Regis Corporation (RGS)
:RGS
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Regis (RGS) AI Stock Analysis

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RGS

Regis

(NASDAQ:RGS)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$28.00
▼(-8.17% Downside)
Regis Corporation's overall stock score is driven by its financial recovery and low valuation, suggesting potential undervaluation. However, technical indicators show bearish momentum, and financial risks due to high leverage remain a concern. The positive sentiment from the earnings call provides some optimism, but operational challenges persist.

Regis (RGS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Regis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRegis Corporation owns, operates, and franchises hairstyling and hair care salons in the United States, Canada, Puerto Rico, and the United Kingdom. The company operates in two segments, Franchise Salons and Company-Owned Salons. Its salons provide haircutting and styling, including shampooing and conditioning; hair coloring; and other services, as well as sells various hair care and other beauty products. The company also offers mobile applications; and operates accredited cosmetology schools. Regis Corporation operates its salons primarily under the SmartStyle, Supercuts, Cost Cutters, Roosters, First Choice Haircutters, and Magicuts concepts names. As of June 30, 2022, the company operated 5,576 salons, such as 5,395 franchised salons, 105 company-owned salons, and 76 non-controlling ownership salons. Regis Corporation was founded in 1922 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
How the Company Makes MoneyRegis generates revenue primarily through the provision of salon services and the sale of related hair care products. Its revenue streams include fees from haircuts, styling, and color treatments performed at both company-owned and franchised salons. Additionally, the sale of branded and third-party hair care products in salons contributes significantly to its earnings. The company also benefits from franchise fees and royalties from franchised locations, creating a steady income stream. Strategic partnerships with product manufacturers and suppliers enhance its product offerings, while promotional campaigns and loyalty programs drive customer retention and repeat business.

Regis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a generally positive outlook, with solid improvements in revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and operating cash flows. The company continues to make progress in its transformation and modernization efforts, particularly with the Supercuts brand. However, challenges remain, including a decrease in franchise locations and specific brand performance issues. The management is focused on addressing these challenges and pursuing strategic growth initiatives.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Consolidated Same-Store Sales Increase
Consolidated same-store sales increased by 0.9% for the quarter, driven by pricing actions and improved salon execution.
Adjusted EBITDA Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA for the first fiscal quarter was $8 million, up from $7.6 million a year ago, marking a $400,000 improvement.
Positive Operating Cash Flow
The company generated $2.3 million in positive operating cash flow, a $3.6 million improvement versus the prior year's first quarter.
Supercuts Modernization Progress
Same-store sales for Supercuts were up 2.5% for the first fiscal quarter, with loyalty program participation increasing from 36% to 40%.
Revenue Growth
Total first-quarter revenue was $59 million, an increase of 28% or $12.9 million compared to the prior year, driven by increased revenue from company-owned salons.
Operating Income Increase
GAAP operating income increased by $3.8 million to $5.9 million compared to the previous year.
Income from Continuing Operations
Income from continuing operations was $1.4 million compared to a loss of $1.8 million in the year-ago quarter.
Technology and Digital Acceleration
The company is advancing digital and AI initiatives to enhance marketing efficiency, guest engagement, and operational simplicity.
Negative Updates
Net Decrease in Franchise Locations
There was a net decrease of 757 franchise locations compared to the previous year, largely due to the conversion of Align salons to company-owned and closures of underperforming stores.
Decrease in Franchise Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA for the Franchise segment decreased by $1.6 million compared to the prior year, due to lower royalties and fees.
Challenges with SmartStyle Brand
The SmartStyle brand faces challenges, with efforts underway to address traffic and performance issues.
Outstanding Debt and Refinancing Concerns
Outstanding debt stood at $124.8 million, with no immediate plans for refinancing due to current economic terms.
Company Guidance
During the Regis Corporation's first-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings call, several key metrics were highlighted, showcasing the company's progress and strategic focus. Consolidated same-store sales increased by 0.9%, while adjusted EBITDA rose to $8 million, a $400,000 improvement from the previous year. The company reported $2.3 million in positive operating cash flow, marking a $3.6 million increase from the same quarter last year. The Supercuts brand saw a same-store sales increase of 2.5%, with loyalty program participation rising to 40%. Company-owned salons contributed to this growth, delivering an adjusted EBITDA of $1.6 million. Despite a net decrease of 757 franchise locations, primarily due to the acquisition from Align, total first-quarter revenue increased by 28% to $59 million. Regis also reported a 177% increase in operating income. Looking ahead, the company anticipates a meaningful increase in unrestricted cash generated from core operations for fiscal year 2026, driven by operational strength and the full-year impact of the Align acquisition.

Regis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Regis shows signs of recovery with improved revenue growth and profitability margins. However, high leverage and low equity ratios pose financial risks. Cash flow generation is improving, but the conversion of income to cash remains a concern.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Regis has shown a positive revenue growth rate of 6.14% in the TTM period, indicating a recovery from previous declines. The gross profit margin has improved to 51.24%, reflecting better cost management. However, the net profit margin is exceptionally high at 53.46%, which may be due to non-operational factors. EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved, suggesting operational efficiency gains.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio has decreased to 1.84, showing improved leverage management, but it remains high, indicating potential financial risk. Return on equity is strong at 93.79%, driven by high net income. The equity ratio is low, suggesting a reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Free cash flow has grown by 26.09%, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.17, suggesting that net income may not fully translate into cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.90, indicating efficient cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue223.03M210.13M202.98M233.33M275.97M411.65M
Gross Profit114.28M80.51M76.55M76.54M65.62M77.28M
EBITDA29.43M24.75M119.27M17.86M-25.02M-73.72M
Net Income119.24M123.54M91.06M-7.38M-85.86M-113.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets592.12M598.96M530.50M607.38M769.30M996.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments35.77M16.96M10.07M9.51M17.04M19.19M
Total Debt345.14M350.76M399.28M550.65M691.63M820.88M
Total Liabilities404.56M413.34M473.71M644.11M800.25M979.34M
Stockholders Equity187.55M185.62M56.79M-36.73M-30.95M17.05M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.70M12.45M-2.42M-8.37M-43.95M-111.36M
Operating Cash Flow17.37M13.74M-2.04M-7.89M-38.64M-99.88M
Investing Cash Flow-12.79M-11.45M1.62M4.02M7.68M-2.10M
Financing Cash Flow8.81M3.59M8.36M-2.15M29.42M7.78M

Regis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price30.49
Price Trends
50DMA
29.00
Negative
100DMA
25.10
Positive
200DMA
22.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.49
Positive
RSI
31.13
Neutral
STOCH
15.11
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RGS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 30.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.12, above the 50-day MA of 29.00, and above the 200-day MA of 22.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.49 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.11 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for RGS.

Regis Risk Analysis

Regis disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Regis reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Regis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
$64.86M0.6098.54%13.98%34.14%
58
Neutral
$15.65M5.4148.22%13.71%
47
Neutral
$125.08M544.500.12%-36.29%-96.65%
44
Neutral
$5.07M-259.91%373.32%98.46%
38
Underperform
$4.78M-1069.01%-6.93%22.70%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RGS
Regis
26.15
7.87
43.05%
MED
Medifast
11.38
-6.19
-35.23%
XWEL
XWELL
0.83
-0.73
-46.79%
MRM
MEDIROM Healthcare Technologies
2.00
-0.75
-27.27%
TRNR
Interactive Strength Inc
2.44
-22.86
-90.36%

Regis Corporate Events

Regis Corporation Reports Strong Q1 2026 Earnings
Nov 13, 2025

Regis Corporation is a prominent player in the haircare industry, operating a mix of franchised and company-owned salons under brands like Supercuts and SmartStyle. The company is focused on modernizing its operations and enhancing its digital capabilities to drive long-term growth.

Regis Corporation’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Nov 13, 2025

The recent earnings call from Regis Corporation reflected a generally positive outlook, with significant improvements in key financial metrics such as revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and operating cash flows. The company is making strides in its transformation and modernization efforts, particularly with the Supercuts brand, although challenges such as a decrease in franchise locations and specific brand performance issues remain. Management is committed to addressing these hurdles while pursuing strategic growth initiatives.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Regis Holds Annual Shareholder Meeting, Approves Key Proposals
Neutral
Oct 30, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Regis Corporation held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where several key proposals were voted on. The shareholders elected five director nominees for a one-year term, approved the advisory proposal on executive compensation, ratified the appointment of Grant Thornton LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm, approved the Amended and Restated 1991 Contributory Stock Purchase Plan, and ratified the extension of the Tax Benefits Preservation Plan.

The most recent analyst rating on (RGS) stock is a Buy with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Regis stock, see the RGS Stock Forecast page.

Regis Corporation’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Sep 6, 2025

Regis Corporation’s latest earnings call conveyed an overall positive sentiment, highlighting significant improvements in key financial metrics. The company reported notable growth in operating income, adjusted EBITDA, and same-store sales, alongside successful brand transformation efforts. Despite facing challenges such as a reduction in franchise locations and high debt levels, the positive developments were the focal point of the discussion.

Regis Corporation Reports Strong Fiscal Year 2025 Results
Sep 4, 2025

Regis Corporation is a prominent player in the haircare industry, operating a mix of franchised and company-owned salons under well-known brands such as Supercuts and SmartStyle. The company recently reported its financial results for the fourth fiscal quarter and full fiscal year 2025, highlighting a positive trajectory in its financial performance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 14, 2025