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Rafael Holdings Inc (RFL)
NYSE:RFL
US Market
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Rafael Holdings (RFL) AI Stock Analysis

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RFL

Rafael Holdings

(NYSE:RFL)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(22.95% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/22/26
The score is primarily held back by weak financial performance—large, persistent losses and ongoing cash burn—despite a low-debt balance sheet. Technicals are mixed and largely neutral, while valuation is constrained by negative earnings (negative P/E). A positive corporate event (MIT license expanding Alzheimer’s IP) provides some offset but does not outweigh current operating and cash-flow pressures.
Positive Factors
High gross margins
Sustained ~84.5% gross margins indicate the company’s underlying holdings and products (IP/licensing or high-value services) can retain significant spread as revenues scale. Durable margin structure provides leverage to profits if revenue growth or milestone receipts materialize over months.
Negative Factors
Persistent cash burn
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow of -$13.6M TTM shows the company is consuming cash rather than generating it. Over months this erodes runway, forces reliance on funding events, and limits the ability to advance programs without dilutive or costly capital raises.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High gross margins
Sustained ~84.5% gross margins indicate the company’s underlying holdings and products (IP/licensing or high-value services) can retain significant spread as revenues scale. Durable margin structure provides leverage to profits if revenue growth or milestone receipts materialize over months.
Read all positive factors

Rafael Holdings (RFL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rafael Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Rafael Holdings, Inc. (RFL) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on advancing innovative therapies to treat cancer and other life-threatening diseases. The company operates primarily in the healthcare sector, with a core emphasis on developing a...
How the Company Makes Money
Rafael Holdings primarily makes money through (1) income and value changes from its investment and holding-company activities and (2) cash flows from real estate ownership. Revenue and earnings can come from rental income and other property-relate...

Rafael Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue is small ($1.16M TTM) despite strong gross margin (~84.5%), while losses remain very large (net loss -$33.1M) and operating/free cash flow are meaningfully negative (-$13.6M TTM). The balance sheet is a relative strength with minimal leverage (~0.8% debt/equity), but ongoing losses are eroding equity and ROE is deeply negative.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownTTMJul 2025Oct 2024Jul 2023Oct 2022Jul 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.16M917.00K637.00K279.00K410.00K802.00K
Gross Profit928.00K495.00K483.00K279.00K410.00K802.00K
EBITDA-34.39M-32.25M-66.79M-8.67M-139.89M-23.34M
Net Income-33.11M-30.52M-34.41M-1.88M-124.66M-24.54M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets99.31M114.11M96.83M98.83M118.32M154.06M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments37.78M52.77M65.94M79.51M63.23M7.85M
Total Debt660.00K692.00K2.39M0.0015.00M14.53M
Total Liabilities16.06M15.74M10.57M2.20M21.11M17.35M
Stockholders Equity79.17M94.39M82.19M100.29M100.52M122.29M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-27.88M-18.93M-7.98M40.79M-26.08M-15.81M
Operating Cash Flow-27.89M-18.92M-7.80M-10.89M-26.08M-15.60M
Investing Cash Flow-7.73M44.03M-10.82M21.21M-63.80M-7.26M
Financing Cash Flow24.83M24.83M-179.00K-15.22M103.86M29.39M

Rafael Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.22
Price Trends
50DMA
1.28
Negative
100DMA
1.26
Negative
200DMA
1.41
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
49.61
Neutral
STOCH
25.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RFL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.22 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.24, below the 50-day MA of 1.28, and below the 200-day MA of 1.41, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for RFL.

Rafael Holdings Risk Analysis

Rafael Holdings disclosed 78 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rafael Holdings reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rafael Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
54
Neutral
$37.36M-0.97-135.60%-38.20%31.79%
49
Neutral
$66.07M-2.32-39.03%64.73%62.34%
47
Neutral
$29.88M-1.21-49.25%25.45%31.31%
47
Neutral
$103.54M-1.37-22.96%-5.86%24.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RFL
Rafael Holdings
1.24
-0.28
-18.42%
MAYS
JW Mays
40.40
2.15
5.62%
NEN
New England Realty Associates Partnershi
60.24
-16.05
-21.04%
FTHM
Fathom Holdings
0.92
0.09
11.08%
OPAD
Offerpad Solutions
0.67
-0.44
-40.00%
STHO
Star Holdings
8.44
1.51
21.79%

Rafael Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Rafael Holdings expands Alzheimer’s portfolio with MIT license
Positive
Apr 22, 2026
On April 22, 2026, Rafael Holdings said its subsidiary Cyclo Therapeutics signed an exclusive license with MIT for a U.S. patent covering the use of cyclodextrins in treating Alzheimer’s patients who carry the ApoE4 mutation. The deal expand...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 22, 2026