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RegenXBio (RGNX)
NASDAQ:RGNX
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RegenXBio (RGNX) AI Stock Analysis

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RGNX

RegenXBio

(NASDAQ:RGNX)

Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$9.50
▲(0.85% Upside)
RegenXBio's overall stock score reflects a mix of significant financial challenges and promising strategic developments. The company's strong clinical progress and strategic partnerships are positive factors, but financial instability and valuation concerns weigh heavily. The amended collaboration with AbbVie and solid cash position provide some optimism for future growth.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Current cash of $363.6mm is expected to fund operations into early-'27.
Partnerships and Collaborations
RGNX entered a partnership with Nippon Shinyaku to commercialize RGX-121 in the US and Asia in exchange for $110M upfront and $700M in potential milestones.
Regulatory Approvals
RGX-121 has received Orphan Drug, Rare Pediatric Disease, Fast Track, and Regenerative Medicine Advanced Therapy (RMAT) designations from the FDA and advanced therapy medicinal products (ATMP) classification from the European Medicines Agency.
Negative Factors
Market Opportunities
Share impact will likely be muted as commercial opportunity in MPS II is modest and RGNX monetized the majority of its economic interest through strategic partnership with Nippon Shinyaku.
Regulatory Delays
The FDA extended BLA review of clemidsogene lanparvovec (RGX-121) for Mucopolysaccharidosis II, pushing the PDUFA date to February 8, 2026.
Stock Price Target
The price target was lowered to $17 from a previous value.

RegenXBio (RGNX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

RegenXBio Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRegenXBio Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on developing gene therapies for the treatment of various genetic diseases and disorders. The company specializes in its proprietary adeno-associated virus (AAV) gene therapy platform, which is designed to provide long-lasting therapeutic effects by delivering genetic material directly to target cells. RegenXBio's core products include treatments for conditions such as X-linked retinitis pigmentosa, spinal muscular atrophy, and other rare genetic disorders, positioning the company at the forefront of the growing gene therapy market.
How the Company Makes MoneyRegenXBio generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its gene therapy products. The company earns money through several key revenue streams, including upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties from partnerships and collaborations with larger pharmaceutical companies. Notable partnerships, such as those with Novartis and AbbVie, contribute to the company's earnings by providing funding for research and development, as well as access to additional resources for clinical trials. Additionally, RegenXBio may receive milestone payments tied to the successful development and commercialization of its therapies, further enhancing its revenue potential.

RegenXBio Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes income from different business units, highlighting which segments drive growth and profitability, and indicating potential areas for strategic focus or improvement.
Chart InsightsRegenXBio's Zolgensma royalties have shown volatility, with recent declines in 2024, reflecting potential market saturation or competitive pressures. The earnings call highlights strong clinical progress and strategic partnerships, positioning the company for future growth. However, regulatory uncertainties and competitive challenges, particularly in the Duchenne muscular dystrophy space, could impact revenue stability. The company's robust cash position and manufacturing capabilities are positive indicators for sustaining operations and potential expansion.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

RegenXBio Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with strong clinical progress and strategic partnerships. However, uncertainties around regulatory processes and competitive pressures create some challenges. The company is well-positioned financially and operationally to advance its pipeline.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start to 2025
REGENXBIO reported a strong beginning to the year with significant clinical progress and the potential to transition to a commercial stage with multiple gene therapies.
RGX-121 BLA Submission
The BLA for RGX-121, a potential first gene therapy for MPS II, was submitted under the accelerated approval pathway and is on track for potential FDA approval in the second half of 2025.
Partnership with Nippon Shinyaku
A strategic partnership with Nippon Shinyaku was established to commercialize the neurodegenerative franchise, including RGX-121 and RGX-111.
Advancement of RGX-202 for Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy
RGX-202 pivotal study surpassed 50% enrollment, with strong interest from the patient community. The company plans to submit a BLA in mid-2026.
Manufacturing Innovation Center
The company will start producing RGX-202 commercial supply at its Manufacturing Innovation Center in the third quarter of 2025, capable of producing up to 2,500 doses annually.
Cash Position and Runway
The company ended the quarter with $272 million, an increase from $245 million at the end of 2024, and expects this to fund operations into the second half of 2026.
Negative Updates
Potential Delays in FDA BLA Acceptance
There is sensitivity around the timing of the FDA's acceptance of the RGX-121 BLA, with expectations of imminent acceptance yet to be confirmed.
Regulatory Uncertainties
Changes at the helm of CBER and the competitive landscape with Sarepta's challenges create uncertainty around approval pathways and the regulatory environment.
Challenges in Diabetic Retinopathy Trials
There are ongoing considerations around the endpoints and regulatory feedback for the diabetic retinopathy Phase III trial with AbbVie.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter 2025 earnings call, REGENXBIO provided several key metrics and forward-looking guidance. The company reported cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities totaling $272 million as of March 31, 2025, an increase from $245 million at the end of 2024, primarily due to a $110 million upfront payment from a collaboration with Nippon Shinyaku. REGENXBIO expects this cash position to fund operations into the second half of 2026. Research and development expenses were $53 million for the quarter, slightly decreased from the previous year's $54.8 million. The company anticipates FDA acceptance of their Biologics License Application (BLA) for RGX-121, a gene therapy for Hunter syndrome, in the second half of 2025, and aims to begin delivering the therapy to patients in the first half of 2026. Additionally, REGENXBIO is advancing RGX-202 for Duchenne muscular dystrophy, having surpassed 50% enrollment in its pivotal study, with a BLA submission expected in mid-2026. The manufacturing of RGX-202 is set to commence in the third quarter of 2025, with plans to produce up to 2,500 doses annually. The company also collaborates with AbbVie on ABBV-RGX-314 for retinal diseases, with pivotal trials ongoing and top-line data expected in 2026.

RegenXBio Financial Statement Overview

Summary
RegenXBio faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues, negative profitability, and increased leverage. The company's operational inefficiencies and cash flow issues pose risks to its financial health. While there are some strengths in gross profit margins, the overall financial position is concerning, requiring strategic improvements to stabilize and grow the business.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
RegenXBio's income statement shows significant challenges with declining revenue and negative profit margins. The TTM data indicates a sharp revenue decline of 59.7% compared to the previous year, and the company is operating at a net loss with a net profit margin of -112.7%. The gross profit margin remains relatively high at 79.9%, suggesting some efficiency in managing production costs, but the negative EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight ongoing operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.27 in the TTM period, indicating increased leverage and potential financial risk. Stockholders' equity has decreased, impacting the equity ratio. Return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's inability to generate profit from shareholders' investments. The company's financial stability is a concern due to rising debt levels and declining equity.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative operating and free cash flows, with a slight improvement in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, suggesting that the company is managing to convert some of its net income into free cash flow, but overall cash flow health remains weak.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue155.78M83.33M90.24M112.72M470.35M154.57M
Gross Profit124.53M49.76M53.03M58.18M418.51M118.85M
EBITDA-129.93M-198.23M-239.46M-244.24M169.54M-96.83M
Net Income-175.57M-227.10M-263.49M-280.32M127.84M-111.25M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets581.03M465.99M573.97M833.27M1.11B708.16M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments323.30M234.69M275.26M364.64M457.44M475.74M
Total Debt271.69M82.03M89.29M94.80M86.68M72.65M
Total Liabilities367.35M206.34M262.23M317.07M349.61M330.41M
Stockholders Equity213.68M259.65M311.74M516.20M764.30M377.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-90.71M-175.56M-228.37M-238.21M134.70M-80.93M
Operating Cash Flow-87.89M-173.13M-218.41M-207.49M218.88M-54.06M
Investing Cash Flow-5.16M103.45M190.94M-11.93M-406.64M122.76M
Financing Cash Flow114.84M92.68M-34.97M-28.84M195.25M200.21M

RegenXBio Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.42
Price Trends
50DMA
8.62
Positive
100DMA
8.67
Positive
200DMA
8.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.23
Negative
RSI
57.81
Neutral
STOCH
84.58
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RGNX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.67, above the 50-day MA of 8.62, and above the 200-day MA of 8.24, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.58 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RGNX.

RegenXBio Risk Analysis

RegenXBio disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. RegenXBio reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

RegenXBio Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
59
Neutral
$460.69M-62.49%74.95%34.25%
57
Neutral
$889.89M-87.42%-100.08%-2.45%
53
Neutral
$729.08M344.74%-47.32%-26.67%
53
Neutral
$796.56M-51.86%-37.09%58.96%
52
Neutral
271.44%26.65%
51
Neutral
$7.91B-0.36-41.70%2.23%23.45%-1.86%
34
Underperform
$453.87M-31.16%50.77%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RGNX
RegenXBio
9.42
-2.06
-17.94%
IVA
Inventiva
5.60
3.40
154.55%
TSHA
Taysha Gene Therapies
3.26
1.22
59.80%
VERV
Verve Therapeutics
11.13
5.53
98.75%
ERAS
Erasca
1.48
-1.38
-48.25%
AMLX
Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
9.95
7.58
319.83%

RegenXBio Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
FDA Extends Review for RegenXBio’s RGX-121 Therapy
Neutral
Aug 18, 2025

On August 18, 2025, REGENXBIO announced that the FDA has extended the review timeline for its Biologics License Application for RGX-121, a potential one-time therapy for Mucopolysaccharidosis II (Hunter syndrome), from November 9, 2025, to February 8, 2026. This extension allows for the review of additional clinical data, which the company plans to present at the ICIEM meeting in September 2025. The FDA’s inspection found no safety concerns, and RGX-121 has received several designations from the FDA, indicating its potential impact on addressing the unmet medical needs of patients with Hunter syndrome.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
RegenXBio and AbbVie Amend Collaboration Agreement
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 5, 2025, REGENXBIO Inc. and AbbVie Global Enterprises Ltd. amended their collaboration agreement to modify the development plan for diabetic retinopathy and enhance investment in the wet AMD program. This amendment includes a revised milestone payment structure, with AbbVie committing $100 million upon the first patient dosed in the Phase IIb/III trial and another $100 million for the subsequent Phase III trial. Additionally, AbbVie will lead a new Phase IIIb study for wet AMD, while REGENXBIO will focus on advancing its gene therapy programs, including RGX-202 for Duchenne muscular dystrophy and RGX-121 for Hunter syndrome, with potential FDA approvals and pivotal trial data expected in the coming years.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
RegenXBio Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 3, 2025

At REGENXBIO Inc.’s 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on May 30, 2025, several key proposals were voted on. Four individuals were elected as Class I directors to serve until 2028, and PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP was ratified as the independent public accounting firm for the year. Additionally, stockholders approved the executive compensation plan and decided to hold annual advisory votes on this matter. The 2025 Equity Incentive Plan was also approved.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 23, 2025