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NET Power (NPWR)
NYSE:NPWR
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NET Power (NPWR) AI Stock Analysis

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NPWR

NET Power

(NYSE:NPWR)

Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▲(13.64% Upside)
NET Power's overall stock score reflects a mix of potential and challenges. The most significant factor is the company's financial performance, which shows growth potential but is hindered by negative profitability and cash flow issues. Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, while valuation metrics are weak due to ongoing losses. The earnings call provides a positive outlook with strategic initiatives, but high costs and commercialization delays are concerns.
Positive Factors
Cost Efficiency
The integration of a traditional gas plant has reduced the LCOE of NPWR's solution from $150 to $100/MWh due to bonus depreciation and operational improvements.
Financial Performance
There is an attractive entry point as there is ~$533M of liquidity, ~3 years of runway, and well-resourced partners that can position the company to pursue large power generation.
Strategic Partnerships
Longer-term oriented strategic partners may do a follow-on to keep the company mission alive, with ~3 years of liquidity to work with to raise capital.
Negative Factors
Cost Inflation
Rising cost estimates for Project Permian are mainly driven by higher natural gas purification costs, transportation costs, labor costs, and cooling system costs.
Funding Challenges
There is a $600-900M funding shortfall for Project Permian, and securing this financing is crucial for the project's final investment decision.
Stock Performance
NPWR stock was down ~60% likely on cost inflation and new liquidity concerns.

NET Power (NPWR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NET Power Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNET Power (NPWR) is an energy technology company focused on the development and commercialization of clean and efficient natural gas power plants. The company utilizes its proprietary Allam Cycle technology, which aims to generate electricity without emitting carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, making it a leader in sustainable energy solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyNET Power makes money by licensing its Allam Cycle technology to power plant developers and operators around the world. The company also generates revenue through strategic partnerships and joint ventures with energy companies seeking to implement NET Power's carbon-neutral technology in their operations. Additionally, NET Power may earn income from engineering services and technical support provided to its partners to facilitate the integration and optimization of its technology. The company's revenue model is significantly influenced by the growing demand for clean energy solutions and regulatory pressures to reduce carbon emissions.

NET Power Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 11, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant progress in cost reduction and technological integration, particularly with the addition of gas turbines, which positions NET Power well for future deployment. However, high initial costs and extended commercialization timelines remain challenges. The integration strategy aligns well with market needs, providing a pathway to decarbonization and positioning NET Power as a flexible solution provider.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Integration with Gas Turbines
The integration of gas turbines with the NET Power cycle leads to a higher efficiency configuration. This integration enables the company to provide reliable, affordable power now and lower emissions in the future, significantly increasing power export capability from 200 megawatts to 415 megawatts.
Project Permian Cost Reduction
Project Permian LCOE improved significantly from over $150 per megawatt hour to under $100 per megawatt hour due to value engineering and tax incentives. Pipe quantities and diameter have been reduced by 20% and 25% respectively, and ASU equipment costs came in 15% lower than expected.
Turboexpander Program Progress
Significant advancements in the turboexpander validation program with Baker Hughes, including infrastructure repairs and increased testing cadence, are moving the project toward Phase 2.
45Q Tax Credit Parity
The 45Q tax credit parity for sequestration and utilization pathways enhances the economic viability of projects like Project Permian, offering a nearly $10 per megawatt hour lower power price.
Negative Updates
High Initial Costs
Despite cost reductions, the initial cost range for the NET Power plant remains high at $1.6 billion to $1.9 billion, with the integration of gas turbines adding an additional $300 million to $400 million.
Delayed Commercialization Timeline
The timeline for commercial deployment is extended, with the NET Power plant potentially coming online by 2029-2030, depending on securing offtake agreements and financing.
Market Hesitation for First-of-a-kind Technology
There is some market hesitation to colocate with first-of-a-kind technology, affecting the deployment strategy and reliance on proven gas turbine technology to lead.
Company Guidance
During the NET Power, Inc. Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance highlighting several key metrics and strategic initiatives. The 2025 PJM capacity auction saw a significant increase in cleared prices to $329 per megawatt per day, an 11-fold rise over two years. The company aims to leverage its NET Power cycle technology, which converts nearly 80% of natural gas BTU energy into electricity while inherently capturing CO2. By integrating gas turbines to cover auxiliary loads, NET Power aims to boost core cycle efficiency by approximately 15 megawatts, effectively doubling power output with half the emissions compared to standalone gas turbines. The project Permian Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE) has improved significantly, dropping from over $150 per megawatt-hour to under $100, thanks to value engineering and recent tax incentives, including a 45Q credit increase from $60 to $85 per ton for CO2 utilization. The company plans to install 200-megawatt gas turbines ahead of its core facility to meet immediate demand, transitioning to a cleaner, more efficient power source as NET Power facilities come online, effectively reducing emissions by 50% while doubling power output.

NET Power Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NET Power shows potential for growth with increased revenue, but persistent negative profitability and cash flow challenges raise concerns about operational efficiency and long-term viability. The strong equity position provides some financial stability, but improvements in profitability and cash management are essential.
Income Statement
30
Negative
NET Power has experienced inconsistent revenue growth, with a marked increase in total revenue from 2023 to 2024. However, the company has struggled with negative net income and gross profit margins over multiple years, indicating ongoing profitability challenges. The negative EBIT and EBITDA margins further highlight the operational inefficiencies that need addressing.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company maintains a solid equity base with a high equity ratio, suggesting financial stability. However, the negative net income has led to low return on equity (ROE), which indicates inefficient use of equity capital. The debt-to-equity ratio remains low, suggesting low leverage and potential for future borrowing if needed.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
While NET Power has improved its free cash flow position from 2023 to 2024, the operating cash flow remains negative, which is concerning for long-term sustainability. The free cash flow to net income ratio is unavailable due to negative net income, which complicates the assessment of cash flow efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue262.00K250.00K175.00K580.00K2.10M45.00K
Gross Profit-3.01M219.00K-50.67M305.00K1.27M8.00K
EBITDA-161.99M-99.70M-130.86M-36.64M-24.97M-23.39M
Net Income-180.99M-49.19M-77.23M-54.78M-9.80M-36.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.79B2.29B2.47B351.85M348.37M107.08M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments403.40M507.57M636.93M5.16M2.57M12.78M
Total Debt4.23M3.10M2.15M786.00K7.01M0.00
Total Liabilities58.99M131.93M140.14M41.57M42.32M8.50M
Stockholders Equity616.20M655.60M785.01M64.40M306.44M98.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-129.98M-100.30M-60.65M-972.53K-1.33M-25.20M
Operating Cash Flow-65.79M-31.65M-49.00M-857.53K-1.33M-24.98M
Investing Cash Flow-50.19M-168.67M-103.70M-115.00K-345.03M-220.00K
Financing Cash Flow-5.09M-4.93M335.39M21.47M348.93M29.00M

NET Power Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.20
Price Trends
50DMA
2.71
Negative
100DMA
2.37
Negative
200DMA
5.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Positive
RSI
36.58
Neutral
STOCH
8.71
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NPWR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.50, below the 50-day MA of 2.71, and below the 200-day MA of 5.14, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.71 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NPWR.

NET Power Risk Analysis

NET Power disclosed 69 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NET Power reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
by holders of our warrants, which could limit the ability of warrant holders to obtain a favorable judicial forum for disputes with our company. Q4, 2024
2.
An impairment in the carrying value of our goodwill or long-lived assets, principally other intangible assets and property, plant and equipment, could negatively impact our consolidated results of operations and financial condition. Q4, 2024
3.
capital investment from us and our partners. If we cannot secure sufficient finding to construct our first commercial-scale plant, our business could fail. Q4, 2024

NET Power Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$2.00B18.05138.29%40.10%147.12%
70
Neutral
$2.19B123.786.41%63.73%
64
Neutral
$10.73B15.747.56%2.01%2.76%-15.10%
56
Neutral
$221.40M29.28%-33.75%6.01%
50
Neutral
$488.87M43.62-26.88%-94.96%-579.85%
45
Neutral
$16.43M-58.13%-80.89%50.92%
35
Underperform
$1.36B-28.84%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NPWR
NET Power
2.20
-5.25
-70.47%
AMSC
American Superconductor
48.88
28.93
145.01%
BW
Babcock & Wilcox Company
2.13
0.99
86.84%
PSIX
Power Solutions
86.84
69.57
402.84%
CETY
Clean Energy Technologies
0.24
-0.86
-78.18%
NNE
Nano Nuclear Energy Inc.
31.68
24.28
328.11%

NET Power Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
NET Power Board Member Eunkyung Sung Resigns
Neutral
Jul 15, 2025

On July 10, 2025, Eunkyung Sung resigned from the board of directors of NET Power Inc., effective immediately. Her resignation was not due to any disagreement with the company’s management or board.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
NET Power Announces New Chief Accounting Officer
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 6, 2025, NET Power Inc. announced the departure of Kelly Rosser as Chief Accounting Officer, effective June 15, 2025, with a compensation package including salary, bonus, and healthcare coverage. Caleb Van Dolah, with extensive experience in accounting and financial reporting, will assume the role of principal accounting officer on the same date. Additionally, during the annual stockholders’ meeting on June 3, 2025, the election of three directors and the ratification of KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm were confirmed.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 30, 2025