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Alpine Income Property Trust Inc (PINE)
NYSE:PINE
US Market

Alpine Income Property Trust Inc (PINE) AI Stock Analysis

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PINE

Alpine Income Property Trust Inc

(NYSE:PINE)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$20.00
▲(2.51% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance (revenue and operating cash flow strength but a recent net loss and volatile free cash flow), partially offset by constructive technical momentum and a favorable dividend yield. Earnings call commentary is supportive due to AFFO/FFO growth and 2026 guidance, but tempered by slower expected deployment and loan concentration/variability risks.
Positive Factors
High-quality portfolio & occupancy
A large, well-leased portfolio with long WALT and near-full occupancy materially reduces cash-flow rollover risk and vacancy-driven revenue swings. High exposure to investment-grade tenants stabilizes rent collection and underpins predictable rental income and long-term dividend coverage.
Stronger liquidity and capital structure
A refreshed unsecured credit package and extended maturities materially lower near-term refinancing risk and enhance flexibility for portfolio recycling and opportunistic acquisitions. Improved liquidity supports disciplined deployment while preserving the ability to fund dividends and loan platform growth.
FFO/AFFO growth and operating cash flow
Sustained FFO/AFFO growth reflects improving cash generation from core real-estate operations, which is the key metric for REITs. Combined with consistently positive operating cash flow across recent years, this supports a durable dividend profile and funds reinvestment without reliance on recurring capital raises.
Negative Factors
Net loss and earnings volatility
A full-year net loss and uneven margins indicate earnings quality risks: recurring operating cash can mask GAAP volatility, but persistent negative net income or swings make long-term dividend coverage and return on equity less predictable, raising the bar for sustained payout and growth.
Loan concentration and credit risk
Rapid expansion of a high-yield loan platform increases yield but concentrates credit risk in larger structured loans and creates sensitivity to borrower performance and early repayments. Concentration can produce volatile interest income and loss exposure, stressing underwriting and liquidity if stressed.
Slower 2026 deployment limits growth
A planned pullback in acquisition volume reduces near-term growth in rental and loan income. If the company maintains a conservative deployment cadence, organic FFO/AFFO growth may slow, limiting the pace of portfolio rebalancing and earnings accretion from high-yield opportunities.

Alpine Income Property Trust Inc (PINE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Alpine Income Property Trust Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (NYSE: PINE) is a publicly traded real estate investment trust that acquires, owns and operates a portfolio of high-quality single-tenant net leased commercial income properties.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlpine Income Property Trust Inc generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of net-leased properties. The company leases its properties to a variety of tenants under long-term agreements, which provides a stable and predictable cash flow. Key revenue streams include base rent collected from tenants, as well as any additional income from percentage rents or common area maintenance charges. PINE's emphasis on acquiring properties leased to creditworthy tenants minimizes risk and enhances sustainability of its income. The company's revenue model is further bolstered by its strategic focus on locations with strong demographic trends and favorable market conditions. Additionally, partnerships with property management firms and real estate brokers aid in property acquisition and management, contributing to its overall earnings potential.

Alpine Income Property Trust Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 05, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized multiple clear operational and financial achievements: record annual investment activity, strong AFFO/FFO growth, rapid expansion of a high-yield commercial loan platform, improved liquidity and a refreshed debt package, and a dividend increase. The company also signaled a more conservative deployment cadence for 2026, disclosed some one-time items affecting Q4 comparability, and continues to manage concentration and remaining noncore tenant exposure. Overall, positives (record investments, double-digit loan yields, improved leverage and liquidity, strong occupancy and AFFO growth) notably outweigh the cautions around 2026 pacing, one-time Q4 items, and loan concentration management.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong AFFO and FFO Growth
Q4 FFO and AFFO per diluted common share were $0.54, a 22.7% increase vs. prior-year quarter; full-year FFO and AFFO were $1.88 and $1.89 per diluted share, representing ~8.6% growth year-over-year.
Record Annual Investment Activity
Completed $142.1M of investments in Q4 and a record $277.7M for full-year 2025 at a weighted average initial yield of 11.7% (Q4) and 10.3% (full year).
Balanced Acquisition Program
Q4 acquisitions: 8 properties for ~ $40M at a weighted avg initial cash cap rate of 6.9%; full-year acquisitions: 13 properties for $100.6M at a weighted avg initial cap rate of 7.4% (barbell approach including investment-grade tenants and higher-yield assets).
Active Portfolio Recycling and Dispositions
Q4 sold 9 noncore properties for $38.4M at a weighted avg exit cap rate of 7.7%; full-year dispositions $72.8M (including $67.4M income-producing properties at a weighted avg exit cap rate of 8.0% and $5.3M vacant properties).
Rapid Growth of Commercial Loan Platform
Net commercial loan portfolio grew to ~$129.8M at year-end from $48M at start of year; full-year loan originations were $177M at a weighted avg initial coupon of ~12% (including PIK); Q4 commitments totaled $102.3M at a weighted avg initial coupon of 13.5%.
Improved Liquidity and Debt Profile
Closed new unsecured credit package ( $250M revolver, $100M 3-year term loan, $100M 5-year term loan), resulting in no debt maturities for 3 years and 10–15 bps improved pricing; net debt to pro forma adjusted EBITDA improved to 6.7x from 7.4x year-start.
Capital Raising and Dividend Increase
Issued $50M Series A preferred at 8% (net proceeds $48.1M) and raised ~$18.3M via ATM programs; Board increased quarterly common dividend by 5.3% to $0.30 per share (AFFO payout ratio ~56% on Q4 AFFO).
Portfolio Quality and Occupancy
Year-end portfolio: 127 properties, 4.3M sq ft across 32 states, WALT 8.4 years, 99.5% occupancy; 51% of ABR from investment-grade tenants and top tenants (Lowe's, Dick's Sporting Goods, Walmart) represent 29% of ABR.
Negative Updates
2026 Investment/Disposition Guidance Decline vs. 2025
2026 guidance assumes $70M–$100M of investment volume and $30M–$60M of dispositions, materially lower than 2025's $277.7M of completed investments, reflecting a conservative cadence and/or more cautious deployment expectations.
Q4 Results Partially Driven by One-Time Items
Management noted ~ $300k of nonrecurring items in Q4 (management fees and early loan prepayments); management estimated a Q4 run-rate adjustment from $0.54 down to roughly $0.50–$0.51 per share excluding those items.
Reduced, But Remaining, Exposure to Weaker Tenants
Walgreens exposure has materially declined (now 4% of ABR and 9th largest tenant with 5 locations) but additional sales remain in progress, indicating continued execution risk to fully exit less-favored tenants.
Concentration and Management of Large Loan Exposures
Company sold a $10M senior interest to reduce concentration in a large Austin residential loan and indicated potential future sales of senior participations to manage diversification, highlighting concentration risk in large structured loans.
Dependence on Loan Interest and PIK Reporting
A meaningful portion of growth and yield came from the commercial loan program (including PIK interest); some loans repaid early (two loans totaling $7.2M repaid in Jan 2026), which can cause quarter-to-quarter variability in interest income.
Company Guidance
Alpine's 2026 guidance calls for FFO of $2.07–$2.11 and AFFO of $2.09–$2.13 per diluted common share, based on planned investment volume of $70–$100 million and disposition volume of $30–$60 million (with dispositions expected to close earlier than acquisitions); the company reiterated a target commercial loan allocation of ~20% of total undepreciated assets (roughly $155–$160M on year‑end $770M assets), noting year‑end loan holdings of ~$129.8M and a remaining runway of about $25–$30M. Management cautioned that fees from third‑party asset sales ($221k in Q4, $525k for FY2025) will not be a meaningful revenue source in 2026, confirmed the board raised the quarterly common dividend 5.3% to $0.30 (implying a ~56% AFFO payout ratio on Q4 2025 AFFO), and said recent capital actions (Series A preferred $50M offering with ~$48.1M net, $18.3M raised via ATMs), liquidity of ~$65.8M (cash $25.3M + revolver $40.6M) with total potential liquidity ~$97.3M, and net debt / pro forma adjusted EBITDA of 6.7x support the outlook.

Alpine Income Property Trust Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Steady revenue growth and consistently positive operating cash flow support operations, and the reported move to zero debt in 2025 strengthens flexibility. Offsetting this, earnings quality is a concern with a 2025 net loss and meaningful volatility in margins and free cash flow.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Revenue has grown steadily over time (up ~5% in 2025 and positive in most prior years), and gross profit remains strong. However, profitability has weakened recently: net income turned negative in 2025 after modest profits in 2023–2024, and margins have been volatile (including an unusually elevated profit year in 2022 that did not persist). Overall, top-line momentum is a plus, but consistency of earnings is a key concern.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Leverage improved materially in 2025 with total debt reported at zero versus meaningful debt in prior years (roughly 1.0–1.4x debt relative to equity from 2021–2024), which strengthens financial flexibility on paper. Equity and assets have also grown over time. The main caution is that prior-year leverage was moderate-to-high for a REIT and profitability (return on equity) has generally been low outside of 2022, suggesting balance-sheet strength depends on stable operating performance.
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
Operating cash flow is fairly stable and positive across the period (about $25–26M in 2022–2025), which supports ongoing operations. Free cash flow, however, has been highly volatile—deeply negative in 2022 and 2023, then positive in 2024–2025, with a sharp decline in 2025 growth versus 2024—indicating uneven cash generation after investment spending. Cash flow reliability is therefore mixed despite steady operating inflows.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue60.53M52.23M45.64M45.19M30.13M
Gross Profit52.58M40.19M38.76M35.93M23.27M
EBITDA40.52M39.14M38.48M66.46M30.74M
Net Income-3.21M2.07M2.92M29.72M9.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets715.87M605.00M564.56M573.43M505.51M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.59M1.58M14.98M9.02M8.85M
Total Debt0.00309.47M282.04M273.82M273.22M
Total Liabilities414.62M328.50M288.95M278.06M277.61M
Stockholders Equity301.26M253.03M250.74M261.62M196.52M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow25.75M25.61M-58.89M-164.50M17.20M
Operating Cash Flow25.75M25.61M25.57M24.65M17.20M
Investing Cash Flow-103.86M-57.84M-13.58M-38.78M-195.99M
Financing Cash Flow109.16M26.46M-11.30M17.67M186.40M

Alpine Income Property Trust Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.51
Price Trends
50DMA
17.25
Positive
100DMA
15.86
Positive
200DMA
15.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.52
Negative
RSI
74.87
Negative
STOCH
89.10
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PINE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.83, above the 50-day MA of 17.25, and above the 200-day MA of 15.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.52 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.87 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.10 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PINE.

Alpine Income Property Trust Inc Risk Analysis

Alpine Income Property Trust Inc disclosed 101 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alpine Income Property Trust Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Alpine Income Property Trust Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.12B9.2037.88%6.79%5.74%294.33%
68
Neutral
$847.60M29.8011.88%7.89%5.75%-37.69%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
$299.51M-86.94-1.00%7.01%14.81%-245.25%
55
Neutral
$343.10M11.742.46%-69.63%-95.99%
46
Neutral
$172.92M-2.22-19.72%-17.76%44.68%
45
Neutral
$1.76M116.25%-1.01%504.95%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PINE
Alpine Income Property Trust Inc
19.53
4.17
27.15%
SITC
SITE Centers
6.49
-0.98
-13.12%
BFS
Saul Centers
34.23
-0.40
-1.17%
WHLR
Wheeler Real Estate Investment
2.05
-4,617.95
-99.96%
SRG
Seritage
3.04
-0.53
-14.85%
CBL
CBL & Associates Properties
35.33
6.05
20.66%

Alpine Income Property Trust Inc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Alpine Income Property Trust Posts Strong Q4 2025 Results
Positive
Feb 5, 2026

On February 5, 2026, Alpine Income Property Trust reported its operating and financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025, highlighting record annual investment activity of $277.7 million and dispositions of $82.8 million that reshaped its portfolio. Total revenues rose to $16.9 million for the quarter and $60.5 million for the year, while net income attributable to common shareholders swung to a profit of $1.5 million in the fourth quarter but registered a full-year loss of $2.7 million; nevertheless, funds from operations and adjusted funds from operations grew, with AFFO per diluted share up 22.7% in the fourth quarter and 8.6% for the full year versus 2024, supporting a 5.3% increase in the quarterly common dividend and an outlook for further growth in 2026. Management underscored that the combination of high-yield commercial loan originations, property acquisitions at double-digit initial yields, and selective asset sales at lower exit yields is intended to enhance the portfolio’s income profile and growth trajectory for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (PINE) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alpine Income Property Trust Inc stock, see the PINE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Alpine Income Property Trust Expands Preferred Stock Offering
Neutral
Dec 5, 2025

On December 5, 2025, Alpine Income Property Trust Inc. filed Articles Supplementary to classify and designate additional shares of Series A Preferred Stock, increasing the total authorized shares to 3,758,334. This move aligns with the company’s strategic financial maneuvers to enhance its capital structure. Concurrently, the company entered into equity distribution agreements with multiple sales agents to issue and sell Series A Preferred Stock worth up to $35 million. This offering is structured as ‘at the market’ transactions, potentially impacting the company’s market presence and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (PINE) stock is a Buy with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alpine Income Property Trust Inc stock, see the PINE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Alpine Income Property Trust Announces Preferred Stock Offering
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Alpine Income Property Trust Inc announced an offering of 2,000,000 shares of its 8.00% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock at $25.00 per share, with an additional option for underwriters to purchase up to 300,000 more shares. The company plans to use the net proceeds from this offering to acquire preferred units in its operating partnership, mirroring the terms of the preferred stock. Additionally, the management fee for the incremental equity base from this issuance will be partially waived, reducing the fee from 1.50% to 0.75% per annum. This strategic financial move aims to strengthen the company’s capital structure and enhance its market positioning by offering attractive returns to investors while maintaining its REIT status.

The most recent analyst rating on (PINE) stock is a Hold with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alpine Income Property Trust Inc stock, see the PINE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 06, 2026