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Onterris (ONT)
NYSE:ONT
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Onterris (ONT) AI Stock Analysis

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ONT

Onterris

(NYSE:ONT)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$17.00
▼(-21.41% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/12/26
The score is primarily supported by improving financial performance (return to profitability and strong cash generation) and a constructive earnings outlook with margin-expansion targets. These positives are meaningfully offset by very weak technicals (price well below key moving averages with negative MACD) and limited valuation support due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained high operating cash flow and meaningful free cash flow conversion indicate the business converts EBITDA into liquidity reliably. That durable cash generation funds organic R&D, bolt‑on M&A, debt reduction and the $40M repurchase plan without stressing operations.
Negative Factors
Thin accounting profitability
Very low net margins leave limited cushion against cost inflation, project overruns or seasonal swings. With returns still modest, incremental revenue volatility or margin erosion can meaningfully depress reported earnings and ROE until margins consistently improve.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained high operating cash flow and meaningful free cash flow conversion indicate the business converts EBITDA into liquidity reliably. That durable cash generation funds organic R&D, bolt‑on M&A, debt reduction and the $40M repurchase plan without stressing operations.
Read all positive factors

Onterris Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks revenue down by service line (for example remediation, monitoring, or consulting), showing which parts of the business drive growth and which rely on cyclical end-markets. Helps investors see whether Montrose’s revenue mix is diversifying or concentrated in higher-risk areas.
Chart InsightsAssessment, Permitting and Response’s recent, sharp uptick appears to be project-driven momentum—likely emergency-response wins and cross-selling called out on the call—and supports management’s view that underlying organic growth is strong despite an acquisition pause. Measurement & Analysis shows steady expansion, while Remediation & Reuse revenue growth masks a profitability risk: management disclosed sizable margin pressure from the wind‑down of renewables. Raised guidance and strong cash flow back the topline, but watch remediation margins and whether the AP&R surge is sustainable.
Data provided by:The Fly

Onterris (ONT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Onterris Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. is an environmental services company, which engages in the provision of air measurement and environmental laboratory services. The firm operates through following segments: Assessment, Permitting and Response, Me...
How the Company Makes Money
MEG primarily makes money by providing professional environmental services to customers under contract, generating revenue from a mix of project-based engagements and recurring programs. Key revenue streams generally include: (1) Measurement and t...

Onterris Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operational recovery is evident with a return to positive TTM net income and improved gross margin, backed by strong TTM operating cash flow ($90.3M) and free cash flow ($71.5M). Offsetting this, profitability remains thin (0.7% net margin), TTM revenue is slightly down (-1.12%), and free cash flow declined versus the prior period (-21.56%).
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue821.22M830.54M696.39M624.21M544.42M546.41M
Gross Profit307.44M283.43M278.20M240.31M192.53M177.38M
EBITDA85.56M81.70M25.88M31.93M32.44M40.96M
Net Income5.83M-843.00K-62.31M-30.86M-31.82M-25.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets948.02M981.30M990.35M816.79M791.91M833.09M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.05M11.22M12.94M23.24M89.83M146.74M
Total Debt388.50M359.03M281.00M210.34M202.12M205.77M
Total Liabilities507.93M530.12M544.09M495.53M478.73M516.59M
Stockholders Equity440.09M451.18M446.26M321.25M313.19M316.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow71.50M91.16M902.00K23.09M10.65M30.00M
Operating Cash Flow90.33M107.48M22.23M56.02M20.65M37.58M
Investing Cash Flow-17.66M-15.84M-138.04M-101.62M-38.69M-71.64M
Financing Cash Flow-93.14M-93.12M106.00M-20.11M-38.76M146.10M

Onterris Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price21.63
Price Trends
50DMA
23.63
Negative
100DMA
24.30
Negative
200DMA
25.35
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.68
Positive
RSI
42.62
Neutral
STOCH
21.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ONT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.63 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.02, below the 50-day MA of 23.63, and below the 200-day MA of 25.35, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.68 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ONT.

Onterris Risk Analysis

Onterris disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Onterris reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Onterris Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$563.77M-15.981.26%14.23%
52
Neutral
$1.63B-37.85-48.78%-2.08%-34.89%
46
Neutral
$22.27M-2.72-44.35%-14.35%70.98%
45
Neutral
$203.65M-6.62-34.48%-0.91%23.41%
44
Neutral
$209.25M-95.02555.82%12.61%66.26%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ONT
Onterris
15.53
-3.73
-19.37%
NVRI
Enviri
19.48
11.78
152.99%
PESI
Perma-Fix
9.70
0.13
1.36%
QRHC
Quest Resource
1.07
-1.17
-52.23%
LNZA
LanzaTech Global
18.24
-7.68
-29.63%

Onterris Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Montrose Environmental Shareholders Back Directors, Auditor and Pay
Positive
May 11, 2026
On May 6, 2026, Onterris, Inc. held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where a quorum was achieved with approximately 88.67% of the 36,169,781 outstanding shares represented in person or by proxy. Stockholders voted on the election of three ...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Onterris Reaffirms 2026 Outlook Despite Soft Q1 Results
Neutral
May 6, 2026
On May 6, 2026, Onterris, Inc. reported first-quarter 2026 revenue of $168.5 million, down 5.2% year over year, as lower environmental emergency response work and weather-disrupted Measurement and Analysis activity offset organic growth in its Con...
Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
Onterris Unveils New Brand Identity and Ticker Change
Positive
Apr 21, 2026
On April 17, 2026, Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. formally changed its corporate name to Onterris, Inc., with corresponding amendments to its charter and bylaws becoming effective the same day. The rebranding consolidates legacy brands includi...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Montrose Environmental Posts Record 2025 Results, Issues 2026 Outlook
Positive
Feb 25, 2026
Montrose Environmental Group reported that for the full year 2025, ended December 31, it achieved record revenue of $830.5 million, up 19.3% from 2024, driven by 12.7% organic growth, stronger environmental emergency response work, and prior-year ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 12, 2026