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FiscalNote Holdings (NOTE)
NYSE:NOTE
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FiscalNote Holdings (NOTE) AI Stock Analysis

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NOTE

FiscalNote Holdings

(NYSE:NOTE)

Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$0.50
▼(-87.50% Downside)
FiscalNote Holdings' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, characterized by high leverage and negative profitability. While technical indicators suggest the stock is oversold, valuation metrics remain unattractive. Positive corporate events and earnings call guidance provide some optimism, but significant challenges persist.

FiscalNote Holdings (NOTE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

FiscalNote Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFiscalNote Holdings (NOTE) is a leading technology company that specializes in providing legal and regulatory data, insights, and analytics. The company's core products and services cater to businesses, governments, and other organizations seeking to navigate complex legal and compliance landscapes. FiscalNote leverages artificial intelligence and machine learning to aggregate and analyze legislative, regulatory, and government data on a global scale, empowering clients with actionable insights for decision-making and strategic planning.
How the Company Makes MoneyFiscalNote Holdings generates revenue primarily through subscription-based services, offering clients access to its comprehensive database of legal, legislative, and regulatory information. The company charges recurring fees for its platform, which provides users with real-time updates, analytics, and tools to track and manage compliance risks. Additionally, FiscalNote offers customized research and consulting services, which contribute to its revenue streams. Key partnerships with government agencies, multinational corporations, and legal firms help to expand its client base and enhance its market presence, further boosting its earnings potential.

FiscalNote Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a company in transition with notable positive developments in financial stability and product engagement. However, challenges remain with declining ARR and sector-specific instability. Positive trends in new logo sales and user engagement in the new platform are encouraging, but execution and retention issues need resolution.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Improvement
FiscalNote delivered an adjusted EBITDA of $2.8 million in Q2, exceeding guidance and increasing the margin to 12%, up from 4% in the same period last year.
Successful Refinancing of Senior Term Loan
Refinancing of the senior term loan was announced, with maturity extended to 2029, provided exclusively by MGG Investment Group, improving financial stability and operational flexibility.
Positive Trends in New Logo Sales
Quarter-over-quarter improvement of 400 basis points in corporate win rates and a significant increase in average contract value, particularly with large corporate customers.
PolicyNote User Engagement Increase
PolicyNote now has more daily active users than the legacy platform, with a 30% increase in average usage by customers at the end of their first quarter compared to the midpoint.
Doubling Rate of Multiyear Commitments
On a year-over-year basis, FiscalNote more than doubled the rate at which new private sector customers signed multiyear commitments, indicating strong customer trust.
Negative Updates
Decline in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR)
ARR fell to $85.9 million from $93.6 million on a pro forma basis, reflecting execution challenges and retention issues in legacy products.
Instability in U.S. Federal Sector
Reported atypical instability in the U.S. federal sector contributed to organic ARR and revenue declines.
Net Revenue Retention Decline
Net revenue retention dropped to 96% from 98% in the prior year, due to underperformance in late 2024.
Company Guidance
During the FiscalNote Holdings, Inc. second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided an optimistic guidance, projecting a return to annual recurring revenue (ARR) growth in the latter half of 2025. The second quarter ended with revenue at $23.3 million, exceeding the midpoint of guidance, and an adjusted EBITDA of $2.8 million, reflecting a 12% adjusted EBITDA margin. The company reaffirmed its full-year revenue forecast of $94 million to $100 million, with an adjusted EBITDA range of $10 million to $12 million. Key performance indicators such as ARR stood at $85.9 million, and net revenue retention (NRR) was 96%. FiscalNote expects improvements in retention metrics, driven by strong customer engagement with its new PolicyNote platform, which has surpassed its legacy platform in daily active users. The company also highlighted significant progress in signing multiyear commitments with new clients, which is anticipated to enhance gross retention by 2026.

FiscalNote Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
FiscalNote Holdings faces significant financial challenges, including declining revenues, high leverage, and negative profitability. Despite a strong gross profit margin, operational inefficiencies and high debt levels pose risks. Cash flow issues further exacerbate financial instability, requiring strategic improvements to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
35
Negative
FiscalNote Holdings has experienced declining revenue with a negative growth rate of -5.17% in the TTM period. The company shows a strong gross profit margin of 83.81%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is significantly negative at -41.79%, reflecting substantial losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, suggesting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.48, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. The return on equity is negative at -46.67%, reflecting poor profitability. The equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a higher reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
FiscalNote Holdings has negative operating and free cash flows, with a free cash flow growth rate of -3.63% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to cover net losses with free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue109.68M120.27M132.65M113.77M82.91M65.16M
Gross Profit91.93M76.10M79.54M70.14M50.57M52.54M
EBITDA-8.21M53.51M-56.58M-98.37M-36.13M-17.86M
Net Income-45.84M9.52M-115.46M-218.26M-109.42M-51.27M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets288.35M326.20M370.56M433.16M378.49M280.11M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments38.52M34.61M23.59M60.39M32.17M44.23M
Total Debt140.96M172.95M251.64M197.87M333.27M215.22M
Total Liabilities190.53M228.37M327.10M288.47M411.33M272.37M
Stockholders Equity95.09M97.83M43.46M144.69M-32.83M7.73M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-13.42M-14.18M-43.43M-83.99M-42.62M-22.66M
Operating Cash Flow-3.51M-5.30M-35.49M-72.63M-37.05M-17.17M
Investing Cash Flow38.95M89.17M-20.32M-10.24M-49.20M-5.49M
Financing Cash Flow-26.59M-71.43M12.08M111.53M74.31M60.68M

FiscalNote Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.00
Price Trends
50DMA
7.10
Negative
100DMA
7.25
Negative
200DMA
10.34
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.76
Positive
RSI
23.81
Positive
STOCH
12.51
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NOTE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.83, below the 50-day MA of 7.10, and below the 200-day MA of 10.34, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.76 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 23.81 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.51 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NOTE.

FiscalNote Holdings Risk Analysis

FiscalNote Holdings disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. FiscalNote Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

FiscalNote Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$254.95M33.128.29%3.40%-9.86%
61
Neutral
$35.51B8.11-11.05%1.89%8.55%-8.72%
60
Neutral
$803.37M39.11-5.88%0.47%-292.07%
58
Neutral
$475.48M-41.49%-13.76%-75.18%
52
Neutral
$119.62M40,175.00-3.33%1.04%-0.37%-161.02%
46
Neutral
$65.81M-36.39%
43
Neutral
$72.83M14.84-45.59%-15.06%-50.98%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NOTE
FiscalNote Holdings
4.00
-10.28
-71.99%
III
Information Services Group
5.29
2.23
72.88%
CSPI
CSP
11.56
0.40
3.58%
PSFE
Paysafe
13.45
-7.89
-36.97%
TLS
Telos
6.57
3.39
106.60%
SAIH
SAIHEAT Limited
6.16
-5.36
-46.53%

FiscalNote Holdings Corporate Events

Stock Split
FiscalNote Holdings Announces Reverse Stock Split
Neutral
Aug 29, 2025

On August 22, 2025, FiscalNote Holdings, Inc. announced a reverse stock split of its Class A and Class B common stock at a ratio of 1-for-12, which will become effective on August 29, 2025. This move, aimed at consolidating the company’s shares, will not affect the par value per share or the rights and privileges of the stockholders. The company’s Class A Common Stock will begin trading on a split-adjusted basis on the NYSE on September 2, 2025, under the same trading symbol ‘NOTE’, with a new CUSIP number. The reverse stock split is expected to maintain each stockholder’s percentage ownership and voting power, with minor adjustments due to rounding of fractional shares.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
FiscalNote Holdings Announces Balance Sheet Realignment
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 5, 2025, FiscalNote Holdings announced a comprehensive realignment of its balance sheet through refinancing transactions expected to close by mid-August. The company secured a new $75 million senior secured term loan maturing in 2029, replacing its current senior credit facility, and issued $33 million in new subordinated convertible debt. This refinancing aims to provide FiscalNote with long-term operating flexibility, supporting its product-led growth strategy and strengthening its market position in policy and regulatory intelligence.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
FiscalNote Holdings Amends Convertible Promissory Notes
Neutral
Aug 5, 2025

On July 30, 2025, FiscalNote Holdings, Inc. amended agreements with Nautilus Venture Partners and Wealth Plus Investments, adjusting terms of subordinated convertible promissory notes originally issued in 2019. These amendments extended the maturity date to August 15, 2025, increased the principal amounts, and altered repayment terms to require cash payments instead of issuing additional shares, impacting the company’s financial obligations and investor relations.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
FiscalNote Holdings Showcases AI Solutions at IDEAS Conference
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

On June 11, 2025, FiscalNote Holdings participated in the Three Part Advisors 2025 East Coast IDEAS Conference in New York City, where they presented their updated investor presentation and hosted investor meetings. This event is part of their strategy to enhance investor relations and market positioning by showcasing their AI-powered solutions, which aim to transform regulatory uncertainty into actionable insights, potentially impacting their growth and stakeholder engagement.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 05, 2025