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Construction Partners Inc (ROAD)
NASDAQ:ROAD

Construction Partners (ROAD) AI Stock Analysis

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ROAD

Construction Partners

(NASDAQ:ROAD)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$127.00
▲(11.71% Upside)
Construction Partners' strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights are offset by technical indicators suggesting bearish momentum and a high valuation. The company's growth prospects are promising, but leverage concerns and overvaluation pose risks.
Positive Factors
Rapid Revenue Expansion
Sustained high revenue growth driven by both organic demand and sizable acquisitions shows the business model scales across Sunbelt markets. This dual growth reduces single-source risk and supports long-term market share gains and investment capacity for further strategic expansion.
Large, Visible Backlog
A $3 billion backlog provides multi-quarter revenue visibility and predictable utilization of plants and crews, underpinning steady cash generation. This structural pipeline supports underwriting of future capacity investments and de-risks near-term revenue volatility from project timing.
Improving Cash Generation
Material growth in free cash flow and a high operating-cash-to-income ratio indicate strong underlying cash conversion from operations. Durable cash generation strengthens the firm's ability to fund capex, service debt, and pursue accretive acquisitions without relying solely on external financing.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Leverage near 3.1x EBITDA raises refinancing and liquidity risk if margins compress or macro slows. Managing down to 2.5x will require sustained free cash generation or asset sales; until achieved, high leverage constrains strategic flexibility and increases interest-cost sensitivity.
Weak Free Cash Flow Conversion
Only roughly half of reported net income converts to free cash flow, indicating working capital, capex, or acquisition outflows materially reduce retained cash. Persistent subpar conversion can limit deleveraging, dividend/repurchase capacity, and funding for organic growth without new debt.
Low Net Profit Margin
A low single-digit net margin leaves limited buffer against input cost increases or project delays. Even with improving gross and EBIT metrics, weak net profitability reduces retained earnings and resilience, making returns more sensitive to cyclical downturns or elevated SG&A and interest costs.

Construction Partners (ROAD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Construction Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionConstruction Partners, Inc., a civil infrastructure company, engages in the construction and maintenance of roadways across Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and South Carolina. The company, through its subsidiaries, provides various products and services to public and private infrastructure projects, with a focus on highways, roads, bridges, airports, and commercial and residential developments. It also engages in manufacturing and distributing hot mix asphalt (HMA) for internal use and sales to third parties in connection with construction projects; paving activities, including the construction of roadway base layers and application of asphalt pavement; site development, including the installation of utility and drainage systems; mining aggregates, such as sand and gravel that are used as raw materials in the production of HMA; and distributing liquid asphalt cement for internal use and sales to third parties in connection with HMA production. The company was formerly known as SunTx CPI Growth Company, Inc. and changed its name to Construction Partners, Inc. in September 2017. Construction Partners, Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Dothan, Alabama.
How the Company Makes MoneyConstruction Partners generates revenue primarily through the sale of asphalt and concrete products, as well as services related to road construction and maintenance. The company's revenue model is built on contract-based projects where it partners with government agencies and private entities to fulfill their infrastructure needs. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of construction materials, project management fees, and service contracts for road maintenance. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with local and state governments, as well as other construction firms, which help secure long-term contracts and ensure a steady flow of work. Additionally, favorable market conditions, such as increased public spending on infrastructure, significantly contribute to its earnings.

Construction Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 20, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call depicted a robust fiscal year 2025 with significant revenue and EBITDA growth driven by strategic acquisitions and organic growth. Record backlog and future growth plans indicate strong positioning for fiscal 2026, though there are concerns about leverage levels and potential impacts from government activities.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Achieved 54% total revenue growth with 8.4% organic growth and 45.6% acquisitive growth.
Significant EBITDA Increase
EBITDA increased by 92% year over year, reaching a record EBITDA margin of 15%.
Strategic Acquisitions
Completed acquisitions in Texas, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Alabama, and Texas, contributing to market expansion and revenue growth.
Project Backlog
Ended fiscal year 2025 with a record project backlog of $3 billion.
Future Growth Plans
Road 2030 strategic plan to double revenue to over $6 billion by 2030 with a target EBITDA margin of 17%.
Strong Q4 Financial Performance
Fourth quarter revenue of $900 million, up 67% compared to the same quarter last year, with adjusted EBITDA of $154 million.
Healthy Cash Flow
Cash flow from operations was $291 million, up from $209 million in fiscal 2024.
Negative Updates
Leverage Concerns
Debt to trailing twelve months EBITDA ratio was 3.1 times, with a focus on reducing leverage to approximately 2.5 times by late 2026.
Potential Impact of Government Shutdown
Although the government shutdown did not significantly affect the industry, it reset the lead on the five-year reauthorization bill schedule.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call, Construction Partners provided guidance with several metrics highlighted. They reported a significant revenue growth of 54% for fiscal year 2025, driven by both organic growth of 8.4% and acquisitive growth of 45.6%, resulting in total revenue of $2.812 billion. The company's EBITDA for the year increased by 92% to $423.7 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 15%. Looking ahead to fiscal year 2026, Construction Partners anticipates revenue in the range of $3.435 billion, with adjusted EBITDA expected to be between $520 million to $540 million, reflecting an adjusted EBITDA margin target of 15.3% to 15.4%. The company also achieved a record project backlog of $3 billion and plans to expand EBITDA margins by 30 basis points annually, aiming for a 17% EBITDA margin by 2030. Additionally, they expect contract awards to rise by approximately 15% in fiscal year 2026, supported by strong public and private construction demand in their Sunbelt markets.

Construction Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Construction Partners shows strong revenue growth and improving margins, with effective equity use. However, increased leverage and room for improvement in net profitability and free cash flow conversion are concerns.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Construction Partners has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 14.76% increase in the latest year, supported by improving gross and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin has increased to 15.61%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin slightly decreased to 3.62%, indicating room for improvement in net profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased significantly to 1.85, indicating higher leverage, which could pose a risk if not managed carefully. Despite this, the return on equity remains solid at 11.16%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 28.16%, suggesting a balanced approach to financing with equity.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Free cash flow has grown by 36.8%, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.86, indicating robust cash flow relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.53, suggesting that while cash flow is positive, there is room for improvement in converting income into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.81B2.81B1.82B1.56B1.30B910.74M
Gross Profit439.09M439.09M258.50M198.98M137.12M116.79M
EBITDA379.09M373.17M214.72M170.15M102.61M80.73M
Net Income101.78M101.77M68.94M49.00M21.38M20.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.24B3.24B1.54B1.22B1.10B806.62M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments159.01M156.06M74.69M48.24M35.53M57.25M
Total Debt1.69B1.69B553.25M390.73M389.83M222.87M
Total Liabilities2.33B2.33B968.39M703.09M639.64M397.72M
Stockholders Equity911.96M911.96M573.74M516.57M455.88M408.90M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow153.37M153.37M121.15M59.35M-52.35M-7.83M
Operating Cash Flow291.30M291.30M209.08M157.16M16.50M48.50M
Investing Cash Flow-1.28B-1.28B-307.58M-143.37M-197.33M-263.41M
Financing Cash Flow1.07B1.07B126.11M-264.00K159.14M123.85M

Construction Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price113.69
Price Trends
50DMA
109.44
Positive
100DMA
116.04
Negative
200DMA
107.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.47
Negative
RSI
53.68
Neutral
STOCH
75.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ROAD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 113.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 112.23, above the 50-day MA of 109.44, and above the 200-day MA of 107.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.47 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ROAD.

Construction Partners Risk Analysis

Construction Partners disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Construction Partners reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Construction Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$7.44B27.2218.56%0.25%21.45%67.31%
73
Outperform
$5.59B14.3027.77%1.65%9.66%29.01%
71
Outperform
$9.81B31.3135.73%6.20%72.81%
71
Outperform
$6.42B62.3313.70%54.20%38.64%
70
Outperform
$5.31B35.7316.87%0.45%6.87%64.56%
64
Neutral
$7.14B2.2591.03%-1.81%1228.51%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ROAD
Construction Partners
113.69
22.48
24.65%
FLR
Fluor
44.30
-5.21
-10.52%
GVA
Granite Construction
121.55
29.74
32.39%
KBR
KBR
44.02
-14.98
-25.39%
PRIM
Primoris Services
137.78
53.63
63.73%
STRL
Sterling Infrastructure
319.27
140.79
78.88%

Construction Partners Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Construction Partners Amends Executive Compensation Plan
Neutral
Nov 10, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Construction Partners, Inc.’s Compensation Committee approved an amended award agreement for performance stock unit awards under the company’s 2018 Equity Incentive Plan. The amendment allows the committee to settle these awards by paying the cash-equivalent value of the shares, impacting executive compensation and potentially affecting shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (ROAD) stock is a Buy with a $129.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Construction Partners stock, see the ROAD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Construction Partners Reports Record Revenue and Profitability
Positive
Oct 22, 2025

On October 21, 2025, Construction Partners, Inc. announced its preliminary financial results for fiscal year 2025, highlighting a strong fourth quarter performance that led to record revenue and profitability. The company reported an expected revenue range of $2.800 billion to $2.820 billion, an increase from $1.824 billion in 2024, and a net income range of $101.0 million to $101.8 million, up from $68.9 million in 2024. Looking forward to fiscal year 2026, Construction Partners anticipates continued growth with revenue projected between $3.400 billion and $3.500 billion, driven by economic growth in the Sunbelt and strategic acquisitions. The company remains optimistic about expanding margins and leveraging transportation funding programs to build value for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (ROAD) stock is a Buy with a $137.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Construction Partners stock, see the ROAD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Construction Partners Acquires P&S Paving for Expansion
Positive
Oct 20, 2025

On October 20, 2025, Construction Partners, Inc. announced the acquisition of P&S Paving, Inc., a move that expands its operations into Daytona Beach and Florida’s East Coast. This acquisition enhances the company’s ability to deliver asphalt and infrastructure services in the high-growth Interstate 95 corridor, aligning with its strategy for future growth and strengthening its market position in Florida.

The most recent analyst rating on (ROAD) stock is a Buy with a $128.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Construction Partners stock, see the ROAD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025