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Owens Corning (OC)
NYSE:OC

Owens Corning (OC) AI Stock Analysis

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Owens Corning

(NYSE:OC)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$135.00
▲(15.53% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/25/26
The score is driven primarily by solid cash generation and a manageable balance sheet, which support resilience despite cyclical market weakness. Offsetting this, the latest sharp earnings deterioration and cautious near-term guidance (notably Roofing volume declines and curtailment impacts) keep the outlook constrained. Technicals and valuation are both mixed, with the stock below key long-term averages and a negative P/E limiting valuation support.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistently high operating cash flow ($1.79B) and a ~61% YoY rise in free cash flow provide durable internal funding for capex, dividends, buybacks and debt service. This cash conversion cushions cyclical revenue swings and funds strategic investments without relying heavily on external financing.
Manageable leverage and liquidity
A modest debt load (~$1.0B vs $3.9B equity) and reported $1.8B liquidity create balance sheet flexibility. With year-end net debt-to-EBITDA around 2.1x management can fund ongoing capital projects, sustain shareholder returns and withstand near-term demand softness without immediate refinancing pressure.
Operational delivery and margin resilience
Sustained mid-20s-plus adjusted EBITDA margins across cycles, plus segment-level strength (Roofing/Insulation) reflect durable cost positions, product mix and pricing power. Combined with automation, network investments and exceeded synergy targets, this supports long-term margin sustainability as markets recover.
Negative Factors
Recent sharp earnings deterioration
A swing to a substantial net loss and steep EBIT decline signals meaningful earnings-quality deterioration. If structural demand or price/cost dynamics persist, reduced profitability could curtail internal capital formation, pressure returns on invested capital and complicate the path back to prior profit levels.
Roofing volume weakness and curtailments
Sustained low-20% shipment declines, distributor destocking and curtailments reduce utilization and create immediate margin pressure. Curtailment-related higher-cost inventory sales and disrupted plant operations can persist across quarters, delaying margin recovery even after pricing actions take effect.
Doors impairment and divestiture execution risk
A $1.1B goodwill impairment signals long-term weakness in the Doors business and lowers reported equity. The announced divestiture reduces diversification but is contingent on regulatory approvals, adding execution and timing risk that could affect near-term cash proceeds and strategic outcomes.

Owens Corning (OC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Owens Corning Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOwens Corning manufactures and markets insulation, roofing, and fiberglass composite materials in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Composites, Insulation, and Roofing. The Composites segment manufactures, fabricates, and sells glass reinforcements in the form of fiber; and glass fiber products in the form of fabrics, non-wovens, and other specialized products. Its products are used in building structures, roofing shingles, tubs and showers, pools, flooring, pipes and tanks, poles, electrical equipment, and wind-energy turbine blades applications in the building and construction, renewable energy, and infrastructure markets. This segment sells its products directly to parts molders, fabricators, and shingle manufacturers. The Insulation segment manufactures and sells insulation products for residential, commercial, industrial, and other markets for thermal and acoustical applications; and glass fiber pipe insulation, flexible duct media, bonded and granulated mineral fiber insulation, cellular glass insulation, and foam insulation products used in construction applications. This segment sells its products primarily to the insulation installers, home centers, lumberyards, retailers, and distributors under the Thermafiber, FOAMULAR, FOAMGLAS, Paroc, Owens Corning PINK, and FIBERGLAS Insulation brand names. The Roofing segment manufactures and sells aminate and strip asphalt roofing shingles, oxidized asphalt materials, and roofing components used in residential and commercial construction, and specialty applications, as well as synthetic packaging materials. This segment sells its products through distributors, home centers, lumberyards, retailers, and contractors, as well as to roofing contractors for built-up roofing asphalt systems; and manufacturers in automotive, chemical, rubber, and construction industries. Owens Corning was incorporated in 1938 and is headquartered in Toledo, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyOwens Corning generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from its three business segments. The Insulation segment earns money by selling fiberglass insulation products for residential and commercial applications, capitalizing on the growing demand for energy-efficient building materials. The Roofing segment generates income through the sale of roofing shingles and related products, catering to both new construction and repair markets. The Composites segment profits by providing fiberglass reinforcements and other composite solutions to industries like automotive, aerospace, and wind energy. Significant partnerships with construction firms, contractors, and distributors enhance their market reach. Additionally, Owens Corning's focus on innovation and sustainability allows it to command premium pricing on advanced products, contributing to its overall profitability.

Owens Corning Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call communicated a balanced picture: meaningful executional achievements (strong margins, cash returns, exceeded synergy targets, safety and innovation progress, and targeted capacity investments) contrasted with material near-term market headwinds (sharp Roofing volume decline, ongoing curtailments, negative price/cost dynamics, a $1.1 billion goodwill impairment in Doors, and free cash flow pressure from elevated CapEx). Management emphasized multiple levers to drive recovery and a path to long-term targets, while acknowledging near-term softness and one-time/noncash charges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Full-Year Financials and Margins
Full-year revenue of $10.1 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $2.3 billion with a 22% adjusted EBITDA margin; Q4 revenue $2.1 billion with adjusted EBITDA $362 million and a 17% Q4 margin. This marks the company's fifth consecutive year with 20%+ EBITDA margins.
Robust Cash Generation and Shareholder Returns
Generated $1.8 billion operating cash flow for the year and $962 million free cash flow for the full year. Returned $1.0 billion to shareholders in 2025 (dividends + buybacks) and over $4.0 billion since 2020; Q4 repurchases and dividends totaled $286 million. Board approved a ~15% dividend increase (declared $0.79 per share).
Disciplined Capital Investment and Elevated CapEx for Growth
Full-year capital additions were $824 million (roughly half focused on long-term cost efficiency and growth). 2026 CapEx guidance ~ $800 million to complete announced high-return projects; company expects a structural long-term CapEx run rate near ~4% of revenue after current projects.
Operational Delivery, Network Investments and Capacity Additions
Started up a new laminate shingle line (Ohio), a high-speed nonwovens line (Arkansas), and a low-cost XPS foam plant (Arkansas) in 2025; factory modernization and automation initiatives improving cost position and capacity.
Exceeded Synergy Targets and Additional Cost Opportunity
Achieved and exceeded the committed $125 million run-rate enterprise cost synergies ahead of mid-2026; on track to deliver an additional $75 million of structural cost improvements through network optimization, automation and productivity actions.
Safety, Innovation and Brand Strength
Recordable incident rate improved to 0.60 (industry-leading); more than half of sites operated injury-free. Launched 30+ new or improved products in 2025, maintaining a 20%+ product vitality index. Owens Corning recognized as a top 250 Best-Managed Company and noted as a highly trusted consumer brand.
Segment Resilience Despite Weak Markets
Roofing delivered full-year EBITDA of $1.4 billion (32% margin) despite market softness. Insulation delivered full-year EBITDA of $848 million (23% margin) and its fifth consecutive year of 20%+ EBITDA margins. Company maintained liquidity ($1.8 billion) and a conservative leverage position (year-end net debt-to-EBITDA 2.1x).
Tariff Mitigation and Supply-Chain Agility
Gross tariff exposure of ~$110 million in 2025 mitigated to a net tariff impact of ~$30 million; Q1 2026 gross tariff exposure expected at ~$20 million netting to ~$10 million after mitigation, with sourcing and supply-chain actions reducing net impact.
Negative Updates
Significant Near-Term Roofing Volume Declines
Q4 Roofing sales of $774 million, down 27% year-over-year driven primarily by lower shingle volumes, unusually quiet second-half storm season and distributor destocking; Q1 shipments expected to be down low-20% vs. prior year with production curtailments creating a roughly $30 million P&L headwind as higher-cost inventory is sold through.
Doors Business Weakness and Large Noncash Impairment
Doors Q4 revenue $486 million, down 14% year-over-year; Q4 EBITDA $33 million (7% margin). The company recorded $1.1 billion of noncash goodwill impairment charges (part of $1.2 billion of adjusting items for the year) related to Doors driven by weaker near-term macro assumptions.
Overall Volume Pressure and Market Softness
Weakening U.S. residential trends, distribution destocking, low housing starts (lowest quarterly level in six years) and unusually low existing home sales pressured demand across businesses; Insulation Q4 revenue down 7% and full-year down 6% (partly from China divestiture).
Negative Price/Cost Dynamics and Inflationary Pressures
Several businesses experienced negative price/cost in Q4 (inflation outpacing pricing), with modest price declines expected to start the year in some categories; continued tariff-driven cost pressure—particularly on Doors—contributed to margin headwinds.
Curtailments and Short-Term Earnings Impact
Production curtailments were implemented to manage inventory, resulting in Q4 impacts and an expected Q1 Roofing curtailment carryover (~$30 million headwind); Nephi plant cold-idled and other plants hot-idled to preserve restart flexibility.
Free Cash Flow and Return on Capital Below Long-Term Targets
Full-year free cash flow of $962 million was down $283 million year-over-year primarily due to higher capital additions. Return on capital for the trailing 12 months was 12%, below the company's mid-teens long-term target.
Pending Divestitures and Regulatory Risk
Divestiture of glass reinforcements announced and progressing, but closing is contingent on regulatory approvals and expected in the coming months — introducing timing and execution risk; sale of China/Korea completed earlier but still reduces near-term geographic diversification.
Company Guidance
Owens Corning guided first-quarter revenue from continuing operations of about $2.1–$2.2 billion with adjusted EBITDA margin in the mid‑teens; by business, Roofing ARMA shipments are expected down low‑20% with roofing revenue down low‑20%, Q1 roofing EBITDA margin in the low‑20s and a roughly $30 million curtailment headwind (an April price increase should begin to realize in Q2); Insulation revenue is expected down mid‑ to high‑single digits (North American residential down low double‑digits) with Q1 EBITDA margins just below 20%; Doors revenue is expected down mid‑teens (including ~$150 million of divested annual revenue) with Q1 EBITDA margins around 7%; corporate guidance includes general corporate EBITDA expense of $245–255 million, an effective tax rate of 24–26%, D&A of ~ $680 million and capital additions of ~ $800 million (more than half to strategic investments), with year‑end leverage at 2.1x EBITDA, liquidity of $1.8 billion, continued commitment to shareholder returns (Investor Day $2 billion target for 2025–26 already underway) and full‑year revenue/adjusted EBITDA largely aligned with consensus.

Owens Corning Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: cash flow is strong (operating cash flow $1.79B; free cash flow up ~61% YoY) and leverage appears moderate-to-manageable (debt ~$1.0B vs. equity ~$3.9B). However, profitability deteriorated sharply in the latest year (net loss of -$522M, EBIT down to $360M from $2.1B) alongside a revenue decline (~-6% YoY), making near-term earnings quality the key risk.
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Profitability has weakened meaningfully: after strong earnings in 2021–2024 (net margin roughly 6%–13%), the most recent annual period shows a net loss (-$522M) on lower revenue (about -6% year over year). Gross profit dollars held up versus 2023, but operating profitability compressed sharply (EBIT fell to $360M vs. $2.1B in 2024), indicating significant margin pressure and/or one-time costs. The longer-term backdrop is still constructive (revenue grew strongly from 2021–2024), but the latest year is a clear step-down and raises near-term earnings quality concerns.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Leverage appears moderate-to-manageable on the latest balance sheet, with total debt about $1.0B against $3.9B of equity (roughly 0.26x debt-to-equity using provided figures), a substantial improvement versus 2024 when leverage was higher (debt-to-equity ~1.11x). Equity remains sizable relative to the asset base, supporting balance-sheet flexibility. The key weakness is that the most recent year’s loss likely reduces internally generated capital and could pressure ratios if profitability does not recover.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash generation is a bright spot: operating cash flow was strong at $1.79B in the latest annual period and free cash flow also rose sharply (up ~61% year over year), indicating good conversion of operations into cash despite weaker reported earnings. Prior years also show consistently positive free cash flow (roughly $1.1B–$1.3B from 2021–2024). The main watch-out is the divergence between strong cash flow and the latest net loss, which can occur with working-capital swings or non-cash/one-time charges; it’s supportive, but worth monitoring for sustainability.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.10B10.97B9.68B9.76B8.50B
Gross Profit2.88B3.29B2.84B2.71B2.22B
EBITDA975.00M1.75B2.17B2.07B1.91B
Net Income-522.00M647.00M1.20B1.24B995.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.98B14.07B11.24B10.75B10.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments353.00M361.00M1.61B1.10B959.00M
Total Debt6.16B5.62B3.27B3.22B3.12B
Total Liabilities9.09B8.96B6.03B6.13B5.68B
Stockholders Equity3.85B5.08B5.17B4.58B4.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow962.00M1.25B1.19B1.31B1.09B
Operating Cash Flow1.79B1.89B1.72B1.76B1.50B
Investing Cash Flow-765.00M-3.39B-356.00M-623.00M-377.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.07B334.00M-877.00M-974.00M-881.00M

Owens Corning Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price116.85
Price Trends
50DMA
122.92
Negative
100DMA
118.81
Negative
200DMA
129.91
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.87
Positive
RSI
35.10
Neutral
STOCH
15.22
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 116.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 129.33, below the 50-day MA of 122.92, and below the 200-day MA of 129.91, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.87 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.22 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OC.

Owens Corning Risk Analysis

Owens Corning disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Owens Corning reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Owens Corning Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$12.55B30.0626.50%0.47%2.48%-6.92%
72
Outperform
$7.28B31.8037.24%0.66%15.10%23.35%
64
Neutral
$9.21B-17.89-4.21%2.43%3.47%-148.53%
64
Neutral
$13.85B16.371.94%-3.62%3.41%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
52
Neutral
$10.78B26.3410.06%-6.44%-48.84%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OC
Owens Corning
111.52
-30.89
-21.69%
AWI
Armstrong World
169.92
21.90
14.80%
BLDR
Builders Firstsource
95.51
-38.76
-28.87%
MAS
Masco
65.30
-7.48
-10.27%
WMS
Advanced Drainage Systems
149.00
36.16
32.04%

Owens Corning Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Owens Corning director to step down, board shrinks
Neutral
Feb 6, 2026

On February 4, 2026, Owens Corning director Maryann T. Mannen informed the board that she will not stand for re-election at the company’s 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, with the company stating her decision is not related to any disagreement over its operations, policies, or practices. Following her departure at the 2026 annual meeting, the board plans to decrease its size from ten to nine directors, signaling a modest streamlining of its governance structure without indicating broader strategic or operational shifts.

The most recent analyst rating on (OC) stock is a Hold with a $121.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Owens Corning stock, see the OC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 25, 2026