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Tomtom Nv (NL:TOM2)
:TOM2

TomTom (TOM2) AI Stock Analysis

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NL:TOM2

TomTom

(OTC:TOM2)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
€5.00
▼(-13.64% Downside)
TomTom's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance and technical analysis. The company faces financial challenges with declining revenues and profitability issues, which are reflected in a negative P/E ratio. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, adding to the cautious outlook. Despite positive developments in the Automotive sector, the overall risks and valuation concerns weigh heavily on the stock's attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Automotive Revenue Growth
The significant growth in automotive revenue underscores TomTom's strong position in the automotive sector, driven by new vehicle lines and production recovery, which is likely to sustain future revenue streams.
Gross Margin Improvement
An improved gross margin indicates effective cost management and a shift towards higher-margin products, enhancing profitability and financial resilience over the long term.
Positive Outlook and Revenue Guidance Increase
Raising revenue guidance reflects management's confidence in future growth prospects, particularly in the automotive sector, suggesting a robust strategic direction.
Negative Factors
Decline in Group Revenue
The decline in group revenue indicates challenges in maintaining overall sales momentum, potentially impacting long-term growth and necessitating strategic adjustments.
Slow Enterprise Adoption
Stagnant enterprise revenue growth suggests difficulties in expanding this segment, which could limit diversification and resilience against sector-specific downturns.
Challenges with a Major Customer
Losing business from a key customer highlights competitive pressures and the risk of dependency on large clients, potentially affecting future revenue stability.

TomTom (TOM2) vs. iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF (EWN)

TomTom Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTomTom N.V. develops and sells navigation and location-based products and services worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Location Technology and Consumer. It offers standard definition, advanced driver assistance system (ADAS), high definition (HD) maps, and map data, as well as places for map products; traffic and travel information products, including real-time traffic, hazard warning, speed camera, speed profile, road analytics, fuel and weather services, electric vehicle (EV) and parking services, and routing; and navigation products, such as navigation engine, traffic and travel information, navigation user interface, EV routing and range, and maps for automotive. The company also provides AutoStream, a solution that enables fast and efficient map delivery of the TomTom automated driving (AD) and ADAS Maps; RoadCheck, a tool for carmakers to determine when, where, and under what conditions their vehicles can safely activate AD functions; TomTom indigo, a digital cockpit platform; and virtual horizon products. In addition, it offers road analytics solutions, including traffic stats, origin destination analysis, route monitoring, road event reporter, and junction analytics; and shop products, such as navigation devices, accessories, and map updates, as well as support services. The company serves the automotive, fleet management and logistics, mobility and on-demand, road traffic management, and location intelligence industries. TomTom N.V. was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
How the Company Makes MoneyTomTom generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from its Automotive, Telematics, and Consumer divisions. In the Automotive sector, the company partners with major automotive manufacturers to provide embedded navigation systems and location services, earning revenue through licensing agreements and software sales. In the Telematics division, TomTom offers solutions for fleet management and transportation, generating income from subscription services and data analytics. The Consumer segment includes sales of standalone GPS devices and mobile applications, contributing to direct product sales revenue. Additionally, partnerships with technology companies and integration of location services into third-party applications further enhance TomTom's revenue potential, allowing the company to monetize its mapping data and traffic information through various licensing agreements.

TomTom Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 14, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in the Automotive sector, with strong revenue growth and strategic partnerships. However, challenges remain in the Enterprise segment, with a notable decline in group revenue and issues with a major customer. Despite these challenges, the company has raised its revenue guidance, reflecting confidence in its future performance.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Automotive Navigation Application Launch
TomTom launched its next-generation Automotive Navigation Application, setting a new benchmark for user experience and flexibility in the industry.
Expansion with Hyundai
TomTom expanded its partnership with Hyundai, securing a multiyear agreement to provide real-time traffic and speed camera services across Europe.
Automotive Revenue Growth
Automotive operational revenue increased by 22% year-on-year to EUR 85 million, driven by new vehicle lines and recovery in production volumes.
Gross Margin Improvement
Gross margin improved to 89%, up from 87% last year, due to a greater share of higher margin content and software revenue.
Free Cash Flow Increase
Free cash flow rose to EUR 17 million, compared with EUR 15 million last year.
Positive Outlook and Revenue Guidance Increase
TomTom increased its expectations for full-year group revenue and Location Technology revenue to approach the upper end of the previously communicated guidance range.
Negative Updates
Decline in Group Revenue
Group revenue decreased to EUR 137 million from EUR 141 million in the same period last year.
Slow Enterprise Adoption
Enterprise revenue was stable quarter-on-quarter at EUR 39 million, with currency movements adding pressure and slower than expected growth.
Challenges with a Major Customer
A well-documented decline in revenue from a major customer who is building their own map, affecting the overall Enterprise segment performance.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter 2025 results conference call, TomTom provided a detailed overview of its financial and operational performance. The company reported a group revenue of EUR 137 million, down from EUR 141 million in the same period last year, with Location Technology revenue totaling EUR 118 million. Automotive operational revenue saw a significant year-on-year increase of 22% to EUR 85 million. The gross margin improved to 89%, up from 87% the previous year. Operating expenses decreased to EUR 114 million, reflecting strong cost discipline and lower amortization charges. Free cash flow was an inflow of EUR 17 million, excluding EUR 14 million in restructuring charges. The net cash position remained stable at EUR 267 million. Looking ahead, TomTom expects full-year group revenue and Location Technology revenue to approach the upper end of its previously communicated guidance range, with free cash flow estimated at around 5% of group revenue. The company remains optimistic about its long-term growth prospects, particularly in the automotive sector, where it has secured new partnerships and is seeing increasing interest in its products.

TomTom Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TomTom faces financial challenges with declining revenues and profitability issues. While the company maintains a strong gross profit margin and a manageable debt level, negative net income and cash flow concerns highlight the need for strategic improvements. The financial stability is moderate, but operational and liquidity risks persist.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
TomTom's income statement shows a challenging financial position with declining revenue and negative net income. The TTM data indicates a significant drop in revenue growth rate and negative net profit margin, suggesting operational inefficiencies. However, the gross profit margin remains strong, indicating effective cost management at the production level.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects moderate financial stability with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient profit from its equity base. The equity ratio is relatively stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a mixed picture. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating some efficiency in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow growth rate is negative, reflecting potential liquidity challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively healthy, suggesting that the company can cover its net income with free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue565.73M574.38M584.76M536.34M506.93M528.18M
Gross Profit497.94M487.51M495.77M449.72M407.11M423.39M
EBITDA37.57M25.87M31.56M-36.94M-11.47M-7.45M
Net Income-17.25M-17.29M-21.01M-102.73M-94.65M-257.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets698.33M724.42M795.89M807.50M890.74M978.02M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments266.94M263.65M315.19M303.73M355.82M372.45M
Total Debt38.62M43.52M46.71M37.73M33.34M43.67M
Total Liabilities566.91M585.57M614.30M607.90M608.02M590.40M
Stockholders Equity131.42M138.85M181.59M199.61M282.72M387.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow23.40M-4.22M20.84M-41.57M23.51M-26.48M
Operating Cash Flow35.59M1.35M32.70M-31.41M36.78M-20.18M
Investing Cash Flow-32.34M14.35M-53.55M-30.77M-19.98M73.51M
Financing Cash Flow-9.41M-47.89M-23.46M-10.32M-43.66M-29.68M

TomTom Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price5.79
Price Trends
50DMA
5.33
Negative
100DMA
5.31
Negative
200DMA
5.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
47.93
Neutral
STOCH
29.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NL:TOM2, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 5.79 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.25, above the 50-day MA of 5.33, and above the 200-day MA of 5.14, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for NL:TOM2.

TomTom Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
€581.19M27.7729.06%3.57%4.11%22.38%
71
Outperform
€1.45B22.907.75%4.12%-3.59%-46.68%
68
Neutral
€45.28M11.0313.94%3.44%0.81%351.71%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
47
Neutral
€191.63M-15.37-7.94%7.30%
46
Neutral
€148.77M-11.11-57.80%0.36%34.49%
45
Neutral
€622.83M-12.26%-1.70%24.14%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NL:TOM2
TomTom
5.21
0.21
4.10%
NL:CTAC
Ctac NV
3.20
0.29
10.04%
NL:NEDAP
Nedap N.V
89.60
38.48
75.28%
NL:TWEKA
TKH Group N.V.
36.42
5.01
15.96%
NL:CMCOM
CM.com N.V.
4.49
-1.05
-19.04%
NL:MTRK
MotorK PLC
4.00
-1.40
-25.93%

TomTom Corporate Events

TomTom NV Reports Solid Q3 2025 Results
Oct 15, 2025

TomTom NV is a leading provider of location data and technology, specializing in navigation systems and mapping solutions for the automotive industry. Headquartered in Amsterdam, the company has been at the forefront of mobility innovation for over 30 years.

TomTom’s Earnings Call: Optimism Amid Challenges
Oct 15, 2025

TomTom’s recent earnings call painted a picture of optimism tempered by challenges. The company celebrated substantial achievements in its Automotive sector, marked by robust revenue growth and strategic alliances. However, the Enterprise segment faced hurdles, including a decline in group revenue and issues with a major customer. Despite these obstacles, TomTom’s decision to raise its revenue guidance underscores its confidence in future performance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 18, 2025