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Signify NV (NL:LIGHT)
:LIGHT

Signify NV (LIGHT) AI Stock Analysis

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NL:LIGHT

Signify NV

(LIGHT)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
€19.00
▲(1.66% Upside)
The score reflects solid underlying profitability and a reasonably leveraged balance sheet, plus supportive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). These positives are tempered by weak technical signals (price below key moving averages and negative MACD) and fundamental headwinds from declining revenue growth and negative free cash flow growth.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Generation
Strong and improving free cash flow provides durable financial flexibility: supports capex for smart lighting and IoT, funds dividends and debt service, and cushions the business through cycles. A ~20% YoY FCF increase materially strengthens strategic optionality over months.
Improved Leverage
Meaningfully lower leverage enhances resilience and lowers refinancing risk, giving management capacity to invest in R&D, smart-city projects, and selective M&A. A healthier capital structure supports dividends and long-term strategy execution even in weaker sales periods.
Market Position & Structural Demand
Leadership in LED, connected lighting and IoT taps durable structural trends: energy efficiency, smart buildings, and urbanization. Diversified end markets and long-term contracts create repeatable revenues and higher switching costs from integrated lighting systems and services.
Negative Factors
Revenue Contraction
Persistent revenue declines erode operating leverage and the scale that underpins margins and R&D funding. Continued top-line shrinkage reduces pricing power and limits reinvestment capacity, increasing risk to medium-term growth and profitability restoration.
Margin Compression & Lower Returns
Material margin and ROE deterioration signal weakened earnings power and capital efficiency. Lower margins reduce free cash flow conversion and the firm's ability to fund innovation or sustain dividends, while lower ROE indicates less effective use of shareholders' capital long term.
Earnings Deterioration
Steep EPS decline reflects earnings pressure that can curtail investment, dividend sustainability, and strategic initiatives. Coupled with a stepped-down equity base, weaker earnings reduce the balance-sheet cushion and heighten vulnerability to cyclical shocks over the coming months.

Signify NV (LIGHT) vs. iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF (EWN)

Signify NV Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSignify N.V. provides lighting products, systems, and services in Europe, the Americas, and internationally. The company operates through Digital Solutions, Digital Products, and Conventional Products segments. It offers light-emitting diode (LED) and conventional luminaires, systems, and services for various market segments comprising offices, commercial buildings, shops, hospitality, industry, agriculture, and outdoor environments. The company also provides various LED lamps, including spots, bulbs, and tubes for the professional and consumer channels; and LED electronic components, such as LED drivers and modules to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) for professional luminaire applications in the retail, office, industry, and outdoor segments, as well as develops and sells connected lighting systems and luminaires. In addition, it produces and sells lamps based on non-LED based technologies, which comprise high intensity discharge lamps, TL, compact fluorescent, halogen, incandescent, electronic ballast and drivers, and specialty lighting products for residential and professional applications; and digital projection lamps and drivers to the OEM market and replacement market. The company was formerly known as Philips Lighting N.V. and changed its name to Signify N.V. in May 2018. Signify N.V. was founded in 1891 and is headquartered in Eindhoven, the Netherlands.
How the Company Makes MoneySignify generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of lighting products, which include LED lamps, luminaires, and lighting systems. A significant portion of its revenue also comes from providing connected lighting solutions, which involve smart lighting technology and IoT integration. The company benefits from long-term contracts and relationships with large-scale customers in various industries, including retail, hospitality, and urban development. Additionally, partnerships with technology firms and participation in smart city initiatives contribute to its earnings by expanding its product offerings and market reach. The growing demand for energy-efficient lighting and smart home products further enhances Signify's revenue potential.

Signify NV Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cash flow is a clear strength (TTM free cash flow ~€399M, up ~20.5% YoY) and leverage appears manageable (debt-to-equity ~0.59). Offsetting this, profitability has cooled with multi-year revenue contraction (TTM down ~2.8%) and margin compression versus 2022 (TTM net margin ~4.4% vs ~7.0%), which pressures earnings quality and returns (ROE ~9.5% vs ~17.9% in 2022).
Income Statement
65
Positive
Profitability remains positive, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross margin around 40% and EBITDA margin in the low-teens, but earnings power has cooled versus prior years. Revenue has been shrinking for multiple years (TTM down ~2.8% after declines in 2023–2024), and margins have compressed from 2022 highs (net margin ~4.4% in TTM vs ~7.0% in 2022), indicating weaker operating leverage and/or tougher pricing and cost conditions.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Leverage looks manageable with debt-to-equity at ~0.59 in TTM (improved from ~1.05 in 2020), suggesting a healthier capital structure than earlier years. However, equity has stepped down from 2024 to TTM and returns have moderated (ROE ~9.5% in TTM vs ~17.9% in 2022), pointing to a less efficient profitability profile and somewhat reduced balance-sheet cushion versus last year.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash generation is a relative strength: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) free cash flow is solid (~€399M) and grew ~20.5% year over year, supporting financial flexibility. That said, cash conversion is not perfect—free cash flow is below net income in TTM (about three-quarters of earnings), and operating cash flow relative to debt is modest, implying the balance sheet still benefits from continued steady cash discipline.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.76B6.14B6.70B7.51B6.86B
Gross Profit2.31B2.44B2.56B2.73B2.67B
EBITDA652.00M773.00M590.00M1.04B827.00M
Net Income254.00M328.00M203.00M523.00M397.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.72B7.60B8.00B8.29B8.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments623.00M633.00M1.16B676.00M852.00M
Total Debt1.58B1.55B2.23B2.03B2.01B
Total Liabilities3.95B4.33B5.06B5.22B5.66B
Stockholders Equity2.67B3.16B2.82B2.92B2.46B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow399.00M415.00M586.00M244.00M586.00M
Operating Cash Flow531.00M514.00M696.00M376.00M704.00M
Investing Cash Flow-110.00M-72.00M-115.00M-256.00M-91.00M
Financing Cash Flow-415.00M-970.00M-67.00M-295.00M-876.00M

Signify NV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price18.69
Price Trends
50DMA
20.54
Negative
100DMA
21.25
Negative
200DMA
21.48
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.25
Positive
RSI
35.97
Neutral
STOCH
37.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NL:LIGHT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 18.69 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.91, below the 50-day MA of 20.54, and below the 200-day MA of 21.48, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NL:LIGHT.

Signify NV Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
€15.70B18.3834.21%4.43%3.75%0.28%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
€2.16B8.6811.48%7.57%-4.73%17.93%
61
Neutral
€4.65B17.2114.32%2.83%6.09%-7.18%
54
Neutral
€601.77M-40.90-12.23%6.72%2.44%-179.02%
51
Neutral
€244.61M-14.26-10.80%-13.84%-286.67%
46
Neutral
€5.30B101.621.49%9.24%-3.62%-87.74%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NL:LIGHT
Signify NV
18.69
-0.20
-1.06%
NL:IMCD
IMCD N.V.
79.12
-66.95
-45.83%
NL:KPN
Royal KPN NV
4.19
0.85
25.43%
NL:PNL
PostNL N.V.
1.19
0.24
25.64%
NL:RAND
Randstad Holding NV
30.54
-9.14
-23.03%
NL:ALFEN
Alfen NV
11.32
-2.97
-20.78%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 31, 2026