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Penguin Solutions (PENG)
NASDAQ:PENG
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Penguin Solutions (PENG) AI Stock Analysis

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PENG

Penguin Solutions

(NASDAQ:PENG)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$23.50
▲(11.06% Upside)
Penguin Solutions' overall stock score reflects moderate financial performance with room for improvement in profitability and operational efficiency. The technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, while the valuation suggests overvaluation. However, strong earnings growth and strategic advancements provide a positive outlook, despite future challenges.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The 17% revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, enhancing long-term financial health and market position.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships with leading tech companies enhance product offerings and market reach, providing a competitive edge and supporting sustainable growth.
Cash Generation
Strong cash generation relative to net income ensures financial flexibility, supporting investments in growth initiatives and operational stability.
Negative Factors
Penguin Edge Business Wind Down
The wind-down of Penguin Edge reduces revenue streams, potentially impacting overall growth and necessitating strategic adjustments to offset losses.
No Hardware Sales to Hyperscale Customers
Lack of sales to hyperscale customers limits market opportunities, affecting revenue potential and requiring diversification to mitigate impact.
Profitability Concerns
Low return on equity indicates challenges in generating profits from shareholder investments, potentially hindering long-term financial performance.

Penguin Solutions (PENG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Penguin Solutions Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPenguin Solutions (PENG) is a technology company specializing in high-performance computing and data solutions. It operates primarily in the sectors of artificial intelligence, machine learning, and data analytics, providing a range of products and services that include advanced computing hardware, software solutions, and consulting services. The company is known for its innovative approaches to optimizing data workflows and enhancing computational capabilities for various industries, including finance, healthcare, and research.
How the Company Makes MoneyPenguin Solutions generates revenue through multiple streams. Its primary revenue model is based on the sale of high-performance computing hardware, which includes servers and specialized processors designed for data-intensive applications. Additionally, the company offers software solutions that facilitate data analysis and machine learning, contributing to its earnings through licensing fees and subscriptions. Consulting services also represent a significant revenue stream, where PENG collaborates with clients to optimize their data strategies and implement tailored solutions. Moreover, strategic partnerships with technology providers and research institutions further enhance its market reach and lead to joint ventures that can boost revenue through collaborative projects.

Penguin Solutions Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 07, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Penguin Solutions delivered strong results for fiscal year 2025, showcasing significant growth and strategic partnerships. However, challenges remain with the wind down of Penguin Edge and lack of hardware sales to hyperscale customers impacting future outlook.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Fiscal Year 2025 Growth
Penguin Solutions achieved 17% top line growth, a 190 basis point expansion in non-GAAP operating margin, and a 53% increase in non-GAAP diluted EPS for fiscal year 2025.
Advanced Computing Success
Advanced computing revenue reached $648 million, reflecting 17% year-over-year growth. The HPC AI revenue from non-hyperscalers increased 75% year-over-year.
Strategic Partnerships and Leadership
Developed partnerships with NVIDIA, CDW, Insight, and Dell; rebranded the company as Penguin Solutions; and strengthened the leadership team with new appointments.
Significant International Deployment
Deployed one of South Korea's largest GPU as a service systems for SK Telecom, supporting the country's sovereign AI initiative.
Negative Updates
Penguin Edge Business Wind Down
The company is winding down the Penguin Edge business, which will cease by end of the calendar year, impacting future revenue.
No Hardware Sales to Hyperscale Customers
Penguin Solutions has assumed zero hardware sales to hyperscale customers for FY 2026, impacting the revenue forecast negatively.
LED Segment Challenges
Full year revenue for the LED segment was $256 million, which was flat year-over-year, reflecting secular and macroeconomic headwinds.
Company Guidance
During the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025, Penguin Solutions demonstrated significant financial growth and strategic advancements. The company achieved a 17% increase in revenue year-over-year, reaching $1.37 billion, and a 53% rise in non-GAAP diluted EPS to $1.90. The fourth quarter alone saw a 9% year-over-year revenue growth to $338 million, with a non-GAAP gross margin of 30.9%. Non-GAAP operating income for Q4 increased by 16% year-over-year to $39 million, resulting in an 11.6% non-GAAP operating margin. Key accomplishments included expanding their customer base, executing strategic partnerships, and conducting international AI infrastructure implementations. Looking ahead to fiscal 2026, Penguin Solutions projects a 6% revenue growth, with an emphasis on diversifying their customer mix and expanding their AI infrastructure deployments, despite anticipated headwinds from the wind-down of the Penguin Edge business and reduced hyperscale hardware sales.

Penguin Solutions Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Penguin Solutions demonstrates moderate financial health with improvements in revenue growth and profitability margins. The balance sheet shows reduced leverage, but profitability relative to equity remains a concern. Cash flow metrics indicate strong cash generation, though conversion of income to cash needs attention. Overall, the company is on a positive trajectory but must focus on enhancing operational efficiency and profitability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Penguin Solutions shows a modest revenue growth of 1.995% in the TTM, with a gross profit margin of 28.81% and a net profit margin of 1.85%. The EBIT margin is 4.25%, and the EBITDA margin is 7.46%. While profitability metrics have improved from previous periods, the overall margins remain relatively low, indicating room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 1.28 from previous years, indicating a reduction in leverage. However, the return on equity is low at 5.12%, suggesting limited profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 36.85%, reflecting a moderate level of financial stability.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating challenges in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.21, suggesting effective cash generation relative to net income. Despite a decline in free cash flow growth, the company maintains a solid cash flow position.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.37B1.37B1.17B1.44B1.40B1.06B
Gross Profit394.35M394.27M342.91M415.17M391.05M237.97M
EBITDA102.15M102.15M62.93M68.54M113.49M19.81M
Net Income25.39M21.58M-52.47M-187.53M66.56M21.31M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.62B1.62B1.47B1.51B1.57B1.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments453.75M453.75M389.48M390.81M313.33M222.99M
Total Debt524.57M524.57M725.88M856.85M651.14M398.26M
Total Liabilities1.01B1.01B1.08B1.28B1.19B1.03B
Stockholders Equity595.96M595.96M391.38M222.47M371.61M310.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow113.18M113.18M57.76M64.97M84.57M136.68M
Operating Cash Flow113.18M113.18M77.19M104.39M104.93M153.35M
Investing Cash Flow24.97M24.97M107.58M-298.57M-38.97M-84.18M
Financing Cash Flow0.000.00-210.10M236.42M73.88M2.85M

Penguin Solutions Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price21.16
Price Trends
50DMA
25.01
Negative
100DMA
23.09
Negative
200DMA
20.94
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Positive
RSI
30.35
Neutral
STOCH
6.98
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PENG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.31, below the 50-day MA of 25.01, and above the 200-day MA of 20.94, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.98 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PENG.

Penguin Solutions Risk Analysis

Penguin Solutions disclosed 72 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Penguin Solutions reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Penguin Solutions Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$1.69B33.8313.40%0.20%6.08%-23.58%
70
Neutral
$778.04M53.525.15%0.26%-8.69%-27.10%
69
Neutral
$1.29B34.303.49%1.89%-5.95%-43.46%
68
Neutral
$953.62M4,354.554.36%-7.67%7.66%
62
Neutral
$1.52B72.21-5.25%-7.61%-212.91%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
$1.11B73,882.684.91%16.91%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PENG
Penguin Solutions
21.16
0.31
1.49%
ALNT
Allient
45.91
27.59
150.60%
BELFB
Bel Fuse Inc
137.73
53.23
62.99%
BHE
Benchmark Electronics
35.97
-7.60
-17.44%
DAKT
Daktronics
19.16
5.65
41.82%
ROG
Rogers
81.57
-23.54
-22.40%

Penguin Solutions Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Penguin Solutions Announces Leadership Changes for Growth
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

On July 28, 2025, Penguin Solutions announced the departure of Pete Manca and the appointment of Tony Frey and Ted Gillick to senior leadership roles as part of a strategic realignment. This move is intended to accelerate growth and support innovation, positioning the company as a leader in AI infrastructure solutions.

Private Placements and Financing
Penguin Solutions Secures $400M Credit Facility
Positive
Jun 26, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Penguin Solutions, Inc. completed a refinancing of its credit facilities by establishing a $400 million revolving credit facility, which includes a $35 million letter of credit subfacility. This move, led by JPMorgan Chase Bank and other financial institutions, replaces the existing credit facilities and reduces the company’s funded debt by $200 million. The new credit facility, maturing in 2030, aims to reduce leverage, extend debt maturity, and offer financial flexibility, ultimately decreasing debt service costs.

Delistings and Listing ChangesShareholder Meetings
Penguin Solutions Approves Redomiciling to United States
Positive
Jun 17, 2025

Penguin Solutions, Inc. held a Scheme Meeting on June 16, 2025, to vote on a Scheme of Arrangement for redomiciling the company from the Cayman Islands to the United States. The proposal was approved by 92.25% of the shares voted, surpassing the required 75% threshold, with 73.35% of outstanding shares participating.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 09, 2025