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Alfen NV (NL:ALFEN)
:ALFEN
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Alfen NV (ALFEN) AI Stock Analysis

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NL:ALFEN

Alfen NV

(ALFEN)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
€12.50
▲(18.48% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/23/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance (volatile profitability and flat-to-down revenue, partially offset by moderate leverage and recent positive free cash flow). Technicals are supportive with a strong uptrend, but overbought readings add near-term risk. Valuation remains a headwind due to a deeply negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Integrated, diversified business model
Alfen's integrated offering across grid equipment, EV charging and energy storage provides durable revenue diversification and cross‑sell potential. Project engineering, system integration and installation create higher switching costs and recurring project pipelines with utilities and commercial customers.
Negative Factors
Stalled / declining revenue trend
Two consecutive years of stagnant to slightly negative top-line growth indicate weakening demand or intensifying competition. Slower revenue growth constrains operating leverage, limits margin expansion, and reduces the firm's ability to scale fixed-cost absorption and reinvest for longer-term growth.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Integrated, diversified business model
Alfen's integrated offering across grid equipment, EV charging and energy storage provides durable revenue diversification and cross‑sell potential. Project engineering, system integration and installation create higher switching costs and recurring project pipelines with utilities and commercial customers.
Read all positive factors

Alfen NV (ALFEN) vs. iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF (EWN)

Alfen NV Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Alfen N.V., through its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, develops, produces, and sells products, systems, and services related to the electricity grid. The company offers smart grid solutions, including secondary transformer substations, devices ...
How the Company Makes Money
Alfen makes money primarily by selling products and project-based solutions across its main business lines. (1) Smart Grid/utility-related solutions: revenue is generated from the engineering, manufacture, and delivery of transformer substations a...

Alfen NV Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: revenue has stalled/declined recently and profitability was highly volatile (meaningful loss in 2024 with only a partial recovery toward break-even in 2025). Offsetting this, leverage appears moderate (debt-to-equity ~0.31) and 2024–2025 showed positive operating cash flow and free cash flow, though free cash flow dropped sharply in 2025 and remains historically uneven.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue435.62M487.64M504.48M439.88M249.68M
Gross Profit124.89M115.39M151.09M88.73M41.29M
EBITDA20.06M-4.19M50.82M74.43M33.21M
Net Income-189.00K-27.01M29.68M53.05M21.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets312.53M362.75M395.97M321.07M194.18M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.67M17.07M2.07M22.84M47.28M
Total Debt47.37M49.75M57.17M18.40M18.40M
Total Liabilities159.77M210.51M216.36M170.49M97.86M
Stockholders Equity152.76M152.24M179.61M150.58M96.32M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow18.56M31.25M-29.06M-20.60M-1.14M
Operating Cash Flow32.54M55.82M5.64M429.00K10.54M
Investing Cash Flow-13.98M1.15M-59.10M-21.02M-11.68M
Financing Cash Flow-8.95M-35.57M26.30M-3.84M-3.92M

Alfen NV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.55
Price Trends
50DMA
9.32
Positive
100DMA
9.97
Positive
200DMA
10.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.26
Negative
RSI
69.60
Neutral
STOCH
91.22
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NL:ALFEN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.30, above the 50-day MA of 9.32, and above the 200-day MA of 10.14, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.22 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NL:ALFEN.

Alfen NV Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
€2.54B11.4811.89%2.69%9.06%160.53%
74
Outperform
€272.97M4.083.43%-2.62%32.15%
66
Neutral
€285.99M6.866.36%3.06%-7.26%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
57
Neutral
€2.33B89.4711.48%7.57%-8.69%-42.98%
56
Neutral
€257.95M51.38-10.80%-10.67%99.28%
55
Neutral
€1.37B-47.40-1.54%8.99%-18.78%-107.52%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NL:ALFEN
Alfen NV
11.89
-4.75
-28.57%
NL:BAMNB
Koninklijke Bam Groep NV
9.35
3.36
56.22%
NL:FUR
Fugro NV
12.35
2.29
22.73%
NL:KENDR
Kendrion NV
18.20
8.87
95.15%
NL:LIGHT
Signify NV
19.32
1.44
8.05%
NL:HYDRA
Hydratec Industries NV
210.00
51.00
32.08%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 23, 2026