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Rani Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. Class A (RANI)
NASDAQ:RANI
US Market

Rani Therapeutics Holdings (RANI) AI Stock Analysis

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RANI

Rani Therapeutics Holdings

(NASDAQ:RANI)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(7.91% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (minimal revenue, very large losses, heavy cash burn, and negative equity). Technicals also lean bearish with price below key short-term averages and negative MACD. Corporate actions provide a modest offset via liability simplification, while valuation support is limited due to negative earnings and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
The collaboration with Chugai Pharmaceutical for the RaniPill platform could significantly enhance Rani's market position and validate its technology, potentially leading to substantial milestone payments and royalties, thus strengthening its business model.
Cash Runway Extension
With the cash runway extended into 2028, Rani has improved financial stability, allowing it to focus on R&D and strategic initiatives without immediate pressure to raise additional funds, supporting long-term growth and development.
Board Strengthening
The addition of experienced board members in life sciences and healthcare technology enhances Rani's governance and strategic oversight, potentially leading to better decision-making and execution of its growth strategy.
Negative Factors
Negative Equity
Negative equity indicates financial instability, limiting Rani's ability to leverage its balance sheet for growth opportunities and increasing the risk of dilution or refinancing, which could hinder long-term financial health.
Heavy Cash Burn
The significant cash burn reflects ongoing operational challenges and a need for continuous funding, which could strain resources and impact Rani's ability to sustain long-term R&D and commercialization efforts.
Minimal Revenue
Minimal revenue generation highlights the early-stage nature of Rani's business model, posing challenges in achieving profitability and necessitating reliance on external funding and partnerships for financial sustainability.

Rani Therapeutics Holdings (RANI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rani Therapeutics Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRani Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. operates as a clinical stage biotherapeutics company that develops orally administered biologics. The company develops the RaniPill capsule, a platform that is intended to replace subcutaneous or IV injection of biologics with oral dosing. Its product pipeline includes RT-101, an octreotide, which has completed Phase I clinical trial for the treatment of neuroendocrine tumors and acromegaly; RT-105, an anti-TNF-alpha antibody to treat psoriatic arthritis; RT-102, a parathyroid hormone that is in preclinical studies for the treatment of osteoporosis; RT-109, a human growth hormone to treat growth hormone deficiency; RT-110, a parathyroid hormone for the treatment of hypoparathyroidism; and RT-106, a basal insulin for the treatment of type 2 diabetes. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyRani Therapeutics Holdings generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its RaniPill technology. The company earns money by partnering with pharmaceutical companies to develop oral versions of existing injectable biologics. These partnerships often involve research and development collaborations, licensing agreements, and milestone payments. Rani may also receive royalties from the sale of drugs developed using its technology. Additionally, the company may engage in direct sales of its RaniPill technology or related products once they receive regulatory approval and enter the market.

Rani Therapeutics Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 31, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant advancements in Rani's technology and pipeline, particularly in the obesity treatment market, supported by strategic partnerships and successful preclinical data. However, financial challenges remain, as evidenced by decreased cash reserves and a substantial net loss for the year.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Advancements in RaniPill Technology
The RaniPill technology, designed for oral delivery of biologics, has shown success in preclinical and clinical trials, achieving high bioavailability for 19 molecules and completing three Phase 1 studies with no serious adverse events.
Progress in Obesity Treatment Pipeline
Rani made significant advancements in their obesity treatment pipeline, particularly with RT-114 and semaglutide programs, expecting the obesity market to reach $100 billion by 2030.
Successful Preclinical Data for RT-116
RT-116 demonstrated comparable pharmacokinetics and weight loss to subcutaneous administration with a relative bioavailability of 107% in preclinical studies.
RT-114 Preclinical Success
RT-114 showed higher Cmax and earlier Tmax than subcutaneous PG-102, with a relative bioavailability of 111% and equivalent weight loss in canine studies.
Strategic Partnership with ProGen
Rani entered a co-development agreement with ProGen for RT-114, combining ProGen's GLP-1/GLP-2 molecule with RaniPill technology.
Negative Updates
Decreased Financial Reserves
Cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities decreased from $48.5 million in 2023 to $27.6 million in 2024, with funding expected to last into Q3 2025.
Impairment Loss
Rani recorded an impairment loss of $3.7 million related to certain manufacturing property and equipment.
Net Loss for 2024
The net loss for 2024 was $56.6 million, including an impairment loss of $3.7 million and stock-based compensation expense of $16 million.
Company Guidance
During Rani Therapeutics' fourth quarter and full year 2024 earnings call, guidance was provided on the company's strategic focus and financial outlook. The company emphasized advancements in its RaniPill platform, highlighting its application in obesity and immunology spaces. Rani plans to further develop its RT-114 and semaglutide programs, with RT-114 moving into clinical trials by mid-2025. Financially, Rani reported a net loss of $56.6 million for the full year, an improvement from $67.9 million in 2023, partly due to cost containment measures. The company ended the year with $27.6 million in cash and expects this to fund operations into the third quarter of 2025. Additionally, Rani is exploring partnership opportunities to leverage its platform technology across multiple indications.

Rani Therapeutics Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rani Therapeutics Holdings shows weak financial performance with consistent net losses and no revenue. The balance sheet is under stress with high leverage, and cash flow issues persist, indicating significant operational and financial challenges.
Income Statement
Rani Therapeutics Holdings has consistently reported zero revenue over the past three years, indicating a lack of sales activity or product commercialization. The company has also faced persistent net losses, which have slightly improved from $63.34 million in 2022 to $30.02 million in 2024. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain negative, reflecting ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
The company's balance sheet shows a weak equity base with stockholders' equity consistently declining each year. The debt-to-equity ratio is high due to significant liabilities compared to equity, raising concerns over financial leverage. The equity ratio is low, indicating a heavy reliance on debt financing. These factors may pose financial risks if the company cannot achieve profitability or secure additional funding.
Cash Flow
Rani Therapeutics Holdings has consistently experienced negative operating and free cash flows, indicating cash burn issues. Despite some reduction in free cash flow deficits, the company still struggles to generate positive cash flow from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio remains negative, highlighting challenges in converting sales into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.20M1.03M0.000.002.72M462.00K
Gross Profit1.20M1.03M-822.00K0.002.72M462.00K
EBITDA-42.95M-50.52M-65.28M-61.66M-52.08M-15.96M
Net Income-28.32M-30.02M-33.97M-30.59M-8.33M-16.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.14M36.63M57.92M108.03M124.21M79.42M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.14M27.64M48.54M98.48M117.45M73.06M
Total Debt17.55M29.71M30.10M30.21M0.003.77M
Total Liabilities22.11M33.14M32.47M34.02M2.64M192.75M
Stockholders Equity-7.86M1.99M12.87M36.85M47.41M-113.34M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-27.78M-35.76M-52.47M-48.13M-32.75M-16.16M
Operating Cash Flow-27.66M-35.50M-51.24M-46.52M-32.24M-14.96M
Investing Cash Flow26.46M19.81M29.86M-72.44M-506.00K-1.20M
Financing Cash Flow1.07M13.59M233.00K29.00M77.15M72.68M

Rani Therapeutics Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.39
Price Trends
50DMA
1.65
Negative
100DMA
1.19
Positive
200DMA
0.97
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Negative
RSI
43.94
Neutral
STOCH
48.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RANI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.39 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.43, below the 50-day MA of 1.65, and above the 200-day MA of 0.97, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RANI.

Rani Therapeutics Holdings Risk Analysis

Rani Therapeutics Holdings disclosed 102 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rani Therapeutics Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rani Therapeutics Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
56
Neutral
$75.83M-1.56-390.53%61.23%
55
Neutral
$80.23M-11.57-44.80%92.89%
52
Neutral
$30.14M-1.17-45.91%44.59%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
46
Neutral
$107.87M-2.64-246.14%62.84%
43
Neutral
$18.97M-0.4662.61%
41
Neutral
$168.91M-1.7625.08%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RANI
Rani Therapeutics Holdings
1.39
0.14
11.20%
TENX
Tenax Therapeutics
13.12
6.88
110.26%
ITRM
Iterum Therapeutics
0.34
-1.46
-80.94%
ANVS
Annovis Bio
3.92
-0.97
-19.84%
PYPD
PolyPid
4.65
1.55
50.00%
ANTX
AN2 Therapeutics, Inc.
1.32
0.07
5.60%

Rani Therapeutics Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Rani Therapeutics finalizes governance and capital structure changes
Positive
Jan 2, 2026

On October 16, 2025, Rani Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. entered into a securities purchase agreement with certain investors that called for governance changes, including amendments to its organizational documents and the unwinding of select legacy arrangements, signaling a broader realignment of its capital and governance structure. As part of this process, on December 31, 2025, the company and InCube Labs, LLC agreed to terminate a Tax Receivable Agreement dating from August 3, 2021, mutually releasing each other from all obligations without any tax benefit or early termination payments, thereby removing a future liability from Rani’s balance sheet. In a related step, on November 24, 2025, the majority voting stockholder approved, by written consent, the issuance of Class A common shares upon exercise of warrants under the purchase agreement and the adoption of a restated charter, with these actions becoming effective on December 31, 2025, in compliance with Nasdaq rules and Delaware law, further consolidating the company’s governance and capital changes without the need for a stockholders’ meeting.

The most recent analyst rating on (RANI) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rani Therapeutics Holdings stock, see the RANI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Rani Therapeutics Completes Private Placement of Shares
Neutral
Oct 27, 2025

On October 22, 2025, Rani Therapeutics Holdings announced the resignation of board members Andrew Farquharson and Maulik Nanavaty, which was not due to any disagreements with the company. Subsequently, Abraham Bassan and Vasudev Bailey, Ph.D., were appointed to the board, with Bassan becoming chair of the Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee and Bailey chairing the Compensation Committee. Both appointees bring extensive experience in life sciences and healthcare technology. The company also reconstituted its board committees following these changes. On October 23, 2025, Rani Therapeutics completed a private placement of its Class A common stock and warrants, significantly increasing its outstanding shares and potentially impacting its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (RANI) stock is a Buy with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rani Therapeutics Holdings stock, see the RANI Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Rani Therapeutics Secures New Loan Agreement
Neutral
Oct 17, 2025

Rani Therapeutics Holdings has entered into a loan agreement, which is expected to impact its financial operations. The agreement may influence the company’s market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (RANI) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rani Therapeutics Holdings stock, see the RANI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026