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NEXTracker, Inc. Class A (NXT)
NASDAQ:NXT
US Market
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NEXTracker, Inc. Class A (NXT) AI Stock Analysis

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NXT

NEXTracker, Inc. Class A

(NASDAQ:NXT)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
NEXTracker, Inc. Class A scores a solid 76, reflecting its strong financial performance, robust earnings call results, and reasonable valuation. The company shows impressive revenue growth and profitability, supported by strategic investments and a record backlog, which provide confidence in future growth. However, potential risks include international pricing pressures and the lack of a dividend yield. Technical indicators suggest a neutral market position, which aligns with the overall positive outlook tempered by specific challenges.
Positive Factors
Backlog Growth
Nextracker delivered a strong quarter and raised FY26 guidance, supported by record backlog.
Market Position
Positive and solid update from NXT despite the uncertain policy backdrop that dominated much of its fiscal quarter which speaks to its leading market position globally in solar trackers.
Negative Factors
Legislative Challenges
W&M legislative text related to FEOC may pose challenges for utility solar in the U.S.
Profitability Concerns
Total non-PTC gross margins across all product categories declined by roughly 320bps sequentially to 21.8% from 25.0%.

NEXTracker, Inc. Class A (NXT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NEXTracker, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNextracker Inc., an energy solutions company, provides solar tracker solutions for PV projects. The company offers solar trackers, such as Bifacial PV modules for large-scale solar; NX Horizon for solar power plants; NX Gemini two-in-portrait solar tracker that optimizes lifetime value and performance of power plants for project developers and asset owners; and NX Horizon XTR, an all-terrain solar tracker. It also provides TrueCapture, an intelligent and self-adjusting tracker control system for PV power plants; and NX Navigator, an operational control and risk mitigation software. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Fremont, California. Nextracker Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Flex Ltd.
How the Company Makes MoneyNEXTracker, Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its solar tracking systems and related services. The company designs and manufactures solar trackers that allow solar panels to follow the sun's trajectory, maximizing energy capture and efficiency. Revenue streams include direct sales of these tracking systems to solar power developers and operators, as well as installation and maintenance services. NEXTracker may also engage in strategic partnerships with solar energy companies and EPC (Engineering, Procurement, and Construction) contractors, contributing to its earnings through collaborative projects and long-term service agreements. Additionally, the company might benefit from government incentives and policies that promote renewable energy adoption, indirectly supporting its financial performance.

NEXTracker, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: -6.66%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in revenue, EBITDA, and backlog, showcasing strong demand and strategic advancements in technology and market position. However, there were concerns about decreased free cash flow and potential regulatory uncertainties. Despite these challenges, the positive aspects dominated the discussion.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Q1 revenue grew 20% year-over-year to $864 million, and adjusted EBITDA increased 23% to $215 million.
Record Backlog
Backlog hit a new record of over $4.75 billion, indicating healthy global demand and a strong competitive position.
Strategic Acquisitions
Announced acquisitions in robotics and AI, including Onsight Technology and Amir Robotics, to enhance product offerings.
Market Leadership
Nextracker is the #1 tracker provider worldwide for the tenth consecutive year with a market share increase to 26% in 2024.
U.S. Manufacturing Expansion
Expansion of over 25 manufacturing facilities across the United States to strengthen the U.S. supply chain.
Positive Regulatory Developments
Passage of the OBBBA reconciliation bill, addressing solar manufacturing and investment tax spreads.
Negative Updates
Free Cash Flow Decline
Adjusted free cash flow decreased to $70 million from the same period last year, due to growth investments in capital expenditures and working capital.
Potential Regulatory Uncertainty
Ongoing monitoring of potential updates to safe harbor provisions and other regulatory actions that could impact project timing and customer investment behavior.
Company Guidance
During Nextracker's First Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Call, CEO Dan Shugar reported robust financial performance with Q1 revenue growing 20% year-over-year to $864 million, and adjusted EBITDA increasing by 23% to $215 million. The company reached a record backlog of over $4.75 billion, indicating strong global demand. CFO Chuck Boynton highlighted an adjusted EBITDA margin of 25%, an adjusted gross margin of 33%, and a Q1 adjusted free cash flow of $70 million. For the full fiscal year, Nextracker expects revenue between $3.2 billion and $3.45 billion, adjusted EBITDA ranging from $750 million to $810 million, and adjusted diluted EPS between $3.96 and $4.27 per share. The company is also expanding its technology portfolio, announcing three strategic acquisitions in robotics and AI to enhance customer value and optimize performance.

NEXTracker, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NEXTracker, Inc. Class A demonstrates strong financial performance with impressive revenue growth and high profitability. The income statement shows robust growth with a revenue increase to $2.77 billion and a solid net profit margin of 20.1%. The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with minimal leverage, though the equity ratio suggests room for asset management improvement. Cash flow performance is robust, indicating strong cash generation capabilities and efficient capital expenditure.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
NEXTracker, Inc. Class A has shown impressive revenue growth, with a TTM revenue of $2.77 billion, up from $2.5 billion in the previous year, indicating a strong growth trajectory. The gross profit margin stands at 37.7%, and the net profit margin is at a solid 20.1%, reflecting efficient cost management and profitability. The EBIT margin of 25.8% and EBITDA margin of 26.9% further highlight operational efficiency. Overall, the income statement reflects strong growth and profitability within the renewable energy sector.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a healthy equity position with stockholders' equity of $1.41 billion and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.005, indicating minimal leverage. Return on equity (ROE) is substantial at 39.7%, reflecting effective utilization of equity. However, the equity ratio is moderate at 47.1%, suggesting balanced funding between equity and liabilities. Overall, the balance sheet is strong with low leverage and high equity returns, though the equity ratio indicates room for improvement in asset management.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
NEXTracker, Inc. Class A has demonstrated robust cash flow performance with a TTM operating cash flow of $526 million and free cash flow of $500 million, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.94, suggesting effective conversion of income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also favorable at 0.90. The free cash flow growth rate is impressive, highlighting efficient capital expenditure and cash management strategies. The cash flow statement reflects strong liquidity and cash generation capabilities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.10B2.96B2.50B1.90B1.46B1.20B
Gross Profit1.05B1.01B813.05M286.97M147.03M231.98M
EBITDA704.58M674.52M626.18M174.55M76.31M175.34M
Net Income544.65M509.17M306.24M1.14M50.91M124.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.39B3.19B2.52B1.42B1.02B880.97M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments743.40M766.10M474.05M159.31M38.37M217.99M
Total Debt0.000.00143.97M147.15M4.50M0.00
Total Liabilities1.58B1.56B1.53B934.82M516.16M424.92M
Stockholders Equity1.81B1.63B961.01M-3.08B501.13M456.05M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow573.98M621.87M422.31M104.49M-153.03M91.31M
Operating Cash Flow616.27M655.79M428.97M107.67M-147.11M94.27M
Investing Cash Flow-171.11M-186.10M-6.66M-3.16M-5.75M-2.96M
Financing Cash Flow-173.64M-177.65M-78.27M-3.57M-8.66M96.33M

NEXTracker, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price60.58
Price Trends
50DMA
59.58
Positive
100DMA
53.12
Positive
200DMA
47.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.20
Positive
RSI
55.66
Neutral
STOCH
52.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NXT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 60.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 58.78, above the 50-day MA of 59.58, and above the 200-day MA of 47.27, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -1.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NXT.

NEXTracker, Inc. Class A Risk Analysis

NEXTracker, Inc. Class A disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NEXTracker, Inc. Class A reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NEXTracker, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$7.99B14.7137.20%13.26%3.08%
69
Neutral
$4.21B25.3819.79%4.39%37.70%
61
Neutral
$36.30B7.26-7.27%1.97%7.74%-7.92%
60
Neutral
$768.19M36.343.77%-11.95%-7.87%
58
Neutral
$928.57M-44.13%6.36%-1683.09%
53
Neutral
$1.52B-131.02%-36.07%-233.14%
47
Neutral
$782.24M20.05-0.39%-19.06%-104.91%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NXT
NEXTracker, Inc. Class A
60.58
21.64
55.57%
CSIQ
Canadian Solar
12.55
-2.20
-14.92%
ENPH
Enphase Energy
34.84
-81.55
-70.07%
SEDG
SolarEdge Technologies
30.06
4.77
18.86%
ARRY
Array Technologies
7.62
1.07
16.34%
SHLS
Shoals Technologies Group
5.19
-0.05
-0.95%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 03, 2025