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LanzaTech Global (LNZA)
NASDAQ:LNZA
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LanzaTech Global (LNZA) AI Stock Analysis

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LNZA

LanzaTech Global

(NASDAQ:LNZA)

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Underperform 39 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:39Underperform
Price Target:
$20.00
▲(7.58% Upside)
LanzaTech Global's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, characterized by declining revenues, high leverage, and negative cash flows. Technical analysis further indicates bearish momentum, while valuation metrics highlight significant losses and lack of dividend yield, making the stock less attractive.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
The amended agreements with LanzaJet enhance long-term collaboration and expand the reach of LanzaTech's technology, potentially increasing revenue through broadened licensing opportunities and strategic positioning in sustainable aviation fuel markets.
Technology Licensing
Extending the technology license agreement through 2031 secures long-term revenue streams from licensing fees and royalties, reinforcing LanzaTech's business model centered on monetizing its proprietary technology.
Market Position
LanzaJet's focus on the AtJ pathway for sustainable aviation fuel positions LanzaTech advantageously in the growing market for renewable energy solutions, leveraging its carbon-recycling initiatives to supply critical feedstock.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
A high debt-to-equity ratio indicates significant leverage, posing financial risk and potentially limiting LanzaTech's ability to invest in growth opportunities or weather economic downturns without financial strain.
Negative Cash Flows
Negative cash flows highlight operational inefficiencies and financial challenges, potentially constraining LanzaTech's ability to fund operations and invest in strategic initiatives without external financing.
Declining Revenues
Declining revenues indicate challenges in maintaining market demand or competitive positioning, which could impact LanzaTech's long-term growth prospects and financial sustainability if not addressed.

LanzaTech Global (LNZA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

LanzaTech Global Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLanzaTech Global (LNZA) is a pioneering biotechnology company focused on transforming waste carbon emissions into valuable products. Operating primarily within the sectors of sustainable energy and carbon capture, LanzaTech employs its proprietary gas fermentation technology to convert industrial byproducts and carbon-rich gases into fuels, chemicals, and materials. The company's innovative approach not only addresses environmental challenges but also provides economically viable alternatives to traditional fossil fuels and petrochemicals.
How the Company Makes MoneyLanzaTech generates revenue through several key channels. Primarily, the company earns money by licensing its technology to industries looking to reduce carbon emissions and produce sustainable fuels and chemicals. The licensing agreements typically involve upfront fees and ongoing royalties based on the volume of products produced using LanzaTech's technology. Additionally, LanzaTech engages in joint ventures and partnerships with various corporations in the energy and chemical sectors, which can result in revenue-sharing agreements. These partnerships often involve collaborative projects where LanzaTech's technology is integrated into existing operations, leading to additional income. Furthermore, LanzaTech may also receive funding from government grants and incentives aimed at promoting clean technology and carbon reduction initiatives, contributing to its overall financial health.

LanzaTech Global Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 07, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
While the company faced challenges with missing revenue targets and increased operating expenses, it highlighted strong future potential with new projects, partnerships, and expansions into new markets like nutritional protein. The overall sentiment reflects a strategic pivot towards capturing more value and ensuring long-term growth despite current hurdles.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Position for 2025
LanzaTech is well-positioned for 2025 with significant project developments like Project Drake and collaborations with global partners. The company expects substantial growth in ethanol feedstock for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) projects.
New Revenue Streams and Partnerships
LanzaTech is evolving to capture more value by developing its own projects and forming partnerships with capital partners like Brookfield Asset Management, which committed $500 million for projects.
Ethanol Offtake Agreement with ArcelorMittal
A new agreement with ArcelorMittal includes a short-term contract with $6 million annual revenue potential and a 5-year contract generating $10-20 million per year, enhancing access to ethanol volumes.
Expansion into Nutritional Protein Market
LanzaTech announced its ability to produce single-cell protein, targeting the $1 trillion alternative protein market, with applications in animal feed, pet food, and human nutrition.
Negative Updates
Revenue Misses Target
Third quarter revenue was $9.9 million, about $7 million below target, primarily due to the delay in a LanzaJet sublicense event and depressed ethanol pricing.
Challenging Market Dynamics
Ethanol prices were depressed in key markets, particularly in China, impacting CarbonSmart revenue, which despite doubling quarter-over-quarter, was still below expectations.
Higher Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased by approximately $5 million year-over-year to $34.8 million, driven by project development costs that are expected to be recouped later.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter earnings call for LanzaTech Global, Inc., several key metrics and guidance updates were discussed. The company reported a third quarter revenue of $9.9 million, which was approximately $7 million below their target, largely due to an anticipated LanzaJet sublicense event not materializing and lower-than-expected CarbonSmart revenue despite it more than doubling quarter-over-quarter to $2.2 million. The company is evolving its business model to accelerate revenues and profitability by developing their own projects and partnering with capital investors like Brookfield Asset Management, which committed $500 million. LanzaTech received the first $5 million in fees from Project Drake, a 30 million gallon per year EU-based ethanol-to-sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) project, and announced a new ethanol offtake agreement with ArcelorMittal with potential revenue of $6 million annually in the short term and $10-20 million per year over five years. Despite headwinds, the company is optimistic about achieving greater economics and expects these initiatives to bolster their financial performance in the fourth quarter and beyond.

LanzaTech Global Financial Statement Overview

Summary
LanzaTech Global faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues, substantial losses, high leverage, and negative cash flows. The company's financial health is concerning, with risks related to high debt levels and operational inefficiencies.
Income Statement
35
Negative
LanzaTech Global's income statement reveals significant challenges. The company has experienced a decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -16.98% in the TTM. Margins are under pressure, with a gross profit margin of 42.31% but a concerning net profit margin of -269.20%, indicating substantial losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 6.09, suggesting significant leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity is negative at -282.08%, indicating that the company is not generating profits from its equity base. The equity ratio is not provided, but the high leverage is a concern.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis highlights negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, with a free cash flow growth rate of -36.96% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly positive at 1.06, suggesting some ability to cover net losses with free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue40.54M49.59M62.63M37.34M25.46M18.35M
Gross Profit12.03M23.62M17.65M9.06M10.23M6.76M
EBITDA-115.75M-103.34M-100.93M-70.94M-47.21M-36.55M
Net Income-136.15M-137.73M-134.10M-76.36M-46.69M-37.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets116.30M174.68M241.62M152.49M193.01M118.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments37.37M55.87M120.74M83.05M343.40K60.49M
Total Debt36.25M81.89M19.94M7.41M5.33M10.59M
Total Liabilities128.31M161.24M127.15M9.71M67.30M35.79M
Stockholders Equity-25.18M13.45M114.47M51.91M139.26M83.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-54.48M-94.37M-105.85M-11.08M-48.34M-46.38M
Operating Cash Flow-54.79M-89.06M-97.30M-345.73K-42.59M-39.27M
Investing Cash Flow10.38M28.35M-57.91M-10.69M-5.75M-6.59M
Financing Cash Flow55.61M30.21M148.19M50.55M116.02M44.73M

LanzaTech Global Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price18.59
Price Trends
50DMA
22.75
Negative
100DMA
27.52
Negative
200DMA
36.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.57
Positive
RSI
36.07
Neutral
STOCH
8.23
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LNZA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 18.59 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.81, below the 50-day MA of 22.75, and below the 200-day MA of 36.11, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.57 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.23 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LNZA.

LanzaTech Global Risk Analysis

LanzaTech Global disclosed 86 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. LanzaTech Global reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

LanzaTech Global Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$915.95M-4.17%22.77%44.73%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
54
Neutral
$9.87M83.770.47%-4.84%-81.73%
47
Neutral
$30.03M-46.57%-5.20%-275.34%
39
Underperform
$44.78M-0.29-490.45%-40.11%-36.69%
36
Underperform
$21.09M-0.07-182.91%-100.00%-112.68%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LNZA
LanzaTech Global
18.59
-141.41
-88.38%
AWX
Avalon Holdings
2.53
-0.68
-21.18%
QRHC
Quest Resource
1.45
-5.82
-80.06%
AQMS
Aqua Metals
7.35
-14.15
-65.81%
MEG
Montrose Environmental Group
25.92
4.16
19.12%
AMBI
Ambipar Emergency Response
0.51
-5.59
-91.64%

LanzaTech Global Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
LanzaTech Amends Agreements for Sustainable Fuel Production
Positive
Oct 22, 2025

On October 16, 2025, LanzaTech Global and its partners amended their agreements to streamline the production of sustainable aviation fuel at the LanzaTech Freedom Pines Biorefinery in Georgia. The updated agreements eliminate previous investment conditions and ensure LanzaTech retains a significant stake in LanzaJet, enhancing its market positioning and operational capabilities in sustainable fuel production.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNZA) stock is a Hold with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LanzaTech Global stock, see the LNZA Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings
LanzaTech Global Amends Stock Purchase Agreement
Neutral
Sep 26, 2025

On May 7, 2025, LanzaTech Global, Inc. entered into a Series A Convertible Senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreement with LanzaTech Global SPV, LLC, resulting in the issuance of 20,000,000 shares of preferred stock for $40,000,000. On September 22, 2025, the agreement was amended to extend the deadline for a subsequent financing and to incorporate shareholder approvals from the July 28, 2025 meeting. Additionally, a Waiver Agreement was established to modify the registration obligations for certain shares of common stock.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNZA) stock is a Sell with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LanzaTech Global stock, see the LNZA Stock Forecast page.

LanzaTech Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 20, 2025

LanzaTech Global, Inc. is a carbon management solutions company that transforms waste carbon into sustainable fuels, chemicals, materials, and protein using its proprietary biorecycling technology. In its second quarter of 2025 financial results, LanzaTech highlighted its strategic transition from a research-focused entity to a commercially driven enterprise, marked by leadership changes and workforce reductions aimed at enhancing cost efficiency.

LanzaTech Global Delays Q2 2025 Report Filing
Aug 15, 2025

LanzaTech Global, Inc. has announced a delay in filing its Form 10-Q (Quarter Report) for the financial period ending June 30, 2025. The delay is primarily due to internal restructuring efforts, including a reduction in workforce aimed at improving business focus and cost structure, which has resulted in limited resources for report preparation. The company expects to file the report within the five-day extension period allowed by the SEC. Preliminary financial results indicate a significant decrease in revenue and an increase in the cost of revenues compared to the same quarter last year. These figures are subject to change upon finalization of the unaudited financial statements. LanzaTech is actively working on compliance and the notification is signed by Sushmita Koyanagi, the Chief Financial Officer.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNZA) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LanzaTech Global stock, see the LNZA Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesDelistings and Listing ChangesStock Split
LanzaTech Global Announces Reverse Stock Split Plan
Neutral
Aug 15, 2025

At a town hall meeting on August 13, 2025, LanzaTech Global announced that Aura Cuellar will step down as President, with her departure not stemming from any disagreements with the company. On August 15, 2025, LanzaTech revealed plans to implement a 1-for-100 reverse stock split effective August 18, 2025, as part of its strategy to comply with Nasdaq’s minimum bid price requirement. This move includes decreasing the par value of its common stock and increasing the number of authorized shares, aiming to maintain its Nasdaq listing and affect all shareholders uniformly.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNZA) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LanzaTech Global stock, see the LNZA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2025