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Organon (OGN)
NYSE:OGN

Organon (OGN) AI Stock Analysis

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OGN

Organon

(NYSE:OGN)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$7.50
▲(7.60% Upside)
Organon's overall stock score reflects a mixed financial performance with strong revenue growth but declining profit margins and high leverage. The technical analysis indicates bearish trends, while the valuation suggests the stock is undervalued. The earnings call and recent corporate events highlight operational challenges and governance issues, impacting investor confidence.
Positive Factors
Biosimilars Growth
The strong growth in biosimilars, particularly Hadlima, indicates a successful expansion into high-demand markets, enhancing revenue diversification and long-term growth potential.
Strategic Divestiture
The divestiture of non-core assets like the Jada system allows Organon to focus on its core women's health business while improving its balance sheet and financial flexibility.
Positive Free Cash Flow
Strong free cash flow generation demonstrates effective cash management and provides the company with resources to invest in growth opportunities and reduce debt.
Negative Factors
CEO Resignation
The CEO's resignation due to a sales practices investigation raises concerns about governance and operational integrity, potentially impacting strategic direction and investor confidence.
High Financial Leverage
Despite improvements, high leverage remains a risk, limiting financial flexibility and increasing vulnerability to interest rate changes, affecting long-term stability.
Declining Profit Margins
The decline in profit margins suggests cost pressures and reduced profitability, which could hinder the company's ability to reinvest in growth and maintain competitive positioning.

Organon (OGN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Organon Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOrganon & Co., a health care company, develops and delivers health solutions through a portfolio of prescription therapies in the United States and internationally. Its women's health portfolio comprises contraception and fertility brands, such as Nexplanon/Implanon, a long-acting reversible contraceptive. The company's biosimilars portfolio consists of three immunology products, such as Brenzys, Renflexis, and Hadlima, as well as two oncology products, including Ontruzant and Aybintio. It also offers cardiovascular products, consisting of several cholesterol-modifying medicines under the Zetia, Ezetrol, Vytorin, Inegy, Rosuzet, and Zocor brands; Cozaar and Hyzaar for the treatment of hypertension; respiratory products for various treatments to control and prevent symptoms caused by asthma under the Singulair, Dulera, Zenhale, and Asmanex brand names; and Singulair, Nasonex, Clarinex, and Aerius for treating seasonal allergic rhinitis. In addition, the company provides dermatology products under the Diprosone and Elocon brand; bone health portfolio, including Fosamax brand name; non-opioid pain management products under the Arcoxia, Diprospan, and Celestone brand names; Proscar for the treatment of symptomatic benign prostatic hyperplasia; and Propecia for the treatment of male pattern hair loss. The company sells its products primarily to drug wholesalers and retailers, hospitals, and government agencies, as well as managed health care providers, such as health maintenance organizations, pharmacy benefit managers, and other institutions. Organon & Co. was incorporated in 2020 and is based in Jersey City, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyOrganon generates revenue primarily through the sale of its pharmaceutical products, which include prescription medications and over-the-counter solutions targeting women's health. Key revenue streams include hormonal contraceptives, fertility drugs, and treatments for menopause-related conditions. The company also benefits from partnerships and collaborations with healthcare providers and other pharmaceutical companies, enhancing its product offerings and market reach. Additionally, Organon focuses on expanding its portfolio through research and development, aiming to introduce new therapies that align with its mission to serve women's health needs. The company's strategic initiatives to improve accessibility and affordability for patients further contribute to its earnings potential.

Organon Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong operational metrics like adjusted EBITDA margin and free cash flow, alongside significant challenges in key segments like Nexplanon and respiratory, leading to a downward revenue guidance revision. The divestiture of Jada offers potential for financial improvement, but the impact of past sales practices remains a concern.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Adjusted EBITDA Margin
Adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter was $518 million, representing a healthy margin of 32.3%, indicating strong operational efficiency despite headwinds.
Biosimilars Growth
Year-to-date performance driven by Hadlima, up 63% ex-FX globally, and an international tender for Ontruzant. The new denosumab biosimilar was approved and launched in the U.S.
Positive Free Cash Flow
Year-to-date, delivered $813 million of free cash flow before one-time costs, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities.
Strategic Divestiture of Jada System
Organon entered into a definitive agreement to divest the Jada system for $440 million, plus an additional $25 million contingent on 2026 revenue targets, enhancing financial flexibility.
Negative Updates
Nexplanon U.S. Sales Decline
Nexplanon sales in the U.S. declined by 50% due to unfavorable U.S. policy and challenges in budget-constrained public segments like Planned Parenthood.
Respiratory Business Decline
Significant decline in the respiratory portfolio, driven by lower demand for Singulair outside the U.S., price reductions in Japan and China, and increased discount rate pressure on Dulera.
Lower Revenue Guidance
Full year revenue guidance revised down to $6.2 billion to $6.25 billion from $6.275 billion to $6.375 billion, indicating a negative trend in revenue expectations.
Impact of Improper Sales Practices
Internal investigation into improper sales practices related to U.S. Nexplanon sales resulted in remediation efforts, including enhanced controls and personnel changes.
Company Guidance
During the Organon third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance that reflects several financial metrics and strategic priorities. The company reported third quarter revenue of $1.6 billion, with adjusted EBITDA at $518 million, resulting in an adjusted EBITDA margin of 32.3%. For the full year 2025, Organon revised its revenue guidance to a range of $6.2 billion to $6.25 billion, indicating a year-over-year nominal decline of 3.2% to 2.4%. The company expects adjusted gross margin to remain between 60% and 61% and adjusted EBITDA margin to be approximately 31% for the full year. Interest expense for 2025 is projected to be $510 million, with a non-GAAP tax rate estimated between 22.5% and 24.5%. The company also discussed its strategy of deleveraging, driving cost savings, and achieving revenue growth, while addressing recent sales practice issues that resulted in limited financial impact. Organon anticipates flat revenue growth for Nexplanon in 2026, factoring in policy headwinds and the impact of its 5-year launch.

Organon Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Organon is experiencing declining revenues and high leverage, which are impacting its financial stability. While cash flow management is relatively strong, the company needs to address revenue growth and leverage to improve its financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Organon's income statement shows a significant decline in revenue growth, with a TTM revenue drop of 25.16%. Gross profit margins have decreased slightly from previous years, and net profit margins have also contracted. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown some resilience, but overall profitability is under pressure due to declining revenues.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 9.74 in the TTM period, indicating significant financial risk. The return on equity is strong at 78.07%, but this is due to the low equity base. The equity ratio is low, suggesting potential solvency issues.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by 20.04% in the TTM period. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy, suggesting efficient cash management despite revenue challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.30B6.40B6.26B6.17B6.30B6.53B
Gross Profit3.47B3.71B3.75B3.88B3.92B4.41B
EBITDA1.57B1.60B1.44B1.76B1.98B2.99B
Net Income501.00M864.00M1.02B917.00M1.35B2.16B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.55B13.10B12.06B10.96B10.68B10.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments672.00M675.00M693.00M706.00M737.00M12.00M
Total Debt8.83B9.04B8.93B9.11B9.36B31.00M
Total Liabilities12.65B12.63B12.13B11.85B12.19B4.62B
Stockholders Equity906.00M472.00M-70.00M-892.00M-1.51B5.49B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow566.00M588.00M538.00M431.00M1.97B1.91B
Operating Cash Flow949.00M939.00M799.00M858.00M2.46B2.19B
Investing Cash Flow-621.00M-513.00M-260.00M-420.00M-481.00M-258.00M
Financing Cash Flow-456.00M-368.00M-569.00M-433.00M-1.33B-2.17B

Organon Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.97
Price Trends
50DMA
7.81
Negative
100DMA
8.83
Negative
200DMA
9.98
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.19
Negative
RSI
40.98
Neutral
STOCH
24.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OGN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.97 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.30, below the 50-day MA of 7.81, and below the 200-day MA of 9.98, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OGN.

Organon Risk Analysis

Organon disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Organon reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Organon Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$243.91B13.0039.51%3.34%1.59%58.02%
78
Outperform
$110.40B18.3133.84%4.84%1.26%
77
Outperform
$98.53B13.7235.62%3.42%5.97%128.66%
75
Outperform
$115.94B11.808.39%4.66%-9.32%120.62%
72
Outperform
$7.68B14.596.93%1.59%9.45%167.00%
53
Neutral
$1.81B3.6271.62%4.88%-1.69%-61.89%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OGN
Organon
6.97
-7.18
-50.74%
BMY
Bristol-Myers Squibb
54.23
0.08
0.15%
GSK
GlaxoSmithKline
48.78
16.47
50.97%
GRFS
Grifols SA
8.96
1.63
22.24%
MRK
Merck & Company
98.27
3.49
3.68%
SNY
Sanofi
47.44
1.88
4.13%

Organon Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Organon Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Nov 10, 2025

Organon reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, showing a slight increase in revenue to $1.602 billion, up 1% as-reported but down 1% excluding foreign currency impacts. The company lowered its full-year revenue guidance to $6.200 billion to $6.250 billion and adjusted EBITDA margin to approximately 31.0%. The quarter saw a decline in women’s health revenue by 3% as-reported, while biosimilars revenue increased by 19% due to strong performance of certain products. Organon is focusing on cost discipline and debt reduction to create capacity for future growth opportunities.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Grace Puma to Step Down from Organon Board
Neutral
Nov 7, 2025

On November 3, 2025, Grace Puma announced she will not seek re-election at Organon & Co.’s 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. Ms. Puma, who has been on the Board of Directors since 2021 and serves on the Talent Committee, will continue her role until the meeting. Her decision to step down is not due to any disagreements with the company or its management.

Executive/Board ChangesLegal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Organon CEO Resigns Amid Sales Practices Probe
Negative
Oct 27, 2025

On October 26, 2025, Kevin Ali resigned as CEO and board member of Organon due to an investigation into the company’s wholesaler sales practices. The Audit Committee’s investigation revealed improper sales practices involving Nexplanon, which allowed the company to meet revenue expectations during certain periods. As a result, Organon appointed Joseph Morrissey as Interim CEO and Carrie S. Cox as Executive Chair. The company is taking steps to improve financial controls and address material weaknesses, while initiating a search for a permanent CEO.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025