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NET Power (NPWR)
NYSE:NPWR
US Market

NET Power (NPWR) AI Stock Analysis

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NET Power

(NYSE:NPWR)

Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▼(-1.57%Downside)
NET Power's overall score is primarily impacted by its financial performance, where challenges with profitability and cash flow remain significant concerns. The strategic focus and strong cash position from the earnings call provide some optimism. Technical analysis suggests cautious sentiment, and valuation concerns reflect market skepticism.
Positive Factors
Liquidity and partnerships
There is an attractive entry point as there is ~$533M of liquidity, ~3 years of runway, and well-resourced partners that can position the company to pursue large power generation.
Negative Factors
Funding shortfall
There is a $600-900M funding shortfall for Project Permian, and securing this financing is crucial for the project's final investment decision.
Stock performance
NPWR stock was down ~60% likely on cost inflation and new liquidity concerns.

NET Power (NPWR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NET Power Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNET Power Inc. operates as a clean energy technology company. It invents, develops, and licenses clean power generation technology. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Durham, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyNET Power makes money by licensing its Allam Cycle technology to power plant developers and operators around the world. The company also generates revenue through strategic partnerships and joint ventures with energy companies seeking to implement NET Power's carbon-neutral technology in their operations. Additionally, NET Power may earn income from engineering services and technical support provided to its partners to facilitate the integration and optimization of its technology. The company's revenue model is significantly influenced by the growing demand for clean energy solutions and regulatory pressures to reduce carbon emissions.

NET Power Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 20.38%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a company that is financially robust and strategically focused on cost optimization and operational excellence. However, concerns about market valuation and share price indicate challenges in external perception. Despite these concerns, progress in operational strategies and strong financial health present a positive outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Position
Exited the first quarter with approximately $500 million of cash and cash equivalents, earning 5% interest per year, and no debt.
Operational Focus and Strategy
Focus on improving project economics for the first utility scale plant, reducing total installed cost, and achieving a competitive levelized cost of energy (LCOE).
La Porte Testing Advancements
Significant progress with La Porte testing to prove performance expectations for commercial scale clean power plants.
Major Shareholder Support
85% of the company's equity is owned by major strategic investors including Oxy, Constellation, Baker Hughes, SK Group, and the Rice family.
Cost Optimization Initiatives
Value engineering process for Project Permian to identify cost savings without compromising performance or safety.
Negative Updates
Share Price Concerns
Current trading price is near cash value, implying the market assigns little value to the technology.
Project Permian Cost Challenges
Project Permian is likely to be the most expensive and least efficient deployment.
Market Valuation Discrepancy
Significant dislocation in market valuation compared to other clean power technology companies.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter 2025 earnings call, Net Power Inc. outlined its strategic focus areas and financial guidance for the year. The company aims to enhance the economics of its first utility-scale plant by reducing the total installed cost and achieving a competitive levelized cost of energy (LCOE) through improvements in cycle thermal efficiencies and reductions in per unit capital costs. Net Power plans to spend approximately $190 million, net of interest income, which includes $45 million for general and administrative expenses, $50 million for R&D activities including La Porte testing, and $100 million for SN1 and Baker turbine development. The company ended the first quarter with $500 million in cash and cash equivalents, earning about 5% interest annually, and anticipates closing the year with $350 million in cash. These investments are directed towards advancing operational capabilities and preparing for commercial deployment, with the aim of completing two phases of La Porte testing and refining a cost-effective design for future projects.

NET Power Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NET Power shows potential for growth with increased revenue, but persistent negative profitability and cash flow challenges raise concerns about operational efficiency and long-term viability.
Income Statement
30
Negative
NET Power has experienced inconsistent revenue growth, with a marked increase in total revenue from 2023 to 2024. However, the company has struggled with negative net income and gross profit margins over multiple years, indicating ongoing profitability challenges. The negative EBIT and EBITDA margins further highlight the operational inefficiencies that need addressing.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company maintains a solid equity base with a high equity ratio, suggesting financial stability. However, the negative net income has led to low return on equity (ROE), which indicates inefficient use of equity capital. The debt-to-equity ratio remains low, suggesting low leverage and potential for future borrowing if needed.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
While NET Power has improved its free cash flow position from 2023 to 2024, the operating cash flow remains negative, which is concerning for long-term sustainability. The free cash flow to net income ratio is unavailable due to negative net income, which complicates the assessment of cash flow efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.00250.00K175.00K580.00K2.10M45.00K
Gross Profit-40.11M219.00K-50.67M290.00K1.27M8.00K
EBITDA-76.36M-99.70M-130.86M-36.64M-10.19M-23.39M
Net Income-19.48M-49.19M-77.23M-54.78M-9.80M-36.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.45B2.29B2.47B351.85M348.37M107.08M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments573.95M507.57M636.93M1.63M2.57M12.78M
Total Debt2.09M3.10M2.15M786.00K7.01M0.00
Total Liabilities149.73M131.93M140.14M41.57M42.32M8.50M
Stockholders Equity659.77M655.60M785.01M310.51M306.44M98.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-59.78M-100.30M-60.65M-972.53K-1.33M-25.20M
Operating Cash Flow-41.04M-31.65M-49.00M-857.53K-1.33M-24.98M
Investing Cash Flow-206.94M-168.67M-103.70M-115.00K-345.03M-220.00K
Financing Cash Flow319.56M-4.93M335.39M21.47M348.93M29.00M

NET Power Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.54
Price Trends
50DMA
2.07
Positive
100DMA
3.34
Negative
200DMA
6.35
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Negative
RSI
56.37
Neutral
STOCH
83.11
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NPWR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.54 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.42, above the 50-day MA of 2.07, and below the 200-day MA of 6.35, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.11 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NPWR.

NET Power Risk Analysis

NET Power disclosed 69 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NET Power reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
by holders of our warrants, which could limit the ability of warrant holders to obtain a favorable judicial forum for disputes with our company. Q4, 2024
2.
An impairment in the carrying value of our goodwill or long-lived assets, principally other intangible assets and property, plant and equipment, could negatively impact our consolidated results of operations and financial condition. Q4, 2024
3.
capital investment from us and our partners. If we cannot secure sufficient finding to construct our first commercial-scale plant, our business could fail. Q4, 2024

NET Power Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$1.51B18.63185.56%17.92%173.25%
70
Neutral
$1.57B253.003.53%52.99%
58
Neutral
$1.33B4.20-2.93%7.45%3.67%-51.13%
52
Neutral
$554.24M43.62-24.23%100.00%6.28%
BWBW
47
Neutral
$93.48M29.28%-29.45%39.40%
44
Neutral
$15.27M-90.36%-87.59%51.14%
NNNNE
35
Underperform
$1.35B-45.55%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NPWR
NET Power
2.54
-6.93
-73.18%
AMSC
American Superconductor
39.19
13.54
52.79%
BW
Babcock & Wilcox Company
1.01
-0.91
-47.40%
PSIX
Power Solutions
70.27
59.77
569.24%
CETY
Clean Energy Technologies
0.23
-1.01
-81.45%
NNE
Nano Nuclear Energy Inc.
32.95
4.55
16.02%

NET Power Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
NET Power Announces New Chief Accounting Officer
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 6, 2025, NET Power Inc. announced the departure of Kelly Rosser as Chief Accounting Officer, effective June 15, 2025, with a compensation package including salary, bonus, and healthcare coverage. Caleb Van Dolah, with extensive experience in accounting and financial reporting, will assume the role of principal accounting officer on the same date. Additionally, during the annual stockholders’ meeting on June 3, 2025, the election of three directors and the ratification of KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm were confirmed.

The most recent analyst rating on (NPWR) stock is a Sell with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NET Power stock, see the NPWR Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
NET Power Announces Leadership Restructuring Amid Executive Changes
Neutral
Apr 15, 2025

On April 14, 2025, NET Power Inc. announced significant leadership changes, with Brian Allen and Akash Patel stepping down from their roles as President and Chief Operating Officer and Chief Financial Officer, respectively, effective April 15, 2025. Daniel J. Rice IV, the current CEO, has been appointed as President and Interim CFO, while Marc Horstman has been named Chief Operating Officer. These changes are part of a strategic restructuring, with severance packages provided to the departing executives. The appointments aim to strengthen the company’s leadership team, with Horstman bringing extensive experience from previous roles at Vertiv Holdings Co., Siemens, Rolls-Royce, and General Electric.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 27, 2025