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FiscalNote Holdings (NOTE)
NYSE:NOTE
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FiscalNote Holdings (NOTE) AI Stock Analysis

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NOTE

FiscalNote Holdings

(NYSE:NOTE)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-1.96% Downside)
FiscalNote Holdings faces significant financial and technical challenges, reflected in a low overall score. The company's financial performance is weak, with declining revenues and profitability issues. Technical indicators show bearish momentum. While the earnings call provided some positive insights, such as improved EBITDA and sales momentum, these are offset by revenue declines and increased expenses. The valuation is unattractive due to negative earnings and no dividend yield.

FiscalNote Holdings (NOTE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

FiscalNote Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFiscalNote Holdings (NOTE) is a technology company that specializes in providing data and analytics for government and public policy. The company operates at the intersection of technology and legislative data, offering a suite of products and services that empower organizations to track legislation, regulatory changes, and other political developments. Its core offerings include legislative tracking, compliance tools, and data analytics platforms that serve clients in various sectors, including corporations, non-profits, and government entities.
How the Company Makes MoneyFiscalNote generates revenue primarily through subscription-based services, where clients pay for access to its legislative tracking and analytics platforms. These subscriptions can vary in tiered pricing based on the level of service and features required. Additionally, FiscalNote may derive income from consulting services, providing tailored insights and strategic advice to clients navigating complex regulatory landscapes. Key revenue streams include enterprise subscriptions, individual licenses, and specialized tools for specific industries. Strategic partnerships with government agencies and other organizations can also enhance its service offerings, helping to drive customer acquisition and retention.

FiscalNote Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive momentum in corporate sales and product innovation, but was offset by challenges such as revenue declines due to divestitures and federal sector volatility. Cost management efforts showed positive results, yet increased G&A expenses and a decline in ARR highlight areas for improvement.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Exceeds Guidance
Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $2.2 million, exceeding guidance and marking the fifth consecutive quarter of adjusted EBITDA margins at or above 10%.
Corporate Sales Momentum
Win rates among enterprise clients improved by 400 basis points compared to Q2, with corporate multiyear contracts now accounting for 50% of new logo ARR, up from 20% in early 2024.
Product Innovation and Enhancements
35 major enhancements to the PolicyNote platform were launched in 2025, including AI-powered features like legislative drafting and Bill Comparison.
Cost Management and Operating Efficiency
Operating expenses decreased by approximately 8% on a pro forma basis due to continued cost discipline and operating efficiency.
Negative Updates
Revenue Impact from Divestitures
Q3 2025 revenue was $7 million lower than the prior year, primarily due to divestitures of several business units in 2024 and 2025.
Federal Sector Volatility
Ongoing volatility in the federal sector, including disruptions due to the extended government shutdown, negatively impacted revenue.
Decline in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR)
ARR was $84.8 million versus $92.2 million in 2024 on a pro forma basis, a decline of $7.4 million.
Increased G&A Expenses
G&A expenses increased by $3.3 million or 31%, due to noncash charges and cash costs related to refinancing activities and other nonrecurring costs.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, FiscalNote Holdings, Inc. reported revenue totaling $22.4 million, aligning with guidance, and an adjusted EBITDA of $2.2 million, surpassing expectations with a margin of 10%. The company experienced a 400 basis points improvement in win rates among enterprise clients compared to the second quarter, contributing to a 500 basis points increase in win rates across all corporate segments year-to-date. Notably, corporate multiyear contracts for policy data now comprise approximately 50% of new logo annual recurring revenue (ARR), up from 20% in early 2024. This shift is anticipated to bolster revenue visibility and enhance gross retention by 2026. FiscalNote's annual recurring revenue stabilized with a modest increase on a pro forma basis, signaling an initial stabilization of the core business. The company's outlook for 2025 remains within previous ranges, with full-year revenue projected between $95 million and $96 million and adjusted EBITDA expected to be around $10 million.

FiscalNote Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
FiscalNote Holdings is facing financial challenges with declining revenues and negative profitability metrics. Despite improvements in leverage and free cash flow growth, the company struggles with negative net income and operating cash flow. The strong gross profit margin and reduced debt levels are positive, but overall financial stability needs enhancement.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
FiscalNote Holdings has experienced a decline in revenue over the TTM period, with a negative revenue growth rate of -6.39%. The company also shows negative net profit and EBIT margins, indicating ongoing profitability challenges. However, the gross profit margin remains strong at 84.13%, suggesting efficient cost management at the gross level.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.39 in the TTM period, indicating reduced leverage compared to previous years. However, the return on equity remains negative at -47.88%, reflecting continued challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio of 27.57% suggests a moderate level of equity financing.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
FiscalNote Holdings shows a significant improvement in free cash flow growth at 49.63% in the TTM period. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.61, indicating that the company is generating cash flow relative to its net income. However, the operating cash flow remains negative, highlighting ongoing cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue102.67M120.27M132.65M113.77M82.91M65.16M
Gross Profit75.89M76.10M74.53M65.87M46.48M52.54M
EBITDA-12.94M53.51M-56.58M-104.99M-36.13M-17.86M
Net Income-44.27M9.52M-115.46M-218.26M-109.42M-51.27M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets273.87M326.20M370.56M433.16M378.49M280.11M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments31.19M34.61M23.59M60.39M32.17M44.23M
Total Debt29.77M172.95M251.64M197.87M333.27M215.22M
Total Liabilities198.37M228.37M327.10M288.47M411.33M272.37M
Stockholders Equity75.50M97.83M43.46M144.69M-32.83M7.73M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-20.08M-14.18M-43.43M-83.99M-42.62M-22.66M
Operating Cash Flow-12.51M-5.30M-35.49M-72.63M-37.05M-17.17M
Investing Cash Flow7.67M89.17M-20.32M-10.24M-49.20M-5.49M
Financing Cash Flow-3.37M-71.43M12.08M111.53M74.31M60.68M

FiscalNote Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.06
Price Trends
50DMA
4.49
Negative
100DMA
5.86
Negative
200DMA
8.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.40
Positive
RSI
25.71
Positive
STOCH
13.15
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NOTE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.11, below the 50-day MA of 4.49, and below the 200-day MA of 8.42, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 25.71 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.15 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NOTE.

FiscalNote Holdings Risk Analysis

FiscalNote Holdings disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. FiscalNote Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

FiscalNote Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$251.39M27.0910.22%2.97%-5.74%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
55
Neutral
$476.93M-41.49%-13.76%-75.18%
52
Neutral
$110.94M-3.33%1.07%-0.37%-161.02%
49
Neutral
$599.06M-5.88%0.47%-292.07%
45
Neutral
$43.96M-64.09%-17.90%-67.81%
39
Underperform
$13.23M-2.04-50.16%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NOTE
FiscalNote Holdings
3.06
-8.16
-72.73%
III
Information Services Group
5.25
2.08
65.62%
CSPI
CSP
11.25
-1.57
-12.25%
PSFE
Paysafe
10.18
-15.54
-60.42%
TLS
Telos
6.38
2.14
50.47%
SAIH
SAIHEAT Limited
7.29
-12.06
-62.33%

FiscalNote Holdings Corporate Events

FiscalNote’s Q3 2025 Results: Revenue Meets, EBITDA Exceeds
Nov 7, 2025

FiscalNote Holdings Inc., a leading provider of AI-driven policy and regulatory intelligence solutions, operates within the technology sector, offering insights and analysis to help organizations manage political and business risks. In its third-quarter 2025 financial results, FiscalNote reported total revenues of $22.4 million, aligning with its guidance, while adjusted EBITDA of $2.2 million surpassed expectations. The company highlighted sequential growth in annual recurring revenue (ARR) and emphasized the stabilization of its core business, driven by the success of its PolicyNote platform. Key strategic moves included the completion of balance sheet refinancing to enhance long-term flexibility and the launch of new AI-powered capabilities within PolicyNote, such as legislative drafting and social listening. Despite a 24% decline in total revenues compared to the previous year, primarily due to divestitures, FiscalNote demonstrated operational improvements and cost efficiency, with a notable reduction in operating expenses. Looking ahead, FiscalNote remains focused on its product-led growth strategy, anticipating continued demand and improvements in sales metrics, while navigating challenges in the federal public sector and market volatility.

Executive/Board Changes
FiscalNote Updates Executive Employment Agreements
Neutral
Oct 31, 2025

On October 31, 2025, FiscalNote Holdings, Inc. entered into amended and restated employment agreements with its President & CEO, Josh Resnik, and CFO & SVP, Jon Slabaugh. These agreements modify the calculation of benefits upon termination and redefine ‘Good Reason.’ Additionally, on October 30, 2025, the company approved one-time cash retention awards for both executives, contingent on their continued employment for 48 months. The company also replaced its Change in Control Severance Plan, excluding its principal executives from participation.

The most recent analyst rating on (NOTE) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FiscalNote Holdings stock, see the NOTE Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
FiscalNote Holdings Issues Convertible Debentures to YA II PN
Neutral
Sep 11, 2025

On September 11, 2025, FiscalNote Holdings, Inc. issued a second tranche of convertible debentures worth $12.3 million to YA II PN, Ltd., following an agreement made on August 5, 2025. The proceeds from this issuance were partly used to retire existing subordinated convertible notes, enhancing the company’s financial structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (NOTE) stock is a Hold with a $0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FiscalNote Holdings stock, see the NOTE Stock Forecast page.

Stock Split
FiscalNote Holdings Announces Reverse Stock Split
Neutral
Aug 29, 2025

On August 22, 2025, FiscalNote Holdings, Inc. announced a reverse stock split of its Class A and Class B common stock at a ratio of 1-for-12, which will become effective on August 29, 2025. This move, aimed at consolidating the company’s shares, will not affect the par value per share or the rights and privileges of the stockholders. The company’s Class A Common Stock will begin trading on a split-adjusted basis on the NYSE on September 2, 2025, under the same trading symbol ‘NOTE’, with a new CUSIP number. The reverse stock split is expected to maintain each stockholder’s percentage ownership and voting power, with minor adjustments due to rounding of fractional shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (NOTE) stock is a Hold with a $0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FiscalNote Holdings stock, see the NOTE Stock Forecast page.

FiscalNote’s Mixed Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 13, 2025

FiscalNote Holdings Inc.’s recent earnings call painted a mixed picture, with notable achievements in EBITDA margin improvement and strategic refinancing, juxtaposed against challenges in declining annual recurring revenue (ARR) and retention issues with legacy products. Despite these hurdles, the company expressed optimism about future growth, buoyed by strong demand and improvements in new sales pipelines.

FiscalNote Holdings Delays Form 10-Q Filing
Aug 12, 2025

FiscalNote Holdings, Inc. has announced a delay in filing its Form 10-Q (Quarter Report) for the financial period ending June 30, 2025. The delay is primarily due to the completion of refinancing transactions that occurred after the prescribed filing deadline, impacting the disclosures required in the report. The company anticipates filing the report within five calendar days following the original due date. FiscalNote Holdings has indicated that no significant changes in financial results are expected from the previous fiscal year’s corresponding period. The notification was signed by Jon Slabaugh, the Chief Financial Officer, highlighting the company’s commitment to ongoing compliance efforts.

The most recent analyst rating on (NOTE) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FiscalNote Holdings stock, see the NOTE Stock Forecast page.

FiscalNote Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Performance
Aug 8, 2025

FiscalNote Holdings Inc., a leading provider of AI-driven policy and regulatory intelligence solutions, has reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, showcasing its position in the policy and regulatory intelligence sector. The company’s innovative approach combines proprietary AI technology with comprehensive data to help clients manage political and business risks effectively.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025