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LanzaTech Global (LNZA)
NASDAQ:LNZA
US Market

LanzaTech Global (LNZA) AI Stock Analysis

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LNZA

LanzaTech Global

(NASDAQ:LNZA)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$35.00
▲(2.88% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/14/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance—large ongoing losses and substantial negative operating/free cash flow—despite strong revenue growth and improved leverage. Technicals are a meaningful positive with strong trend and momentum, while valuation is constrained by losses (negative P/E) and corporate events are moderately supportive due to added capital and simplified structure.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained high revenue growth reflects accelerating adoption of LanzaTech’s emissions-to-products projects and expanding commercial activity. Over 2–6 months this trend supports scaling benefits, stronger partner pipelines for licensing/engineering revenue and a clearer path to leverage fixed costs as projects ramp.
Negative Factors
Negative cash generation
Persistent, large negative operating and free cash flows indicate the business cannot self-fund growth and select projects without external capital. Over the medium term this raises execution risk, increases dependence on dilutive financings, and constrains investments in scaling and commercialization.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained high revenue growth reflects accelerating adoption of LanzaTech’s emissions-to-products projects and expanding commercial activity. Over 2–6 months this trend supports scaling benefits, stronger partner pipelines for licensing/engineering revenue and a clearer path to leverage fixed costs as projects ramp.
Read all positive factors

LanzaTech Global (LNZA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

LanzaTech Global Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
LanzaTech Global, Inc. operates as a nature-based carbon refining company in the United States and internationally. The company transforms waste carbon into the chemical building blocks for consumer goods, such as sustainable fuels, fabrics, and p...
How the Company Makes Money
LanzaTech makes money primarily by commercializing its gas fermentation technology through project development and technology deployment with third parties. Key revenue streams typically include (1) licensing its proprietary technology (microbial ...

LanzaTech Global Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 08, 2024
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
While the company faced challenges with missing revenue targets and increased operating expenses, it highlighted strong future potential with new projects, partnerships, and expansions into new markets like nutritional protein. The overall sentiment reflects a strategic pivot towards capturing more value and ensuring long-term growth despite current hurdles.
Positive Updates
Strong Position for 2025
LanzaTech is well-positioned for 2025 with significant project developments like Project Drake and collaborations with global partners. The company expects substantial growth in ethanol feedstock for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) projects.
Negative Updates
Revenue Misses Target
Third quarter revenue was $9.9 million, about $7 million below target, primarily due to the delay in a LanzaJet sublicense event and depressed ethanol pricing.
Read all updates
Q3-2024 Updates
Negative
Strong Position for 2025
LanzaTech is well-positioned for 2025 with significant project developments like Project Drake and collaborations with global partners. The company expects substantial growth in ethanol feedstock for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) projects.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
In the third quarter earnings call for LanzaTech Global, Inc., several key metrics and guidance updates were discussed. The company reported a third quarter revenue of $9.9 million, which was approximately $7 million below their target, largely due to an anticipated LanzaJet sublicense event not materializing and lower-than-expected CarbonSmart revenue despite it more than doubling quarter-over-quarter to $2.2 million. The company is evolving its business model to accelerate revenues and profitability by developing their own projects and partnering with capital investors like Brookfield Asset Management, which committed $500 million. LanzaTech received the first $5 million in fees from Project Drake, a 30 million gallon per year EU-based ethanol-to-sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) project, and announced a new ethanol offtake agreement with ArcelorMittal with potential revenue of $6 million annually in the short term and $10-20 million per year over five years. Despite headwinds, the company is optimistic about achieving greater economics and expects these initiatives to bolster their financial performance in the fourth quarter and beyond.

LanzaTech Global Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue growth has been strong over the cycle (to $55.8M in 2025, +40% YoY), and leverage improved with debt dropping to $16.6M in 2025. However, results are dominated by very large losses (2025 net income -$49.0M; ~-87.7% net margin) and heavy cash burn (2025 operating cash flow -$64.9M; free cash flow -$66.1M), indicating elevated execution and funding risk.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Cash Flow
14
Very Negative
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue55.84M49.59M62.63M37.34M25.46M
Gross Profit25.30M23.62M17.65M9.06M10.23M
EBITDA-74.93M-103.34M-100.93M-70.94M-44.82M
Net Income-48.95M-137.73M-134.10M-76.36M-46.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets100.21M174.68M241.62M176.86M150.87M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.16M55.87M120.74M83.05M343.40K
Total Debt27.46M81.89M19.94M7.41M5.33M
Total Liabilities104.10M161.24M127.15M605.58M11.61M
Stockholders Equity-3.89M13.45M114.47M-428.72M139.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-66.11M-94.37M-105.85M-95.44M-48.34M
Operating Cash Flow-64.85M-89.06M-97.30M-84.70M-42.59M
Investing Cash Flow11.15M28.35M-57.91M-10.69M-5.75M
Financing Cash Flow25.62M30.21M148.19M50.55M116.02M

LanzaTech Global Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price34.02
Price Trends
50DMA
14.31
Positive
100DMA
14.03
Positive
200DMA
20.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.95
Negative
RSI
76.70
Negative
STOCH
88.81
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LNZA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 34.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.26, above the 50-day MA of 14.31, and above the 200-day MA of 20.46, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.95 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.70 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.81 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LNZA.

LanzaTech Global Risk Analysis

LanzaTech Global disclosed 86 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. LanzaTech Global reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

LanzaTech Global Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$781.86M-1,034.44-0.17%22.77%44.73%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
54
Neutral
$273.92M-0.65-696.09%-31.28%42.94%
53
Neutral
$10.10M32.680.47%-4.84%-81.73%
48
Neutral
$13.13M-0.40-274.21%-106.93%
44
Neutral
$23.47M-2.54-44.35%-9.25%-189.37%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LNZA
LanzaTech Global
34.02
9.82
40.58%
AWX
Avalon Holdings
2.59
<0.01
0.39%
QRHC
Quest Resource
1.17
-1.30
-52.54%
AQMS
Aqua Metals
3.92
-12.08
-75.50%
MEG
Montrose Environmental Group
21.48
7.33
51.80%

LanzaTech Global Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
LanzaTech Restructures LanzaJet Stake Through New Financing
Positive
Feb 18, 2026
On February 11, 2026, LanzaTech, Inc. entered into a Series A Preferred Stock Purchase and Exchange Agreement with LanzaJet, Inc. and new investors, under which it bought $2 million of newly issued Series A preferred shares in LanzaJet and exchang...
Executive/Board Changes
LanzaTech Global Announces Routine Board Director Resignation
Neutral
Feb 5, 2026
On January 31, 2026, LanzaTech Global, Inc. announced that independent director Jill Frizzley voluntarily resigned from its Board of Directors, effective that same day, before the scheduled end of her Class III term at the company&#8217;s 2026 Ann...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
LanzaTech Global Raises Capital and Simplifies Capital Structure
Positive
Jan 23, 2026
On January 21, 2026, LanzaTech Global, Inc. raised $20 million in gross proceeds through a private investment in public equity (PIPE), selling 4 million common shares at $5.00 per share to a group of new and existing institutional investors and is...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 14, 2026