50M198.98M137.12M116.79M
EBITDA426.68M373.17M214.72M170.15M102.61M80.73M
Net Income122.04M101.77M68.94M49.00M21.38M20.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.36B3.24B1.54B1.22B1.10B806.62M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments104.09M156.06M74.69M48.24M35.53M57.25M
Total Debt1.91B1.69B553.25M390.73M389.83M222.87M
Total Liabilities2.39B2.33B968.39M703.09M639.64M397.72M
Stockholders Equity969.15M911.96M573.74M516.57M455.88M408.90M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow186.64M153.37M121.15M59.35M-52.35M-7.83M
Operating Cash Flow333.21M291.30M209.08M157.16M16.50M48.50M
Investing Cash Flow-844.01M-1.28B-307.58M-143.37M-197.33M-263.41M
Financing Cash Flow481.93M1.07B126.11M-264.00K159.14M123.85M

Construction Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price138.88
Price Trends
50DMA
116.62
Positive
100DMA
115.07
Positive
200DMA
112.54
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.18
Negative
RSI
61.36
Neutral
STOCH
33.12
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ROAD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 138.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 123.88, above the 50-day MA of 116.62, and above the 200-day MA of 112.54, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.12 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ROAD.

Construction Partners Risk Analysis

Construction Partners disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Construction Partners reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Construction Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$8.21B33.0218.56%0.25%21.45%67.31%
73
Outperform
$5.35B13.7027.77%1.65%9.66%29.01%
72
Outperform
$7.85B63.4913.71%54.20%38.64%
71
Outperform
$14.12B45.0835.73%6.20%72.81%
70
Outperform
$5.92B37.1017.59%0.45%6.87%64.56%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
55
Neutral
$7.78B-42.32-1.42%-1.81%1228.51%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ROAD
Construction Partners
138.88
69.28
99.54%
FLR
Fluor
53.10
16.29
44.25%
GVA
Granite Construction
136.19
54.64
67.01%
KBR
KBR
40.40
-7.19
-15.11%
PRIM
Primoris Services
151.92
81.62
116.11%
STRL
Sterling Infrastructure
459.72
343.78
296.52%

Construction Partners Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Construction Partners Expands Houston Footprint With GMJ Acquisition
Positive
Feb 2, 2026

On February 2, 2026, Construction Partners, Inc. announced it had completed the acquisition of GMJ Paving Company, LLC, a leading asphalt paving contractor for public infrastructure projects in the Houston, Texas metro area, along with GMJ’s hot-mix asphalt plant in Baytown. The deal marks Construction Partners’ twelfth asphalt plant in the Houston region and follows its 2025 entry into that market through acquisitions of Durwood Greene Construction Co. in August and Houston-area construction assets of Vulcan Materials Company in October, further expanding its market share, enhancing throughput at its nearby liquid asphalt terminal, and deepening its local operating team and customer relationships in one of the country’s fastest-growing infrastructure markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (ROAD) stock is a Buy with a $128.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Construction Partners stock, see the ROAD Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Construction Partners Amends Executive Compensation Plan
Neutral
Nov 10, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Construction Partners, Inc.’s Compensation Committee approved an amended award agreement for performance stock unit awards under the company’s 2018 Equity Incentive Plan. The amendment allows the committee to settle these awards by paying the cash-equivalent value of the shares, impacting executive compensation and potentially affecting shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (ROAD) stock is a Buy with a $129.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Construction Partners stock, see the ROAD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 06, 2026