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National Research Corp (NRC)
NASDAQ:NRC

National Research (NRC) AI Stock Analysis

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NRC

National Research

(NASDAQ:NRC)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
▼(-38.43% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/05/26
The score is held back primarily by deteriorating financial performance (shrinking revenue, lower net margins) and elevated leverage, which increases risk. Technicals also remain bearish with the price below key moving averages and negative MACD, despite oversold signals. The dividend helps, but a high P/E limits valuation support.
Positive Factors
Gross Margin Strength
A ~56% gross margin is a durable structural advantage in healthcare information services: it supports pricing power and absorbs revenue volatility, enabling the company to sustain unit economics, fund R&D or sales investments, and preserve operating leverage over the medium term.
Positive Free Cash Flow
Consistent positive operating and free cash flow provide financial flexibility: cash generation funds operations, dividends and capex without immediate reliance on new equity, helping service obligations and invest in growth even while revenue trends are weak.
Operating Profitability
Maintained operating profitability indicates the core business can cover fixed costs and generate earnings from operations. That structural profitability supports ongoing cash conversion and makes strategic responses (cost cuts, reinvestment) more feasible through the medium term.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Sustained revenue contraction undermines scale advantages and long-term growth prospects. Continued top-line decline pressures margins, limits market share expansion, and reduces the base for future investment, making long-term recovery harder without strategic change.
Net Margin Compression
A rapid fall in net margin signals structural pressure on profitability—likely from pricing, mix, or rising costs. Lower net margins materially reduce retained earnings and free cash flow, increasing vulnerability to economic swings and limiting capacity to deleverage or reinvest.
Elevated Leverage
Sharp increase in leverage markedly reduces financial flexibility and raises refinancing and interest-rate risk. With shrinking revenue and compressed margins, high debt amplifies earnings volatility and constrains the company’s ability to fund strategic initiatives or weather downturns.

National Research (NRC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

National Research Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNational Research Corporation provides analytics and insights that facilitate measurement and enhancement of the patient and employee experience in the United States and Canada. Its portfolio of subscription-based solutions provides actionable information and analysis to healthcare organizations across a range of mission-critical, constituent-related elements, including patient experience, service recovery, care transitions, health risk assessments, employee engagement, reputation management, and brand loyalty. The company also offers market insights solutions that allow the tracking of awareness, perception, and consistency of healthcare brands; assessment of competitive differentiators; and enhanced segmentation tools to evaluate needs, wants, and behaviors of communities through real-time competitive assessments and enhanced segmentation tools. In addition, it provides experience solutions, such as patient and resident experience, workforce engagement, health risk assessments, transitions, and improvement tools. Further, the company offers health risk assessment solutions that enable clients to segment populations and manage care for those who are most at risk, engage individuals, enhance preventative care, and manage wellness programs; and transitions solutions, which enable organizations to identify and manage high-risk patients to reduce readmissions, enhance patient satisfaction and support safe care transitions. Additionally, it provides transparency solutions that allow healthcare organizations to share picture of their organization and ensure content informs in consumer decision-making; and governance solutions for not-for-profit hospital and health system boards of directors, executives, and physician leadership. The company serves integrated health systems, post-acute providers, and payer organizations. National Research Corporation was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Lincoln, Nebraska.
How the Company Makes MoneyNational Research Corporation generates revenue primarily through subscription-based services and consulting engagements. The company offers various subscription plans for access to its proprietary data and analytics platforms, which provide clients with insights into patient and employee experiences. Key revenue streams include fees from survey administration, data analysis, and reporting services. NRC also earns revenue from custom research projects and consulting services that help healthcare organizations implement strategies based on the data provided. Partnerships with healthcare providers, hospitals, and other organizations enhance its market reach and bolster its credibility, contributing significantly to its earnings.

National Research Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2024
(Q1-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted the company's strategic plans to expand its market and integrate innovative AI solutions, with positive organizational changes and financial management. However, financial results were flat year-over-year, and there is an expectation of increased net debt due to ongoing investments.
Q1-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Expansion Goals and Strategy
The company aims to double the total addressable market through portfolio additions, acquisitions, and partnerships, with a focus on double-digit annual revenue growth and expanding margins.
Organizational and Leadership Changes
The company has restructured its leadership and sales teams, adding new leaders and sales associates, and implemented new compensation plans and training programs to accelerate pipeline growth.
Innovative Technology and AI Integration
Investment in AI and product leadership to deliver innovative AI solutions to clients, with new tools and insights expected soon in the market.
Financial Management and Capital Allocation
Operating cash flows increased to $12 million compared to $8 million in the previous year. The company returned $18 million to stockholders through dividends and stock repurchases.
Negative Updates
Flat Year-over-Year Financial Results
The financial results were consistent with expectations but relatively flat year-over-year, indicating no significant revenue growth in the short term.
Increased Net Debt
Net debt is expected to increase over the balance of the year due to ongoing investments in technology and market expansion.
Company Guidance
During National Research Corporation's Q1 2024 earnings call, the company outlined ambitious financial goals, including doubling their total addressable market through strategic portfolio additions, acquisitions, and partnerships, and achieving double-digit annual revenue growth. The company aims to expand its margins and create significant value for investors by leveraging its health care DNA and innovative technologies. With plans to enhance enterprise-wide experience solutions and apply a generative AI overlay across their offerings, NRC is focused on providing actionable insights that improve client revenue and costs. Despite flat financial results year-over-year, operating cash flows increased from $8 million to $12 million compared to the previous year, with $18 million returned to stockholders through dividends and stock repurchases. The company maintains a net debt of $40 million as of March 31, 2024, and plans to continue funding growth investments while ensuring financial flexibility for future opportunities.

National Research Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: solid gross margin and positive free cash flow, but revenue has been shrinking and net margin has fallen materially versus prior years. Balance-sheet risk is elevated with sharply higher leverage (debt-to-equity ~5.6x), reducing financial flexibility.
Income Statement
48
Neutral
Profitability remains solid in absolute terms, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross margin around 56% and operating profitability still positive. However, results have weakened materially versus prior years: revenue has been shrinking for several periods (TTM revenue down sharply), and net margin in TTM fell to ~8% from ~17% in 2024 and ~21% in 2022–2023. The trajectory shows compression across operating and net profitability, suggesting either pricing pressure, mix shift, or cost headwinds.
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
Leverage has risen significantly. Total debt increased while equity fell, pushing debt-to-equity to ~5.6x in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) versus ~2.1x in 2024 and below 1.0x in 2022–2023. This higher leverage reduces financial flexibility and increases sensitivity to earnings volatility. While returns on equity are high, they are inflated by the much smaller equity base, which also raises balance-sheet risk.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash generation is positive, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow (~$26.5M) and free cash flow (~$15.7M) both positive, and TTM free cash flow growth strong. That said, cash conversion is weaker than earlier years: operating cash flow covers only ~72% of net income in TTM (down from ~97% in 2024 and >100% in 2020–2023), and free cash flow is ~60% of net income, indicating less efficient conversion of profits into cash.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue137.39M143.06M148.58M151.57M147.95M
Gross Profit77.39M86.13M92.56M94.52M95.60M
EBITDA30.23M41.31M45.98M49.30M56.66M
Net Income11.60M24.78M30.97M31.80M37.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets134.88M132.54M122.44M130.46M157.54M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.14M4.23M6.65M25.03M54.36M
Total Debt79.03M64.41M38.96M23.39M28.68M
Total Liabilities120.89M101.25M73.48M58.43M72.20M
Stockholders Equity13.99M31.28M48.95M72.03M85.34M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.74M19.18M22.33M26.43M40.83M
Operating Cash Flow26.45M34.63M38.11M36.27M46.34M
Investing Cash Flow-10.71M-20.28M-15.78M-9.84M-8.51M
Financing Cash Flow-15.84M-16.76M-40.71M-55.58M-18.16M

National Research Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price19.49
Price Trends
50DMA
17.87
Negative
100DMA
15.98
Negative
200DMA
15.33
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.77
Positive
RSI
35.63
Neutral
STOCH
31.87
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NRC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 19.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.19, above the 50-day MA of 17.87, and above the 200-day MA of 15.33, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.77 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NRC.

National Research Risk Analysis

National Research disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. National Research reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

National Research Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$284.46M17.2610.88%9.67%1.47%11.33%
61
Neutral
$142.41M-2,996.150.03%24.19%
57
Neutral
$294.48M108.051.57%3.75%
54
Neutral
$233.50M-3.70-41.21%13.09%-745.95%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$122.36M-1.13-31.33%4.64%-17.17%
46
Neutral
$282.99M24.1166.01%2.52%-3.50%-37.46%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NRC
National Research
13.44
-0.59
-4.17%
TBRG
TruBridge
19.77
-10.32
-34.30%
SLP
Simulations Plus
12.09
-17.12
-58.61%
SPOK
Spok Holdings
11.92
-3.72
-23.79%
OPRX
OptimizeRx
7.84
2.70
52.53%
HCAT
Health Catalyst
1.75
-2.64
-60.14%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 05, 2026