InPost S.A. (INPST) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €5.53B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 1.06M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 24.3
• Beta (1Y): 0.84
• Revenue Growth: 30.31%
• EPS Growth: 0.33%
• Country: NL
• Employees: 7,733
• Sector: Services
• Sector Strength: N/A
• Industry: Specialty Business Services
• EPS (TTM): 0.15
• Shares Outstanding: 500,000,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,280,530
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,059,557
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: €17.13
• Price Target Upside: 62.06% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 6

• Rating: 60 Neutral
• Price Target: €12.00 ▲(13.53% Upside)

InPost S.A.'s overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, tempered by technical analysis indicating bearish trends and valuation concerns. The company's high leverage and challenges in specific markets also weigh on the score.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Consistent revenue growth indicates robust demand for InPost's services and strengthens its market position in the logistics sector.

Profitability

Stable profitability reflects effective cost management and pricing strategies, supporting long-term financial health.

Operating Cash Flow

Strong operating cash flow ensures liquidity and supports reinvestment into growth opportunities, enhancing financial stability.

Negative Factors

High Leverage

High leverage can increase financial risk and limit flexibility, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth.

Free Cash Flow Decline

Declining free cash flow may constrain the company's ability to fund new projects and return value to shareholders.

Margin Pressure

Decreasing margins could signal rising costs or pricing pressures, affecting long-term profitability and competitiveness.

InPost S.A. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

InPost S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an out-of-home e-commerce enablement platform providing parcel locker services in Europe. It operates through four segments: APM (automated parcel machines), To-Door, Mondial Relay, and International Other. The APM segment focuses on the delivery of parcels to automated parcel machines. The To-Door segment delivers parcels using door-to-door couriers. The Mondial Relay segment delivers parcels to automated parcel machines; and operates pick-up drop-off (PUDO) points in France, Spain, Belgium, Netherlands, and Portugal. The International Other segment delivers parcels to automated parcel machines in the United Kingdom and Italy. The company also provides fulfilment services, including comprehensive warehousing, packaging, and logistics services to e-commerce merchants; operates self-service parcel dispatch and collection points; and e-Grocery, a delivery service for food and FMCG products through InPost Fresh app to dedicated machines and to the recipient. As of December 31, 2021, it handled 517 million parcel deliveries, and installed approximately 2.4 million lockers across its network of 16,445 APMs. The company also had approximately 38,000 integrated merchants and 8 million active mobile users on its mobile application. InPost S.A. was founded in 1999 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.

How the Company Makes Money

InPost S.A. generates revenue primarily through its parcel delivery services utilizing automated parcel machines (APMs). The company's key revenue streams include fees charged to e-commerce retailers and other businesses for using its delivery network, as well as charges for consumers who opt for parcel locker delivery. InPost benefits from strategic partnerships with major e-commerce platforms and retailers, which enhance its service reach and attractiveness. Additionally, the company may earn supplementary income from advertising on its parcel lockers and offering value-added services such as insurance and expedited delivery options.

InPost S.A. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

InPost S.A. demonstrates strong revenue and profitability growth, supported by efficient cost management and cash generation. While leverage remains a potential risk, improvements in equity and cash flow metrics indicate strengthening financial health. Continued attention to managing debt levels will be crucial for sustained stability.

Income Statement

InPost S.A. shows strong revenue growth with a notable increase from 2020 to the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) period. The gross profit margin is high, indicating efficient cost management. However, net profit margins have been fluctuating, suggesting potential volatility in bottom-line profitability.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, pointing to leverage that could pose risks if not managed carefully. On the positive side, the equity ratio has improved over the years, indicating a strengthening equity base. Return on equity shows a solid upward trend, reflecting improved profitability.

Cash Flow

InPost S.A. has exhibited positive free cash flow growth, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, suggesting that earnings translate well into cash. However, fluctuations in free cash flow compared to net income indicate some variability in cash management.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	12.37B	10.92B	8.84B	7.06B	4.58B	2.52B
Gross Profit	7.57B	10.66B	7.52B	6.81B	4.48B	2.46B
EBITDA	3.56B	3.49B	2.45B	1.93B	1.06B	735.30M
Net Income	979.50M	1.25B	647.40M	456.40M	491.60M	350.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	15.31B	12.89B	9.73B	8.76B	7.29B	2.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	878.40M	780.50M	567.40M	432.80M	490.10M	139.30M
Total Debt	9.28B	7.76B	6.65B	6.70B	5.93B	1.30B
Total Liabilities	12.42B	10.44B	8.44B	8.29B	7.30B	1.86B
Stockholders Equity	2.87B	2.46B	1.29B	469.00M	-6.90M	631.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	1.44B	1.56B	1.06B	230.70M	164.40M	206.10M
Operating Cash Flow	3.06B	2.96B	2.08B	1.35B	1.10B	742.60M
Investing Cash Flow	-2.29B	-1.73B	-1.27B	-1.12B	-3.20B	-515.90M
Financing Cash Flow	-656.50M	-1.02B	-681.40M	-285.90M	2.45B	-201.20M

InPost S.A. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 10.57
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NL:INPST, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.57 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.14, below the 50-day MA of 12.25, and below the 200-day MA of 14.34, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 34.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NL:INPST.

InPost S.A. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
INPST	60 Neutral	€5.53B	24.26	―	―	30.31%	0.33%
AZRN	48 Neutral	161.78M	-5.75	-114.88%	―	3.30%	-200.74%
FAST	48 Neutral	438.36M	-12.71	-21.71%	―	48.95%	-64.87%
Sector *	55 Neutral	$13.29B	17.42	10.03%	0.93%	7.13%	-12.93%