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PostNL N.V. (NL:PNL)
:PNL
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PostNL N.V. (PNL) AI Stock Analysis

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NL:PNL

PostNL N.V.

(PNL)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
€0.94
▲(5.39% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/06/26
The score is held back primarily by weak and volatile profitability and a high-leverage, thin-equity balance sheet, despite solid operating/free cash flow. Technical indicators are broadly neutral with a pressured longer-term trend, while valuation is modestly supported by the dividend yield but offset by the negative P/E.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Consistent positive operating cash flow and a sharp free cash flow improvement in 2025 provide durable internal funding. That cash generation supports working capital, maintenance capex, dividend capacity and optional debt paydown, improving resilience even if earnings remain uneven.
Negative Factors
High leverage and thin equity
Substantial leverage and a materially reduced equity buffer constrain financial flexibility. High debt relative to equity raises refinancing and covenant risk, limits capacity for strategic investment or sustained dividend policy, and makes the company vulnerable to earnings shocks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation
Consistent positive operating cash flow and a sharp free cash flow improvement in 2025 provide durable internal funding. That cash generation supports working capital, maintenance capex, dividend capacity and optional debt paydown, improving resilience even if earnings remain uneven.
Read all positive factors

PostNL N.V. (PNL) vs. iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF (EWN)

PostNL N.V. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
PostNL N.V. provides postal and logistics services to businesses and consumers in the Netherlands, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company in two segments, Parcels and Mail in the Netherlands, and PostNL Other. It collects, sorts, transpo...
How the Company Makes Money
PostNL makes money primarily by charging fees for delivery and related logistics services, with revenue concentrated in two main areas: Parcels and Mail in the Netherlands. 1) Parcels (largest growth engine) - Delivery fees from e-commerce and re...

PostNL N.V. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: cash flow is a relative strength (positive operating cash flow and improved free cash flow in 2025), but profitability is unreliable with repeated profit-to-loss swings and clear margin pressure. The balance sheet adds material risk due to high leverage and a shrinking equity base, reducing flexibility if operations remain weak.
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
36
Negative
Cash Flow
63
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.31B3.25B3.17B3.15B3.47B
Gross Profit165.00M402.00M440.00M487.00M697.00M
EBITDA242.00M240.00M276.00M-1.13B471.00M
Net Income-18.00M17.00M55.00M-981.00M257.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.20B2.12B2.18B2.22B2.48B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments616.00M453.00M518.00M556.00M848.00M
Total Debt1.17B972.00M1.06B1.07B1.07B
Total Liabilities2.02B1.92B1.98B2.04B2.06B
Stockholders Equity176.00M202.00M198.00M177.00M426.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow128.00M68.00M96.00M102.00M309.00M
Operating Cash Flow163.00M168.00M222.00M240.00M450.00M
Investing Cash Flow-39.00M-61.00M-102.00M-122.00M-92.00M
Financing Cash Flow90.00M-173.00M-142.00M-408.00M-186.00M

PostNL N.V. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.89
Price Trends
50DMA
0.93
Negative
100DMA
0.97
Negative
200DMA
1.01
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
48.33
Neutral
STOCH
24.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NL:PNL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.89 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.91, below the 50-day MA of 0.93, and below the 200-day MA of 1.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NL:PNL.

PostNL N.V. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
€6.76B21.728.23%4.44%-2.17%321.86%
62
Neutral
€7.75B68.8337.23%-59.21%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
50
Neutral
€475.25M-28.48-9.89%4.49%2.04%-203.01%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NL:PNL
PostNL N.V.
0.92
0.03
3.62%
NL:RAND
Randstad Holding NV
38.66
0.40
1.05%
NL:INPST
InPost S.A.
15.49
2.11
15.77%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026