Alfen NV (ALFEN) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €208.44M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 276.86K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.81
• Revenue Growth: -13.84%
• EPS Growth: -286.67%
• Country: NL
• Employees: 1,053
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Electrical Equipment & Parts
• EPS (TTM): 0.06
• Shares Outstanding: 21,750,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 332,264
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 276,855
• PEG Ratio: 0.05
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.72
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.54
• P/FCF Ratio: 8.37
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: €7.50
• Price Target Upside: -26.18% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Sell
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 51 Neutral
• Price Target: €10.00 ▼(-1.57% Downside)

Alfen NV's overall stock score reflects mixed financial performance with strong cash management but declining profitability. Technical analysis indicates a lack of strong momentum, and valuation concerns are highlighted by a negative P/E ratio. Improvement in operational efficiency and profitability is crucial for a better outlook.

Positive Factors

Cash Flow Management

Alfen's robust operating cash flow indicates effective cash management, providing financial stability and flexibility to invest in growth opportunities.

Debt Management

A low debt-to-equity ratio reflects prudent financial management, reducing risk and interest burden, and enhancing long-term financial health.

Market Position

Alfen's focus on EV charging and energy storage aligns with growing demand for sustainable energy solutions, supporting long-term revenue growth.

Negative Factors

Profitability Challenges

Negative profit margins indicate operational inefficiencies and profitability challenges, potentially impacting future investment and growth capacity.

Revenue Decline

A decline in revenue suggests potential market share loss or reduced demand, which could hinder the company's ability to scale and compete effectively.

Return on Equity

Negative return on equity reflects poor profitability and inefficient use of shareholder funds, which may deter investment and affect long-term growth.

Alfen NV Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Alfen N.V., through its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, develops, produces, and sells products, systems, and services related to the electricity grid. The company offers smart grid solutions, including secondary transformer substations, devices for grid automation, and proprietary back-end systems for remote management and control of electricity grids, as well as micro-grids, grid connections, and supplementary offerings for the greenhouse horticulture sector, EV fast-charging hubs, and solar PV farms. It also provides energy storage systems comprising modular energy storage systems for load balancing, peak shaving, grid frequency control, and energy trading solutions, as well as stationary and mobile battery energy storage solutions. In addition, the company offers smart and connected electric vehicle chargers for use at the home, office, and public locations, as well as an online management platform for charging infrastructure and standardized solutions for smart charging, load balancing, and charging hubs. It operates primarily in the Netherlands, Belgium, Finland, France, Germany, Italy, Norway, Poland, Spain, Sweden, the United Kingdom, and the rest of Europe. The company was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Almere, the Netherlands.

How the Company Makes Money

Alfen generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of its EV charging stations and energy storage systems. The company also earns income from the installation and maintenance of its products, which are often bundled with these hardware sales. Additionally, Alfen benefits from long-term service agreements and partnerships with various stakeholders in the renewable energy sector, including municipalities, energy companies, and automotive manufacturers. The growth in electric vehicle adoption and the increasing demand for energy transition solutions further enhance its revenue potential, making strategic collaborations and innovative product offerings critical to its financial performance.

Alfen NV Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Alfen NV's financial performance is mixed. The income statement shows declining revenue and negative profitability margins, indicating operational challenges. However, the balance sheet suggests manageable leverage, and the cash flow statement highlights strong cash management despite negative net income.

Income Statement

Alfen NV's income statement shows volatility with a recent decline in revenue from 504.5 million to 487.6 million. The net profit margin turned negative at -5.54% in 2024 from a positive 5.88% in 2023, indicating profitability challenges. The gross profit margin decreased from 29.95% to 23.66%, showing reduced operational efficiency. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also turned negative, reflecting potential operational inefficiencies.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a modest debt-to-equity ratio of 0.33, suggesting manageable leverage. The equity ratio stands at 41.96%, indicating that a considerable portion of the company's assets is financed by equity. However, the return on equity has turned negative to -17.74% in 2024, reflecting recent profitability issues.

Cash Flow

Alfen NV's cash flow statement shows strong operating cash flow of 55.82 million despite the negative net income, resulting in a robust operating cash flow to net income ratio. The free cash flow improved to 31.25 million, suggesting better cash management. However, the free cash flow growth and net income alignment require attention.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	453.43M	487.64M	504.48M	439.88M	249.68M	189.01M
Gross Profit	59.69M	115.39M	151.09M	88.73M	41.29M	28.22M
EBITDA	9.63M	-4.19M	50.82M	74.43M	33.21M	21.64M
Net Income	-17.25M	-27.01M	29.68M	53.05M	21.45M	11.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	338.71M	362.75M	395.97M	321.07M	194.18M	146.55M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	17.33M	17.07M	2.07M	22.84M	47.28M	52.34M
Total Debt	49.11M	49.75M	57.17M	18.40M	18.40M	22.33M
Total Liabilities	187.38M	210.51M	216.36M	170.49M	97.86M	72.32M
Stockholders Equity	151.33M	152.24M	179.61M	150.58M	96.32M	74.23M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	59.79M	31.25M	-29.06M	-20.60M	-1.14M	10.49M
Operating Cash Flow	64.99M	55.82M	5.64M	429.00K	10.54M	20.11M
Investing Cash Flow	-15.33M	1.15M	-59.10M	-21.02M	-11.68M	-9.62M
Financing Cash Flow	-9.71M	-35.57M	26.30M	-3.84M	-3.92M	44.98M

Alfen NV Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 10.16
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NL:ALFEN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.24, below the 50-day MA of 10.18, and below the 200-day MA of 11.18, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NL:ALFEN.

Alfen NV Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
BAMNB	74 Outperform	€2.42B	17.95	11.89%	2.81%	3.64%	-22.13%
HYDRA	71 Outperform	€230.07M	11.47	―	3.43%	-9.19%	-0.59%
FUR	70 Outperform	€938.11M	6.63	9.91%	8.81%	-7.57%	-51.86%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
LIGHT	63 Neutral	€2.57B	8.12	11.48%	7.73%	-4.73%	17.93%
KENDR	55 Neutral	€214.96M	21.71	6.36%	3.12%	-14.95%	―
ALFEN	51 Neutral	€208.44M	-12.10	-10.80%	―	-13.84%	-286.67%