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Rex American Resources (REX)
NYSE:REX
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Rex American (REX) AI Stock Analysis

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REX

Rex American

(NYSE:REX)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$68.00
▲(11.79% Upside)
REX American's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and strategic expansions highlighted in the earnings call. Despite financial challenges like declining revenue and negative cash flow, the company's robust balance sheet and legislative support for carbon capture projects provide a positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Strong Balance Sheet
A strong balance sheet with low leverage provides financial stability and flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and withstand economic downturns.
Ethanol Expansion Project
The ethanol expansion project enhances production capacity, supporting long-term growth in the renewable energy market and increasing shareholder value.
Regulatory Support
Extended tax credits provide favorable conditions for renewable energy projects, enhancing profitability and encouraging further investment in sustainable practices.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Declining revenue trends can indicate challenges in market demand or competitive pressures, potentially impacting long-term growth and profitability.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow raises concerns about the company's ability to fund operations and investments without relying on external financing, affecting financial health.
Reduced Ethanol Sales Volumes
Reduced sales volumes may reflect market challenges or operational inefficiencies, potentially impacting revenue and market share in the competitive ethanol industry.

Rex American (REX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rex American Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRex American Resources Corporation (REX) is a leading producer of ethanol and related co-products, primarily operating in the renewable energy sector. The company focuses on the production of fuel-grade ethanol from corn and other biomass sources, as well as generating by-products such as distillers grains and CO2. REX operates several ethanol production facilities across the United States, contributing to the growing demand for renewable energy solutions and sustainable agricultural practices.
How the Company Makes MoneyRex American generates revenue primarily through the sale of ethanol, which is used as an alternative fuel source and blended with gasoline. The company benefits from the growing market for renewable fuels, driven by government mandates and consumer preferences for cleaner energy. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of ethanol to fuel blenders and distributors, as well as the sale of co-products like distillers grains to livestock feed markets. Additionally, REX may engage in strategic partnerships with agricultural producers and energy companies, enhancing its market reach and financial performance. The company's earnings are also influenced by fluctuations in corn prices, regulatory incentives for renewable fuels, and overall demand for ethanol in the energy sector.

Rex American Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Average Selling Price Per Gallon of Ethanol
Average Selling Price Per Gallon of Ethanol
Indicates the revenue generated per gallon of ethanol sold, highlighting pricing power and market demand for ethanol products.
Chart InsightsThe average selling price per gallon of ethanol has seen a notable decline since 2023, reflecting broader market pressures. However, REX American's strategic initiatives, including share repurchases and ethanol facility expansions, aim to bolster long-term growth. Despite a dip in sales volume and gross profit, the company remains financially robust with no bank debt and a positive outlook for ethanol margins and exports. Regulatory uncertainties pose risks, but positive legislative developments could mitigate these challenges, supporting REX's strategic positioning and operational excellence.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Rex American Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 27, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 27, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in sales volume growth, legislative support for carbon capture, and a strong financial position. However, challenges were noted in terms of decreased gross profit, net income, and weak DDG prices. Overall, the sentiment is optimistic due to strategic expansions and legislative tailwinds, but tempered by financial declines.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Ethanol Sales Volumes
Ethanol sales volumes reached 70.6 million gallons in Q2 2025, compared to 65.1 million gallons in Q2 2024, showcasing strong performance and growth potential.
Legislative Support for Carbon Capture
The passage of the Big Beautiful Bill Act, including the continuation of the 45Q tax credit and extension of the 45Z tax credit through 2029, supports REX's carbon capture and sequestration project, enhancing long-term success.
Two-for-One Stock Split
The board of directors authorized a two-for-one stock split, increasing liquidity and rewarding shareholders as stock recently traded at all-time highs.
Strong Financial Position
REX maintained a strong financial position with cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments totaling $310.5 million, and no bank debt.
Expansion Projects on Track
The One ARC facility expansion is progressing steadily, with the plant expected to increase annual ethanol production capacity to 175 million gallons by February 2026.
Negative Updates
Decline in Gross Profit
Gross profit for Q2 2025 was $14.3 million, down from $19.8 million in Q2 2024, primarily due to lower sales prices for dried distiller grains and higher shipping costs.
Decrease in Net Income
Net income attributable to REX shareholders was $7.1 million or $0.43 per diluted share, compared to $12.4 million or $0.70 per diluted share in Q2 2024, reflecting lower profitability.
Weak DDG Prices
Dried distiller grains (DDG) prices have been weak relative to corn prices, with export levels dropping compared to last year, particularly to Mexico.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, REX American Resources Corporation outlined several key metrics and initiatives that underscore their strategic progress and financial performance. Ethanol sales volumes rose to 70.6 million gallons, a 5.5 million gallon increase from Q2 2024, although the average selling price decreased to $1.75 per gallon from $1.79. The One Earth energy expansion project is on track to boost ethanol production capacity to 175 million gallons by February 2026, with a further increase to 200 million gallons planned. The company's carbon capture and sequestration project, bolstered by the continuation and extension of 45Q and 45Z tax credits through 2029, is advancing with a revised combined budget range of $220 million to $230 million. As of the second quarter's close, REX invested approximately $126.7 million in these projects. The company's financial results showed a gross profit of $14.3 million, down from $19.8 million in the prior year, primarily due to lower sales prices for dried distiller grains and higher shipping costs. Net income attributable to REX shareholders was $7.1 million, or $0.43 per diluted share, compared to $12.4 million, or $0.70 per diluted share, in Q2 2024. Despite these challenges, REX maintained a strong financial position with cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments totaling $310.5 million and no bank debt, positioning the company well for future opportunities and continued shareholder value delivery.

Rex American Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rex American shows a mixed financial performance with a strong balance sheet and low leverage, but faces challenges with declining revenue and negative free cash flow. Profitability margins are moderate, but cash flow issues could impact future growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Rex American has demonstrated a fluctuating revenue trend with a decline in the most recent year. The gross profit margin for the latest year was approximately 14.23%, and the net profit margin was 9.05%. The EBIT margin stood at 10.01%, and the EBITDA margin was also 10.01%. These margins indicate moderate profitability, but the revenue decrease is a concern.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04 and a high equity ratio of 77.82%. The return on equity (ROE) was 10.38%, reflecting solid profitability relative to equity. Overall, the balance sheet indicates stability with low leverage.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Rex American has experienced a decline in free cash flow, with a negative free cash flow of -7.13 million in the latest year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.10, indicating the company's ability to convert profits into cash. However, the negative free cash flow raises concerns about capital expenditure management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue642.49M642.49M833.38M855.00M774.80M372.66M
Gross Profit91.48M91.48M98.22M48.60M97.56M13.68M
EBITDA81.40M86.04M91.88M49.08M92.67M27.69M
Net Income58.17M58.17M60.94M27.70M52.36M3.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets720.01M720.01M664.80M579.58M550.36M479.35M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments359.07M359.07M378.66M280.94M255.72M180.69M
Total Debt21.11M21.11M12.85M15.04M10.99M12.31M
Total Liabilities76.41M76.41M77.20M68.58M62.80M42.16M
Stockholders Equity560.34M560.34M513.92M447.98M430.79M384.78M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-7.13M-7.13M90.31M39.22M86.58M-1.79M
Operating Cash Flow64.19M64.19M127.97M54.80M91.71M8.62M
Investing Cash Flow-72.86M-72.86M28.40M-198.51M5.29M-20.79M
Financing Cash Flow-18.47M-18.47M-4.32M-17.01M-11.10M-22.45M

Rex American Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price60.83
Price Trends
50DMA
56.18
Positive
100DMA
49.91
Positive
200DMA
45.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.87
Positive
RSI
57.58
Neutral
STOCH
20.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For REX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 60.83 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 60.30, above the 50-day MA of 56.18, and above the 200-day MA of 45.09, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.87 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for REX.

Rex American Risk Analysis

Rex American disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rex American reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rex American Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$889.43M19.0220.93%0.98%9.92%17.12%
75
Outperform
$1.01B20.589.47%-9.57%-24.85%
67
Neutral
$1.09B18.994.77%3.20%2.64%66.43%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.39-0.05%2.88%2.86%-36.73%
59
Neutral
$631.39M-18.95%-15.66%-237.12%
56
Neutral
$403.87M-11.71%341.75%20.16%
48
Neutral
$91.33M-28.22%-12.70%-74.32%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
REX
Rex American
60.83
16.65
37.69%
GEVO
Gevo
1.67
0.29
21.01%
GPRE
Green Plains
9.63
-3.25
-25.23%
ODC
Oil-Dri Of America
65.54
32.04
95.64%
ALTO
Alto Ingredients
1.18
-0.42
-26.25%
SCL
Stepan Company
48.11
-24.55
-33.79%

Rex American Corporate Events

Stock Split
Rex American Announces Two-for-One Stock Split
Neutral
Aug 27, 2025

On August 26, 2025, Rex American‘s Board of Directors approved a two-for-one stock split, executed as a 100% stock dividend. This decision will be effective on September 15, 2025, for shareholders recorded by September 8, 2025. The stock split will result in an additional 1,005,881 shares being available under the company’s existing stock plan, ensuring no dilution occurs due to the split.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Rex American Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting
Positive
Jun 5, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Rex American held its annual shareholders meeting, where key decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and financial oversight. Shareholders elected nine directors to the Board for a one-year term, approved executive compensation, and ratified the appointment of an independent registered public accounting firm, reflecting a strong endorsement of the current leadership and strategic direction.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 28, 2025