tiprankstipranks
American Superconductor (AMSC)
NASDAQ:AMSC

American Superconductor (AMSC) AI Stock Analysis

1,283 Followers

Top Page

AMSC

American Superconductor

(NASDAQ:AMSC)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$32.00
▼(-18.88% Downside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by improving fundamentals and strong balance-sheet strength, reinforced by bullish operational commentary and forward guidance. The rating is tempered by earnings quality/cash conversion concerns (including the one-time tax benefit) and a mixed technical setup where longer-term trend indicators remain weak.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Very low leverage and an expanded equity base provide durable financial flexibility: the company can fund working-capital needs, pursue bolt-on M&A like Comtrafo, and absorb cyclical delays in utility spending without immediate refinancing risk, supporting multi-month execution.
Negative Factors
One-time Tax Benefit Inflating GAAP
A very large, non-recurring tax benefit materially boosted GAAP net income, making headline profitability an unreliable signal of ongoing earnings power. Analysts and management must normalize results to assess sustainable operating margins and future ROE over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Very low leverage and an expanded equity base provide durable financial flexibility: the company can fund working-capital needs, pursue bolt-on M&A like Comtrafo, and absorb cyclical delays in utility spending without immediate refinancing risk, supporting multi-month execution.
Read all positive factors

American Superconductor (AMSC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

American Superconductor Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
American Superconductor Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides megawatt-scale power resiliency solutions worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Grid and Wind. The Grid segment offers products and services that enable elect...
How the Company Makes Money
AMSC makes money primarily by selling power electronics- and software-based grid solutions and by providing related engineering and support services. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) product revenue from grid interconnection and stabiliz...

American Superconductor Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong operational momentum: double-digit revenue growth (+21% YoY), expanding gross margins (31%), a robust >$250M backlog, consecutive profitability streaks, and strategic expansion via the Comtrafo acquisition that opens Brazil/Latin America and expands transformer capability. Management provided confident guidance for Q4 (> $80M revenue) and highlighted a new data center milestone. Offsetting factors include a very large one-time $113.1M tax benefit that materially inflated GAAP headline earnings, a meaningful cash reduction due to acquisition consideration, rising operating expenses and working capital investment to support growth, early-stage integration and capacity scaling needs in Brazil, and the nascent (and therefore uncertain) nature of new end-market opportunities like data centers. On balance, operational trends and backlog growth outweigh the near-term financial and integration headwinds, but investors should note the one-time nature of the tax benefit and the cash/working-capital impacts of the acquisition.
Positive Updates
Record Quarter — Revenue Growth and Guidance
Q3 revenue of $74.5M (vs. $61.4M year-ago) — +21% YoY; exceeded guidance. Company guided Q4 revenue to exceed $80M and expects GAAP net income > $3M and non-GAAP net income > $8M.
Negative Updates
Large One-Time Tax Benefit Inflating GAAP Results
Q3 included a $113.1M tax benefit from the release of a valuation allowance on deferred tax assets, producing GAAP net income of $117.8M ($2.68/sh) and non-GAAP net income of $123.5M ($2.81/sh). Excluding the tax benefit, GAAP net income was $4.7M ($0.11/sh) vs. $2.5M year-ago (+88% YoY) and non-GAAP net income excluding the benefit was $10.5M vs. $6.0M year-ago (+75% YoY). The one-time nature of the tax benefit makes headline GAAP results less representative of ongoing operating profitability.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Quarter — Revenue Growth and Guidance
Q3 revenue of $74.5M (vs. $61.4M year-ago) — +21% YoY; exceeded guidance. Company guided Q4 revenue to exceed $80M and expects GAAP net income > $3M and non-GAAP net income > $8M.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided Q4 FY2025 (ending March 31, 2026) to revenues exceeding $80.0 million, GAAP net income above $3.0 million (>$0.07/share) and non‑GAAP net income above $8.0 million (>$0.17/share). This guidance follows a strong Q3 (ended Dec 31, 2025) featuring $74.5M revenue (+21% YoY), Grid 85%/Wind 15% mix ($63.2M Grid, $11.3M Wind), gross margin 31% (third consecutive quarter >30%), sixth consecutive GAAP profitable quarter and 10th consecutive non‑GAAP profitable quarter, $117.8M GAAP net income ($2.68/share) driven by a $113.1M tax benefit (ex‑benefit GAAP net income $4.7M, $0.11/share; ex‑benefit non‑GAAP $10.5M, $0.24/share), $147.1M cash after $88.3M cash paid for Comtrafo (Comtrafo contributed ~$4.6M in ~19 days), a 12‑month backlog >$250M, nine‑month revenue of $212M (nearly matching the prior fiscal year), operating cash flow $3.2M and quarterly CapEx of $0.9M.

American Superconductor Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Turnaround is real with positive recent profitability and ~30% gross margins, plus an exceptionally low-leverage balance sheet. Offsets are mixed earnings quality (recent GAAP results boosted by non-recurring items) and only moderate earnings-to-cash conversion with softer TTM free cash flow versus the prior period.
Income Statement
73
Positive
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Cash Flow
61
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue279.40M222.82M145.64M105.98M108.44M87.13M
Gross Profit85.47M61.85M35.28M8.52M13.49M17.45M
EBITDA23.26M12.14M-1.97M-26.53M-21.60M-14.75M
Net Income130.49M6.03M-11.11M-35.04M-19.19M-22.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets719.53M310.52M232.77M175.56M173.89M168.87M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments141.07M79.49M90.52M23.36M40.58M72.95M
Total Debt11.38M3.37M2.71M3.08M3.80M3.86M
Total Liabilities182.70M113.41M88.20M93.76M64.50M52.27M
Stockholders Equity536.84M197.11M144.57M81.80M109.39M116.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.01M25.87M1.20M-23.72M-19.91M-10.45M
Operating Cash Flow20.15M28.29M2.14M-22.48M-18.98M-8.68M
Investing Cash Flow-76.41M-35.21M-961.00K-1.52M-7.16M2.47M
Financing Cash Flow124.01M8.00K65.44M162.00K142.00K50.83M

American Superconductor Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price39.45
Price Trends
50DMA
31.96
Positive
100DMA
31.62
Positive
200DMA
41.38
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.22
Negative
RSI
64.53
Neutral
STOCH
86.58
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMSC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 39.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.69, above the 50-day MA of 31.96, and below the 200-day MA of 41.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.58 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AMSC.

American Superconductor Risk Analysis

American Superconductor disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. American Superconductor reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

American Superconductor Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$1.80B2.6837.04%51.17%
71
Outperform
$1.80B11.5481.27%54.78%122.61%
69
Neutral
$3.87B33.0711.32%0.46%-0.96%-11.55%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$3.30B308.577.68%0.57%18.51%-28.69%
56
Neutral
$2.57B18.6212.21%1.42%9.30%-12.55%
53
Neutral
$1.91B32.7921.10%0.10%3.91%1.48%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMSC
American Superconductor
39.45
21.20
116.16%
EPAC
Enerpac Tool Group
36.39
-3.25
-8.20%
CXT
Crane NXT
45.61
1.48
3.36%
KAI
Kadant
332.15
14.16
4.45%
SXI
Standex International
269.75
131.12
94.58%
PSIX
Power Solutions
85.40
60.79
247.01%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026