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Aqua Metals (AQMS)
NASDAQ:AQMS

Aqua Metals (AQMS) AI Stock Analysis

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Aqua Metals

(NASDAQ:AQMS)

36Underperform
Aqua Metals faces significant financial and operational challenges, marked by negative revenue growth and persistent losses. While there are promising strategic initiatives and technological advancements, these are overshadowed by the immediate financial hurdles and bearish technical indicators. The overall stock score reflects these substantial risks, tempered slightly by strategic partnerships and board enhancements.

Aqua Metals (AQMS) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Aqua Metals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAqua Metals, Inc. engages in the recycling of lead primarily in the United States. It produces and sells hard lead, lead compounds, and plastics. Aqua Metals, Inc. was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Reno, Nevada.
How the Company Makes MoneyAqua Metals generates revenue primarily through the licensing and deployment of its AquaRefining™ technology, which is used by recycling facilities to process lead and other metals in a more sustainable manner. The company earns money by selling equipment and licensing its technology to third-party recyclers, who pay fees based on the amount of material processed using AquaRefining. Additionally, Aqua Metals may generate revenue from partnerships and joint ventures aimed at expanding its technology's reach and application. The company's focus on innovation and sustainability positions it to benefit from increasing regulatory and market demand for greener recycling solutions.

Aqua Metals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Aqua Metals is facing significant financial challenges with negative revenue growth and operational losses. The balance sheet shows reasonable leverage, but profitability metrics are poor. Cash flow issues are evident, with negative free cash flow and operational difficulties impacting liquidity.
Income Statement
Aqua Metals has been struggling with negative revenue growth, with consistent losses over the years. The company has not generated substantial revenue recently, and both EBIT and EBITDA margins are deeply negative, indicating significant operational challenges and inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
30
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is relatively low, indicating manageable levels of debt compared to equity. However, the negative net income results in a poor return on equity, reflecting inefficiencies in generating profit from shareholders' investments. The equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced capital structure.
Cash Flow
Free cash flow has been substantially negative, and operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates operational difficulties. While investing cash flow shows efforts towards investment, the negative free cash flow to net income ratio highlights challenges in converting earnings into cash.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
0.0025.00K4.00K173.00K108.00K
Gross Profit
0.00-6.26M-3.96M-6.84M-5.37M
EBIT
-23.85M-24.46M-15.58M-17.46M-15.39M
EBITDA
-23.85M-22.05M-14.24M-16.85M-21.68M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-24.55M-23.94M-15.43M-18.19M-25.76M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
4.08M16.52M7.08M8.14M6.53M
Total Assets
26.36M33.60M33.50M33.27M35.14M
Total Debt
4.27M3.23M6.48M718.00K1.19M
Net Debt
192.00K-13.29M-601.00K-7.42M-5.34M
Total Liabilities
10.12M7.54M12.59M5.74M4.00M
Stockholders Equity
16.24M26.06M20.92M27.53M31.14M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-21.55M-13.08M-14.92M-9.96M-14.39M
Operating Cash Flow
-13.63M-3.19M-10.15M-7.62M-11.03M
Investing Cash Flow
-11.64M-9.81M-3.42M-2.23M6.63M
Financing Cash Flow
12.82M22.45M12.51M11.45M3.35M

Aqua Metals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.23
Price Trends
50DMA
1.77
Negative
100DMA
1.95
Negative
200DMA
2.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.14
Positive
RSI
29.87
Positive
STOCH
17.25
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AQMS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.48, below the 50-day MA of 1.77, and below the 200-day MA of 2.89, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.87 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.25 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AQMS.

Aqua Metals Risk Analysis

Aqua Metals disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Aqua Metals reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Aqua Metals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AWAWX
64
Neutral
$10.10M7.973.53%4.07%
64
Neutral
$4.27B11.815.31%249.66%4.08%-8.61%
44
Neutral
$165.67M-38.46%-34.12%-3803.38%
43
Neutral
$50.07M-25.01%0.05%-99.92%
36
Underperform
$10.20M-116.08%-100.00%24.94%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AQMS
Aqua Metals
1.23
-8.79
-87.72%
AWX
Avalon Holdings
2.70
0.67
33.00%
PESI
Perma-Fix
8.97
-3.09
-25.62%
QRHC
Quest Resource
2.38
-8.28
-77.67%
GWAV
Greenwave Technology Solutions
0.21
-9.25
-97.78%
AMBI
Ambipar Emergency Response
4.39
0.29
7.07%

Aqua Metals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 31, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -34.22%|
Next Earnings Date:May 08, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Aqua Metals demonstrated significant technological and strategic advancements with successful pilot operations, reduced CO2 emissions, and strategic partnerships. However, financial challenges, including delays in the Sierra ARC facility completion and increased net loss, present hurdles. The company is actively pursuing financing and adapting its strategy to align with market conditions.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Pilot Plant Operations
Aqua Metals successfully operated its Lithium AquaRefining pilot plant for over a year, including a three-week continuous 24/7 endurance run in December, producing over 600 pounds of battery-grade lithium carbonate with purity levels exceeding 99.5%.
Significant CO2 Reduction
The AquaRefining process produces 83% less CO2 than traditional hydrometallurgical recycling methods, highlighting its environmental benefits.
Strategic Partnerships and Agreements
Aqua Metals formed a partnership with 6K Energy to provide up to 30% of recycled content for 6K's domestic cathode manufacturing facility, advancing the closed-loop battery material supply chain.
Strong Financial Positioning
The company raised approximately $50 million during the year, with a significant portion from insider support, and secured a tax abatement from the State of Nevada.
Recognition and Awards
Aqua Metals was selected by the US Department of Energy for the ACME-REVIVE program and was recognized as a Top Project of 2024 by Environment + Energy Leader.
Negative Updates
Sierra ARC Facility Completion Delays
The completion of the Sierra ARC facility remains on hold pending further financing, delaying potential revenue generation.
Impairment Costs
Aqua Metals recognized an impairment of approximately $2.6 million related to vendor equipment deposits for equipment no longer needed under the revised plan.
Increased Net Loss
The company reported a net loss of approximately $24.6 million for the year, compared to a net loss of $24 million in the previous year.
Company Guidance
During the Aqua Metals Q4 and full-year 2024 earnings call, the management provided several key metrics and strategic updates. The company reported a net loss of approximately $24.6 million for the fiscal year, with an associated loss per share of $3.83. Despite a challenging macroeconomic environment, Aqua Metals successfully operated its Lithium AquaRefining pilot plant continuously for over a year, achieving a notable milestone by producing more than 600 pounds of battery-grade lithium carbonate with purity levels exceeding 99.5% during a December endurance run. The company raised approximately $50 million in financing, with over two-thirds coming from Aqua Metals' leadership and board. Moreover, Aqua Metals secured an up to $2.2 million tax abatement from the State of Nevada and was selected for the US Department of Energy's ACME-REVIVE program. Looking forward, the company aims to advance colocation and licensing opportunities and pursue strategic funding to support its growth initiatives, including scaling operations to process up to 7,000 tons of black mass annually.

Aqua Metals Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Aqua Metals CFO Judd Merrill to Resign
Neutral
May 1, 2025

On April 25, 2025, Aqua Metals announced that Judd Merrill, the Chief Financial Officer, will resign effective May 16, 2025, following the filing of the company’s quarterly report. To ensure a smooth transition, Merrill will continue to provide financial and accounting support as a consultant until August 2025.

Spark’s Take on AQMS Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, AQMS is a Underperform.

Aqua Metals faces significant financial and operational challenges, marked by negative revenue growth and persistent losses. While there are promising strategic initiatives and technological advancements, these are overshadowed by the immediate financial hurdles and bearish technical indicators. The overall stock score reflects these substantial risks, tempered slightly by strategic partnerships and board enhancements.

To see Spark’s full report on AQMS stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aqua Metals Strengthens Board with New Appointments
Positive
Feb 7, 2025

On February 3, 2025, Aqua Metals appointed Steve Henderson and Eric Gangloff to its Board of Directors. With extensive experience in automotive, specialty chemicals, manufacturing, and finance, Henderson and Gangloff bring strategic expertise to support the company’s growth and commercialization strategy. Their addition is expected to aid Aqua Metals in advancing its AquaRefining™ process, strengthening industry reach, securing financing, and expanding commercial partnerships to enhance its position in the battery recycling and critical minerals production market.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.