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Pacific Basin Shipping Ltd (PCFBY)
:PCFBY
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Pacific Basin Shipping (PCFBY) AI Stock Analysis

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PCFBY

Pacific Basin Shipping

(OTC:PCFBY)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:―
Pacific Basin Shipping demonstrates a stable financial position with strong cash flows and a solid balance sheet, reflecting resilience and effective cash management. The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and strategic management, although challenges such as increased operating costs and market risks were noted. Valuation metrics suggest the stock is undervalued, but technical indicators warrant caution due to possible overbought conditions.

Pacific Basin Shipping (PCFBY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pacific Basin Shipping Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPacific Basin Shipping Limited (PCFBY) is a leading shipping company specializing in the transportation of dry bulk commodities. With a robust fleet of modern and efficient vessels, the company primarily operates in the Handymax and Supramax segments, which are known for their versatility and ability to access a wide range of ports. Headquartered in Hong Kong, Pacific Basin Shipping serves a global customer base, providing reliable and cost-effective maritime logistics solutions for the agricultural, mineral, and energy sectors.
How the Company Makes MoneyPacific Basin Shipping makes money by transporting dry bulk commodities such as grains, coal, and minerals across global trade routes. The company generates revenue primarily through time charter agreements and voyage charters. In time charters, customers hire the company's vessels for a specific period, paying a daily charter rate. Voyage charters involve transporting cargo from one port to another, with revenue based on a freight rate per ton of cargo. The company's earnings are influenced by factors such as global demand for dry bulk shipping, freight rate fluctuations, and efficient fleet management. Additionally, Pacific Basin Shipping may engage in strategic partnerships and long-term contracts with key customers to secure stable revenue streams.

Pacific Basin Shipping Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presents a mixed picture with notable improvements in liquidity, freight rate recovery, and operating performance. However, these are balanced by significant challenges, including a decline in revenue and net profit, market challenges in China, and regulatory concerns with the USTR 301 plan. The insights indicate cautious optimism but underline ongoing challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Liquidity
Net cash increased to $66 million, and available committed liquidity stands at $550 million. A new 7-year revolving credit facility of $250 million was signed in July.
Dividend and Share Buyback
The Board declared an interim dividend of HKD 0.16 per share, amounting to $10.4 million. Pacific Basin has distributed 153% of net profit for the first half of 2025 through dividends and share buybacks.
Freight Rate Recovery
Spot freight rates for Handysize and Supramax vessels increased by 23% and 50%, respectively, since the start of the year.
Operating Activity Outperformance
Outperformance over average spot market rates by $2,320 (27%) per day for Handysize and $3,480 (40%) per day for Supramax.
Reduced Finance Costs
Finance costs declined due to lower borrowing levels and reduced interest rates.
Negative Updates
Decline in Top Line Revenue
Top line decreased by 21% due to reductions in Handysize and Supramax freight rates, which were down 21% and 34%, respectively.
Decrease in Net Profit
Net profit fell 56% to $26 million despite additional gains from vessel disposals.
Market Challenges in China
Global dry bulk loading volumes declined by 3% primarily due to reduced Chinese imports of major commodities following heavy stockpiling in 2024.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses rose slightly due to increased manning costs and higher depreciation.
USTR Regulation Concerns
Potential significant impact on financial performance due to proposed USTR 301 plan which may introduce extra port charges on Chinese-owned and operated vessels.
Company Guidance
During the Pacific Basin 2025 Interim Results Announcement Conference Call, CEO Martin Fruergaard and CFO Jimmy Ng provided comprehensive guidance on the company's financial performance and strategic outlook. In the first half of 2025, the company reported an EBITDA of USD 122 million, an underlying profit of USD 22 million, and a net profit of USD 26 million, translating to a 3% annualized return on equity and basic earnings per share of HKD 0.039. The Board declared an interim dividend of HKD 0.16 per share, equating to USD 10.4 million or 50% of net profit, excluding vessel disposal gains. Pacific Basin's liquidity was bolstered by a new USD 250 million revolving credit facility, enhancing its financial strength and growth strategy. Despite a challenging freight market with spot rates for Handysize and Supramax vessels dropping by 21% and 34% year-on-year, the company maintained a strong operational performance, outperforming market indices by 27% and 40% for Handysize and Supramax, respectively. Looking ahead, the company remains optimistic about market recovery, driven by factors such as increased soybean exports from Brazil and potential economic stimuli in China, while maintaining a strategic focus on fleet renewal and growth.

Pacific Basin Shipping Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pacific Basin Shipping has a stable financial position with strong cash flows and a solid balance sheet. The income statement reflects some operational challenges, particularly in EBIT performance. However, effective cash management and a declining debt trend position the company well for future growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Pacific Basin Shipping has shown a recovery in revenue from 2020 to 2024. The gross profit margin improved slightly over the years, reflecting some stability in operations. However, recent EBIT margins are concerning, as EBIT was zero for 2024, indicating potential operational challenges. Net profit margin has improved, but the fluctuating revenue growth rate suggests inconsistent market conditions.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet shows a strengthening position with increasing stockholders' equity and a reduction in total debt over the years. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved, indicating reduced financial risk. The equity ratio remains solid, reflecting financial stability. Overall, the balance sheet suggests a well-managed capital structure but highlights potential risk if debt levels rise again.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow remains strong and consistent, exceeding net income, which indicates effective internal cash generation. Free cash flow has shown growth, although capital expenditures have been significant, reflecting ongoing investments. The cash flow position is robust, but attention is needed to ensure that high investment levels yield expected returns.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.58B2.30B3.28B2.97B1.47B
Gross Profit135.24M130.95M732.08M739.34M36.87M
EBITDA357.43M349.99M866.03M850.32M157.63M
Net Income131.70M109.38M701.86M844.81M-208.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.41B2.43B2.65B2.75B2.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments282.04M261.40M443.82M459.67M234.77M
Total Debt344.36M366.25M471.90M648.59M940.72M
Total Liabilities587.39M634.53M741.33M914.21M1.13B
Stockholders Equity1.83B1.80B1.91B1.83B1.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow180.93M101.33M850.60M625.94M116.19M
Operating Cash Flow309.33M353.40M935.32M850.42M219.61M
Investing Cash Flow-87.40M-61.17M63.18M-334.00M-92.11M
Financing Cash Flow-214.40M-389.73M-949.13M-433.03M-101.57M

Pacific Basin Shipping Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.59
Price Trends
50DMA
5.54
Positive
100DMA
5.08
Positive
200DMA
4.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Positive
RSI
45.81
Neutral
STOCH
7.99
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PCFBY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.59 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.75, above the 50-day MA of 5.54, and above the 200-day MA of 4.70, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.99 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PCFBY.

Pacific Basin Shipping Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$1.07B2.7926.40%6.49%4.43%17.82%
80
Outperform
$1.68B3.7913.38%3.70%5.63%-17.54%
74
Outperform
$2.14B17.645.11%4.24%2.95%-61.74%
72
Outperform
$1.43B14.455.53%3.49%-4.67%23.16%
67
Neutral
$723.44M48.271.70%5.94%-17.15%2.40%
64
Neutral
$10.72B16.047.75%2.00%2.65%-15.66%
58
Neutral
$1.08B31.073.35%13.28%3.51%-74.00%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PCFBY
Pacific Basin Shipping
5.59
0.31
5.87%
DAC
Danaos
91.97
15.55
20.35%
GNK
Genco Shipping
16.84
0.90
5.65%
GSL
Global Ship Lease
30.05
7.86
35.42%
SFL
SFL Corporation
8.13
-2.12
-20.68%
SBLK
Star Bulk Carriers
18.65
-0.95
-4.85%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 28, 2025