PostNL N.V. (NL:PNL)
:PNL
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PostNL N.V.
(PNL)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
€1.00
▼(-6.54% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/25/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak and volatile profitability alongside a high-leverage, thin-equity balance sheet. This is partially offset by comparatively solid cash generation and a high dividend yield, while technical indicators are only modestly supportive.
Positive Factors
Leading market position in the Netherlands
PostNL's top-market position creates durable scale advantages: dense delivery network, established customer contracts and national coverage reduce per-unit costs and raise barriers for new entrants. That scale supports steady volume capture and negotiating leverage with retailers over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
High leverage and thin equity
Very high leverage and a shrinking equity base materially reduce financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to shocks. Interest and refinancing demands constrain strategic investment and increase insolvency risk if operating performance weakens, limiting long-term resilience.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Leading market position in the Netherlands
PostNL's top-market position creates durable scale advantages: dense delivery network, established customer contracts and national coverage reduce per-unit costs and raise barriers for new entrants. That scale supports steady volume capture and negotiating leverage with retailers over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors
PostNL N.V. (PNL) vs. iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF (EWN)
Market Cap
€544.29M
Dividend Yield6.72%
Average Volume (3M)2.65M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.54
Revenue Growth2.44%
EPS Growth-179.02%
CountryNL
Employees32,405
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryIntegrated Freight & Logistics
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.09
Shares Outstanding508,680,630
10 Day Avg. Volume1,772,362
30 Day Avg. Volume2,647,394
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.16
Price to Book (P/B)3.05
Price to Sales (P/S)0.16
P/FCF Ratio4.19
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
€0.83Price Target Upside-22.43% Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Sell
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)0.08
Revenue Forecast (FY)€3.38B
PostNL N.V. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
PostNL N.V. provides postal and logistics services to businesses and consumers in the Netherlands, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Parcels, Mail in the Netherlands; and PostNL Other. It collects, sorts, t...
How the Company Makes Money
PostNL generates revenue primarily through its Mail and Parcels segments. The Mail segment earns income from delivering letters and direct mail, while the Parcels segment focuses on e-commerce deliveries, which have seen significant growth due to ...
PostNL N.V. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
36
Negative
Cash Flow
63
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 3.31B | 3.25B | 3.17B | 3.15B | 3.47B |
| Gross Profit | 111.00M | 402.00M | 440.00M | 487.00M | 697.00M |
| EBITDA | 238.00M | 240.00M | 276.00M | -1.13B | 471.00M |
| Net Income | -17.00M | 17.00M | 55.00M | -981.00M | 257.00M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 2.20B | 2.12B | 2.18B | 2.22B | 2.48B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 616.00M | 453.00M | 518.00M | 556.00M | 848.00M |
| Total Debt | 1.17B | 972.00M | 1.06B | 1.07B | 1.07B |
| Total Liabilities | 2.02B | 1.92B | 1.98B | 2.04B | 2.06B |
| Stockholders Equity | 176.00M | 202.00M | 198.00M | 177.00M | 426.00M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 128.00M | 68.00M | 96.00M | 102.00M | 309.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 163.00M | 168.00M | 222.00M | 240.00M | 450.00M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -39.00M | -61.00M | -102.00M | -122.00M | -92.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 90.00M | -173.00M | -142.00M | -408.00M | -186.00M |
PostNL N.V. Technical Analysis
Negative
1.07
Price Trends
1.14
Negative
1.08
Negative
1.03
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.01
Positive
37.74
Neutral
54.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NL:PNL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.11, below the 50-day MA of 1.14, and above the 200-day MA of 1.03, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NL:PNL.
PostNL N.V. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
NL:PNL
PostNL N.V.
1.07
0.12
12.51%
NL:RAND
Randstad Holding NV
22.91
-15.29
-40.03%
NL:INPST
InPost S.A.
15.04
1.54
11.41%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.