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Regis Corp (RGS)
NASDAQ:RGS
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Regis (RGS) AI Stock Analysis

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RGS

Regis

(NASDAQ:RGS)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$29.00
▲(5.96% Upside)
Regis's stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and an attractive valuation, despite financial leverage concerns and leadership changes. The company's strategic initiatives and positive earnings sentiment further support the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth in the fourth quarter indicates strong demand for Regis's services and successful strategic initiatives, suggesting a positive long-term trajectory for the company's market position and financial performance.
Supercuts Brand Transformation
The successful transformation of the Supercuts brand, as evidenced by increased loyalty program engagement, enhances customer retention and brand strength, supporting long-term revenue stability and growth.
Positive Cash Flow
Consistent positive cash flow generation improves Regis's liquidity and financial flexibility, enabling reinvestment in growth initiatives and debt management, which are crucial for sustainable long-term operations.
Negative Factors
High Debt Levels
High debt levels can strain Regis's financial resources, limiting its ability to invest in growth opportunities and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns, potentially impacting long-term financial health.
Decrease in Franchise Locations
The reduction in franchise locations may weaken Regis's market presence and reduce franchise fee income, challenging its ability to maintain revenue growth and operational scale over the long term.
Leadership Changes
The resignation of the CEO introduces uncertainty in leadership, potentially disrupting strategic continuity and execution, which could affect Regis's long-term strategic initiatives and market confidence.

Regis (RGS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Regis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRegis Corporation owns, operates, and franchises hairstyling and hair care salons in the United States, Canada, Puerto Rico, and the United Kingdom. The company operates in two segments, Franchise Salons and Company-Owned Salons. Its salons provide haircutting and styling, including shampooing and conditioning; hair coloring; and other services, as well as sells various hair care and other beauty products. The company also offers mobile applications; and operates accredited cosmetology schools. Regis Corporation operates its salons primarily under the SmartStyle, Supercuts, Cost Cutters, Roosters, First Choice Haircutters, and Magicuts concepts names. As of June 30, 2022, the company operated 5,576 salons, such as 5,395 franchised salons, 105 company-owned salons, and 76 non-controlling ownership salons. Regis Corporation was founded in 1922 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
How the Company Makes MoneyRegis generates revenue primarily through the provision of salon services and the sale of related hair care products. Its revenue streams include fees from haircuts, styling, and color treatments performed at both company-owned and franchised salons. Additionally, the sale of branded and third-party hair care products in salons contributes significantly to its earnings. The company also benefits from franchise fees and royalties from franchised locations, creating a steady income stream. Strategic partnerships with product manufacturers and suppliers enhance its product offerings, while promotional campaigns and loyalty programs drive customer retention and repeat business.

Regis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 03, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive sentiment overall, with significant improvements in operating income, adjusted EBITDA, and same-store sales growth. The successful transformation of the Supercuts brand and positive cash flow generation were key highlights. However, challenges remain with a decrease in franchise locations and high debt levels, but these were outweighed by the positive developments.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Operating Income and Adjusted EBITDA
For fiscal year 2025, Regis delivered $19.9 million in operating income and $31.6 million in Adjusted EBITDA, a year-over-year increase of 14.9%.
Same-Store Sales Growth
Consolidated same-store sales increased 1.3% year-over-year in the fourth quarter, with Supercuts, the largest brand, experiencing a 2.9% increase.
Successful Transformation of Supercuts Brand
The Supercuts loyalty program has grown to represent 36% of transactions, an increase of 600 basis points since Q3, indicating strong customer engagement and retention.
Positive Cash Flow and Improved Liquidity
Regis achieved its third consecutive quarter of positive cash from operations, generating $6.8 million in cash from operations in Q4, improving liquidity to $25.9 million.
Revenue Growth
Total revenue for the fourth quarter was $60.4 million, an increase of 22.3% compared to the prior year, driven primarily by increased revenue from company-owned salons.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Franchise Locations
As of June 30, 2025, Regis had a net decrease of 744 franchise locations compared to June 30, 2024, including 448 net closures of underperforming stores.
Lower Franchise Revenue
The decrease in royalties due to fewer franchise locations and lower franchise revenue was partially offset by the acquisition of Alline salons.
High Debt Levels
Regis has $125.3 million in outstanding debt, excluding deferred financing costs and the value of warrants plus accrued paid-in-kind interest.
Company Guidance
During the Regis Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance showcasing a solid financial performance and outlined strategic initiatives aimed at sustaining growth. Regis reported a $19.9 million operating income for fiscal year 2025, with a 14.9% increase in Adjusted EBITDA to $31.6 million. The fourth quarter saw a 22.3% rise in total revenue to $60.4 million, driven by a 1.3% increase in same-store sales and the acquisition of 300 salons from Alline. Supercuts, Regis's largest brand, recorded a 2.9% increase in same-store sales. The company's strategic focus includes a holistic transformation of the Supercuts brand and enhancing the sales and profitability of company-owned salons. The Supercuts loyalty program has grown to account for 36% of transactions, indicating strong customer engagement. Regis also plans to leverage digital strategies and operational excellence to fuel growth and has emphasized a commitment to utilizing cash flow for reinvestment, debt management, and potential strategic acquisitions.

Regis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Regis has shown improved profitability and cash flow in the TTM, with strong net income margins driven by cost control. However, declining revenue and high leverage, indicated by a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 5.36, pose significant financial risks and challenges to sustainable growth.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
The income statement shows a decline in revenue and gross profit over the TTM compared to the previous year, though net income has improved significantly due to cost management. Gross Profit Margin is 39.36%, and Net Profit Margin is 49.34% for TTM, indicating strong profitability on a net basis. However, the declining revenue trend poses a risk to future growth.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects high leverage, with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 5.36, indicating significant financial risk. The Equity Ratio is only 13.42%, suggesting low equity compared to total assets. Return on Equity is high at 143.16% due to low equity, which may not be sustainable.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals positive Free Cash Flow of $11.3M TTM with a Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.115, indicating a moderate conversion of net income to free cash flow. Operating Cash Flow has improved significantly from negative figures in prior years, but sustainability remains a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue199.11M210.13M202.98M233.33M275.97M415.11M
Gross Profit78.36M64.74M76.55M76.54M65.62M129.41M
EBITDA76.08M21.79M119.27M17.30M-22.67M-81.44M
Net Income98.24M117.03M91.06M-7.38M-46.46M-113.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets511.25M598.96M530.50M607.38M769.30M996.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.29M16.96M10.07M9.51M17.04M19.19M
Total Debt367.90M241.06M399.28M550.65M691.63M822.25M
Total Liabilities442.60M413.34M473.71M644.11M800.25M979.34M
Stockholders Equity68.64M185.62M56.79M-36.73M-30.95M17.05M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.30M12.45M-2.42M-8.37M-43.95M-111.36M
Operating Cash Flow12.08M13.74M-2.04M-7.89M-38.64M-99.88M
Investing Cash Flow-10.94M-11.45M1.62M4.02M7.68M-2.10M
Financing Cash Flow16.67M3.59M8.36M-2.15M29.42M7.78M

Regis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price27.37
Price Trends
50DMA
21.46
Positive
100DMA
21.15
Positive
200DMA
21.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.52
Negative
RSI
73.38
Negative
STOCH
95.78
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RGS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 27.37 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.82, above the 50-day MA of 21.46, and above the 200-day MA of 21.45, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.52 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.38 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.78 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RGS.

Regis Risk Analysis

Regis disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Regis reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Regis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$66.67M0.6496.56%3.52%26.12%
61
Neutral
$17.83B12.89-1.60%3.03%1.39%-14.45%
60
Neutral
$14.70M10.5723.48%12.93%66.81%
49
Neutral
$151.79M41.901.73%-37.62%-87.69%
41
Neutral
$5.50M-259.91%373.32%98.46%
41
Neutral
$5.99M-1069.01%-6.93%22.70%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RGS
Regis
27.37
2.85
11.62%
MED
Medifast
13.81
-5.09
-26.93%
XWEL
XWELL
1.05
-0.56
-34.78%
MRM
MEDIROM Healthcare Technologies
1.86
-2.17
-53.85%
TRNR
Interactive Strength Inc
3.15
-318.75
-99.02%

Regis Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Regis CEO Matthew Doctor Resigns Effective June 30
Positive
Jun 23, 2025

On June 20, 2025, Regis Corporation announced the resignation of Matthew Doctor as President, CEO, and Director, effective June 30, 2025. Jim Lain, the Executive Vice President of Brand Operations for Supercuts and Cost Cutters, will serve as Interim President and CEO starting July 1, 2025, while the company searches for a permanent successor. Under Doctor’s leadership, Regis stabilized operations and improved financial standing, positioning the company for long-term growth. The company reported positive same-store sales growth for Supercuts and Regis Consolidated in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, indicating continued momentum.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 09, 2025