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Rafael Holdings Inc (RFL)
NYSE:RFL
US Market
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Rafael Holdings (RFL) AI Stock Analysis

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RFL

Rafael Holdings

(NYSE:RFL)

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Underperform 40 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-18.70% Downside)
Rafael Holdings is facing significant challenges with profitability and cash flow, which are reflected in its financial performance score. The technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, with the stock trading below key moving averages and technical indicators suggesting oversold conditions. The valuation is unattractive due to a negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield. These factors collectively result in a low overall stock score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates successful market penetration and potential for future profitability as the company expands its reach.
Gross Profit Margin
High gross profit margins suggest effective cost management and pricing power, which can support long-term financial health.
Low Leverage
Minimal leverage risk enhances financial stability, providing flexibility for future investments and shielding against economic downturns.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Persistent losses and negative margins highlight difficulties in achieving sustainable profitability, impacting long-term viability.
Cash Flow Issues
Negative cash flow indicates potential liquidity issues, limiting the company's ability to fund operations and invest in growth.
Negative Return on Equity
Negative ROE reflects inefficiencies in asset utilization, suggesting the company is not effectively generating returns on its equity investments.

Rafael Holdings (RFL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rafael Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRafael Holdings, Inc. (RFL) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on advancing innovative therapies to treat cancer and other life-threatening diseases. The company operates primarily in the healthcare sector, with a core emphasis on developing and commercializing targeted drug therapies. Rafael Holdings also engages in real estate investments, which provide additional financial stability and diversification to its business model.
How the Company Makes MoneyRafael Holdings generates revenue through its biopharmaceutical operations, particularly by developing and potentially commercializing drug candidates that target various forms of cancer. The company may receive milestone payments and royalties from partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies for the development and commercialization of its therapies. Additionally, Rafael Holdings has a portfolio of real estate assets that contribute to its revenue through leasing and property management activities. The combination of these revenue streams, alongside strategic collaborations and partnerships in the pharmaceutical industry, underpins the company's financial performance.

Rafael Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rafael Holdings shows strong revenue growth and gross profit margins, but faces significant profitability and cash flow challenges. The balance sheet is robust with low leverage, yet the negative return on equity highlights inefficiencies. Overall, the company must address its profitability and cash flow issues to improve its financial health.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Rafael Holdings shows a strong gross profit margin of 88.44% for the latest year, indicating efficient cost management. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -33.28% and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. Revenue growth is positive at 25.27%, but the persistent losses highlight significant challenges in achieving sustainable profitability.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.007, suggesting minimal leverage risk. However, the return on equity is negative at -32.33%, indicating that the company is not generating returns on its equity investments. The equity ratio is healthy, but the negative ROE points to inefficiencies in asset utilization.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals a concerning trend with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow. Despite a significant free cash flow growth rate of 65.14%, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly positive, suggesting some alignment between cash flow and accounting profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue917.00K917.00K637.00K279.00K410.00K3.97M
Gross Profit733.00K495.00K483.00K279.00K410.00K3.90M
EBITDA-32.25M-32.25M-66.79M-8.67M-139.89M-23.34M
Net Income-30.52M-30.52M-34.41M-1.88M-124.66M-25.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets114.11M114.11M96.83M98.83M118.32M154.06M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments52.77M52.77M65.94M79.51M63.23M7.85M
Total Debt692.00K692.00K2.39M0.0015.00M14.53M
Total Liabilities15.74M15.74M10.57M2.20M21.11M17.35M
Stockholders Equity94.39M94.39M82.19M100.29M100.52M122.29M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-18.94M-18.93M-7.98M40.79M-26.08M-15.81M
Operating Cash Flow-18.93M-18.92M-7.80M-10.89M-26.08M-15.60M
Investing Cash Flow44.03M44.03M-10.82M21.21M-63.80M-7.26M
Financing Cash Flow24.83M24.83M-179.00K-15.22M103.86M29.39M

Rafael Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.23
Price Trends
50DMA
1.32
Negative
100DMA
1.49
Negative
200DMA
1.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Negative
RSI
41.85
Neutral
STOCH
34.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RFL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.25, below the 50-day MA of 1.32, and below the 200-day MA of 1.61, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RFL.

Rafael Holdings Risk Analysis

Rafael Holdings disclosed 78 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rafael Holdings reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rafael Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
45
Neutral
$38.22M-43.75%32.78%36.50%
44
Neutral
$64.87M-104.99%-36.25%11.92%
40
Underperform
$63.17M-34.57%43.96%27.98%
39
Underperform
$96.75M-1.68-42.01%-3.22%-280.23%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RFL
Rafael Holdings
1.23
-0.56
-31.28%
MAYS
JW Mays
39.18
-4.82
-10.95%
NEN
New England Realty Associates Partnershi
66.00
-11.92
-15.30%
FTHM
Fathom Holdings
1.18
-0.78
-39.80%
OPAD
Offerpad Solutions
1.73
-3.16
-64.62%
STHO
Star Holdings
7.82
-3.44
-30.55%

Rafael Holdings Corporate Events

Rafael Holdings Reports 2025 Financial Results and Strategic Progress
Oct 30, 2025

Rafael Holdings, Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on developing pharmaceuticals and holding interests in clinical and early-stage pharmaceutical and medical device companies. The company’s lead candidate, Trappsol® Cyclo™, is undergoing a pivotal Phase 3 clinical trial for treating Niemann-Pick Disease Type C1, a rare genetic disorder.

Executive/Board Changes
Rafael Holdings Appoints Alan Grayson to Board
Neutral
Oct 28, 2025

On October 23, 2025, Rafael Holdings announced the appointment of Alan Grayson to its Board of Directors, following the passing of Stephen Greenberg, the Lead Independent Director. Grayson, a former Member of Congress and experienced attorney, will serve on several committees, while Markus Sieger, an existing board member, was appointed as Chair of the Audit Committee and Lead Independent Director. These changes aim to fill the leadership void left by Greenberg’s passing and strengthen the company’s governance structure.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 15, 2025