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Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc. (PDCC)
NYSE:PDCC
US Market

Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc. (PDCC) AI Stock Analysis

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PDCC

Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc.

(NYSE:PDCC)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$11.00
▲(13.99% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/13/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed fundamentals: a strong, low-leverage balance sheet offsets volatile operating profitability and inconsistent cash flow. Valuation metrics are exceptionally cheap with a very high dividend yield, but technicals are notably weak, with the stock in a clear downtrend and deeply bearish momentum.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / strong balance sheet
Consistently minimal leverage and sizable equity (~$132M in 2025) provide durable financial flexibility for an asset manager. This lowers refinancing risk, supports dividend capacity and opportunistic buying, and cushions portfolio drawdowns over a 2–6 month horizon.
Regular NAV transparency
Frequent NAV disclosure gives investors a clear, structural view of underlying portfolio value and performance. For a closed-end credit investor, regular NAV updates improve price discovery and governance, aiding longer-term capital allocation and investor confidence.
Strong 2025 revenue and high net margins
Material revenue growth and sustained high net margins indicate the business can generate meaningful profit when market conditions and realization events align. This underpins long-term distributable earnings potential and supports reinvestment or shareholder distributions.
Negative Factors
Volatile operating profitability
Large swings between operating profit and loss show earnings rely on non-operating items or one-offs, reducing predictability of core performance. For investors this raises risk that future net income may not translate into repeatable cash available for dividends or reinvestment.
Inconsistent cash generation
Wide year-to-year swings in operating and free cash flow make capital planning and dividend coverage uncertain. Structural instability in cash conversion can constrain sustainable distributions and limit ability to fund buybacks or opportunistic investments reliably.
Shrinking/variable asset base
A material decline in assets under management or asset base can reduce fee income and amplify NAV volatility. Persistent or recurrent reductions signal portfolio repositioning or realizations that may impair long-term revenue stability and make performance harder to forecast.

Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc. (PDCC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPearl Diver Credit Co., Inc. operates as an investment company. It focuses on the investing in collateralized loan obligations securities. The company was founded on April 12, 2023 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet with very low leverage and sizable equity supports resilience, but earnings quality and cash conversion are unstable. 2025 revenue and net margin improved sharply, yet operating profitability turned deeply negative and cash flows have swung materially year to year, making results less predictable.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Revenue expanded sharply in 2025 (annual revenue growth of ~135% vs. 2024), and net margins remained strong (net profit margin ~43% in 2025 vs. ~39% in 2024). However, profitability quality looks volatile: operating results swung from strong positive operating profit in 2024 to deeply negative in 2025 (EBITDA/EBIT turned materially negative), despite still reporting positive net income. This divergence suggests elevated non-operating gains and/or one-off items, making earnings less predictable.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively positioned with low leverage: debt is modest relative to equity (debt-to-equity ~0.05 in 2024; essentially near-zero in 2023 and shown near-zero in 2025). Equity remains sizable (~$132M in 2025), supporting financial flexibility. The main watch-out is variability in returns and asset base (assets fell from ~179M in 2024 to ~141M in 2025), which can reflect valuation swings or portfolio/strategy changes typical in asset management.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash generation is inconsistent. 2025 produced strong operating and free cash flow (~$27.8M), a sharp improvement from 2024 when operating and free cash flow were meaningfully negative (~-$9.7M). That said, the year-to-year swing (free cash flow growth deeply negative per the provided metric) highlights volatility, and the business has not shown a stable pattern of converting earnings into steady cash across periods.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.50M22.27M17.49M2.24M
Gross Profit0.0017.56M17.42M2.24M
EBITDA6.82M-15.99M15.15M8.40M
Net Income6.77M-19.33M6.77M8.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets179.07M141.35M179.07M96.46M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.93M1.03M188.06K19.49M
Total Debt6.64M6.93M6.64M0.00
Total Liabilities43.86M9.21M43.86M18.76K
Stockholders Equity164.21M132.13M135.22M96.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-19.54M27.81M-9.71M2.17M
Operating Cash Flow-19.54M27.81M-9.71M2.17M
Investing Cash Flow-136.97M-44.26M-152.72M-70.75M
Financing Cash Flow162.62M-12.45M162.62M88.06M

Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
1.9212.77%18.86%
51
Neutral
$6.90M-1.17-25.88%1.07%66.65%-1497.99%
50
Neutral
$58.29M-37.85-2.51%0.20%261.58%-329.41%
46
Neutral
$8.70M-0.28-1438.14%-62.09%-99.89%
40
Underperform
$8.04M-0.33-925.11%
34
Underperform
$12.27M>-0.01-109.09%60.78%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PDCC
Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc.
9.65
-6.42
-39.96%
BTTC
Black Titan
1.35
-2.30
-63.01%
ATON
AlphaTON Capital
0.34
-4.01
-92.11%
RMCO
Royalty Management Holding
3.85
2.81
270.19%
CWD
CaliberCos, Inc. Class A
1.26
-11.74
-90.31%
MLCI
Mount Logan Capital Inc
4.70
-3.27
-41.03%

Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc. Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Pearl Diver Reports January 31, 2026 NAV Update
Neutral
Feb 18, 2026

Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc. reported that its management’s unaudited net asset value per share of common stock stood at $13.73 as of January 31, 2026. This NAV figure provides investors with an updated snapshot of the company’s per-share value at that date, offering a basis for assessing portfolio performance and the valuation of their holdings.

Management’s unaudited net asset value per share of our common stock as of January 31, 2026 was $13.73. That valuation gives shareholders a current reference point for judging the company’s financial position and the relative attractiveness of its shares at that time.

The most recent analyst rating on (PDCC) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc. stock, see the PDCC Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Pearl Diver Credit Reports Year-End 2025 NAV Update
Neutral
Jan 13, 2026

Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc. reported that its management’s unaudited net asset value per share of common stock was $14.41 as of December 31, 2025, providing investors with an updated measure of the company’s per‑share value at year-end 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (PDCC) stock is a Hold with a $14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc. stock, see the PDCC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 13, 2026