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Rex American Resources (REX)
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Rex American (REX) AI Stock Analysis

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REX

Rex American

(NYSE:REX)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$40.00
▲(21.21% Upside)
Rex American's overall stock score reflects strong financial health and positive technical momentum, supported by strategic initiatives and export growth. However, valuation concerns and challenges in profitability margins and regulatory uncertainties moderate the score. The balanced sentiment from the earnings call also contributes to a cautiously optimistic outlook.
Positive Factors
Strong Financial Position
A robust cash position with no bank debt enhances financial flexibility, allowing for strategic investments and resilience against market fluctuations.
Ethanol Production Expansion
Expanding ethanol production capacity positions Rex American to capitalize on growing demand, improving long-term revenue potential and market share.
Positive Ethanol Export Trends
Increased ethanol exports indicate strong global demand, supporting revenue growth and reinforcing Rex American's competitive position in international markets.
Negative Factors
Decline in Gross Profit
A decline in gross profit suggests margin pressures and potential challenges in maintaining profitability, which could affect long-term financial performance.
Revenue Growth Challenges
Declining revenue growth indicates potential market or operational challenges, which could hinder future expansion and profitability if not addressed.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow raises concerns about capital expenditure management and the company's ability to fund growth initiatives without external financing.

Rex American (REX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rex American Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRex American (REX) is a diversified energy company focused on the production and marketing of natural gas and natural gas liquids. Operating primarily in the midstream sector, REX engages in the transportation, storage, and processing of natural gas, serving both industrial and commercial customers. The company also invests in infrastructure projects that enhance the efficiency of natural gas distribution and leverage advancements in energy technology.
How the Company Makes MoneyRex American generates revenue through multiple key streams, including transportation fees for moving natural gas through its pipeline network, storage fees for holding natural gas in its facilities, and processing fees for refining natural gas into marketable products. The company may also earn income from long-term contracts with utility companies and industrial clients, which provide a steady revenue base. Strategic partnerships with other energy firms and investments in technology-driven solutions further bolster REX's earnings, as these collaborations can enhance operational efficiencies and expand service offerings.

Rex American Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Average Selling Price Per Gallon of Ethanol
Average Selling Price Per Gallon of Ethanol
Indicates the revenue generated per gallon of ethanol sold, highlighting pricing power and market demand for ethanol products.
Chart InsightsThe average selling price per gallon of ethanol has seen a notable decline since 2023, reflecting broader market pressures. However, REX American's strategic initiatives, including share repurchases and ethanol facility expansions, aim to bolster long-term growth. Despite a dip in sales volume and gross profit, the company remains financially robust with no bank debt and a positive outlook for ethanol margins and exports. Regulatory uncertainties pose risks, but positive legislative developments could mitigate these challenges, supporting REX's strategic positioning and operational excellence.
Data provided by:The Fly

Rex American Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call demonstrated strong performance in terms of net income, ethanol export growth, and financial stability, with continued progress on strategic initiatives like ethanol capacity expansion. However, challenges such as a decline in gross profit, uncertainty around carbon credits, and the impact of tariffs were also highlighted. The sentiment is balanced, reflecting both achievements and hurdles.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Income and Profitability
Net income per share of $0.71, reflecting strong performance and excellent execution in managing input costs and margins. The company delivered 21 consecutive quarters of profitability.
Ethanol Production Expansion
The One Earth Energy facility expansion to 200 million gallons per year is on track for completion in 2026, enhancing production capabilities and operational efficiency.
Positive Ethanol Export Trends
U.S. ethanol exports were 14% higher than the first eight months of 2024, with expectations for a record-setting year in 2025. This is supported by robust demand and favorable industry dynamics.
Strong Financial Position
The company has approximately $335 million in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments with no bank debt, indicating financial robustness.
Corn Oil Revenue Growth
Corn oil sales volumes increased by approximately 17% and the average selling price increased by approximately 36%, leading to a 60% increase in sales revenue.
Negative Updates
Decline in Gross Profit
Gross profit for the third quarter was $36.1 million, down from $39.7 million in Q3 2024, primarily due to lower prices for ethanol and distiller grains.
Challenges in Carbon Credits and Tariff Impact
Uncertainty around 45Z tax credit guidelines and the impact of tariffs on corn oil prices and DDG exports were noted as challenges. The company awaits Treasury guidance for further clarity.
Decreased Interest and Other Income
Interest and other income for the quarter totaled $3.2 million, down from $4.6 million in Q3 2024 due to lower rates and investments.
Company Guidance
During the REX American Resources Q3 2025 conference call, the company highlighted several key metrics and strategic initiatives. The net income per share was reported at $0.71, showing improved performance from $0.69 in Q3 2024. Ethanol sales volumes reached 78.4 million gallons, up from 75.5 million gallons in the previous year, although the average selling price decreased to $1.73 per gallon from $1.83. Gross profit stood at $36.1 million, reflecting a decline from $39.7 million in Q3 2024, primarily due to lower prices for ethanol and distiller grains. The company maintained a strong balance sheet with approximately $335 million in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments, despite investing $155.8 million in capital projects. Strategic focuses included the One Earth Energy facility expansion, anticipated to be completed in 2026, and the continued assessment of carbon intensity scores to potentially benefit from the 45Z tax credits. Additionally, the company emphasized strong export demand, with U.S. ethanol exports up 14% in the first eight months of 2025 compared to 2024.

Rex American Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rex American demonstrates strong financial health with impressive revenue growth and a solid balance sheet characterized by low leverage. While profitability margins have faced some pressure, the company shows resilience in cash flow generation. Continued focus on operational efficiency could enhance profitability further.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Rex American shows a strong revenue growth rate of 11.5% TTM, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin is healthy at 12.66%, though it has slightly decreased from the previous year. The net profit margin of 7.73% TTM is solid, reflecting good profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have declined compared to the previous year, suggesting some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04 TTM, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity is decent at 9.11% TTM, though it has decreased from the previous year. The equity ratio is robust, showing a strong capital structure with equity financing.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Rex American's cash flow statement shows a significant improvement in free cash flow growth at 56.09% TTM, indicating better cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.55 TTM suggests strong cash flow relative to earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is lower at 0.20, indicating room for improvement in converting earnings to free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue650.76M642.49M833.38M855.00M774.80M372.66M
Gross Profit82.36M91.48M98.22M48.60M97.56M13.68M
EBITDA42.74M86.04M91.88M49.08M92.67M25.37M
Net Income50.30M58.17M60.94M27.70M52.36M3.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets750.06M720.01M664.80M579.58M550.36M479.35M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments335.54M359.07M378.66M280.94M255.72M180.69M
Total Debt22.94M21.11M12.85M15.04M10.99M12.31M
Total Liabilities36.38M76.41M77.20M68.58M62.80M42.16M
Stockholders Equity566.92M560.34M513.92M447.98M430.79M384.78M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow17.59M-7.13M90.31M39.22M86.58M-1.79M
Operating Cash Flow89.13M64.19M127.97M54.80M91.71M8.62M
Investing Cash Flow-63.03M-72.86M28.40M-198.51M5.29M-20.79M
Financing Cash Flow-52.34M-18.47M-4.32M-17.01M-11.10M-22.45M

Rex American Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price33.00
Price Trends
50DMA
32.17
Positive
100DMA
30.46
Positive
200DMA
25.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.52
Negative
RSI
56.19
Neutral
STOCH
66.10
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For REX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.90, above the 50-day MA of 32.17, and above the 200-day MA of 25.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.52 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.10 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for REX.

Rex American Risk Analysis

Rex American disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rex American reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rex American Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.11B22.528.89%-3.10%-22.31%
73
Outperform
$738.65M14.8321.89%1.25%10.97%36.07%
62
Neutral
$1.02B22.853.67%3.44%5.35%-1.43%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
58
Neutral
$550.17M36.392.99%1.08%-9.62%-76.62%
53
Neutral
$720.70M-22.21%-12.07%-821.68%
51
Neutral
$574.27M-9.27%675.75%42.00%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
REX
Rex American
33.68
13.28
65.10%
GEVO
Gevo
2.29
0.74
47.74%
GPRE
Green Plains
9.74
-0.84
-7.94%
KOP
Koppers Holdings
28.01
-7.58
-21.30%
ODC
Oil-Dri Of America
53.59
20.01
59.59%
SCL
Stepan Company
45.16
-27.56
-37.90%

Rex American Corporate Events

Stock Split
Rex American Announces Two-for-One Stock Split
Neutral
Aug 27, 2025

On August 26, 2025, Rex American‘s Board of Directors approved a two-for-one stock split, executed as a 100% stock dividend. This decision will be effective on September 15, 2025, for shareholders recorded by September 8, 2025. The stock split will result in an additional 1,005,881 shares being available under the company’s existing stock plan, ensuring no dilution occurs due to the split.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Rex American Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting
Positive
Jun 5, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Rex American held its annual shareholders meeting, where key decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and financial oversight. Shareholders elected nine directors to the Board for a one-year term, approved executive compensation, and ratified the appointment of an independent registered public accounting firm, reflecting a strong endorsement of the current leadership and strategic direction.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 05, 2025