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FiscalNote Holdings (NOTE)
NYSE:NOTE
US Market

FiscalNote Holdings (NOTE) AI Stock Analysis

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NOTE

FiscalNote Holdings

(NYSE:NOTE)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▼(-3.85% Downside)
FiscalNote Holdings faces significant financial and technical challenges, with declining revenues and bearish stock momentum. The negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield further weigh on the valuation. Despite some positive developments in corporate sales and product innovation, the overall outlook remains cautious.
Positive Factors
High Gross Profit Margin
An 84% gross margin indicates the company captures high value from its products and has structural pricing power in legislative data and analytics. Sustained high gross margins give room to invest in product development and absorb SG&A while protecting long-term profitability potential.
Improving Free Cash Flow
Material FCF growth and a FCF/net income >1 show the business is increasingly generating operating cash despite accounting losses. Durable cash conversion supports reinvestment, debt service and optionality for product development or M&A over the next several quarters.
Stronger Contracted Revenue Mix
A shift to multiyear enterprise contracts meaningfully increases revenue visibility and retention. Moving half of new logo ARR to multiyear deals reduces churn risk, improves predictability of ARR and supports more durable revenue growth and margin planning over 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue and Negative Margins
Ongoing revenue declines and negative operating/profit margins indicate the core business has not yet returned to sustainable growth. Persistent top-line contraction limits operating leverage and makes achieving durable profitable expansion more challenging without structural revenue recovery.
Negative Return on Equity
A deeply negative ROE signals the firm is destroying shareholder capital and failing to generate profits from its equity base. Over the medium term this reflects structural issues in scaling profitable operations and reduces flexibility to raise equity without dilution.
ARR Decline and Revenue Impact from Divestitures
A meaningful ARR decline and revenue lost to recent divestitures reduce recurring revenue scale and weaken growth runway. This structural shrinkage impairs economies of scale, complicates margin improvement and makes medium‑term recovery more dependent on successful new contract wins.

FiscalNote Holdings (NOTE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

FiscalNote Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFiscalNote Holdings Inc. operates as technology and data company that delivers critical legal data and insights worldwide. It combines artificial intelligence technology, machine learning, and other technologies with analytics, workflow tools, and expert research. The company delivers that intelligence through its suite of public policy and issues management products, as well as powerful tools to manage workflows, advocacy campaigns, and constituent relationships. It serves a customer base that includes businesses comprising the Fortune 100 companies, government agencies, law firms, professional services organizations, trade groups, and non-profits. The company is headquartered in Washington, District of Columbia.
How the Company Makes MoneyFiscalNote generates revenue primarily through subscription-based services, where clients pay for access to its legislative tracking and analytics platforms. These subscriptions can vary in tiered pricing based on the level of service and features required. Additionally, FiscalNote may derive income from consulting services, providing tailored insights and strategic advice to clients navigating complex regulatory landscapes. Key revenue streams include enterprise subscriptions, individual licenses, and specialized tools for specific industries. Strategic partnerships with government agencies and other organizations can also enhance its service offerings, helping to drive customer acquisition and retention.

FiscalNote Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive momentum in corporate sales and product innovation, but was offset by challenges such as revenue declines due to divestitures and federal sector volatility. Cost management efforts showed positive results, yet increased G&A expenses and a decline in ARR highlight areas for improvement.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Exceeds Guidance
Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $2.2 million, exceeding guidance and marking the fifth consecutive quarter of adjusted EBITDA margins at or above 10%.
Corporate Sales Momentum
Win rates among enterprise clients improved by 400 basis points compared to Q2, with corporate multiyear contracts now accounting for 50% of new logo ARR, up from 20% in early 2024.
Product Innovation and Enhancements
35 major enhancements to the PolicyNote platform were launched in 2025, including AI-powered features like legislative drafting and Bill Comparison.
Cost Management and Operating Efficiency
Operating expenses decreased by approximately 8% on a pro forma basis due to continued cost discipline and operating efficiency.
Negative Updates
Revenue Impact from Divestitures
Q3 2025 revenue was $7 million lower than the prior year, primarily due to divestitures of several business units in 2024 and 2025.
Federal Sector Volatility
Ongoing volatility in the federal sector, including disruptions due to the extended government shutdown, negatively impacted revenue.
Decline in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR)
ARR was $84.8 million versus $92.2 million in 2024 on a pro forma basis, a decline of $7.4 million.
Increased G&A Expenses
G&A expenses increased by $3.3 million or 31%, due to noncash charges and cash costs related to refinancing activities and other nonrecurring costs.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, FiscalNote Holdings, Inc. reported revenue totaling $22.4 million, aligning with guidance, and an adjusted EBITDA of $2.2 million, surpassing expectations with a margin of 10%. The company experienced a 400 basis points improvement in win rates among enterprise clients compared to the second quarter, contributing to a 500 basis points increase in win rates across all corporate segments year-to-date. Notably, corporate multiyear contracts for policy data now comprise approximately 50% of new logo annual recurring revenue (ARR), up from 20% in early 2024. This shift is anticipated to bolster revenue visibility and enhance gross retention by 2026. FiscalNote's annual recurring revenue stabilized with a modest increase on a pro forma basis, signaling an initial stabilization of the core business. The company's outlook for 2025 remains within previous ranges, with full-year revenue projected between $95 million and $96 million and adjusted EBITDA expected to be around $10 million.

FiscalNote Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
FiscalNote Holdings is facing financial challenges with declining revenues and negative profitability metrics. Despite improvements in leverage and free cash flow growth, the company struggles with negative net income and operating cash flow. The strong gross profit margin and reduced debt levels are positive, but overall financial stability and profitability need enhancement.
Income Statement
FiscalNote Holdings has experienced a decline in revenue over the TTM period, with a negative revenue growth rate of -6.39%. The company also shows negative net profit and EBIT margins, indicating ongoing profitability challenges. However, the gross profit margin remains strong at 84.13%, suggesting efficient cost management at the gross level.
Balance Sheet
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.39 in the TTM period, indicating reduced leverage compared to previous years. However, the return on equity remains negative at -47.88%, reflecting continued challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio of 27.57% suggests a moderate level of equity financing.
Cash Flow
FiscalNote Holdings shows a significant improvement in free cash flow growth at 49.63% in the TTM period. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.61, indicating that the company is generating cash flow relative to its net income. However, the operating cash flow remains negative, highlighting ongoing cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue102.67M120.27M132.65M113.77M82.91M65.16M
Gross Profit75.89M76.10M74.53M65.87M46.48M38.23M
EBITDA-20.64M53.51M-56.58M-104.99M-36.13M-9.29M
Net Income-55.76M9.52M-115.46M-218.26M-109.42M-51.27M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets273.87M326.20M370.56M433.16M378.49M280.11M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments31.19M34.61M23.59M60.39M32.17M44.23M
Total Debt154.94M172.95M251.64M197.87M333.27M215.22M
Total Liabilities198.37M228.37M327.10M288.47M411.33M272.37M
Stockholders Equity75.50M97.83M43.46M144.69M-32.83M7.73M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-20.08M-14.18M-43.43M-83.99M-42.62M-22.66M
Operating Cash Flow-12.51M-5.30M-35.49M-72.63M-37.05M-17.17M
Investing Cash Flow46.01M89.17M-20.32M-10.24M-49.20M-5.49M
Financing Cash Flow-32.22M-71.43M12.08M111.53M74.31M60.68M

FiscalNote Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.56
Price Trends
50DMA
2.18
Negative
100DMA
3.47
Negative
200DMA
5.58
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Negative
RSI
36.07
Neutral
STOCH
44.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NOTE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.56 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.64, below the 50-day MA of 2.18, and below the 200-day MA of 5.58, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NOTE.

FiscalNote Holdings Risk Analysis

FiscalNote Holdings disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. FiscalNote Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

FiscalNote Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$282.52M30.4410.22%3.03%-5.74%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
$115.49M-806.85-0.27%0.95%6.36%73.88%
53
Neutral
$390.16M-13.78-23.73%17.44%41.97%
48
Neutral
$18.52M-2.51-50.16%
47
Neutral
$485.56M-3.86-15.59%-0.95%-456.64%
41
Neutral
$24.66M-0.37-64.09%-17.90%-67.81%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NOTE
FiscalNote Holdings
1.57
-13.55
-89.62%
III
Information Services Group
5.99
3.01
100.80%
CSPI
CSP
11.84
-3.71
-23.86%
PSFE
Paysafe
7.92
-9.68
-55.00%
TLS
Telos
5.82
2.62
81.88%
SAIH
SAIHEAT Limited
9.10
-0.80
-8.11%

FiscalNote Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
FiscalNote Updates Executive Employment Agreements
Neutral
Oct 31, 2025

On October 31, 2025, FiscalNote Holdings, Inc. entered into amended and restated employment agreements with its President & CEO, Josh Resnik, and CFO & SVP, Jon Slabaugh. These agreements modify the calculation of benefits upon termination and redefine ‘Good Reason.’ Additionally, on October 30, 2025, the company approved one-time cash retention awards for both executives, contingent on their continued employment for 48 months. The company also replaced its Change in Control Severance Plan, excluding its principal executives from participation.

The most recent analyst rating on (NOTE) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FiscalNote Holdings stock, see the NOTE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 03, 2025