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PostNL N.V. (NL:PNL)
:PNL

PostNL N.V. (PNL) AI Stock Analysis

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PostNL N.V.

(LSE:PNL)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
€1.00
▲(7.53%Upside)
The overall score reflects stable financial performance and neutral technical indicators, offset by high valuation concerns. The strong cash flow and attractive dividend yield are positives, but the high debt level and modest profitability weigh on the overall assessment.

PostNL N.V. (PNL) vs. iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF (EWN)

PostNL N.V. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPostNL N.V. provides postal and logistics services to businesses and consumers in the Netherlands, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Parcels, Mail in the Netherlands; and PostNL Other. It collects, sorts, transports, and delivers letters and parcels; and offers data and document management, direct marketing, and fulfillment services, as well as cross-border mail solutions. The company was formerly known as TNT N.V. and changed its name to PostNL N.V. in May 2011. PostNL N.V. is headquartered in the Hague, the Netherlands.
How the Company Makes MoneyPostNL generates revenue through several key streams, primarily focusing on mail and parcel delivery services. Its mail segment earns income from the collection, sorting, and delivery of letters and related products, primarily within the Netherlands. The parcel division is a significant growth driver, benefiting from the rise in e-commerce, with revenue generated from the transportation and delivery of parcels for various online retailers and businesses. Additionally, PostNL has strategic partnerships and collaborations with e-commerce platforms and other logistics providers, enhancing its service offerings and expanding its customer base. The company also derives income from value-added logistics services, such as warehousing and fulfillment solutions, further diversifying its revenue streams.

PostNL N.V. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
PostNL's financial performance shows resilience despite challenges. The income statement reveals declining revenue and profitability, with decreasing gross and net profit margins. The balance sheet indicates high leverage, posing financial risks. Cash flow analysis highlights declining operating and free cash flows, though operational efficiency in converting income to cash remains strong. Overall, financial performance is under pressure but demonstrates some resilience through positive net income and cash flow.
Income Statement
68
Positive
PostNL's income statement reflects a challenging environment with a declining revenue trend from 2021 to 2024, although there was a slight increase in 2024 compared to 2023. Gross profit margin decreased consistently, indicating pressure on cost management. The net profit margin was positive in 2024 but significantly lower than in 2021, suggesting profitability is under strain. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also weakened over the years, pointing to deteriorating operational efficiency. Despite these issues, the company managed to sustain a positive net income in 2024, showing resilience.
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
The balance sheet for PostNL shows a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating substantial leverage that could pose risks in a volatile market. The return on equity is positive as of 2024, but has significantly declined from 2021 levels, reflecting reduced profitability. The equity ratio is low, suggesting the company relies heavily on debt financing. Overall, the balance sheet indicates potential financial risk due to high debt levels, despite maintaining positive equity growth over the last few years.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
PostNL's cash flow situation shows a decline in operating cash flow from 2021 to 2024, though 2024 still reported a positive figure. Free cash flow has also decreased over the years, reflecting challenges in sustaining cash generation after capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy, indicating operational efficiency in converting income into cash. However, the decreasing free cash flow suggests potential difficulties in funding future growth organically.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.26B3.25B3.17B3.15B3.47B3.25B
Gross Profit392.00M402.00M440.00M487.00M697.00M645.00M
EBITDA238.00M240.00M272.00M-1.13B471.00M455.00M
Net Income19.00M17.00M55.00M-981.00M257.00M217.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.09B2.12B2.18B2.22B2.48B2.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments420.00M453.00M518.00M556.00M848.00M651.00M
Total Debt900.00M972.00M1.06B1.07B1.07B1.00B
Total Liabilities1.89B1.92B1.98B2.04B2.06B1.99B
Stockholders Equity192.00M202.00M198.00M177.00M426.00M219.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow85.00M68.00M96.00M102.00M309.00M104.00M
Operating Cash Flow165.00M168.00M222.00M240.00M450.00M181.00M
Investing Cash Flow-76.00M-61.00M-102.00M-122.00M-92.00M85.00M
Financing Cash Flow-172.00M-173.00M-142.00M-408.00M-186.00M-80.00M

PostNL N.V. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.93
Price Trends
50DMA
0.90
Positive
100DMA
0.93
Negative
200DMA
0.97
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
53.99
Neutral
STOCH
38.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NL:PNL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.93 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.91, above the 50-day MA of 0.90, and below the 200-day MA of 0.97, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NL:PNL.

PostNL N.V. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
NLFUR
80
Outperform
€1.34B4.9418.89%5.39%4.03%8.35%
73
Outperform
€469.62M25.7221.92%4.43%-4.12%-14.85%
72
Outperform
€1.46B16.0521.26%2.66%22.05%35.35%
71
Outperform
€456.13M15.299.68%6.08%2.57%-5.80%
67
Neutral
CHF6.66B25.7714.57%2.64%-2.26%-28.96%
NLPNL
64
Neutral
€474.34M23.4310.72%8.58%3.92%-34.65%
62
Neutral
€2.11B24.266.85%3.31%2.94%-51.65%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NL:PNL
PostNL N.V.
0.93
-0.23
-19.93%
NL:FUR
Fugro NV
12.30
-8.82
-41.75%
NL:BRNL
Brunel International N.V.
9.32
-0.30
-3.12%
NL:BAMNB
Koninklijke Bam Groep NV
7.65
3.55
86.83%
NL:HEIJM
Heijmans N.V.
55.50
35.27
174.32%
NL:NEDAP
Nedap N.V
72.20
12.72
21.39%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 09, 2025