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Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (PCFBY)
OTHER OTC:PCFBY
US Market

Pacific Basin Shipping (PCFBY) AI Stock Analysis

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PCFBY

Pacific Basin Shipping

(OTC:PCFBY)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$7.50
â–²(18.67% Upside)
Pacific Basin Shipping's overall stock score of 71 reflects a stable financial position with strong cash flows and a solid balance sheet, despite operational challenges. Positive technical indicators and reasonable valuation metrics support the score, while the earnings call presents a mixed outlook with cautious optimism.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Flow
Robust cash flow exceeding net income indicates effective cash generation, supporting long-term operational stability and growth potential.
Improved Liquidity
Enhanced liquidity through increased cash reserves and credit facilities strengthens financial resilience and supports strategic initiatives.
Fleet Management
Ongoing fleet renewal and growth strategy positions the company to capitalize on market recovery and improve operational efficiency.
Negative Factors
Decline in Revenue
Significant revenue decline reflects market challenges, potentially impacting profitability and necessitating strategic adjustments.
Market Challenges in China
Reduced Chinese imports pose a structural challenge, affecting demand and necessitating market diversification for stability.
USTR Regulation Concerns
Proposed USTR regulations could increase operational costs, impacting competitiveness and financial performance in key markets.

Pacific Basin Shipping (PCFBY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pacific Basin Shipping Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPacific Basin Shipping (PCFBY) is a leading dry bulk shipping company headquartered in Hong Kong. The company specializes in the transportation of dry bulk commodities, including coal, grain, and iron ore, through its fleet of modern vessels. Operating globally, Pacific Basin services a diverse customer base across various sectors, including agriculture, mining, and energy. The company focuses on providing reliable and efficient shipping solutions, leveraging its extensive network and expertise in the dry bulk market.
How the Company Makes MoneyPacific Basin Shipping generates revenue primarily through the chartering of its vessels. The company operates on a combination of time charters and spot charters, allowing it to adapt to market conditions and optimize utilization of its fleet. Time charters involve leasing vessels for a fixed period, providing stable and predictable income, while spot charters are short-term contracts that capitalize on fluctuating market rates. Additionally, Pacific Basin benefits from strategic partnerships with major commodity traders and industrial companies, which help secure long-term contracts and enhance its market positioning. The company's focus on operational efficiency and fleet management also contributes to cost savings and improved profitability.

Pacific Basin Shipping Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presents a mixed picture with notable improvements in liquidity, freight rate recovery, and operating performance. However, these are balanced by significant challenges, including a decline in revenue and net profit, market challenges in China, and regulatory concerns with the USTR 301 plan. The insights indicate cautious optimism but underline ongoing challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Liquidity
Net cash increased to $66 million, and available committed liquidity stands at $550 million. A new 7-year revolving credit facility of $250 million was signed in July.
Dividend and Share Buyback
The Board declared an interim dividend of HKD 0.16 per share, amounting to $10.4 million. Pacific Basin has distributed 153% of net profit for the first half of 2025 through dividends and share buybacks.
Freight Rate Recovery
Spot freight rates for Handysize and Supramax vessels increased by 23% and 50%, respectively, since the start of the year.
Operating Activity Outperformance
Outperformance over average spot market rates by $2,320 (27%) per day for Handysize and $3,480 (40%) per day for Supramax.
Reduced Finance Costs
Finance costs declined due to lower borrowing levels and reduced interest rates.
Negative Updates
Decline in Top Line Revenue
Top line decreased by 21% due to reductions in Handysize and Supramax freight rates, which were down 21% and 34%, respectively.
Decrease in Net Profit
Net profit fell 56% to $26 million despite additional gains from vessel disposals.
Market Challenges in China
Global dry bulk loading volumes declined by 3% primarily due to reduced Chinese imports of major commodities following heavy stockpiling in 2024.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses rose slightly due to increased manning costs and higher depreciation.
USTR Regulation Concerns
Potential significant impact on financial performance due to proposed USTR 301 plan which may introduce extra port charges on Chinese-owned and operated vessels.
Company Guidance
During the Pacific Basin 2025 Interim Results Announcement Conference Call, CEO Martin Fruergaard and CFO Jimmy Ng provided comprehensive guidance on the company's financial performance and strategic outlook. In the first half of 2025, the company reported an EBITDA of USD 122 million, an underlying profit of USD 22 million, and a net profit of USD 26 million, translating to a 3% annualized return on equity and basic earnings per share of HKD 0.039. The Board declared an interim dividend of HKD 0.16 per share, equating to USD 10.4 million or 50% of net profit, excluding vessel disposal gains. Pacific Basin's liquidity was bolstered by a new USD 250 million revolving credit facility, enhancing its financial strength and growth strategy. Despite a challenging freight market with spot rates for Handysize and Supramax vessels dropping by 21% and 34% year-on-year, the company maintained a strong operational performance, outperforming market indices by 27% and 40% for Handysize and Supramax, respectively. Looking ahead, the company remains optimistic about market recovery, driven by factors such as increased soybean exports from Brazil and potential economic stimuli in China, while maintaining a strategic focus on fleet renewal and growth.

Pacific Basin Shipping Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pacific Basin Shipping shows a stable financial position with strong cash flows and a solid balance sheet. However, operational challenges are evident in the income statement, particularly with EBIT performance. The company demonstrates resilience with effective cash management and a declining debt trend, positioning it well for future growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Pacific Basin Shipping has shown a recovery in revenue from 2020 to 2024. The gross profit margin improved slightly over the years, reflecting some stability in operations. However, recent EBIT margins are concerning, as EBIT was zero for 2024, indicating potential operational challenges. Net profit margin has improved, but the fluctuating revenue growth rate suggests inconsistent market conditions.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet shows a strengthening position with increasing stockholders' equity and a reduction in total debt over the years. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved, indicating reduced financial risk. The equity ratio remains solid, reflecting financial stability. Overall, the balance sheet suggests a well-managed capital structure but highlights potential risk if debt levels rise again.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow remains strong and consistent, exceeding net income, which indicates effective internal cash generation. Free cash flow has shown growth, although capital expenditures have been significant, reflecting ongoing investments. The cash flow position is robust, but attention is needed to ensure that high investment levels yield expected returns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.32B2.58B2.30B3.28B2.97B1.47B
Gross Profit107.76M135.24M130.95M732.08M739.34M36.87M
EBITDA283.46M357.43M349.99M924.66M1.03B-8.74M
Net Income99.51M131.70M109.38M701.86M844.81M-208.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.33B2.41B2.43B2.65B2.75B2.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments295.50M282.04M261.40M443.82M459.67M234.77M
Total Debt310.24M344.36M366.25M471.90M648.59M940.72M
Total Liabilities534.30M587.39M634.53M741.33M914.21M1.13B
Stockholders Equity1.80B1.83B1.80B1.91B1.83B1.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow177.12M180.93M101.33M850.60M625.94M116.19M
Operating Cash Flow298.64M309.33M353.40M935.32M850.42M219.61M
Investing Cash Flow-39.90M-87.40M-61.17M63.18M-334.00M-92.11M
Financing Cash Flow-219.03M-214.40M-389.73M-949.13M-433.03M-101.57M

Pacific Basin Shipping Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price6.32
Price Trends
50DMA
6.68
Negative
100DMA
6.30
Positive
200DMA
5.47
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
39.17
Neutral
STOCH
49.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PCFBY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 6.32 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.80, below the 50-day MA of 6.68, and above the 200-day MA of 5.47, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PCFBY.

Pacific Basin Shipping Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$1.76B3.8313.16%3.63%3.82%-13.73%
81
Outperform
$1.31B3.2826.18%5.94%7.13%23.37%
76
Outperform
$1.90B6.3214.98%2.86%-29.82%-16.77%
76
Outperform
$1.59B6.298.36%0.38%-1.33%-33.66%
71
Outperform
$1.70B17.185.54%3.09%-4.54%23.39%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$2.05B1.0225.25%21.57%1.63%-30.30%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PCFBY
Pacific Basin Shipping
6.32
1.77
38.90%
CMRE
Costamare
16.06
6.92
75.71%
DAC
Danaos
95.10
19.14
25.20%
GSL
Global Ship Lease
35.76
15.54
76.85%
NMM
Navios Maritime Partners
52.62
8.82
20.14%
ZIM
ZIM
19.84
4.56
29.84%

Pacific Basin Shipping Corporate Events

Pacific Basin Navigates Earnings Challenges with Strategic Optimism
Aug 8, 2025

During the latest earnings call, Pacific Basin Shipping Ltd. conveyed a mixed sentiment, reflecting a challenging financial period marked by a significant drop in net profit and reduced freight rates. Despite these hurdles, the company has managed to enhance its liquidity and financial strength, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns through dividends and share buybacks. This strategic financial management and market outperformance suggest a cautiously optimistic outlook for the future.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2025