InPost S.A. (INPST) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €5.13B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 1.28M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 22.5
• Beta (1Y): 0.83
• Revenue Growth: 30.31%
• EPS Growth: 0.33%
• Country: NL
• Employees: 7,733
• Sector: Services
• Sector Strength: N/A
• Industry: Specialty Business Services
• EPS (TTM): 0.16
• Shares Outstanding: 500,000,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,102,161
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,283,098
• PEG Ratio: 0.31
• Price to Book (P/B): 14.36
• Price to Sales (P/S): 3.23
• P/FCF Ratio: 22.65
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: €15.93
• Price Target Upside: 54.66% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 4
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 66 Neutral
• Price Target: €11.00 ▲(6.80% Upside)

InPost S.A.'s strong earnings call, featuring robust revenue growth and international expansion, significantly boosts its stock score. However, financial risks from high leverage and declining margins, along with moderate technical and valuation indicators, temper the overall score.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

The significant year-on-year revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial health.

International Expansion

Successful international expansion diversifies revenue streams and reduces dependency on domestic markets, enhancing resilience and growth potential.

Network Expansion

Expanding the network of out-of-home points strengthens market presence, improves service accessibility, and supports future growth in parcel volumes.

Negative Factors

High Leverage

High leverage increases financial risk, potentially limiting flexibility in capital allocation and increasing vulnerability to interest rate changes.

Declining Margins

Declining margins suggest rising costs or pricing pressures, which could impact profitability and require strategic adjustments to maintain competitiveness.

Operational Challenges in the U.K.

Operational setbacks in the U.K. could hinder growth and profitability in a key market, necessitating effective management to resolve integration issues.

InPost S.A. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

InPost S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an out-of-home e-commerce enablement platform providing parcel locker services in Europe. It operates through four segments: APM (automated parcel machines), To-Door, Mondial Relay, and International Other. The APM segment focuses on the delivery of parcels to automated parcel machines. The To-Door segment delivers parcels using door-to-door couriers. The Mondial Relay segment delivers parcels to automated parcel machines; and operates pick-up drop-off (PUDO) points in France, Spain, Belgium, Netherlands, and Portugal. The International Other segment delivers parcels to automated parcel machines in the United Kingdom and Italy. The company also provides fulfilment services, including comprehensive warehousing, packaging, and logistics services to e-commerce merchants; operates self-service parcel dispatch and collection points; and e-Grocery, a delivery service for food and FMCG products through InPost Fresh app to dedicated machines and to the recipient. As of December 31, 2021, it handled 517 million parcel deliveries, and installed approximately 2.4 million lockers across its network of 16,445 APMs. The company also had approximately 38,000 integrated merchants and 8 million active mobile users on its mobile application. InPost S.A. was founded in 1999 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.

How the Company Makes Money

InPost generates revenue primarily through the operation of its parcel lockers, where it charges e-commerce retailers for the delivery and return of packages. Revenue streams include fees from retailers for delivery services, as well as fees charged to consumers for using the lockers for returns. Additionally, the company may earn income from partnerships with logistics companies and retailers that utilize its infrastructure for last-mile delivery solutions. Significant partnerships with major e-commerce platforms further enhance its revenue potential, as these collaborations drive higher volumes of packages delivered through its network.

InPost S.A. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

InPost S.A. demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, but faces challenges with high leverage and declining free cash flow. The company maintains a stable operating cash flow, yet needs to address its debt levels to enhance financial stability.

Income Statement

InPost S.A. shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 8.01%. The gross profit margin is solid at 61.22%, though it has decreased from previous periods. Net profit margin is stable at 7.92%, indicating consistent profitability. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins have slightly declined, suggesting potential cost pressures.

Balance Sheet

The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.23, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. Return on equity is robust at 38.30%, reflecting efficient use of equity. The equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced asset structure but with room for improvement in reducing leverage.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow is strong, but free cash flow has decreased by 4.75% in the TTM, indicating potential challenges in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.56, but the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.47 suggests limited cash available after capital expenditures.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	12.37B	10.92B	8.84B	7.06B	4.58B	2.52B
Gross Profit	7.57B	10.66B	7.52B	6.81B	4.48B	2.46B
EBITDA	3.56B	3.49B	2.45B	1.93B	1.44B	735.30M
Net Income	979.50M	1.25B	647.40M	456.40M	491.60M	350.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	15.31B	12.89B	9.73B	8.76B	7.29B	2.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	878.40M	780.50M	567.40M	432.80M	490.10M	139.30M
Total Debt	9.28B	7.76B	6.65B	6.70B	5.93B	1.30B
Total Liabilities	12.42B	10.44B	8.44B	8.29B	7.30B	1.86B
Stockholders Equity	2.87B	2.46B	1.29B	469.00M	-6.90M	631.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	1.44B	1.56B	1.06B	230.70M	164.40M	206.10M
Operating Cash Flow	3.06B	2.96B	2.08B	1.35B	1.10B	742.60M
Investing Cash Flow	-2.29B	-1.73B	-1.27B	-1.12B	-3.20B	-515.90M
Financing Cash Flow	-656.50M	-1.02B	-681.40M	-285.90M	2.45B	-201.20M

InPost S.A. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 10.30
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NL:INPST, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.07, above the 50-day MA of 10.21, and below the 200-day MA of 12.40, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NL:INPST.

InPost S.A. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
INPST	66 Neutral	€5.13B	22.49	―	―	30.31%	0.33%
Sector *	55 Neutral	$13.29B	17.42	10.03%	0.93%	7.13%	-12.93%
FAST	46 Neutral	€387.93M	-11.55	―	―	48.95%	-64.87%
AZRN	41 Neutral	€137.12M	-14.21	―	―	-0.63%	74.14%

InPost S.A. Corporate Events

InPost S.A. Earnings Call: Record Revenues Amid Challenges

InPost S.A. Earnings Call Reflects Mixed Sentiment Amid Record Revenues and Market Challenges

InPost Group Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results with International Expansion

InPost Group has reported strong Q2 2025 results, showcasing significant growth in parcel volumes and revenue, driven by its accelerated international expansion and robust network deployment. This growth reinforces InPost’s leadership in the out-of-home delivery sector and highlights its strategic focus on future expansion, impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (NL:INPST) stock is a Buy with a EUR19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on InPost S.A. stock, see the NL:INPST Stock Forecast page.