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Privia Health Group (PRVA)
NASDAQ:PRVA
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Privia Health Group (PRVA) AI Stock Analysis

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PRVA

Privia Health Group

(NASDAQ:PRVA)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$24.50
▲(9.52% Upside)
Privia Health Group's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights. However, the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, and technical indicators imply caution due to overbought conditions.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its market presence and effectively monetize its services, which is crucial for long-term sustainability.
Financial Flexibility
A strong cash position and no debt provide Privia Health with the financial flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic uncertainties.
Value-Based Care Success
Success in value-based care arrangements underscores the effectiveness of Privia's model, enhancing its competitive position and potential for future growth.
Negative Factors
EBIT Margin Fluctuations
Fluctuating EBIT margins may signal challenges in maintaining cost efficiency, potentially impacting long-term profitability if not addressed.
Existing Market Challenges
Challenges in existing markets could hinder sustained growth, necessitating strategic adjustments to maintain momentum and capitalize on new opportunities.
Free Cash Flow Volatility
Volatility in free cash flow growth can affect the company's ability to fund operations and investments, posing risks to financial stability over time.

Privia Health Group (PRVA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Privia Health Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPrivia Health Group, Inc. operates as a national physician-enablement company in the United States. The company collaborates with medical groups, health plans, and health systems to optimize physician practices, enhance patient experiences, and reward doctors for delivering care in-person and virtual settings. It offers technology and population health tools to enhance independent providers' workflows; management services organization that enable providers to focus on their patients by reducing administrative work; single-TIN medical group that facilitates payer negotiation, clinical integration and alignment of financial incentives; accountable care organization, which engage patients, reduce inappropriate utilization, and enhance coordination and patient quality metrics to drive value-based care; and network for purchasers and payers that enable providers to connect with new patient populations and create custom contracts. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia. Privia Health Group, Inc. was a former subsidiary of Brighton Health Group Holdings, LLC.
How the Company Makes MoneyPrivia Health Group primarily generates revenue through a mix of management services agreements and shared savings from value-based care arrangements. The company partners with independent physician practices, providing them with a suite of services such as practice management, billing, and technology solutions in exchange for a percentage of practice revenue. Additionally, Privia Health engages in value-based care contracts with payers, earning performance-based incentives when they achieve specific healthcare quality and cost-efficiency metrics. These value-based arrangements often involve shared savings mechanisms, where Privia Health and its partners share in the cost savings achieved through improved care coordination and patient outcomes. Key factors contributing to Privia Health's earnings include its ability to scale its platform, expand its network of affiliated physicians, and effectively manage patient populations to generate shared savings.

Privia Health Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Privia Health reported strong growth in provider signings, attributed lives, and financial performance, exceeding expectations and raising guidance for 2025. The company maintains a solid cash position and financial flexibility, with positive contributions from shared savings. However, the guidance for the second half is cautious due to market uncertainties, and there are challenges in maintaining growth in existing markets.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong New Provider Signings and Growth
Implemented Provider growth of 13.8% and value-based lives attribution growth of 15.2% year-over-year helped drive total Practice Collections growth of 18.5% in the second quarter.
Financial Performance Exceeds Expectations
Adjusted EBITDA increased 31.6%, with EBITDA margin as a percentage of Care Margin expanding 310 basis points. The company raised its 2025 outlook to above the high end of initial guidance ranges for several key metrics.
Cash Position and Financial Flexibility
Ended the second quarter with more than $390 million in cash and no debt. Expecting to end the year with more than $450 million in cash, providing significant financial flexibility.
Broad-Based Market Growth
The company serves 1.38 million attributed lives across over 100 commercial and government value-based care programs, with new provider growth and entry into Arizona contributing to a 15.2% increase in total attributed lives.
Positive Shared Savings Contribution
Shared savings revenue came in better than expectations, contributing positively to care margin and EBITDA.
Negative Updates
Prudent Guidance for Second Half
Guidance reflects a prudent approach due to uncertainties in shared savings true-ups and utilization trends, leading to a conservative outlook for the second half compared to the first.
Existing Market Challenges
Facing challenges in maintaining growth momentum in existing markets, although continued expansion and late adopters provide opportunities.
Company Guidance
During the Privia Health Second Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company provided a robust guidance update for the remainder of 2025, citing strong financial and operational performance. Key metrics included a 13.8% year-over-year growth in Implemented Providers and a 15.2% increase in value-based lives attribution, driving a total Practice Collections growth of 18.5% for the quarter. Adjusted EBITDA saw a notable 31.6% rise, with an EBITDA margin expansion of 310 basis points. Consequently, Privia Health raised its full-year 2025 outlook to exceed the high end of initial guidance for Practice Collections, GAAP revenue, platform contribution, and adjusted EBITDA. The company anticipates ending the year with over $450 million in cash, reflecting its strong balance sheet and ongoing strategic investments.

Privia Health Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Privia Health Group demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue growth, efficient cost management, and a robust equity base. However, fluctuations in EBIT margins and free cash flow growth warrant attention.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Privia Health Group has shown impressive revenue growth over the years, with the latest figure reaching $1.74 billion, a significant increase from previous years. The gross profit margin is robust, indicating efficient cost management. Despite a slight decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins in the latest year, the company maintains a positive net profit margin, showcasing profitability. However, the fluctuation in EBIT margins could be a point of concern.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company exhibits a strong equity base, with a healthy debt-to-equity ratio indicating low leverage, which is favorable for stability. The return on equity has improved over the years, reflecting effective utilization of shareholder funds. A high equity ratio further underscores financial robustness, though continuous monitoring of debt levels is advised.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Privia Health Group has demonstrated consistent growth in operating cash flow, which is a positive indicator of cash-generating efficiency. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting effective conversion of earnings into cash. However, the free cash flow growth rate has experienced some volatility, signaling potential fluctuations in cash availability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.90B1.74B1.66B1.36B966.22M817.08M
Gross Profit186.74M176.85M161.50M134.78M63.66M82.58M
EBITDA30.14M24.25M27.18M-14.55M-214.97M27.22M
Net Income14.84M14.38M23.08M-12.06M-190.65M31.24M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.27B1.14B999.90M792.81M686.37M328.97M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments390.13M491.15M389.51M347.99M320.58M84.63M
Total Debt6.64M5.59M8.29M11.50M46.50M33.66M
Total Liabilities539.00M452.34M392.51M273.76M236.19M185.32M
Stockholders Equity682.86M635.18M561.44M499.09M426.87M146.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow96.87M109.28M80.67M47.09M54.51M38.51M
Operating Cash Flow91.86M109.28M80.78M47.20M55.06M38.89M
Investing Cash Flow-96.32M-11.98M-42.97M-104.00K-32.77M-380.00K
Financing Cash Flow7.24M4.33M3.71M-19.68M213.66M-767.00K

Privia Health Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price22.37
Price Trends
50DMA
21.18
Positive
100DMA
22.08
Positive
200DMA
22.39
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.33
Positive
RSI
52.58
Neutral
STOCH
20.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRVA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 22.37 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.57, above the 50-day MA of 21.18, and below the 200-day MA of 22.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PRVA.

Privia Health Group Risk Analysis

Privia Health Group disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Privia Health Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Privia Health Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
4.84B92.393.76%20.60%0.00%
75
Outperform
$2.75B191.362.32%12.05%-2.46%
66
Neutral
1.44B63.531.83%6.39%0.00%
66
Neutral
1.43B-57.62-8.07%15.31%77.02%
61
Neutral
2.13B119.821.32%3.26%-24.79%-78.38%
51
Neutral
984.72M-5.22-18.04%-6.71%-71.40%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRVA
Privia Health Group
22.37
3.62
19.31%
HSTM
HealthStream
29.00
0.45
1.58%
PINC
Premier
25.75
6.60
34.46%
EVH
Evolent Health
8.38
-22.66
-73.00%
TDOC
Teladoc
7.95
-0.80
-9.14%
DH
Definitive Healthcare Corp
4.21
-0.29
-6.44%

Privia Health Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Privia Health Group Announces Significant Medicare Savings
Positive
Aug 29, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Privia Health Group announced its Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs) achieved $233.1 million in shared savings through the Medicare Shared Savings Program for 2024, marking a 32% increase from the previous year. This performance underscores the effectiveness of Privia’s physician-led approach and data-driven tools, benefiting nearly 195,000 Medicare beneficiaries. The company also increased its Adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2025 to $113-$116 million, reflecting its strong operational performance and strategic positioning in the healthcare industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2025